Sweetjones55 NBA Picks

**Lakers714** · 01-31-10, 12:36 PM

Denver line moved from +5 to +6 on my site.

**sweetjones55** · 01-31-10, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by Lakers714

Good stuff SJ. Tailed you last night on all your picks. I usually tail LB, but noticed you've also been hot lately. I surprised more peeps ain't following this thread. Anyways, GL on all your picks today. I'll tail you again, probably throw a teaser on all your picks. Let's finish strong!

LOL to be honest, I haven't been hot in the least bit. I was a little surprised you tailed me yesterday but you sure as hell picked a good day to tail me! I was like 5-4 the last two days before yesterdays 3-0 night.

**sweetjones55** · 01-31-10, 12:37 PM

Originally posted by Lakers714

Denver line moved from +5 to +6 on my site.

I am going to canel this play then as I capped it out with him in the lineup.

**whatsgood5** · 01-31-10, 12:51 PM

GL today man!

**Lakers714** · 01-31-10, 12:53 PM

I locked in spurs -3 1H. GL Gents!

**sweetjones55** · 01-31-10, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I am leaning Pistons, Rockets 1st Half/Game, Celtics, and Nuggets. My NBA record has one or two college picks thrown in there since I've never created a NCAAB thread so I'll throw you guys a nice college pick today, Miami Hurricanes -2 LOCKED WINNER!!.

UM shoud win today. They were embarassed in their last home game, a game that they had won up 17 in the 2H but blew late. UM is a terrible road team but at home is a completely different story. They already beat Wake at home and as I mentioned should have beaten VT. Their is big RLM on this game with an opening line of Miami -2 and already at -2.5 today. UM will knock down their 3's and look out for a monster game from Dwayne Collins. Hokies are coming off a big OT win against in-state rival Virginia and are in a major letdown spot.

UM knocks down the 3's as prescribed!

**sweetjones55** · 01-31-10, 03:28 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Nuggets +5 LOCKED

CANCELLED. Carmelo Anthony is OUT

Man I should have known better than to cancel this play. O well 1-0 so far today.

**S.K.M.** · 01-31-10, 04:27 PM

Love the Rockets. Im also leaning towards Minnesota. I think they get a little payback for that schlacking they took in NY....

**sweetjones55** · 01-31-10, 05:11 PM

Minnesota is a good play, I might hit them up also.

You know what I am going to roll with it. Minnesota got embarrassed last game by the Knicks. Wovles got revenge on their mind and are coming off a win. Usually really bad teams win a game and then play well the next few games. Line opened up at PK and with the public majority on the Knicks the line went up to -2.5 Wolves on some sites, crazy 2.5 point line movement. The Knicks haven't been able to sweep the series in almost a decade.

Timberwolves -2 LOCKED

**sweetjones55** · 01-31-10, 06:26 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Celtics PK LOCKED loss

29% on the Celtics and the line goes from +1 to -1 on some sites? My gut feeling was that the Celtics would win this game after that terrible loss to the Magic. Lakers have been on the road for ten days and now they gotta to go into the Garden and win there, I don't see it happening. I think Gasol gets shut down today and KG has a good game. There is double revenge in this game as LA swept the two game series last year.

Disappointed about this one. Boston up 11 in the 4th quarter and just blows it. I could have gotten it at +1 or +1.5 but just played it at the wrong time, hope a lot of you guys did and pushed or won. On to the next one.

**sweetjones55** · 01-31-10, 08:57 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Pistons +5 LOCKED PUSH

This is another game where we got a +5 dog who I think has a good shot at winning. Orlando is coming off a big win at home against Atlanta but tonight faces a team that has been their kryptonite. Detroit is 5-0 ATS vs Orlando their last 5 and has beaten them 6 out of the last 7. We got revenge in this game as Detroit lost their last meeting at Orlando. Public is absolutely pounding Orlando and the line has dropped from Pistons +5.5 to +4.5 on some sites already, BIG RLM.

Damn just no luck tonight whatsoever, Pistons +5 and they are down 1 with 8 seconds and somehow push. This one feels worse than a loss. Im sorry to those who tailed today, I couldn't get a break.

**sweetjones55** · 01-31-10, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Card for tonight

Timberwolves -2 LOCKED WINNER!!
Pistons +5 LOCKED PUSH
Rockets -3.5 LOCKED loss
Rockets 1st Half -2 LOCKED loss
Celtics PK LOCKED loss
Hurricanes -2 LOCKED WINNER!!

Reall bad 2-3-1 night. This may not be so bad but considering that I lost Celtics by 1 point when I easily could have gotten them at +1.5 and pushed Pistons who had the cover in hand is really disappointing. I also cancelled Denver which I should have never done just because Carmelo was out. Could have been a great 5-2-1 night but what can you do. On to the next one!

**sweetjones55** · 01-31-10, 09:23 PM

I have a game of the year pick coming up on tuesday in College Basketball. Be on the lookout for it, I don't care what the line comes out at I am going to pound it as soon as it comes out Monday night.

**sweetjones55** · 02-01-10, 11:28 AM

Heat -6.5 LOCKED
Heat 1st Half -3.5 LOCKED
Heat -1.5 -120 1st quarter LOCKED
Heat -260 Moneyline LOCKED

**sweetjones55** · 02-01-10, 11:50 AM

The Heat is a very simple play tonight. They are a very good home team and Bucks suck on the road. The Heat have revenge in their mind after just losing to the Bucks saturday in a game where they were down the whole time. Now, I decided to really unload on this game after reading this in my local newspaper.

Uh-oh. Brandon Jennings might have made one of his few rookie mistakes during what otherwise has been a remarkable first NBA season.
Jennings, the Milwaukee Bucks point guard, provided more motivation than Dwyane Wade already has entering Monday's return game against the Bucks at AmericanAirlines Arena.
As he summed up Saturday's 95-84 victory against Miami in Milwaukee, Jennings praised teammate Charlie Bell's defensive effort in physically hounding Wade into one of his most frustrating games of the season.
``I guess we got the `D-Wade stopper' on the team right now,'' said Jennings

**sweetjones55** · 02-01-10, 11:53 AM

Jennings made a HUGE mistake there. Wade is going to drop 35 minimum. Only reason Bell maintained Wade last game was because he had back issues, tonight he is heatlhier and will bounce back. Heat in a blowout!

**genius** · 02-01-10, 04:57 PM

i dunno bucks have always stayed strong with mia

**sweetjones55** · 02-02-10, 03:21 AM

Wake Forest Demon Deacons -5.5 -130 LOCKED COLLEGE BASKETBALL GAME OF THE YEAR LOCKED

**paco** · 02-02-10, 07:08 AM

Wow, u was really feeling that Heat game huh?

**sweetjones55** · 02-02-10, 09:24 AM

Originally posted by paco

Wow, u was really feeling that Heat game huh?

Ya I have been pretty deadly fading or tailing my Heat this year. It was such a tease too because Wade scored the first 11 points and they were up 11-0 and I thought I had nailed it lol. duh

**sweetjones55** · 02-02-10, 09:25 AM

I am going to start this off by saying that there are very few people around that know as much about this UM basketball team as I do. I don't mean to brag but I have watched 95% of their games the last 6 years and know this team inside and out. I have season tickets behind the bench and attend almost every game. I am friends with a bunch of players on this team and know our tendencies, strengths and weaknesses team-wise and for every individual player.

There is a reason UM is getting blown out so bad on the road every game. Our team is young and we don't have a go to guy to carry the scoring load on the road. Everyone on the team is just kinda looking around at each other and no has taken the reigns, its like as if they are still looking for Jack McClinton in the rafters or something. Our best player is a PF Dwayne Collins and he is easily stopped by just a soft double team and he constantly turns the ball over on the double teams. He is a terrible foul shooter and can easily be shut down. UM literally sat him down the last 5 minutes of the VT game because he kept on turning the ball over on double teams, this is our star and potential 1st round NBA pick and we had to sit him in the most crucial part of the game. Our guards are probably some of the most wreckless guards in the nation and it shows more so on the road than anywhere. They just get nervous and turn the ball over far too much because of their inability to handle the ball well. Last game we almost blew a 19pt lead when VT started applying full court pressure and constant double teams in the halfcourt, this has been our kryptonite for the longest time since we never have good PG's and WF will definitely take a page out of VT's book and apply this also. There is nothing UM can do to counter this, our guards just have zero ball handling skills. UM relies on it's 3 point shooting and I don't see them knocking down a high percentage on the road in WF.

WF also has some serious revenge in this game. Miami beat WF this year by 1 and smashed WF last year by 27. WF is still a nice 2-1 ATS in this time frame. WF lost their last game to GT and really needs this next one if they want any chance in the ACC.

**sweetjones55** · 02-02-10, 09:01 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I am going to start this off by saying that there are very few people around that know as much about this UM basketball team as I do. I don't mean to brag but I have watched 95% of their games the last 6 years and know this team inside and out. I have season tickets behind the bench and attend almost every game. I am friends with a bunch of players on this team and know our tendencies, strengths and weaknesses team-wise and for every individual player.

There is a reason UM is getting blown out so bad on the road every game. Our team is young and we don't have a go to guy to carry the scoring load on the road. Everyone on the team is just kinda looking around at each other and no has taken the reigns, its like as if they are still looking for Jack McClinton in the rafters or something. Our best player is a PF Dwayne Collins and he is easily stopped by just a soft double team and he constantly turns the ball over on the double teams. He is a terrible foul shooter and can easily be shut down. UM literally sat him down the last 5 minutes of the VT game because he kept on turning the ball over on double teams, this is our star and potential 1st round NBA pick and we had to sit him in the most crucial part of the game. Our guards are probably some of the most wreckless guards in the nation and it shows more so on the road than anywhere. They just get nervous and turn the ball over far too much because of their inability to handle the ball well. Last game we almost blew a 19pt lead when VT started applying full court pressure and constant double teams in the halfcourt, this has been our kryptonite for the longest time since we never have good PG's and WF will definitely take a page out of VT's book and apply this also. There is nothing UM can do to counter this, our guards just have zero ball handling skills. UM relies on it's 3 point shooting and I don't see them knocking down a high percentage on the road in WF.

WF also has some serious revenge in this game. Miami beat WF this year by 1 and smashed WF last year by 27. WF is still a nice 2-1 ATS in this time frame. WF lost their last game to GT and really needs this next one if they want any chance in the ACC.

COLLEGE BASKETBALL GAME OF THE YEAR IS A WINNER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

**sweetjones55** · 02-02-10, 09:03 PM

Monster win for me!!!!!! MY FIRST GAME OF THE YEAR EVER FEELS SO GOOD especially since I F*CKING called this game and it played out EXACTLY as I said.

**darkenergy** · 02-02-10, 09:03 PM

Good call on WF SJ.
I was reading this write up in the morning, and intend to tailing this play.....but I was so busy with my own plays, end up forget about this.
Great job man.

**Wayne** · 02-02-10, 09:11 PM

Great analysis and play on WF/UM SJ

**Busterflywheel** · 02-02-10, 09:13 PM

Great call...

**Dexter** · 02-02-10, 09:16 PM

great play/analysis sweet jones, but "game of the year"? lol....you sound like a t&%t

**sweetjones55** · 02-02-10, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

great play/analysis sweet jones, but "game of the year"? lol....you sound like a t&%t

I'm sorry but I wanted to get peoples attention and have them tail this because I was extremely confident. I will never be this confident about a play this year, no doubt in my mind.

**Dexter** · 02-02-10, 09:22 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I'm sorry but I wanted to get peoples attention and have them tail this because I was extremely confident. I will never be this confident about a play this year, no doubt in my mind.

im just busting your chops - you're a sharp dude...i actually checked your thread yesterday thinking the play was then, then forgot to check the thread today. was gonna quietly carjack the play. great analysis.

**sweetjones55** · 02-02-10, 09:27 PM

Thanks Dex, damn this one feels so good after a terrible last 7 days!

**sweetjones55** · 02-05-10, 11:46 AM

Took a fews days off and I am back today.

**sweetjones55** · 02-05-10, 11:56 AM

Kings +2.5 LOCKED HEAVY
Kings ML +120 LOCKED
Kings +1.5 1st Half

I just can't ignore the HUGE RLM on this game. Almost 80% on Suns and line drops Kings +3 to Kings +2.5. Also the Suns have won 9 of the last 10 so the line movement really makes zero sense. Vegas is begging for more Suns action and I am definitely not giving it to them. This is the definition of a trap game for the Suns. Suns have been on the road for a week and I do not see the Kings dropping their 3rd in a row at home.

**Dexter** · 02-05-10, 04:58 PM

huge RLM....i got down early at +3 it pays to cap games the night before......sometimes

who are you playing in the superbowl?

**Marginalis** · 02-05-10, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by whatsgood5

GL today man!

fu stiff!

**sweetjones55** · 02-11-10, 02:46 AM

Just I expected with all the media hype going on about Cleveland and their long winning streak they get a highly inflated line against an Orlando team that is catching their stride. The Cavs are -6.5 tommrow night against the Magic. I honestly believe that the Magic have a GREAT chance to pull out the win. Head to Head Orlando is 15-3 ATS last 18 meetings. Public majority is on Cleveland at around 55%. Lean to Orlando +6.5

As for the other game, I think you take the Nuggets or just lay off. Nuggets are just too good this year at home and the Spurs are a measley 10-11 on the road. Spurs are catching a good amount of points but when Denver wins, they win big. Points won't help you in this game like they will the Magic game. Lean to the Nuggets -5.5