Lamar Odom (illness) and Jason Kidd (groin injury) out tonight for <s>#</s>Mavericks against <s>#</s>Clippers.
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TC WoodsSBR MVP
- 12-17-11
- 1780
#9416Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#9417NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 4/2/2012
Play #1
Grizzies (+8) 1x (Locked)
I thought this one would have moved to +8.5 by now, instead the line movement has been eerily quiet. Pinny started juicing memphis at -107 so im locking this up now because im going to have a busy day and this one might just drop to 7.5. I think this is a great situational spot for memphis and would not be surprised to see them win outright. Okc is coming off a big win over the bulls and they have the heat up next. When you consider okc has beaten memphis twice already, i think they could come out "flat" without motivation. On the other hand, memphis is highly motivated to take on this okc for so many different reasons that we all know. Defensively, memphis is the #1 team in causing turnovers and could cause havoc against an unmotivated okc offense already ranked last in the league in turnovers. In addition, with zbo back memphis isa much deeper team in the frontcourt. The refs are mauer, blair and guthrie. Msuer and blair are both longtime refs that favor the road teams ats. I have this game set at +7, so in addition to strong qualitative factors, we also have some quatitative value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the grizzlies for 1x.
Mavericks ML (-175)/Under (189.5) (+205)
Without Kidd, I expect Dallas' defense to improve considerably now that Roddy B. is playing. I think Dallas gets it done tonight and dominates on defense. I recommend you play this for 0.25x but play within your means. I don't play parlays often, but when I do I expect to win because of the correlation. In this case, I think a Dallas win is highly correlated to the game staying under the posted total. Good luck.Comment -
JM92SBR MVP
- 01-27-12
- 1140
#9418Would've played the under for 1x if you had given this out earlier actually. Would also do that parlay as I find it really interesting but both my books don't let me play two bets of the same game together.
GL to you anyway I was will be rooting for a low-scorin Mavs winComment -
Les_NutsSBR Wise Guy
- 02-01-12
- 931
#9419I'm on Dallas -4. GL LTA, Memphis are getting no love from the refs, some of these calls are insane it's funny listening to the Memphis feedComment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#9420Sorry dude, I didn't have any free time at work today. Good luck.Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#9422
Not worried about the calls....they'll even out. GLComment -
JM92SBR MVP
- 01-27-12
- 1140
#9423No problem amigo, actually haven't had much time to chime in, missed school today to study for an exam and ended up having more time to study the games on my mini-breaks then all of last week. The absence of line movement just made me feel like that line was very well set, so I passed on it. No leans for the late games, got any?Comment -
mikea33SBR MVP
- 11-14-11
- 2149
#9424Late leans LTA?Comment -
DmoneytxSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-09-12
- 6450
#9426Feel bad for all the people on here who said they took the Bulls ML. OUCH! Weren't they up like 13 or 14 points towards middle/end of 3rd quarter??? LOL.Comment -
mikea33SBR MVP
- 11-14-11
- 2149
#9427Im happy with a +1x night unless grizz chokeComment -
Catchn_PicksSBR MVP
- 09-02-11
- 2984
#9428Great read on the Grizz game LTA.Comment -
TC WoodsSBR MVP
- 12-17-11
- 1780
#9429I think Kentucky could give a few of the NBA teams a run ....Comment -
mikea33SBR MVP
- 11-14-11
- 2149
#9430They defiently could beat the BobcatsComment -
mikea33SBR MVP
- 11-14-11
- 2149
#9431Got pro prospects like its nothin....reminds me of reggie bush's USC team with leinartComment -
Speedy88SBR Posting Legend
- 03-19-11
- 11717
#9432nice call on memphis.Comment -
mikea33SBR MVP
- 11-14-11
- 2149
#9433Thanks LTAComment -
blackgoldenSBR Wise Guy
- 02-11-12
- 768
#9434nice
Comment -
remypomSBR High Roller
- 09-03-11
- 102
#9435Lta prob like Phil/Mia under Watever the line is. Right lta? Should come out a pt less then last times line even though last time it went overComment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#9436No. You should never take a play "whatever the line is." There's nothing more important than getting a good number.
While the under "seems" to be the play, I'm just not sure. Philly will be highly motivated and the Heat just came off the embarrassment against the Celtics, so I would not be surprised to see the Heat come out in high octane mode. For me, there's just no value in the under and I'm not going to take the over so I'll pass on the total. Good luck in whatever you choose.Comment -
Catchn_PicksSBR MVP
- 09-02-11
- 2984
#9437
He told me last Friday that with just the freshman class that has already committed to them, they will be a MUCH stronger team next year than this year. How is that possible?Comment -
Les_NutsSBR Wise Guy
- 02-01-12
- 931
#9438Great situational spot for golden state tomorrow. Middle game of b2b2b for memphis after a big win vs thunder and a game against the champs the day after. Line currently at +8 but I'm torn because they suck bad at the moment and seem to be tanking for that draft pickComment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#9439Great situational spot, but you can't count on Golden State in this spot imho. They are just too unpredictable right now, so I'm pretty much staying away from their games completely. I need to get some more data on them without Ellis and Curry not playing before I can get a better read on this new GS team.Comment -
mikea33SBR MVP
- 11-14-11
- 2149
#9440Yes its true they have some crazytalent. Not to mention #1 Nerlens Noel lives a few minutes away from me ive seen him playhe is the real deal. Close to committing to tuckyComment -
mikea33SBR MVP
- 11-14-11
- 2149
#9441Lta from a basketball mind to another who is ur pick to win it all? I bet youll say Bulls.
But i think the NBA has one more Lakers Celtics matchup to deal with and i think both teams have a good shot to surprise peopleComment -
Les_NutsSBR Wise Guy
- 02-01-12
- 931
#9442On that subject, I have the thunder in my futures at +650. I didn't like our chances against the heat before I heard yesterday that rose may be out for part of the playoffs, can't see us beating them over 7 until we get some more talentComment -
SlickRick1382SBR MVP
- 10-15-11
- 3838
#9443
Any given year anyone can win it though. Boston has a chance if they play like they did vs the Heat the other day. Lakers with Sessions look stronger than before. Heck before the injuries and they way they were playing under Woodson, I wouldn't even discount the Knicks as a long shot.Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#9444
However, I think the Rose injury is much worse than people think. There's a lot of rumblings from people close to the team that say he won't be ready by the playoffs. Even if he is ready, with only 8 games left in the season, he won't have the conditioning to play a ton of minutes. I heard that at best, he comes back 2 games before the playoffs in hopes of getting his legs under him and getting in playing shape. However, the more likely scenario is that he is limited to about 20 minutes per game to start the playoffs. You can take all this with a grain of salt, because it's all just rumor. However, this information is coming from someone connected to the team so you never know. I do believe that Rose would not miss this much time voluntarily so I am convinced he really is hurt unlike some others out there. Only time will tell.
I also like OKC and San Antonio. I would not be surprised to see either team come out of the West. Both teams have superior offenses with improving defenses. I think that would a really fun WCF as well.
As far as a darkhorse, I really like the inconsistent Magic simply because of Howard and their ability to shoot the 3. If the Magic make their 3 point shots, they are unbeatable. If they miss, they might not break 70. However, if they could get into a late season groove like the Mavs did last season, I think the Magic could make some noise. It's all about hitting their shots because Howard's production is a constant and if they start playing well he will become more motivated. Just like every sport, it's about getting hot at the right time.Comment -
dmiteanSBR Sharp
- 03-30-11
- 364
#9445Great work tonight LTA with Memphis!
I'm beyond shocked to see a night where Rockets and Memphis win Chicago and Oklahoma at home and Clippers blow Dallas away by winning by 19 points on the road in direct HCA in the playoffs battle.
Great start of the month and hopefully you turned the corner. Good luck today!Comment -
dmiteanSBR Sharp
- 03-30-11
- 364
#9446I believe the Finals will be between Chicago and Oklahoma btw. Chicago a year wiser, Rip was exactly what they needed and they could have easily won two out of the 4 games they lost to the Heat last year, if they had Rip. They needed someone that can make points other than Rose and Rip can be that go to guy, especially with Bron on Rose.Comment -
SlickRick1382SBR MVP
- 10-15-11
- 3838
#9447I believe the Finals will be between Chicago and Oklahoma btw. Chicago a year wiser, Rip was exactly what they needed and they could have easily won two out of the 4 games they lost to the Heat last year, if they had Rip. They needed someone that can make points other than Rose and Rip can be that go to guy, especially with Bron on Rose.Comment -
bonestockSBR High Roller
- 03-25-11
- 246
#9448this month looking better already. hit memphis, sac, and tucky today.Comment -
dmiteanSBR Sharp
- 03-30-11
- 364
#9449Obviously I saying everything assuming everyone is healthy and in shape. Rip and Rose been battling injury all season so of course it's a reason to worry.Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#9450NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season Recap 4/2/2012
1 - 0 = +1x
NBA 2011-2012 Season
120 - 107 = +7.45x
Onto Tuesday...good luck!Last edited by Love The Action; 04-02-12, 11:57 PM.Comment
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