LTA's NBA Plays

[shimeon40]

Offer my apolgies to those i've become personal with..not something i want to do or continue to do...for this thread... be with u all.

[shimeon40]

To you LTA..for me it's suppose to be a bit of fun..if you win some money ,good and well..yeah your on a bad run but a guy that has a thread 267 pages long must have been doing something right for a long time..i assume that was picking winners ,not talking bs..threads 267 pages long don't get to that length on bs..so respect on that point...just went off my tree at a bad week your having...no doubt you'll turn it around for your many followers..cya.

[Dtown13]

What the hell was all that nonsense????? Anyone else have this thought?????

[fitguy67]

ItalianBandit...brilliant work on those quotes...

it would have been perfect, tho' if you put it all in the third person, telling your fellow human beings ABOUT this oxygen-wasting hypocrite-turd...rather than engaging directly with the tantrum-throwing twit

_______________________

"Starve the vermin of the direct attention they crave...and replace it with the scorn they deserve."

_________________

[Brooklyn Dick]

Meanwhile the 2.5 x play beats the closer by 3 points and only loses because Cleve was down 20 or more the whole second half. The last quarter both teams had all subs on the floor pretty much the whole time.

If Cleve makes any run at all the game goes over easily. Just keep doing what you are doing LTA and you will be fine.

[YOUNGBUCK]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season Recap 3/24/2012

0 - 1 = -1.1x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

112 - 98 = +12.95x

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season Recap 3/25/2012

0 - 3 = -4.95x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

112 - 101 = +8x

I never understood why people take pleasure in other people's difficult times. As if none of you have gone on a losing streak before. Please, most of you people are a bookies wet dream. The reality is that losing streaks happen. That's just part of this business. Anyone who thinks they can go through a full season of wagering every day and not encounter a losing streak is just fooling themselves. Yes, I have lost over 12x this month. However, I had the skill to get myself up to 20x in the first place and I will get back there and beyond just like I always do. I do not get shaken. I do not lose my confidence. I just stick with my model, my overall capping process and continue to make +ev plays. Sooner or later I will hit another sustained winning streak.

But I will also remember every negative comment in here and will make each troll eat their words. You can count on that.

You know how sbr is LTA d**k riders when ur on fire haters when ur down keep doin ur thing card looks good today leggo

[Love The Action]

Your getting it both barrels this time..this thread makes me puke..never before have i seen so many crawlers,boot lickers and general sucks on one thread at one time.."oh lta ,it'll get better","oh lta stick with your losing system,your bound to pick a winner eventually,law of averages says so"..get real you mutts...this thread is like a figurative noahs ark...full of sheep who follow ,field mice (too scared to say what others are thinking and rats who tailing other winning threads without giving points to the thread owner...grow some balls the silent majority who know this guy has every excuse under the sun when he loses...never wrong..just a full of himself sook.Hey italianbandit/fabio you muppet..when i want your input i'll ask for it...salute.

It would help if you could write english in a coherant manner. Maybe then I could understand your comments. I do not know why you dislike me so much, since all I do is try to help others learn to be better cappers. See, unlike you who just want to follow people's coattails to success, others want to learn to cap on their own. Those are the people I help with my threads, answering pm's and posting my plays. For every troll like you, there are thousands that know the truth and the help I provide.

What is your goal for coming around here and trolling? What are you trying to accomplish other than making yourself look bad? Do you really think I will continue to lose despite my long term success all of which has been posted in this thread, my mlb thread, last years nba playoff thread and my football threads. In the last year, over more than 1000 plays, i have posted over 100x in profit on sbr. That is a very difficult accomplishment that only a few others on this site have done across multiple sports (plus I did that without having to make 50x or 100x plays). Do you think a troll such as yourself can rattle me because of one bad month? Please, I have faced much smarter trolls than you and shut them all up by winning. Trust me, I will do the same to you. Your efforts are pointless but I hope you continue. It will be fun for me to see you eat all the bullshit you have spewed over the last few days.

[Love The Action]

These are from Mr. Shimeon40 in various threads. No problem we are what we often hate.

"too late to get tip..oh well...next time...it's a race between you grumpy and dad to who is the best..those following are enjoying this neck and neck competition $$$$$$...similiar taste in women to dad and both very excellent tipsters..geez if you combined you'd never have to work again."

"thanks wisegrumpy...another successful ,all to easy pick from wisegrumpy...will give points later when it allows me "

"Too easy wisegrumpy...your good..very very good ..you dad are in a purple patch of tipping form...another never in doubt tip from one of the best in the business.... "

"Who's your DADDDDDY!...well done dad..your getting so precise..last 4 seconds to cover ...nah fantastic work dad....you and wisengrumpy on fire..must be the choice of girls... "


The list goes on and on. You are a sheep and a troll.

If you go back furhter, you can see all of his posts kissing my ass earlier in the month before I started running cold. This guy is the epitome of a sheep. He,runs from capper to capper and as soon as they start to lose he trolls them. He used to say henry hill was the best capper

[Love The Action]

Offer my apolgies to those i've become personal with..not something i want to do or continue to do...for this thread... be with u all.

You are famous now....i will never forget you. These last two months of the season are going to be fun. I hope you stick around...

[Love The Action]

Tough day man. If it makes you feel any better, I had a 1-3 day today. Brighter days are ahead.

Why would it make me fell better when others lose. I only want the books to lose and always root for the players. GL on monday.

[MrXYZ]

I missed today's plays but would've taken that Phoenix over every time, that was money most of the time. It came back to that 2nd quarter where the Cavs only scored 17.

In my NBL (Aussie basketball) thread on the More Sports section I survived a similar losing streak only to hit a massive run of winners. It happens to everyone and I'm sure LTA will bounce back as these things go both ways. It's all about remaining level headed & riding out those rough spots. If you can't take a loss you shouldn't be doing this.

Anyway, back to NBA, did anyone notice the late steam on the Hawks/Jazz under? On Pinny they were juicing it heavily & were offering the over at +100. Kicking myself for not jumping on it & only going for a O181.5 teaser at another book lol.

[Love The Action]

Don't pay attention LTA. It's rough and I know a thing or two about hitting bad streaks after good runs. They will blow over sooner or later. I said before and I will say it again, you need to continue to believe your capping skills and never doubt them and try to change the winning formula in the middle of the season.
In the end of the season, I always look back and try to think what I could have done better, but never in the middle of the season.
Bad run will stop on it's own. I would suggest maybe to avoid big plays or at least that's what I'm trying to do in such spots.
I'm sure this week you will end up in a profit! Good luck!

Everyone thinks a little losing streak like this is shocking and hard to get over. To me, its expected. You cant go a whole season and not go on a bad run. That is why mm is so important.

I'vee put years of work into my model and always tweak things to improve. However, to change my approach over a mere 12x in losses when you are playing with house money is financial suicide.

I disagree about not making bigger plays when you are cold. I believe you always have to maximize your edge. That cleveland over was a great play. I bet at 199 and it closed at 202 after getting as high as 203. That is a winning play long term that just didnt win last night. Despite my cold streak, I continued to make +ev plays and that is the name of the game. That is why I am not worried in the least abd also why I know a winning streak is right around the corner. GL

[Love The Action]

Bout to walk into work....good luck to all today!

[jackmyhoggoff]

NO NEED to explain or to respond LTA, just CAP those games the rest will come ..

[Mocknroll]

LTA, whether you win or lose, myself and many others respect the amount of time and effort that goes into your write-ups and analysis.

I have noticed lately that you have been biting at some of the haters in the thread. I hate to sound like your parent, but don't bring yourself down to their level. You do not owe it to anyone to justify your picks or get sucked in to douchebags like shimeon40's bullshit.

I could imagine it takes quite a bit of time to research your plays, so dont waste it talking back to people who only show up during losing streaks.

You are one of the few cappers on here who shows true discipline and money management, and until douches like shimeon40 start sharing winning picks and detailed game analysis, I dont think you need to get involved in their childish internet behaviour.

This is your thread, and if you keep it to your picks and conversation involving constructive feedback from like-minded cappers, then I think that win streak for you and anyone who tails is right around the corner.

[Sixla]

There is an opposition in all things, that is for all things in life! I admire the attitude LTA, stay to your +ev grind and positive money makin mindset! Life by the yard is hard and life by the inch is a cinch, betting is the same way, one day at a time grind! GL the rest of the season LTA.

[Sport_Fish]

If u can lose 12x in a month, u can just as easily be up 12x in that amount of time. It simply comes down to which side of variance ur on at any given period of time.

Losing streaks are interesting - they separate the gamblers from the investors. I just dont see how so many players here don't understand losing and go on tilt so easily. But in fairness, I'm sure many people, including myself, started this way. Could never stand losing and bad streaks, until u learn that this isn't a 'get-rich-quick' scheme.

[alamo]

Guys back to the job in hand. I know LTA wants us talking baskets and nothing else....

Anyone like to share some thoughts on the games tonight.

Personally that Bucks under interests me as its a big game for both teams. Bucks scare me though. They have gone full circle. From the most solid defense in the league to the most porous. Anyone like to throw some thoughts on any other games.

[Pivotpoint]

What the hell was all that nonsense????? Anyone else have this thought?????

Obviously, the guy (shitonme40) is Bipolar. Big mood changes. You usually have to dig deep into the depths of society to find people that relish or gain satisfaction from other peoples misfortune.

[BrewCrew1]

Anyone else like over 183 for Bos/cha game?

[Love The Action]

LTA, whether you win or lose, myself and many others respect the amount of time and effort that goes into your write-ups and analysis.

I have noticed lately that you have been biting at some of the haters in the thread. I hate to sound like your parent, but don't bring yourself down to their level. You do not owe it to anyone to justify your picks or get sucked in to douchebags like shimeon40's bullshit.

I could imagine it takes quite a bit of time to research your plays, so dont waste it talking back to people who only show up during losing streaks.

You are one of the few cappers on here who shows true discipline and money management, and until douches like shimeon40 start sharing winning picks and detailed game analysis, I dont think you need to get involved in their childish internet behaviour.

This is your thread, and if you keep it to your picks and conversation involving constructive feedback from like-minded cappers, then I think that win streak for you and anyone who tails is right around the corner.

LOL, it's all in fun bud. I use SBR as a way to escape the real world. No one except for my wife and a few select friends know that I invest in sports as a second form of income. Consequently, I have no other outlet to discuss this stuff through other than SBR. However, just like in life I never back down from a challenge and although my true enemy is the bookkeeper, proving the trolls wrong and embarrassing the trolls for their stupidity is just icing on the cake.

No worries, none of this stuff every distracts me or takes away from capping. This is my fun! Good luck

[Love The Action]

Anyone else like over 183 for Bos/cha game?

I think that number is pretty accurate, but good luck if you play it.

[Cinarocket]

No cards tonight LTA?

Also how do you like to play straight draws in no limit holdem?

[Love The Action]

Guys back to the job in hand. I know LTA wants us talking baskets and nothing else....

Anyone like to share some thoughts on the games tonight.

Personally that Bucks under interests me as its a big game for both teams. Bucks scare me though. They have gone full circle. From the most solid defense in the league to the most porous. Anyone like to throw some thoughts on any other games.

I liked that Indy/Bucks under at 205 a lot more than this one under 208. I think it's hard to play Bucks unders right now because they are just not playing any defense and simply trying to outscore people. Skiles realizes that roster is not going to win with defense so he is doing what he has to do. This is a pass for and I actually have a slight over lean because both teams are playing very fast right now. Good luck buddy.

[JM92]

Hey guys, this might look stupid... but should I scroll up and read any previous post? I know most of it was due to the usual trolls, so...

GL Everyone, going to take my look at the card now

[Vasco]

Anyone looking at Houston and Orlando -6? Houston great at home facing a bad road team in the Kings. Toronto is pretty banged up right now. Magic tend to be a letdown on the road, but I still like both plays. Interested in differing opinions.

[JM92]

Agree with the Magic lean Vasco. So far also liking the Over in Washington. Blatche is out and so is Lewis. Nene questionable. If Nene doesn't go, this should be an absolute marathon of a game for the Wizards, trying to run for 48 minutes the Pistons out of the builiding. It does, though, bring a little advantage for the Pistons in the half.court, but then the Wizards are so bad defensively that the Pistons can play slow and still get 100 easily. The total stands at 194 and might just jump on that.

[Vasco]

Looks like Stuckey may return tonight so hopefully that helps the over. Detroit has struggled to score the past few games. Do we try to hit that Clippers/Hornets under again? We had a 60+ point first quarter and we still almost got there last time.

[mikea33]

Im excited for the winners tonight

[SlickRick1382]

not trying to spam here but seeking your advice LTA
Here are my leans

Pistons -1 (-120)
Wiz B2b2b, Wizz 5th game in 6th night,Nene Q and Broker was out today at the end against celtics and Revenge for Pistons after loss at home against Wiz

Nets -1
jazz 4OT and revenge for Dwill..5 players from jazz had more than 49 mins of play, traveling and lack of rest. Jazz lost 17/24 road games this season

Heat -3
Heat are better team. Must be pissed after loss to OKC on national TV, Last 3 h2h, miami won all by 2(93-91), 15(105-90), and 35(118-83) heat is b2b but pacers are 5the game in 6 nights

Knicks Bucks U 207.5
knicks are playing better defense lately and my calculation gives me the number 204! I know both are no 1 and no 2 in pace and we can get better line before the tip but i don't want to wait until it steams U in morning

TIA

I was taking a quick glance at today's games and the Nets at -1 is the 1st thing that stuck out at me which also makes me questions why the spread would be so low after a 4 OT game

Heat should bounce back strong today I hope but not sure about laying the 3. The Pacers are always a strong team that can surprise you.

[drnkyourmlkshk]

No cards tonight LTA?

Also how do you like to play straight draws in no limit holdem?

Depends on position, your fold equity and your opponent. If you are utg you have to lead and try to get to hu and then put optimal pressure on your opponent. Calling with a double gutter or a wrap oop is never the right play you have to be willing to play for stacks or fold oop position. Raising in position for pot control or to buy a free turn card is optimal. You have 8 outs or 24.2% equity when heads up over an over pair however your implied pot odds could be much higher in many situations you must factor in these things and decide fairly early in the hand if you wanna play the hand aggresively or at all basically.

Back to hoops I like NY -5.5 I dont think they are the same team since their new coach took over they have shown me alot the past 2 weeks and I know it's a fairly square pick with a square outlook but I think they roll tonight.

Thanks LTA you're threads are awesome if you are ever at the V I'm at the 15-30 qk o8 table 3 days a week, PM me and Ill buy you a beer.
BOL to all

[jas19illini]

Anyone have a link to where I can find over/under numbers for referees?

[Love The Action]

I was taking a quick glance at today's games and the Nets at -1 is the 1st thing that stuck out at me which also makes me questions why the spread would be so low after a 4 OT game

Heat should bounce back strong today I hope but not sure about laying the 3. The Pacers are always a strong team that can surprise you.

Situationally, that Nets game is a great play. That is one of my strong leans. The stats lean to the Jazz, but not by as much as you would think. Plus, even though the Nets are a bad "home" team, the Jazz are even worse away from home. We have revenge by Williams who lost earlier in the year to the Jazz and with Wallace now on the team I think that the Nets have some nice options right now. I also like the over in this matchup, but the Jazz fatigue will not help that come the 4th quarter.

Hmm....

[Love The Action]

Anyone have a link to where I can find over/under numbers for referees?

Check out Covers under "refs" for o/u numbers and NBA stuffer for per game foul averages.

[JM92]

Situationally, that Nets game is a great play. That is one of my strong leans. The stats lean to the Jazz, but not by as much as you would think. Plus, even though the Nets are a bad "home" team, the Jazz are even worse away from home. We have revenge by Williams who lost earlier in the year to the Jazz and with Wallace now on the team I think that the Nets have some nice options right now. I also like the over in this matchup, but the Jazz fatigue will not help that come the 4th quarter.

Hmm....

I like the over better to be honest. Although that is a big line, Jazz should play really bad defense tonight and NJ needs to be aware that they should try to run 'em out of the building.