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well? anyone hit it with me?
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[QUOTE=balman;7956822][quote=curious;7956412]Not sure where you got that idea.
I told the thread owner if he can keep the idiots off of me I might start posting my Q and Halves plays. But, you have to understand you have to search to find books that let you make any Q or H play on the ML. And I'm not going to do the searching for anyone.Comment -
Is Arizona just messing with us or do they really suck this bad?Comment -
Ok so curious I put 5% on the nets ML and 5% on nets / celtics ML. I'm also thinking about doing 1% round Robins is that too Much ya think? ThanksComment -
took N AZ +17
had a pretty good night save the goalie situation of BOTH teams screwing me in the pho/nyr under5.5... ridiculousComment -
Cool thread, gonna try it out tomorrow, looking at the games Friday, looks like I may go with ATL, OKL. & Portland in NBA, I also like the Lakers for a possible 4th even though PHI is 8-5 at home, the Lakers are hungry and are on a 3 game winning streak as is Phili but 2 of their last 3 wins were vs teams with losing records. Phili is 8-5 at home while the Lakers are 9-5 on the road. Will have to see what the line is tomorrow. What do you guys think?Comment -
Indiana -400 (NBA)
Oklahoma City -850 (NBA)
Dallas -300 (NBA)
Portland -600 (NBA)
Virginia -320 (NCAAB)
Tennessee -750 (NCAAB)
Colorado -2000 (NCAAB)
Atlanta -325 ?? (NBA) (books are giving a line of -7 1/2 but no ML, crackheads)
Going to go ahead and give the plays on the 8 teams using -325 for Atlanta, if the line changes a lot I will update the plays. I'm making the plays for the first 7 teams now, when Atlanta becomes available I will make the Atlanta play.
Doing 2x and 3x RR (2 pick round robin and 3 pick round robin)
Betting $200 per play, that gives us $16,800 to win $11,100
Good luck everyone!Comment -
I don't take any play where the line is greater than -7 UNLESS there is overwhelming evidence to say that the line is off. For the Lakers I don't see it. I would stay away from that game. Look at NCAAB, you've got Virginia, Tennessee, and Colorado tonight, easy winners. Also in NBA you've got Dallas.Comment -
Alrighty Curious...gonna try the database for football, basketball, etc....any filters or thoughts about how you pick parlays for NHL? MLB? etc??? Thanks!Comment -
Alright Curious....I entered in the parameters at Sportsdatabase....now I ran the numbers on SU moneylines from -1 all the way to -8 and EVERY single spread from -1 to -8 was PROFITABLE betting the ML on HOME or AWAY teams...can that be right?? So it was saying that if you bet ALL favs of -1 to -8 either home or away, then you would be profitable....that can't be right can it??
Check it out if ya don't believe me..Comment -
can someone explan to me the difference between a Parlay Card (this is how bookmaker describes it) versus regular parlay...
Cheers
Bal
Parlay Card
What is the difference between a Parlay Card and a regular parlay?- If you are looking for value, our Parlay Cards are your best bet. All Parlay Card lines are static and do not move. Parlay Cards are based on a fixed odds payout while regular parlays are based on true odds.
REGULAR PARLAY AND TEASER CARDS # TeamsParlay Odds Teaser Odds3+550 (11 to 2)+160 (8 to 5)4+1000 (10 to 1)+280 (14 to 5)5+2000 (20 to 1)+425 (17 to 4)6+4000 (40 to 1)+600 (6 to 1)7+8000 (80 to 1)+850 (17 to 2)8+15000 (150 to 1)+1250 (25 to 2)9+30000 (300 to 1)+1750 (35 to 2)10+60000 (600 to 1)+2400 (24 to 1)Min wager: $1Max wager: $5,000Max Payout: $150,000TIE = LOSE
SWEATHEART TEASER CARDParlay CardComment -
[quote=curious;7959952][quote=balman;7956822]i use bookmaker, they do offer 1/2s on parlays but not 1/4s... i have a pinnacle account to but thier parlay options arent as good as bookmaker as bookmaker gives you choice of huge favs like -2000 -3000 etc
what about posting only your halves parlays for now?
thanks for all the info!!
cheersComment -
ignore my last post atl ml is out now -290Comment -
Yeah...I was a little confused by that myself.
But I believe that what Curious means by that is in using the term "greater than" he means "lower than" as those teams would be greater than (in terms of their ability) other teams ???
I could be a crackhead and be way off on this.
Either way it seems that Curious does not play ML favs. who's point spread is less then -7.Comment -
You are a crackhead.
I am using the mathematical term for negative numbers.
-3 is greater than -7. -10 is less than -7.
I don't play the following ML favs: pk, -1, -2, -3, -4, -5, -6, -6.5. I do play anything -7 and beyond, such as -8, -9, -10, etc.
Sorry for the confusion.Comment -
I don't play NHL. We did great in MLB for two years, this past season I got killed. I don't know what happened. I am staying away from MLB until we figure that one out. I stopped playing MLB sometime after the all star break and before the playoffs, I think that was somewhere around game 125 or 130 for most teams.
For NCAAB and NBA you can use a line of -7 or beyond (-8, -9, -10...). Be CAREFUL with NCAAB you have to cap every game. And you have to make sure the team is not some scrub team, that does happen in NCAAB.
I don't use complicated filters any more. The -7 line and beyond is so easy there is no reason to do all that math.Comment -
Is this parlay card coming from Canada? Parlay cards usually suck really bad, but every once in a while you can get something that is really off in your favor. In some places letting gamblers use the true odds is considered "gambling". But, selling a parlay card where the odds are not true odds is not considered "gambling". I know, its stupid. SOMETIMES you can get a parlay where the odds have really moved against the card since the opening. When this happens you have to jump all over that play.
Personally I don't waste time with parlay cards. If you use them use them to find an edge in your favor.Comment -
That was my guess. My grandparents both had less than high school education and would have smacked you upside the head with a piece of firewood for asking a question so stupid.
It is sad that these crackheads do not know that -10 is LESS than -7. I worry about the USA a lot because of nonsense like this.Comment -
go knicks tonight rebound vs heat pleaseeeComment -
For NBA sportsdatabase does not give the $$ won/lost for the query you run. Which is stupid.
They do give you the games won/lost, I did all plays < 0 and > -7, this came out to:
125-100
They don't give you the $$ won/lost. I can't prove it but I believe that with an average line of -3.5 125-100 would be a losing proposition. -3.5 is -175. Risking 175 to win 100 on 225 games would give you wins of $12500 and loss of 17500, so you would be down $5000.
For games <= -7 the average line is -9.5 which is roughly -500. The win/loss is 129-16, so if you were risking 500 to win 100 then you have won 12900 and lost 8000 for a gain of $4900.
Capping these games properly you would probably do better than 129-16, I saw a few games in there that a person would have to be smoking some pretty heavy crack to be on that team.
Because we are doing parlays we do better than this. I'll let you figure that part out.Comment -
Gotcha thanks for the clarification. This is what I'm most likely be going with tonight, Thunder, Blazers, Tenn(Vols).Comment
