LTA's NBA Plays

**bigjah15** · 04-04-12, 04:38 PM

I feel like tonight's going to be good night

**unitedlad** · 04-04-12, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by bigjah15

I feel like tonight's going to be good night

Will.i.am, is that you?

**bigjah15** · 04-04-12, 04:56 PM

Originally posted by unitedlad

Will.i.am, is that you?

LOL

**NOREGRETS** · 04-04-12, 05:04 PM

You guys are ALL forgetting one key aspect here. Look ahead game for Boston is CHI, while for SA it is NO. I am all in at SA -1. $hit better hit. GL boys

**NOREGRETS** · 04-04-12, 05:04 PM

Also, Boston's next game is tomorrow, while SA's next game is Friday.

**CheeseHead** · 04-04-12, 05:06 PM

Well this has got to be a first...3 plays posted early this morning and it's getting close to game time now and you can still bet every game at the exact same line. Not sure if that's a good thing.

**pokerwhiz90** · 04-04-12, 05:09 PM

we are on a hot train! i feel a very very good night coming up

**bigjah15** · 04-04-12, 05:24 PM

Everyone knock on wood!

**G-manFan** · 04-04-12, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by CheeseHead

Well this has got to be a first...3 plays posted early this morning and it's getting close to game time now and you can still bet every game at the exact same line. Not sure if that's a good thing.

Looks like nothing has moved all day for the whole board except one or two sides/totals

**Crowing Capers** · 04-04-12, 05:50 PM

3/3 today LTA....
Let's get it

**IllyPhilly[DOC]** · 04-04-12, 05:56 PM

I'm on the opposite side GL with spurs. I feel like either team is dead even in this matchup, except the fact spurs 5-0 vs Atlantic division.

**mikea33** · 04-04-12, 06:02 PM

Coming from the biggest Celtics fan on here................Spurs have a good chance of winning. They always battle, and boy they look unbeatable. Rested, and this is a much more important game for them than the Celtics. Only thing that worries me is that the Celtics are at home, but the fact there underdogs shows me the books are not so confident in them.

I learned one important lesson, thanks for that LTA.
Every winner [sides] is going against SOMEONES favorite team.

**hustlehard617** · 04-04-12, 06:07 PM

LinE ust moved to PK

**mikea33** · 04-04-12, 06:19 PM

absolutely no defense played early on in Raptors Sixers game

**JM92** · 04-04-12, 06:20 PM

No defense? They're D-ing alright. Shots are just fallin like crazy. Wait... wait...

**I am Happy** · 04-04-12, 06:24 PM

the baskets are 5 feet wide right now... it'll slow.... let's hope

**mikea33** · 04-04-12, 06:27 PM

both shooting 70% in the quarter. jeez if that number was like 30% lower we'd have like a 40 pt quarter. hope its not too big of a burden

**bonestock** · 04-04-12, 06:42 PM

pulled the trigger last minute on spurs +1 despite my early lean on the C's

**eastern2** · 04-04-12, 06:48 PM

Really couldn't have any less faith in the Spurs tonight, lets hope I'm wrong

**alamo** · 04-04-12, 06:56 PM

Pace starting to slow in Toronto. If we can get a 32/33 pt 3rd qtr we still have a shot there. Spurs off to a solid start too

**mikea33** · 04-04-12, 06:57 PM

yeah we def have a shot idk if toronto defense can hold up.

**alamo** · 04-04-12, 07:06 PM

Toronto\sixers scored 45 in the final 8mins of the 2nd q. That may bury that play. Lets hope we can still go 2/1

**blumpkin** · 04-04-12, 07:06 PM

2ndh total of 91 thought?

**mikea33** · 04-04-12, 07:11 PM

id stay far away

**BigBoi** · 04-04-12, 07:14 PM

stay away from philly total. Jump on under indy second half.

**Catchn_Picks** · 04-04-12, 07:18 PM

Originally posted by blumpkin

2ndh total of 91 thought?

I play LTA 2nd halves all the time when they are getting blown out in the first half, butttttt....this one is scary because the game is playing so different from their anticipated styles.

**eastern2** · 04-04-12, 07:19 PM

keep it up spurs!

**Catchn_Picks** · 04-04-12, 07:21 PM

Spurs ripping it!!!!

Let's go baby!

**mikea33** · 04-04-12, 07:26 PM

LTA any late leans??

**Love The Action** · 04-04-12, 07:35 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 4/4/2012

Play #1

Jazz (-6) 1x (Locked)

The Jazz have burned us so many times this year, but it's time to exercise the demons. Despite the injury to Harris, Bell and Howard, they remain the "deeper" team that I expect to take advantage when the second teamers are in the game. Phoenix is in a fatigue spot with 3 in 4 and b2b and even though they are 9-7 ATS on b2b this season, I do not expect that type of success tonight against a motivated Jazz team in the thin air of Utah. In the earlier game between these two teams this season, the Suns won by 9 as -4.5 favorites. In this game, the Jazz opened -5.5 and was immediately bet up to -6. This one has creeped up as high as -6.5 and is now starting to settle in at 6. Both the books and the early sharpies lean Utah and I have to agree. Even though the revenge angle is overblown in the NBA, I think this is a great revenge game with the Jazz catching the Suns in a bad situational spot. In addition, we have some slight quantitative value as well because the Jazz have a pronounced advantage offensively in the paint. I have this game set at -7 giving us just 1 point of value on this play, but I think any play at -6 or better is solid. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the Jazz for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Spurs (-1) 1x (Locked)

While this might end up a very "public" play because of SA's recent dominance over the league, that does not mean the spurs wont win. In this game, the spurs are just too deep for this celtics team and we are getting solid value because of the spurs' b2b. However, I dont think that matters because of the blowout yesterday where the starters all played under 25 minutes. Quantitatively, the spurs dominate boston in most statistically significant categories on offense and even though boston has a much better defense, the spurs have improved on D from earlier in the year and are now top 12 in DEFF. Boston and Rondo especially love these big games but the spurs are fully healthy now and I think their bench will be the difference in this game. Boston just cant match up for a full 48 minutes despite allen's return. I have this game set at -2.5 based on the stats. I expect this to be a very close game, but with the spurs pulling it out late maybe even on the last shot (which is why I would not take this any worse than -1). Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the spurs for 1x. Good luck.

Play #3

Raptors/76'ers under (183) 1x (Locked)

No time for a writeup, but we have two slow paced, defensive-minded teams playing on b2b where both teams have had trouble scoring. The refs favor the under and I have this game set at 180.5 giving us 2 5 points of value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the undet for 1x. Good luck.

Play #4

Grizzlies/Mavericks under (185) 1x (Locked)

I have this game set at 183, but even more than the value I like this situational spot for the under. Memphis needs to win this game with defense and Dallas' defense should be much improved without Kidd. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

**mikea33** · 04-04-12, 07:39 PM

LTA you sticking with the Jazz with Harris confirmed out. You had said you were not concerned with them being injured, but now that they are ruled out?

**Love The Action** · 04-04-12, 07:42 PM

Crazy day at work...sorry about the late post of Play #4 for those who care about tailing. Crazy how great Philly/Toronto are shooting....can't cap that. Let's hope they revert to a 30 point 4th quarter.

Going to have a busy night but will try to check in if I make any other plays. I have one more lean in the battle of LA. Good luck tonight.

**Sport_Fish** · 04-04-12, 07:59 PM

Brick-fest central at Philly in 4Q

**mikea33** · 04-04-12, 08:01 PM

Originally posted by Sport_Fish

Brick-fest central at Philly in 4Q

Im afraid its rubbed off on the Spurs

**Catchn_Picks** · 04-04-12, 08:05 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Crazy day at work...sorry about the late post of Play #4 for those who care about tailing. Crazy how great Philly/Toronto are shooting....can't cap that. Let's hope they revert to a 30 point 4th quarter.

Going to have a busy night but will try to check in if I make any other plays. I have one more lean in the battle of LA. Good luck tonight.

Thanks for the effort LTA...I refresh thoughout the day but couldn't catch up with this one. I watching to see if I can hitch a ride for the second half.

BOL