LTA's NBA Plays for Round 2, Conf. Finals & Championship

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  • EntengKabisote
    SBR Rookie
    • 03-07-11
    • 22

    #211
    Any chance the brewers will finally win today? Good luck on your picks
    Comment
    • flush99
      SBR Hustler
      • 03-20-11
      • 80

      #212
      Lets have a big day today!
      Comment
      • Love The Action
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-08-10
        • 10952

        #213
        Originally posted by EntengKabisote
        Any chance the brewers will finally win today? Good luck on your picks
        Not today!

        I love to fade Wolf and have made some nice profit this year doing so. However, the cards price is too heavy in this gane and I would never bet on Wolf, so no ml play from me on this game. Perhaps a total play, but I haven't gotten that far yet.

        Good luck to you as well.
        Comment
        • Love The Action
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-08-10
          • 10952

          #214
          Originally posted by flush99
          Lets have a big day today!
          Agreed!
          Comment
          • Love The Action
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-08-10
            • 10952

            #215
            Ref update:

            No big ref lean in either nba game tonight.

            The bulls game will be officiated by Garretson, Willard and Davis. Garretson favors the under, while Willard favors the over and Davis has no lean. The three are a combined 10-10 o/u at the 178 range. Definitely not anything that supports a large total play.

            The mavs lakers game has Stafford, Malloy, and Washington as the refs. Stafford has a tiny over lean, while the other two lean under. However, the line recently jumped a bit and I will not have a big play on this total either.

            As i stated earlier, I lean under in both games but there will be better spots in both these series to play the unders big. For tonight, I might put one unit on the under in each. I really like the Bulls ml as the strongest play tonight and don't want to lose any profit on that play by making a needless play on the total. With that said, I like the under in the bulls more than the lakers game so we may roll with a correlated parlay with the bulls and under. Lets see what happens with the line before we lock anything else in. Bol tonight on everyones plays!
            Comment
            • Love The Action
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-08-10
              • 10952

              #216
              I really lean Cubs ML for this early baseball game. Please... someone talk me out if putting my money on the flubs...
              Comment
              • hoyas2007
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-24-10
                • 106

                #217
                i'm from chicago... never put your money on the cubs!
                Comment
                • Love The Action
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 10952

                  #218
                  Originally posted by hoyas2007
                  i'm from chicago... never put your money on the cubs!
                  I didn't..but should have as they are up 3 zip...they will probably blow it lol
                  Comment
                  • hoyas2007
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 03-24-10
                    • 106

                    #219
                    they're down 5-3
                    Comment
                    • Love The Action
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 10952

                      #220
                      Bulls total down to 177.5, despite public on the over....
                      Comment
                      • petermans23
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-16-09
                        • 371

                        #221
                        Hi LTA!

                        Thanks for your replay earlier when I asked you about betting 20 units on the under in Boston-Miami saturday. I feel to unsire about that game and my gut feeling tells me to stay away from it, could go either way.

                        I decided to play 10 units tonight instead ML on the Bulls game. Read a good write up by sweetjones55. Saw that you are also on it.

                        Best of luck.
                        Comment
                        • Love The Action
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 10952

                          #222
                          Originally posted by Love The Action
                          NBA 5/6/11

                          Bulls ML (-135) 3.5x (locked)


                          This will be my first play on a "side" for these playoffs and I think the Bulls roll here. I will add my own reasoning for this play in a writeup, but I wanted to mention that I didn't lock this in until I saw SJ's post about this play. Therefore, SJ deserves a shout-out and I guess that means I will be "tailing" him on this one.

                          As of right now, I dont plan on having a play on the total. That might change before tip, however, based on a few factors.

                          Good luck to all! Back later with more mlb plays.

                          Adding 2.5x to Bulls ML for total of 6x at (-135) (Locked)

                          Bulls/Hawks under (178) 1x (Locked)

                          Parlay Bulls (-2) & Bulls under (178) 1x to win 2.5x (Locked)



                          I am playing aggressive here as I believe the Bulls come out strong to avenge their game one loss at home. I expect strong defense from both teams keeping this under, but the Bulls to win 92 -83....

                          Good luck...mlb plays to come.
                          Comment
                          • Rolo1984
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-16-11
                            • 204

                            #223
                            hi LTA

                            where can you see where the public money is on?
                            Comment
                            • lurk
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 05-02-11
                              • 79

                              #224
                              I was about to take the spread on the bulls, hadn't really thought about the ml until I saw your post and SJ's post...seems like a very reasonable number, going with the ml, thanks for the insight either way it ends up going. Good luck everybody.
                              Comment
                              • lurk
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 05-02-11
                                • 79

                                #225
                                Originally posted by Rolo1984
                                hi LTA

                                where can you see where the public money is on?
                                I'm no LTA, but somebody helped me out with this the other day. Google sportsbookspy. That's what I've been using, disregard this if somebody that actually knows something gives you another one.
                                Comment
                                • Love The Action
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 10952

                                  #226
                                  MLB 5/6/11



                                  Hou/Pit under (7.5) 1x (Locked)
                                  TB/Bal over (8) 1x (Locked)
                                  Cle/LAA under (8) 1x (Locked)
                                  Braves ML (+ 135) 1x (Locked)
                                  Houston ML (-110) 1x (Locked)


                                  Good luck tonight!
                                  Comment
                                  • ParlayKing
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-02-10
                                    • 774

                                    #227
                                    Gl on your NBA plays tonight I will also be on the bulls.
                                    Comment
                                    • MrXYZ
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-18-11
                                      • 2342

                                      #228
                                      I'm on Bulls ML too, for 3 units, but staying out of the totals in this one. Good luck everyone!
                                      Comment
                                      • Love The Action
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-08-10
                                        • 10952

                                        #229
                                        Thanks guys...good luck tonight!
                                        Comment
                                        • EntengKabisote
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 03-07-11
                                          • 22

                                          #230
                                          Nice win on the Bulls LTA thats too easy. Do you think the thunder will do the same thing to Grizzlies?
                                          Comment
                                          • Love The Action
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 10952

                                            #231
                                            Originally posted by Love The Action

                                            Adding 2.5x to Bulls ML for total of 6x at (-135) (Locked) WINNER

                                            Bulls/Hawks under (178) 1x (Locked) LOSS

                                            Parlay Bulls (-2) & Bulls under (178) 1x to win 2.5x (Locked) LOSS



                                            I am playing aggressive here as I believe the Bulls come out strong to avenge their game one loss at home. I expect strong defense from both teams keeping this under, but the Bulls to win 92 -83....

                                            Good luck...mlb plays to come.

                                            NBA 5/7/11

                                            1-1 = +5.9x

                                            0-1 for Parlays = -1x

                                            Total Units for 5/7/11 = +4.9x

                                            In this thread:

                                            4 - 5 = +2.4 units

                                            We're back in the profit for our NBA plays in this thread after a rough start to the week. The Bulls coasted to an easy winner just as we predicted and we end up with a nice profitable day despite the loss on the under (by only 3 points). The record is still one game under .500, but profit is all that matters. Plus, I expect the overall record to really improve today as we should to 2 - 0 on today's NBA plays. Remember, we already have locked in the Heat/Celts under and will be adding units. I will also have at least one more NBA play.

                                            About to update my MLB record. I continue to churn out profit as we went 4-0-1 yesterday. The bases are treating us really nicely.
                                            Comment
                                            • JNic
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-03-10
                                              • 4272

                                              #232
                                              the bulls was a nice play!
                                              Comment
                                              • flush99
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 03-20-11
                                                • 80

                                                #233
                                                BOL on the plays everyone!
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                  MLB 5/6/11



                                                  Hou/Pit under (7.5) 1x (Locked) WINNER
                                                  TB/Bal over (8) 1x (Locked) PUSH
                                                  Cle/LAA under (8) 1x (Locked) WINNER
                                                  Braves ML (+ 135) 1x (Locked) WINNER
                                                  Houston ML (-110) 1x (Locked) WINNER

                                                  Good luck tonight!
                                                  MLB 5/6/11

                                                  4 - 0 - 1 = + 4.4 units

                                                  In this thread:

                                                  16 - 8 = + 7.7 units

                                                  Our consistent ability to pick MLB winners continues because of our research and hard work. Overall on the season I am up well over 25 units, over 7 of those in this thread. I hope someone out there tailed the MLB plays yesterday, as we killed it! Let's keep up the hard work and the winners. A somewhat smaller card today but there are some plays I like. Good luck!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Love The Action
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                    • 10952

                                                    #235
                                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                    Nba 5/7/11



                                                    Heat/Celts under 183 (-120) 5x (locked)



                                                    Writeup to come later. Addition of units up to ten possible.

                                                    I'm locking this in now because I have no time to monitor lines today and don't want to lose any value, despite my belief that the line will go up before dipping
                                                    again. Bol...

                                                    Added 2.5x to Under (183) for a total of 7.5x on the Heat/Celts Under

                                                    I will have a write-up on this one as I believe I have spotted an angle I really like and will exploit in this game. This will be a 10 unit play if I get the right ref assignments. This play will hit today! Write-up to come...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Love The Action
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 10952

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by EntengKabisote
                                                      Any chance the brewers will finally win today? Good luck on your picks

                                                      Hey Bud, I think you were a couple days early with this question. Today is the day I believe the Brewers get that one. There is a good matchup with Gallardo going against Lohse. The Brewers are due and I believe they steal one in St. Louis today. I will have a play on this game but waiting for the public to pound the Cards to drive up the price. Good luck today!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EntengKabisote
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 03-07-11
                                                        • 22

                                                        #237
                                                        Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                        Hey Bud, I think you were a couple days early with this question. Today is the day I believe the Brewers get that one. There is a good matchup with Gallardo going against Lohse. The Brewers are due and I believe they steal one in St. Louis today. I will have a play on this game but waiting for the public to pound the Cards to drive up the price. Good luck today!
                                                        Great day yesterday Your right Garcia almost got a perfect game.Now lets cash this Brewers game today and Bulls. BOL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Love The Action
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-08-10
                                                          • 10952

                                                          #238
                                                          NBA 5/8/11

                                                          LAL/Dal Under (188) 5x (Locked)

                                                          Chi/Atl Under (179) 5x (Locked)

                                                          I really like both unders in this spot. Both games barely went over yesterday and I expect the zig zag to be in full effect for the unders tomorrow. Atlanta will be motivated to play better defense after getting embarrassed yesterday and the Lakers must play better defense or they will be eliminated. I locked them in now because I don't want to risk losing any value, despite the chance that both lines do go up a bit. These will be both public fades as I expect the public to be on both overs at about 80%+ just like they were for game 2 when we cashed both unders. Write-ups to come.

                                                          I may also have a play on the side in the Bulls game. The ML is currently -160 and I rarely play favorites that big on the ML. Perhaps a buy-down from 3.5 to 3 on the spread would be better. I need to do some math and look at the game a bit more. Good luck!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Love The Action
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 10952

                                                            #239
                                                            Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                            Nba 5/7/11

                                                            Heat/Celts under 183 (-120) 5x (locked)

                                                            riteup to come later. Addition of units up to ten possible.
                                                            Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                            Added 2.5x to Under (183) for a total of 7.5x on the Heat/Celts Under

                                                            I will have a write-up on this one as I believe I have spotted an angle I really like and will exploit in this game. This will be a 10 unit play if I get the right ref assignments. This play will hit today! Write-up to come...
                                                            Also for NBA 5/7/11

                                                            OKC/Mem Under (200) 1x (Locked)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Love The Action
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 10952

                                                              #240
                                                              Who do you guys like in the Derby today? I'm rolling with Mucho Macho Man as he performs well on the 1 1/4 mile tracks and has a good starting position in the middle.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Love The Action
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-08-10
                                                                • 10952

                                                                #241
                                                                MLB 5/7/11

                                                                Brewers ML (+110) 1x (Locked)

                                                                Everyone will be on the Cardinals in this one and rightfully so based on recent performance. However, I see an upset here as Gallardo faces Lohse in what is a must-win situation for the Brewers. The BrewCrew got blanked yesterday and we always like to back a team after getting shutout. After getting swept in a doubleheader a few days ago by Atlanta, you have over 80% of all ML bets on the Cards. Yet, the price for Milwaukee is getting worse after opening at +120 and the Cardinals price has gotten more attractive. Why do you think the books are pushing the Cardinals here and making them more enticing? I'll tell you why, it's because Milwaukee is in a classic bounceback spot here. I'm rolling with the Brewers for 1x right now, but will probably add once I get a better look at the rest of the games and see what else will be on my card. BOL...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • savelemony
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 03-30-11
                                                                  • 41

                                                                  #242
                                                                  mhmmm you really think the celtics/heat will hit under tomorrow? hopefully. i might take it as well. good luck!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Love The Action
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                                    • 10952

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by savelemony
                                                                    mhmmm you really think the celtics/heat will hit under tomorrow? hopefully. i might take it as well. good luck!
                                                                    Absolutely! I have 7.5x on it!

                                                                    Take note, however, the game is on at 7pm EST today (not tomorrow)!

                                                                    If you like it too, put the bet in now before the line goes down. Pinny is juicing the under at -110 even though 75% of all bets are on the over. I see the line going down soon.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Love The Action
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                                      • 10952

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Ref update:

                                                                      Mia/Bos - in this game you have Kennedy, Javie and Delaney as the refs. Delaney and Kennedy have no lean, while Javie has a slight under lean. At least we don't have any refs that really favor the over. Hopefully, we don't see 60 free throws like we did in the second game of this series.

                                                                      OKC/Mem - in this game, we have Callahan, Fraher and Mauer. Callahan and Mauer favor the under, especially Callahan. Fraher, unfortunately, is the number one ref for the over. Therefore, we shouldn't expect much help from Fraher. However, because the other two favor the under, I feel better about our one unit play on the under today. We may add a unit to that one.

                                                                      Good luck!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Love The Action
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                                        • 10952

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                        MLB 5/7/11

                                                                        Brewers ML (+110) 1x (Locked)

                                                                        Everyone will be on the Cardinals in this one and rightfully so based on recent performance. However, I see an upset here as Gallardo faces Lohse in what is a must-win situation for the Brewers. The BrewCrew got blanked yesterday and we always like to back a team after getting shutout. After getting swept in a doubleheader a few days ago by Atlanta, you have over 80% of all ML bets on the Cards. Yet, the price for Milwaukee is getting worse after opening at +120 and the Cardinals price has gotten more attractive. Why do you think the books are pushing the Cardinals here and making them more enticing? I'll tell you why, it's because Milwaukee is in a classic bounceback spot here. I'm rolling with the Brewers for 1x right now, but will probably add once I get a better look at the rest of the games and see what else will be on my card. BOL...
                                                                        Adding .5x to Brewers ML (+108) for a total of 1.5x (Locked)

                                                                        Minn/Boston Over (9) 1x (Locked)

                                                                        Both teams have been scoring a great deal of runs lately and Bucholtz has been getting hit pretty hard. On the other hand, Duensing has been pitching well, but his bullpen has not been helping him out. For example, he only gave up a couple runs in his last start against KC, but his pen gave up 8 in the eighth inning. Nevertheless, I like both teams to get at least 4 runs and someone has to win which will push this game over. This is a Fox game and I think both teams hitters come to play in Boston and put up some crooked numbers on a national TV game. Finally, you have 70% of all bets on the under, yet the books are protecting against the over big time. This, after opening up by doing the opposite. Therefore, despite all this action on the under, the books seem more worried about the over. I like the over in this one and it's worth 1x. Good luck!
                                                                        Comment
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