Sweetjones55 NBA Picks

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Heat -1 is the lock ?

[teecee]

He never said it was a lock, he just said that it was his heavy play. Nothing is a lock, buddy. C'mon.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I know it was just a question. There is no such thing as a lock or else the books wouldn't allow us to wager on it.

[sweetjones55]

D3 Let's cash this! I am about to leave now to the Heat game. Good luck to everyone on their plays tonight. Here is my final card for tonight.

Heat 0 HEAVY LOCKED
Spurs -1.5 -120 1st Quarter LOCKED
Spurs -120 -4 1st Half LOCKED
Rockets 1st Half -0.5 LOCKED
Rockets -1 LOCKED

[sweetjones55]

The Bulls are the worst 1st quarter team in the NBA yet they have found a way to win a few 1st quarters lately. Their luck runs out tonight against a top 5 1st quarter home team in the Spurs. Rose is questionable and Noah is most likely out, this game can be the blowout of the night.

[sweetjones55]

Great run sweetjones. it is good to se someone with a bit more "sciantific" aproach when caping games.

What do you think about Phily UNDER 107 pts.

In their last 10 matches they scored 107 only against Indiana. On the other hand it is also true that Indiana allowed over 107 pts in 6 of the last 10 matches (@ ORL, @ MIA, vs PHO, @OKL, @ MIN). But I rate all this teams much higher (excluding MIN) than phily.

I'd lean over but I'm not a big o/u guy. I'll try to take a better look at it later today.

Hopefully my lean helped you layoff. Sorry I couldn't give you a better writeup.

[krazey47409]

bulls looking good now but u just got that first quarter win hopefully bulls get blown out 2nd half

[sweetjones55]

Horrible night, back to the drawing board. I am pretty disqusted that the Spurs led by like 12 in the 1st quarter and somehow lost the half. Heat up 10+ several times and miss 6 straight free throws at the end of the game and score 4 points total in the last 4:30, just pathetic.

[sweetjones55]

D3 Let's cash this! I am about to leave now to the Heat game. Good luck to everyone on their plays tonight. Here is my final card for tonight.

Heat 0 HEAVY LOCKED loss
Spurs -1.5 -120 1st Quarter LOCKED WINNER!!
Spurs -120 -4 1st Half LOCKED loss
Rockets 1st Half -0.5 LOCKED loss
Rockets -1 LOCKED loss

1-4, off to a blistering start over here lol.

[eagles7967]

yea bad grand opending in sbr forum get em tommorow i would have never gone heavy on miami vs lebron cavs usually always have a good chance of winning every game but after that big run ucan afford loss

[sweetjones55]

yea bad grand opending in sbr forum get em tommorow i would have never gone heavy on miami vs lebron cavs usually always have a good chance of winning every game but after that big run ucan afford loss

I can't afford losses and won't just accept a bad night because I've had a good year so far. 1-4 is unacceptable and should never happen.

[sweetjones55]

I like the Kings a lot today. They had a terrible road trip and are highly undervalued. They are a great home team and the Warriors are hurt and terrible on the road. I also like Lakers 1st quarter.

[sweetjones55]

Kings -3.5 1st half LOCKED WINNER!!
Kings -6 -120 LOCKED
Kings +0.5 3rd Quarter ADDED PLAY LOCKED WINNER!!
Lakers -2 1st Quarter LOCKED loss

[SpacePotato]

Hi Sweetjones, I like it how you cap the game. Can you tell me which of these three picks is your strongest one? I only like to bet one, at best two (very rare) NBA bets per day. Thank you sir.

[sweetjones55]

Probably Kings 1st half. Sorry I couldn't give more insight into the pick but there's a lot more into it than what I wrote. I just dont have a lot of time to cap games on Tuesdays.

[SpacePotato]

thx, hope it cashes

[sweetjones55]

Kings 3rd Quarter +0.5 LOCKED

Kings 3rd Quarter +0.5 is the play on the 2nd half in the game. It is the Kings best quarter and the Warriors worst quarter. GS made a little run at the end of the 2nd and Sacramento will come out focused to try and build back up the lead.

Kings 21-20-2 SU in the 3rd. 25.3-24.6
Warriors 15-27 SU in the 3rd. 25.1-28.4 (-3.3 points differential)

[sweetjones55]

Probably Kings 1st half. Sorry I couldn't give more insight into the pick but there's a lot more into it than what I wrote. I just dont have a lot of time to cap games on Tuesdays.

thx, hope it cashes

Easyyyyy winner!

[rick_213]

what is your record since you started this thread?

[sweetjones55]

what is your record since you started this thread?

I just started posting my picks yesterday, I am currently 3-5 since posting on the thread. I had a really rough day yesterday going 1-4 on some tough losses. I am 2-1 tonight so far with Kings -6 pending. My current running total record is 92-64-2 (59%).

[sweetjones55]

Kings -3.5 1st half LOCKED WINNER!!
Kings -6 -120 LOCKED loss
Kings +0.5 3rd Quarter ADDED PLAY LOCKED WINNER!!
Lakers -2 1st Quarter LOCKED loss

2-2 night but very disappointed that the Kings didn't cover -6. The Kings won the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd quarter. They were up double digits at half and up 17 in the 2nd half, gutwrenching loss that makes me not even want to look at lines tommrow.

[lakerboy]

2-2 nigh but very disappointed that the Kings didn't cover -6. The Kings won the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd quarter. They were up double digits at half and up 17 in the 2nd half, gutwrenching loss that makes me not even want to look at lines tommrow.

come on guy you told me in my thread the best thing is to start capping games for wednesday , dont get down we both had a gut wrenching defeat tonight.

[sweetjones55]

come on guy you told me in my thread the best thing is to start capping games for wednesday , dont get down we both had a gut wrenching defeat tonight.

It was easy for me to say that when the Kings were up 17 in the second half.. You're right though but this is my 3rd straight gutwrenching loss on big plays. I had Memphis -3.5 who was up double digits and they won by 2, Heat last night and these damn Kings. I can take one or two losses like this a week but three in a row is just sickening. I'm ok taking three losses but not games that look like there's an 80% chance I'm going to win.

[sweetjones55]

I am now 3-6 and will guarantee that I will be above .500 posting on this forum by Sunday night. Take this to the bank, I am done with all these bad losses and will pick winners and have luck on my side these next 4 nights.
My current record is 92-65-2, still a decent 27 games above .500.

[vic]

Tough loss bro., let it come to your instead of putting pressure on yourself.

[S.K.M.]

I really thought Sac -6 was a strong play as well. GL tomorrow.....

[SpacePotato]

Easyyyyy winner!

Thx mate, i only took Kings 1st H so it´s 1-0 for me.

Selectivity and betting fewer, but stronger plays are the way to go. Tough to bet too much bets as odd compilers are no fools.

[Dexter]

It was easy for me to say that when the Kings were up 17 in the second half.. You're right though but this is my 3rd straight gutwrenching loss on big plays. I had Memphis -3.5 who was up double digits and they won by 2, Heat last night and these damn Kings. I can take one or two losses like this a week but three in a row is just sickening. I'm ok taking three losses but not games that look like there's an 80% chance I'm going to win.

SJ - you know the nba bro. scoreboard watching in this sport is just not worth it. sucks when you're an actual fan of the game like we are and notice these things cause we're watching games.

to me, the only "bad beats" are when you have an under and the game goes to OT.

other then that, it is what it is in this sport.

GL tonight man...

[killersweet]

2-2 night but very disappointed that the Kings didn't cover -6. The Kings won the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd quarter. They were up double digits at half and up 17 in the 2nd half, gutwrenching loss that makes me not even want to look at lines tommrow.

Freaking Kings. Ruined a night that could have been great for me They gave up 36 points in the 4th. Oh well, nothing new

[sweetjones55]

Tommrows history guys, I am back on today to pick straight Winners!!

[sweetjones55]

I am leaning heavily to the Oklahoma City Thunder. There is no team in the NBA playing as good as OKC is since mid-December. They dropped two in a row but to two of the best home teams in the NBA in Cleveland and Memphis. They covered both those spreads also. This is the perfect situation to take them as Chicago has been on the road for 10 days already and have won 3 straight road games. The Bulls in their mind can "afford" to lose this game and OKC definitely does not want to start their homestand with a loss after dropping two straight.

Also, OKC is just a much better team top to down than the Bulls are. OKC has an edge in ppg, fg%, FT% and defense. The Bulls are the worst 1st quarter team SU and area very bad 2nd quarter team so OKC 1st half may be a strong play also.

The line opened up at -5 and went to -5.5/-6 with 50% on each team so I obviously like that.

Please don't throw me all those historic facts in the matchup as they mean nothing tonight since OKC is a completely different teams than years past. OKC beat the Bulls by 13 this year and that is the only matchup that means anything to me.

[sweetjones55]

Thunder -2 -130 1st Half LOCKED
Thunder ML -230 LOCKED

I don't want to lay -6 and get burned again by a backdoor cover with the Thunder up double digits in the 2H as has been the case with most of my plays lately so I am rolling with the ML for the game. The Bulls are still the worst 1st quarter team in the NBA and the Thunder are a much better 2nd quarter team than the Bulls are.

[sweetjones55]

The worst team in the NBA is playing without their star player tonight and probably 3rd best player(Nets/Devin Harris/Courtney Lee). I am leaning Clippers 1st half big time at -3.5 and ML -280. If the Nets could only manage 3 wins all year, why should I believe they will beat the Clippers who are a bette team than most think, without their best player and Courtney Lee. The line opened up at -5.5 and quickly went to -7. I am going to start making some bank off the most profitable team in the NBA to fade.

[sweetjones55]

Clippers -3 -120 1st Half LOCKED

[sweetjones55]

Final Card for tonight. Good luck to everyone on their plays tonight.

OKC -2 -130 1st Half LOCKED
OKC ML -230 LOCKED
LAC -3 -120 1st Half LOCKED
LAC ML -280 LOCKED