LTA's NBA Plays for Round 2, Conf. Finals & Championship

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  • nickos86
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-08-11
    • 400

    #2556
    Well COL/CHC Under 12 just ran down to almost 11 on Pinnacle. I am always superstitiously wary of the COL bats going off for 10, but I think Under 12 @ even money is decent value. Jumped on for 1x at a local - any higher and I'd likely get another lecture over the phone lol.

    Edit: Now easily at 11. This line is getting punished. And it seems a lotof people I have talked to are on this under; triggers my automatic caution systems lol.
    Comment
    • FJ_islander
      SBR MVP
      • 11-03-10
      • 1054

      #2557
      You have been Hot and am hoping that you continue with your hot run today as well. All the best.
      Comment
      • funnyman
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 05-06-10
        • 606

        #2558
        Good start with the Cubs game under.
        Comment
        • Love The Action
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-08-10
          • 10952

          #2559
          Originally posted by Love The Action
          MLB 6/27/11

          Nationals ML (+ 125) 1x (locked)

          Nationals/Angels under (7)(+ 105) 1x (locked)

          Braves/Mariners under (6)(+ 105) 2x (locked)
          Adding 0.50x for total of 1.5x on Nationals/Angels under (7)(+105) (Locked)

          Adding 1x for total of 3x on Braves/Mariners under (6)(+105) (Locked)

          These lines haven't moved all day. The books' reluctance to go up to 6.5 tells me the books are getting some smart money on the under and do not want to give those bettors a better line. I'm rolling with the under in these late games and really like the Braves/Mariners under where the offenses are struggling, the pitchers are hot and both the teams and ump trends under. Good luck.
          Comment
          • Love The Action
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-08-10
            • 10952

            #2560
            Originally posted by csmkr18
            LTA, you would have huge profit in WNBA if you could catch the opening lines at pinnacle ( they open at 6am est one day before games start). If you have an european trusted friend, it would be gold to open an account for you there.
            I wish...I love all my European friends here on the forum, but don't know anyone in real life that I can bet through. Would be nice though...
            Comment
            • Love The Action
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-08-10
              • 10952

              #2561
              Cash our big 3x play on the Mariners under!

              Damn Nationals tied it up in the top of the 9th or we would have cashed that under too. If they win with a total of 7, we profit +4.5x on the night. If the Nationals lose with a total of 7, we profit +2.5. If the total goes over and the Nats win, we profit +4x and if the total goes over with an Angels win, we profit 1x. Regardless, however, profit is profit and we'll always take a guaranteed profitable night. Time for some early plays for Tuesday...
              Comment
              • Love The Action
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-08-10
                • 10952

                #2562
                MLB 6/28/11

                Red Sox/Philly under (7) 3x (Locked)

                Lee v. Beckett, with both pitchers really hot going into this game. Normally I like to fade pitchers come off a long layoff. However, Beckett missed his last two starts because of the flu and not because of a bad arm, back, leg, etc. Therefore, if anything, I think he'll be extra rested and raring to go. Lee on the other hand is just rounding into form for the season and hitting his locations consistently. Lee is a control guy that needs to have good command in hitting the corners. He was off earlier in the season but is heating up nicely now. Both players have WHIPs under 1.00 in their last three starts. Even though the Red Sox have killed lefties all year, they have not faced a lefty starter the quality of Lee. With this game shaping up as a World Series preview, I expect the atmosphere to be intense. Playoff-like game atmospheres lend themselves to unders during the regular season. Therefore, despite the big bats in this series, I like the under for this first game. I expect the under to start getting juiced more than the -110 I paid, so I locked it in now. Good luck!

                Reds/Devil Rays under (7) 1.5x (Locked)

                Cueto has been one of the best righties pitching over his last 4 or 5 starts. Although Price has struggled lately and the Reds kill lefties, I'm rolling with the under here. The Reds won the first game 5-0, so I also lean to the Rays to win. However, I expect a 4-1 type game with Price dominating. The ump has a small over lean but a solid strke % so I that aspect does not concern me. With a lot of team trends for both teams pointing under, I'm rolling that way as well. Good luck!
                Comment
                • Love The Action
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 10952

                  #2563
                  WNBA 2011 Season

                  25 - 18 = +9.6x

                  Big day on Tuesday...three games on the card and I'm ready to roll. Just waiting for my locals to open to lock in my plays.

                  MLB Recap 6/27/11

                  2 - 1 -1 = +2.5x

                  MLB plays in this thread:

                  162 - 148 = +22.9x

                  We continue grinding out profit on the bases. We are now up a little over 39x on the MLB season and +22.9x in this thread. Let's keep the profit train rolling for the 7th day in a row and stay hot. We have a big MLB card and big WNBA card, so it should be an interesting day. Good luck on everyone's plays!
                  Comment
                  • MrXYZ
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-18-11
                    • 2342

                    #2564
                    Thanks LTA, cashed that Mariners under, made up for going 1-1 in the Women's world cup soccer, much appreciated.

                    You've inspired me to share my picks & help ppl make some money, have a look at my thread if you ever want to take some Rugby League plays.http://forum.sbrforum.com/more-sport...l#post10601999

                    Good luck with today's big card, lets get more wins!
                    Comment
                    • flush99
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 03-20-11
                      • 80

                      #2565
                      Very good records, so far
                      Comment
                      • Love The Action
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 10952

                        #2566
                        Originally posted by MrXYZ
                        Thanks LTA, cashed that Mariners under, made up for going 1-1 in the Women's world cup soccer, much appreciated.

                        You've inspired me to share my picks & help ppl make some money, have a look at my thread if you ever want to take some Rugby League plays.http://forum.sbrforum.com/more-sport...l#post10601999

                        Good luck with today's big card, lets get more wins!
                        Awesome! Good luck!
                        Comment
                        • Love The Action
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 10952

                          #2567
                          WNBA 6/28/11

                          Pho/Ind over (173.5) 1.5x (locked)

                          LA/Conn over (154.5) 1x (locked)

                          SA/Chi over (161.5) 1.5x (locked)


                          Good luck!
                          Comment
                          • RoagBettor
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-20-09
                            • 8355

                            #2568
                            LTA, what do you think about the over in all 3 WNBA games tonight? LOL! Good luck, I lean over in the Phoenix and Chicago games, not sure about the Sun game with Candace out of the Sparks. Hope you cash all 3!
                            Comment
                            • csmkr18
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-13-09
                              • 834

                              #2569
                              I like the over on Phoenix game! I think you should add some more there
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #2570
                                Originally posted by Love The Action
                                WNBA 6/28/11

                                Pho/Ind over (173.5) 1.5x (locked)

                                LA/Conn over (154.5) 1x (locked)

                                SA/Chi over (161.5) 1.5x (locked)


                                Good luck!
                                Added 0.50x for total of 2x Pho/Ind over (173.5) (locked)

                                Added 0.50x for total of 2x SA/Chi over (161.5) (locked)


                                I favor these two a bit more than the Sparks over. Like them all though. Good luck!
                                Comment
                                • RoagBettor
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-20-09
                                  • 8355

                                  #2571
                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                  Added 0.50x for total of 2x Pho/Ind over (173.5) (locked)

                                  Added 0.50x for total of 2x SA/Chi over (161.5) (locked)

                                  I favor these two a bit more than the Sparks over. Like them all though. Good luck!
                                  That SA/Chi over is down to 159.5 I hope you got the better line bro.
                                  Comment
                                  • Love The Action
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 10952

                                    #2572
                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                    MLB 6/28/11

                                    Red Sox/Philly under (7) 3x (Locked)

                                    Lee v. Beckett, with both pitchers really hot going into this game. Normally I like to fade pitchers come off a long layoff. However, Beckett missed his last two starts because of the flu and not because of a bad arm, back, leg, etc. Therefore, if anything, I think he'll be extra rested and raring to go. Lee on the other hand is just rounding into form for the season and hitting his locations consistently. Lee is a control guy that needs to have good command in hitting the corners. He was off earlier in the season but is heating up nicely now. Both players have WHIPs under 1.00 in their last three starts. Even though the Red Sox have killed lefties all year, they have not faced a lefty starter the quality of Lee. With this game shaping up as a World Series preview, I expect the atmosphere to be intense. Playoff-like game atmospheres lend themselves to unders during the regular season. Therefore, despite the big bats in this series, I like the under for this first game. I expect the under to start getting juiced more than the -110 I paid, so I locked it in now. Good luck!

                                    Reds/Devil Rays under (7) 1.5x (Locked)

                                    Cueto has been one of the best righties pitching over his last 4 or 5 starts. Although Price has struggled lately and the Reds kill lefties, I'm rolling with the under here. The Reds won the first game 5-0, so I also lean to the Rays to win. However, I expect a 4-1 type game with Price dominating. The ump has a small over lean but a solid strke % so I that aspect does not concern me. With a lot of team trends for both teams pointing under, I'm rolling that way as well. Good luck!

                                    Added 1x for total of 4x Red Sox /Philly under (7) (3x at (-110) 1x at (+ 100) (locked)

                                    Added 0.50x for total of 2x Reds/Devil Rays under (7) (locked)

                                    Cle/AZ under (8) 1.5x (locked)


                                    Not worried about philly line movement in favor of over. Good luck!
                                    Comment
                                    • Love The Action
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-08-10
                                      • 10952

                                      #2573
                                      Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                      That SA/Chi over is down to 159.5 I hope you got the better line bro.
                                      Nope...I have 161.5 for both units. Super busy at work so wanted to lock it in before this meeting I have in a few minutes. Wnba lines are so volatile that I have resigned myself to the fact that beating the closer will be difficult because of both work and having to bet stale numbers through my locals. I have it capped at 164 so the extra points would have been nice. I hope I don't need them. Strong over trends in that one with the sky being at home. Good luck with all your plays today.
                                      Comment
                                      • GoggsViggs
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-05-10
                                        • 1884

                                        #2574
                                        Originally posted by Love The Action
                                        WNBA 6/28/11

                                        Pho/Ind over (173.5) 1.5x (locked)

                                        LA/Conn over (154.5) 1x (locked)

                                        SA/Chi over (161.5) 1.5x (locked)

                                        Good luck!
                                        yes sir. let's get these bro.
                                        Comment
                                        • Love The Action
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 10952

                                          #2575
                                          MLB 6/28/11

                                          Mets/Tigers over (9)(-115) 1x (locked)

                                          Giants/Cubs over (9) 1x (locked)


                                          Good luck!
                                          Comment
                                          • Krazymojo
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-01-10
                                            • 444

                                            #2576
                                            man missed the last 2
                                            Comment
                                            • Love The Action
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 10952

                                              #2577
                                              Braves/Mariners under (5.5) 0.50x (locked)
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #2578
                                                Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                WNBA 6/28/11

                                                Pho/Ind over (173.5) 2x (locked) WINNER

                                                LA/Conn over (154.5) 1x (locked) WINNER

                                                SA/Chi over (161.5) 2x (locked) LOSS
                                                WNBA Recap 6/28/11

                                                2 - 1 = +0.80x

                                                WNBA 2011 Season

                                                27 - 19 = +10.4x

                                                We missed the WNBA sweep today by 3 points in the SA/Chicago over, but really can't complain since we cashed the LA/Conn over by a 1/2 point. At the end of the day, our goal is to grind out daily profit in every sport and we accomplished that goal today. On the WNBA season as a whole, we continue our consistent profit by winning at a 58% rate after 46 plays. We keep on trucking and just move onto Wednesday's WNBA card. It's time to put together another WNBA hot streak and I expect one to hit pretty soon...
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #2579
                                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                  MLB 6/28/11

                                                  Red Sox/Philly under (7) 4x (Locked) WINNER

                                                  Reds/Devil Rays under (7) 2x (Locked) PUSH

                                                  Cle/AZ under (8) 1.5x (locked)

                                                  Mets/Tigers over (9)(-115) 1x (locked) WINNER

                                                  Giants/Cubs over (9) 1x (locked)
                                                  PUSH

                                                  Braves/Mariners under (5.5) 0.50x (locked)

                                                  Marlins/A's under (7) 0.50x (Locked)

                                                  Rain delay play, and although I hate taking unders with Vazquez, I like Geo to shut down the Marlins today and the weak hitting A's to just score enough off Vazquez to win. Both teams and the ump trends under and I'm rolling that way as well. Good luck!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Redscot
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-16-11
                                                    • 2571

                                                    #2580
                                                    Tailed you all the way on the Sox under based on your confidence in the play .

                                                    I always tail you on the Broads-ball, I'm just clueless, but you are locking in. The line movement is really volatile with the chicks, may make my plays closer to game time.

                                                    Had Zona under locked in early, so hoping we cash that too. Looks like another positive day. Kudos to you and your discipline.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Krazymojo
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-01-10
                                                      • 444

                                                      #2581
                                                      Putz sucks!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Love The Action
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 10952

                                                        #2582
                                                        Unreal...9th inning scoring is killing me today. First, the Reds turn our 2x under into a push by scoring in the top of the ninth and then the Indians score 2 runs in the top of the 9th to cost us 1.5x on the under in that one. Plus, the Cubs/Giants over pushed at 9 after they scored 8 runs in the 5 innings but only 1 run in the last four innings. Man oh man, we could have a had a HUGE day and been way over +10x in profit if not for those bad beats/pushes...as it is we will make about +5x in profit today but our daily profit could have been much more. Oh well, time to start looking at tomorrow's games.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RoagBettor
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-20-09
                                                          • 8355

                                                          #2583
                                                          The hitting is so bad in the post-steroid era that I've never seen so many batting averages around the Mendoza Line. Horrible performances by so many hitters. But, I think relief pitching may be even worse. I've also never seen so many leadoff walks, hit batsman, balks, etc. to allow late runs. Watching a major league baseball game is fast approaching watching a WNBA game, at least for me.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Love The Action
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 10952

                                                            #2584
                                                            Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                            The hitting is so bad in the post-steroid era that I've never seen so many batting averages around the Mendoza Line. Horrible performances by so many hitters. But, I think relief pitching may be even worse. I've also never seen so many leadoff walks, hit batsman, balks, etc. to allow late runs. Watching a major league baseball game is fast approaching watching a WNBA game, at least for me.
                                                            I don't mind watching a pitcher's dual, but I agree about the poor relief pitching.

                                                            I enjoy watching good pitching, solid defense and 3-2 type ballgames. It makes for awesome profit opportunities on the under and the games are quicker. However, as you said, the relief pitchers need to get their act together. They can't be giving up these killer 9th inning runs. We'll see though, perhaps after the all-star break, they will start pitching better....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Love The Action
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 10952

                                                              #2585
                                                              Not a very good looking card for MLB on Wednesday at first glass. Perhaps it will look better after a few hours of sleep...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MrXYZ
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-18-11
                                                                • 2342

                                                                #2586
                                                                I had that SA/Chicago over at 159.5, would've cashed it if not for that dumb pass hitting the rim, gotta laugh when one scrapes home & the other doesn't. Good luck with Wed's MLB.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • funnyman
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 05-06-10
                                                                  • 606

                                                                  #2587
                                                                  Another solid day.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Love The Action
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                                    • 10952

                                                                    #2588
                                                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                    WNBA 6/28/11

                                                                    Pho/Ind over (173.5) 2x (locked) WINNER

                                                                    LA/Conn over (154.5) 1x (locked) WINNER

                                                                    SA/Chi over (161.5) 2x (locked) LOSS
                                                                    WNBA Recap 6/28/11

                                                                    2 - 1 = +0.80x

                                                                    WNBA 2011 Season

                                                                    27 - 19 = +10.4x

                                                                    We missed the WNBA sweep today by 3 points in the SA/Chicago over, but really can't complain since we cashed the LA/Conn over by a 1/2 point. At the end of the day, our goal is to grind out daily profit in every sport and we accomplished that goal today. On the WNBA season as a whole, we continue our consistent profit by winning at a 58% rate after 46 plays. We keep on trucking and just move onto Wednesday's WNBA card. It's time to put together another WNBA hot streak and I expect one to hit pretty soon...


                                                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                    MLB 6/28/11

                                                                    Red Sox/Philly under (7) 4x (Locked) WINNER

                                                                    Reds/Devil Rays under (7) 2x (Locked) PUSH

                                                                    Cle/AZ under (8) 1.5x (locked) LOSS

                                                                    Mets/Tigers over (9)(-115) 1x (locked) WINNER

                                                                    Giants/Cubs over (9) 1x (locked)
                                                                    PUSH

                                                                    Braves/Mariners under (5.5) 0.50x (locked) LOSS


                                                                    Marlins/A's under (7) 0.50x (Locked) WINNER
                                                                    MLB Recap 6/28/11

                                                                    3 - 2 = +3.35x

                                                                    MLB in this thread:

                                                                    163 - 149 = +24.735x

                                                                    We could have easily been 7 - 0, but no worries as we still grind out over +3x in profit in MLB. That gives us 7 straight days in the black for over +35x in profit between our WNBA and MLB plays. Plus, we are now over +40x in profit for the MLB season as whole. Let's just stay humble, continue to work hard and reap the benefits of our hard work. No dancing men or cheerleaders in this thread. We know that every day brings something new and the last seven days of profit mean absolutely nothing. So we forget about that and move onto today's games. My first look at the card tells me I don't see much that I like. Therefore, I do not see any multiple unit plays today. However, you really never know so let's just look more deeply at the games and see where that takes us. Looking forward to Thursday with a big WNBA and MLB card. Good luck on everyone's plays today!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • flush99
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 03-20-11
                                                                      • 80

                                                                      #2589
                                                                      Best of luck everyone
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Love The Action
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                                        • 10952

                                                                        #2590
                                                                        MLB 6/29/11

                                                                        Cincy/TB under (7.5)(+ 100) 1x (locked)


                                                                        Didn't have time to post this earlier...we are taking a bit of a risk here with Volqez and wanted to get 8, but both my locals opened at 7.5. Nevertheless, I like this play because of Shields and because I expect both teams to rest some players on this getaway day game after the late game yesterday. Hernandez is a good under ump and both teams trend under recently. We should have cashed the under yesterday, so they owe us one today. Good luck!
                                                                        Comment
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