LTA's NBA Plays for Round 2, Conf. Finals & Championship

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  • Love The Action
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-08-10
    • 10952

    #106
    Originally posted by Love The Action
    NBA

    For Tuesday 5/3/11
    Bos/Mia Under 182.5 5x (Locked)

    Mem/OKC Under 198.5 5x (Locked)

    I want to make sure I get the opener. Although, I will not be surprised to see those go up a bit before they make another drop. I may add to both. Good luck.

    Both totals are down from the above numbers despite over 70% of all bets in those games on the over. Once I check the ref assignments, I will be adding to the above amounts. I suspect the Miami/Celts under will be a 10x play when it's all said and done. I just don't see either of those teams shooting 50% this game. Nor do I see James Jones knocking down 25 points. I believe we will be able to make up 9 points from the previous game where both teams shot well (even Celts shot 50% from three point range).

    In the OKC/Mem game, I expect an entirely different game with Perkins and OKC coming out committed to defense first. Plus, I don't see Memphis shooting so well in this second game. However, that game will probably stay at 5 units, because the number is already so far down to 197 and still dropping. I don't want to lose any value. Plus, we won the first game of that series and therefore already profitable in that series (I just try to profit each series).

    Let's see what these ref assignments have to say and we will add units accordingly. Good luck tonight gentlemen! I am expecting a big night for the unders!
    Comment
    • MrXYZ
      SBR MVP
      • 02-18-11
      • 2342

      #107
      What a tough day for everyone. Good luck with Tuesday's picks LTA, going with the under for MEM/OKC too, I hope we cash some wins
      Comment
      • Love The Action
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-08-10
        • 10952

        #108
        Going to have a crazy day at work and won't have much time today. Therefore I just added three units at 182 on the under in the heat celts game. No time for checking line movement, refs, etc.
        Comment
        • Love The Action
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-08-10
          • 10952

          #109
          Originally posted by Love The Action
          NBA

          For Tuesday 5/3/11
          Bos/Mia Under 182.5 5x (Locked)

          Mem/OKC Under 198.5 5x (Locked)

          I want to make sure I get the opener. Although, I will not be surprised to see those go up a bit before they make another drop. I may add to both. Good luck.
          Adding 3x Heat/celts under 182
          (Total of 8x on the under)
          Comment
          • AikenJ
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-30-11
            • 130

            #110
            Originally posted by Love The Action

            Adding 3x Heat/celts under 182
            (Total of 8x on the under)
            Good play, following, gl
            Comment
            • Love The Action
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-08-10
              • 10952

              #111
              Quick fyi if you like tomorrows unders, get on them now. I already locked in big plays at 180 in the bulls game & 187.5 in the lakers game...
              Comment
              • GTS925
                Restricted User
                • 11-06-10
                • 1158

                #112
                LTA, doesn't the previous over trends on the OKC game bother you?
                Comment
                • hoyas2007
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 03-24-10
                  • 106

                  #113
                  LTA - I would be a little careful betting unders in the LA-Dallas series. Pace was really quick in game 1, particularly in the first half. I think there were 95 first half possessions if I remember correctly, and then 87 in the second half. Both teams shot pretty well, but there was also a conscious effort to push the ball. Dallas's coach even said during a time-out in the first quarter that he wanted to push the pace - it's clear that they think that gives them the best chance to win. I would expect LA to come out and play tougher defense, but I would continue to expect Dallas to push the pace as much as possible, which means a lot of possessions. Both teams have good shooters, so to see them shoot a combined 46% is not crazy in my opinion. I could be wrong here, but I am staying away from the under for the time being until I see the teams commit more to the defensive side of the ball. Haven't had a chance to look at the others yet, but I do think you'll see some of these other series cash some unders at some point - hopefully in game 2. Good luck buddy
                  Comment
                  • Love The Action
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-08-10
                    • 10952

                    #114
                    Originally posted by GTS925
                    LTA, doesn't the previous over trends on the OKC game bother you?
                    Sorry, I don't have a ton of time to respond but I can tell you that the regular season trends do not concern me.

                    Bottom line, I don't see see memphis shooting 50% tonight and okc should make some major defensive adjustments to make sure of that. Based on these teams scoring averages in the first round, my deviation model had this game capped at 194 and I expect a final score of 101-92 with okc winning.

                    The only thing that concerns me is the pace of the last game. However, I believe the adjustments by both teams should make this game go under. For evidence, check out the difference between the first game over been okc and denver and the second game under in that series. I expect the same results tonight. Good luck!
                    Comment
                    • Love The Action
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 10952

                      #115
                      Originally posted by hoyas2007
                      LTA - I would be a little careful betting unders in the LA-Dallas series. Pace was really quick in game 1, particularly in the first half. I think there were 95 first half possessions if I remember correctly, and then 87 in the second half. Both teams shot pretty well, but there was also a conscious effort to push the ball. Dallas's coach even said during a time-out in the first quarter that he wanted to push the pace - it's clear that they think that gives them the best chance to win. I would expect LA to come out and play tougher defense, but I would continue to expect Dallas to push the pace as much as possible, which means a lot of possessions. Both teams have good shooters, so to see them shoot a combined 46% is not crazy in my opinion. I could be wrong here, but I am staying away from the under for the time being until I see the teams commit more to the defensive side of the ball. Haven't had a chance to look at the others yet, but I do think you'll see some of these other series cash some unders at some point - hopefully in game 2. Good luck buddy
                      Great analysis as always. However, we only missed cashing the dallas/lakers under by 2 points despite the pace you referenced and the mavs abnormally high shooting percentage of 50%. I think the lakers adjust and this game stays under tomorrow. Why do you think vegas opened at 187.5, a full point below the previous opener despite that game going over and the majority on the over? That's because the under is the play. The line even dropped to 186.5 almost immediately...sharp money is on that under.

                      Its All About game to game adjustments in the playoffs. Teams are are not going to shoot 50% every game. Take a look at the first round for evidence. In that round, all the openers went over but the second games stayed under because of the adjustments. I like that trend to continue in this round. I can expand upon this once I get off work. Good luck on your plays tonight and thanks for your comments.
                      Comment
                      • Love The Action
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 10952

                        #116
                        FYI..The refs suck for both of these games tonight (unless you have the over lol)...lets hope they don't screw us out of any profit! Bol...
                        Comment
                        • hoyas2007
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 106

                          #117
                          Can't disagree with your analysis above. Obviously some people are putting a lot of money behind the under. Personally I'm a bit scared by it - I just struggle to see Dallas score in the 80s - they did it a couple times against Portland but those were much slower paced games. If Dallas's coach hadn't said specifically that they wanted to push the pace then I would agree with the under, but if they make a conscious effort to push the pace, then you're looking at more possessions for both teams - so I would think it goes over unless both teams shoot horrendously. Now LA may come out and really try to slow down the pace in game 2 (they did this some against N.O.) and focus on playing better defense. In that case, you'll have one team trying to push the tempo and the other trying to slow things down. Whichever team imposes its style on the game will determine whether it goes over or under in that case. Should be an interesting game regardless
                          Comment
                          • hoyas2007
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 03-24-10
                            • 106

                            #118
                            This also means there could be some interesting correlated parlays - either taking LA and the under or Dallas and the over.
                            Comment
                            • Love The Action
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 10952

                              #119
                              Originally posted by hoyas2007
                              This also means there could be some interesting correlated parlays - either taking LA and the under or Dallas and the over.
                              Who do you like?
                              Comment
                              • NBA_Brosuf
                                Restricted User
                                • 02-14-11
                                • 2489

                                #120
                                Man, I am hurt and tormented that our great cappers on this forum are riding the under for the Boston/Miami game.

                                I capped it myself and bought the over last night. LOL

                                I had reasons for playing the over though. At least by those reasoning, I'm playing on such value. I will put a touch up on my write up, although it looks fruity and funky but at least it is why I'm riding on the over in such game.

                                Dang it. I should of just ride that one for 1U instead of playing at 4.

                                Hate it when we all are not on the same page. Arghhhhhh
                                Comment
                                • Love The Action
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 10952

                                  #121
                                  MLB
                                  Toronto/TB under (8.5) (+ 100) 1x (locked)
                                  Comment
                                  • Love The Action
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 10952

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                    Adding 3x Heat/celts under 182
                                    (Total of 8x on the under)
                                    Adding 2x for total of 10x on heat/celts under
                                    Comment
                                    • Love The Action
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-08-10
                                      • 10952

                                      #123

                                      MLB

                                      Sf/nym under (7.5) 1x (locked)
                                      Nyy/det under (8.5) 1x (locked)


                                      Comment
                                      • tom1234
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 08-06-09
                                        • 325

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by Love The Action
                                        Adding 2x for total of 10x on heat/celts under
                                        LTA, bol on your big play
                                        Comment
                                        • DrAwInGdEaD
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 05-25-10
                                          • 529

                                          #125
                                          Under is fkkd...no way it stays under LTA.
                                          Comment
                                          • zaj128
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 09-30-10
                                            • 24

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by DrAwInGdEaD
                                            Under is fkkd...no way it stays under LTA.
                                            Yup... I don't get the Celtics sometimes... Pushing the pace out of nowhere when they don't have numbers playing right in to the hands of the Heat... This under is ****** because the Heat's opportunities in transition and the quick shots by both teams, it's pathetic...
                                            Comment
                                            • forzuto13
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-27-11
                                              • 522

                                              #127
                                              Yeah, stick a fork in it. Boston covering too looks fukked.
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #128
                                                It's a painful loss, but we can get over quickly with a winner in the OKC/Mem game.

                                                In addition, I will end up profiting from this series. I have no doubt. Good luck tonight!
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                  NBA

                                                  Mem/OKC Under 198.5 5x (Locked)

                                                  Adding 2x (197.5) for a total of 7x on the Under OKC/Mem (Locked)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DrAwInGdEaD
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 05-25-10
                                                    • 529

                                                    #130
                                                    Just stop dude, you are chasing.. Fukkkkn up
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Love The Action
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 10952

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                      Adding 2x for total of 10x on heat/celts under LOSS

                                                      Tough loss on the under in this one. I was traveling home from work, so I wasn't able to watch the game. However, after reviewing the boxscore it seems this loss was a combination of too many threes that hit and waaayyyy too many free throws. Why did the refs call 58 free throws? That is why we lost that game. There is not other sport where the referees have such a dramatic effect on the game on a consistent basis. But, that's basketball and we all know the risk/reward, so nothing more to say than onto the next game.

                                                      So far I am down in this series over 13x. However, I think we will have one more big play on the under coming up here. However, we'll need to see the ref assignments as this game proved evident of how important a Rodney Mott or Eric Lewis are to the under play. You really need refs that favor the under to help support it as a big play.

                                                      NBA 5/3/11

                                                      0-1 -11x
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Love The Action
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 10952

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by DrAwInGdEaD
                                                        Just stop dude, you are chasing.. Fukkkkn up

                                                        LOL, don't worry my friend. I'm fine and completely balanced..as always. These two plays are completely independent of each other and I'm not chasing per se. Betting in the regular season and betting in the playoffs are completely different because the same teams play over and over. Generally, as supported by history, when one game is high scoring, the next is low scoring. When shooting percentages are very high, the next game they level out. This is another version of what you know as variance.

                                                        I appreciate the sentiment though. However, I can assure you that I do not get caught up in the emotions of betting. It's an investment and you have be aggressive sometimes. Especially in the playoffs where we have the edge.

                                                        Finally, I'm not asking you to tail or to place the same amount as me on these game. I am doing the same thing this round as I did last round when I ended up over 35 units. If I have to give a little back at the start of this series in order to cash more at the end, then that's just the way it goes.

                                                        You need to think more positive. Expect to win. Good luck on your plays sir!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DrAwInGdEaD
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 05-25-10
                                                          • 529

                                                          #133
                                                          Just looking out my man. GL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • NBA_Brosuf
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 02-14-11
                                                            • 2489

                                                            #134
                                                            Don't ruin the surprise until you post up your write up for the next big play on the under.

                                                            I think I know which game you like the under. It is tomorrow's game and if what you say has value, I will buy that value and we will ride together.

                                                            Love how we ride things together, whether we win or lose together. We'll get them in the future. Playoffs still a lot more games to go.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Love The Action
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 10952

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                              MLB
                                                              Toronto/TB under (8.5) (+ 100) 1x (locked)
                                                              WINNER

                                                              Originally posted by Love The Action

                                                              MLB

                                                              Sf/nym under (7.5) 1x (locked) LOSS
                                                              Nyy/det under (8.5) 1x (locked) WINNER

                                                              MLB 5/3/11
                                                              2-1 +.9x


                                                              In this thread
                                                              8-3-1 + 3.75x



                                                              I forgot to bet the late games tonight because I was too busy making a post on stupid SBR

                                                              I hope I don't lose out on winners. I had planned on playing the Cubs/LAD under and the Pit/SD under. I was also leaning Cubs ML, but probably would not have played it.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Love The Action
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-08-10
                                                                • 10952

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by DrAwInGdEaD
                                                                Just looking out my man. GL

                                                                Comment
                                                                • Love The Action
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                                  • 10952

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                  Atl/Chi Summary

                                                                  I expect this Atlanta/Chicago series to be a continuation of the under gravy train we just finished cashing in the previous Atlanta series with the Magic. Therefore, I fully expect to profit off this series whether we cash this first under or not, as this series sets up perfectly for a chase of the under.

                                                                  However, I have no reason to doubt that we will cash the under in this first game for the following reasons.
                                                                  First off, my regular season deviation spreadsheet has this first game at 171. That gives me 7 points of value that I love and we will probably be adding to the units on this one once we check the ref assignments.

                                                                  Out of the three games Chicago and Atlanta played against each other in the regular season, two of the three went under. The only game that went over was the late-March demolition of the Hawks by the Bulls and Derrick Rose. That game was one of the infamous Rose revenge games where Rose held a grudge against a team for a bad performance in a previous matchup and then came out destroyed that team in the next game. Rose and the Bulls did this numerous times throughout the year and happened to shoot almost 55% in this third regular season game with the Hawks. However, the Hawks were struggling at the time and the Bulls were rolling and I don't see quite the same setup in this game. I believe this game goes under similar to the first two regular season games.

                                                                  In the first two regular season games between the Bulls and Hawks, both teams shot between 40% and 45%, which is what we should expect in this first game and the series in general. We should also expect a slow pace, predicated on defense and half-court offense. Based on the previous three games, we can expect about 40-45 free throws, 150-155 field goal attempts, of which 30-35 should be three point attempts. I think at best, these two teams shoot a collective 30% from three point range in this series where perimeter defense will be in full effect.

                                                                  Therefore, if we get about 30 points from three pointers, that gives us about 147 points of cushion from remaining 120 or so regular field goal attempts and 45 or so free throws. Being conservative and saying these two teams can shoot a collective 45% from the field (which I don't think will happen) and 75% for free throws, that would give us about an additional 141 points to add to the 30 from three point land. That puts us right back at that magic 171 number and you can see I derive the value in the under in this game and series.

                                                                  The trends back this under play up as well. Most publicly available trends point to the under:

                                                                  Atlanta:
                                                                  • Under is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
                                                                  • Under is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
                                                                  • Under is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 games following a ATS win.
                                                                  • Under is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 games as an underdog.
                                                                  • Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
                                                                  • Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 games following a S.U. win.
                                                                  • Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 Conference Semifinals games.
                                                                  • Under is 13-3 in Hawks last 16 overall.
                                                                  • Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 road games.
                                                                  • Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
                                                                  • Under is 8-2 in Hawks last 10 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
                                                                  • Under is 21-8 in Hawks last 29 Monday games.
                                                                  • Under is 46-19 in Hawks last 65 vs. Eastern Conference.
                                                                  • Under is 7-3 in Hawks last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

                                                                  Chicago:
                                                                  • Under is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
                                                                  • Under is 10-2 in Bulls last 12 Monday games.
                                                                  • Under is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games following a S.U. win.
                                                                  • Under is 8-3 in Bulls last 11 overall.
                                                                  • Under is 8-3 in Bulls last 11 games as a favorite.
                                                                  • Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
                                                                  • Under is 7-3 in Bulls last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.

                                                                  In addition, at this 175-179 posted total range, these two teams are a collective 2-10 in favor of the under. Against winning playoff-type teams, the Bulls are Hawks are a collective 23-48 in favor of the under. It's clear, based on the foregoing, that the trends favor the under.

                                                                  With the public pounding the over to the tune of 70%+, this is setting up as a great situation of us under backers. The line opened up at 179 and dropped to its current 178 despite all of these over bets. That tell me the real heavy hitters were all about the under at opening. I took it at 178.5 and will probably add to 178. Unfortunately, most outlets are juicing the under at 178, so I'm not sure if that number will last until the ref assignments are released and I may need to add units tonight.

                                                                  For the foregoing reasons, I really like this under play and believe the under to be the play for this series as a whole. Good luck!
                                                                  .

                                                                  Gm 2 Bulls/Hawks Under (180) 15x (Locked)

                                                                  As an FYI, I locked this in around 11am CST this morning and the line is now at 179.

                                                                  This is my biggest play of the NBA season so far. Once the game ended on Monday, I knew I was going to make this play. I have no doubt we see a low scoring game for Game 2 in the Bulls/Hawks series. However, we need the refs to give us a little help and not cause 60 free throws like in Game 2 of Mia/Bos.

                                                                  I will respectfully direct your attention to my original write-up for the first Bulls/Atl game as it is applicable to this entire series. However, I will add the following as further reasons I am playing the under here:

                                                                  1) Bulls rebound from bad performances with suffocating defense --
                                                                  Take a look at the Bulls season stats and you will see that whenever the Bulls got torched for over 100 points in a loss, they bounced back the next game and destroyed other teams with their defense. The common denominator in all of these bounce-back games is that the under cashed. For example: (i) in early in November, the Bulls lost and played very poorly on defense against the Knicks; the next game they held Carmelo and the Denver Nuggets in Denver to 92 points in a 94-92 win (staying more than 20 points under); (ii) in mid-November, the Bulls gave up 103 points to SA in a 103-94 loss; the next game they beat Dallas 88-83 in Dallas staying well under the posted total of 193; (iii) the Bulls lost to the Knicks on Christmas giving up over 100 points; the next game they beat Detroit 95-92 in OT and stayed under the total despite the overtime (each team only scored 85 points in regulation); (iv) in January, the Bulls gave up over 100 points in a loss to Philly; the next game they beat the Celtics 90-79 staying 20 points under the posted total of 187; (v) in early February, the Bulls lost to Portland and gave up 109 points; the next game they beat the Jazz 91-86, staying well under the 193 total; (vi) at the end of February, the Bulls were torched by Toronto for 118 points and lost; the next game the Bulls beat the Heat 93-89 staying well under the total of 192. This tells me that Thibodeau's defensive adjustments have a huge effect on this team. Consequently, I expect Game 2 to follow this pattern and the under should hit based on Thibs adjustments. Do you really think the Bulls will allow Joe Johnson to shoot 5-5 from 3pt range and 12-18 from the field? I suspect the Bulls find the answer defensively, which leads me to my next point.

                                                                  2) There is no way that the Atlanta Hawks shoot 51.3% from the field and 53.8% from three point range in Wednesday's game. Whether it be from the Bulls defense or from the law of averages, I just don't see one of the worst shooting teams in these playoffs hitting at such a high rate against a Bulls team that will be motivated and will have made defensive adjustments. It was such an unbelievably rare shooting game for the Hawks, that I just don't see them repeating that performance. For example, Jeff Teague was 5-11 last game; Jamaal Crawford was 8-16 last game; and every other Hawks player except for Smith shot 50% or over. Remember, this is the same team that just hit 5 straight unders against Orlando in the first round. Can the Hawks possibly repeat their unconscience performance from game 1? I would answer no and am willing to make my biggest play this NBA season on it.

                                                                  3) Smart/sharp/big money is on this game. The line has steadily dropped since opening despite 70%+ on the over. I only mention this because it was the same scenario for pretty much all of the unders that have lost in this second round. Therefore, I would ask you, how long can the public continue to cash games where they are favoring one side more than 70%? Sooner or later the public is going to get buried on one of these public overs and I predict it happens in this Bulls game. Whenever you see the majority on the over, but the line drops, that is a great sign. Just because the under didn't hit in Miami/Celts, doesn't mean the under won't hit here. I predict a public burial in this game and I love being on the other side.

                                                                  (4) Motivation & Revenge -- MVP, Coach of the Year, etc. The Bulls, and especially Derrick Rose, will come out ready to play some defense and half court offense. They are not going to be embarrassed after taking home all of this hardware. I would also remind you of what happened everytime the Bulls played with a chip on their shoulder or some other revenge. Usually the Bulls dominated and the game stayed under (think about the revenge games against Charlotte and Atlantaearlier in the year, the Bulls rolled and the under hit).

                                                                  When you add the foregoing reasons to my original writeup on this series, every possible factor points to the under in this game 2 and I will be on it big.

                                                                  Gm 2 Dallas/LAL Under 188 (-120) 5x

                                                                  We lost the first game under by 2 points, despite Dallas shooting 50%. One could argue the only reason that game went over was because of the four free throws granted at the end of the first half. Hoyas previously mentioned that Dallas will be trying to push the pace in this game. However, I am skeptical at their ability to do so on a regular basis. I predict that both teams fall into a slow, half court battle that is really conducive to the under play.

                                                                  This game opened up at 187.5, a full point lower than the first game despite that first game going over the posted total. In addition, the total dropped from that 187.5 down a full point to 186.5 where it currently stands. That tells me the books are protecting against the under in this game. If they were worried about the over, they would have set the line at 188.5 or 189. However, by setting it up at 187.5 and seeing it drop pretty quick, we know that the big boys are also on the under here. I like my chances when all of these factors add up (i.e. public heavily favor one side, sharps/money favor the other side).

                                                                  This is yet another game that the public will be pounding the over. There is no way they continue to cash these plays. Dallas will not shoot as well two games in a row and the Lakers will make sure of that. I like this game to end around 88-83 with the Lakers bouncing back with the win.

                                                                  Good luck guys! Be confident and positive with all of your plays. You have to believe you will win! Remember how important the mental approach is to this gambling game and life in general. You have to picture success to reach success, and in this case, I am picturing a hugely profitable day in the NBA for Wednesday. I'm off to bed... Bol...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #138
                                                                    I can't believe this under's not going to hit.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • GTS925
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-06-10
                                                                      • 1158

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Wow, the ******* game went over.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DrAwInGdEaD
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 05-25-10
                                                                        • 529

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Burial. Fkkn refs
                                                                        Comment
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