Roag's NBA Regular Season Thread

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  • milkshakeballa
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-24-09
    • 204

    #946
    i will be pretty upset if WASH doesn't cover 16
    Comment
    • BamaCBass
      SBR MVP
      • 10-07-09
      • 1252

      #947
      I'm no expert by any stretch, but.... Pacers = Some of the most sloppy and lackadaisical effort I've seen
      Comment
      • MUHerd37
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-23-09
        • 12816

        #948
        Yeah Indiana sucks. Foster missed the game and Troy Murphy left early. Even so, they would have gotten nailed anyway.
        Comment
        • RoagBettor
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-20-09
          • 8355

          #949
          I'm done betting on Indiana in any situation for the rest of the season. I won't let them get me 3 times.
          Comment
          • RoagBettor
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-20-09
            • 8355

            #950
            By the way, I'm on the Hawks ML tonight.
            Comment
            • haserfauld
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-12-08
              • 957

              #951
              i took wash HEAVY today but bought to +12. thank god
              Comment
              • MUHerd37
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-23-09
                • 12816

                #952
                I have been getting nailed recently. This is a hell of a bad streak for me.
                Comment
                • travisowain
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 10-28-09
                  • 94

                  #953
                  got that cavs 2nd halfit wasnt a tapeworm!!!
                  Comment
                  • dannyovercash
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 10-16-09
                    • 33

                    #954
                    atl ml on it roag
                    Comment
                    • MUHerd37
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-23-09
                      • 12816

                      #955
                      Detroit just beat Orlando. Orlando always has trouble in Detroit. Crazy day.
                      Comment
                      • milkshakeballa
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 03-24-09
                        • 204

                        #956
                        i cant believe miami that is just unreal and KILLS me JUST KILLS ME
                        Comment
                        • SportsTerminator
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-18-09
                          • 5179

                          #957
                          Don't you hate it when teams only play good against good teams... play like that EVERY game.
                          Bet To Win
                          Comment
                          • dannyovercash
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 10-16-09
                            • 33

                            #958
                            sac +5 tomorrow night, 3rd straight for ATL on the road before they head to Charlotte then back home vs Denver, if the Hawks get the W tonight I like Sac tomorrow (esp +13) Roag? milkshake?
                            Comment
                            • milkshakeballa
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 03-24-09
                              • 204

                              #959
                              Danny - I went 0-4 2nite and down about 6 units 2nite...I wouldn't ask me!

                              With that said...SAC has had some really close games and have played relatively well. ATL looks for real though. I'd have to see how they do 2nite.


                              I am not going to play a game for a day or two unless a few lines scream at me....2nite was just too frustrating...


                              actually i hit one of my teasers - looks like dallas came back .... so lucky... so only lost 2 units today....il take it...2day was just AWFUL
                              Comment
                              • MUHerd37
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-23-09
                                • 12816

                                #960
                                We get them tomorrow guys!!! Also, remember that we are only 6 days away from college bball!!!!!
                                Comment
                                • milkshakeballa
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 03-24-09
                                  • 204

                                  #961
                                  OK fellas....looks go over our stats after week 1!

                                  For me:

                                  Straight Bets:
                                  0-1
                                  -2.2 units

                                  O/U Bets:
                                  1-2
                                  -2.2 units

                                  Small Parlays (1-4 teams)
                                  0-1
                                  -1.0 units

                                  Large Parlays (5-8 teams)
                                  0-3
                                  -3.0 units

                                  3 team teasers:
                                  4-2
                                  +4.1 units

                                  4 team teasers:
                                  2-0
                                  +4.0 units

                                  6 team tease:
                                  0-1
                                  -1.0 units

                                  2nd Half bets:
                                  2-0
                                  +2.5 units

                                  Total: +1.2 units

                                  Notes:
                                  6-2 on 3/4 team teasers + 8.1 units
                                  0-4 on parlays -4.0 units
                                  Down 5.9 units on all non-tease bets
                                  The PHO@MIA cost me 4.2 units. Outscored 29-15 in the fourth at home. Sigh
                                  The DAL@LAL cost me 8.2 units.

                                  Was really confident in both of those but they missed. Would love to be up more than 1.2 stinking units but after the very first week I can't complain. Going to stick with 3/4 team teasers mainly for the next week or two until I really get a feel for the games.

                                  Roag/Haser - any advice from looking these stats besides stay away from the parlays?? Though one big parlay that hits this year will pay off a lot of the little ones. And once college basketball rolls around and there are a lot more games to choose from...I'm sure we will hit some!!

                                  BOL to everyone! Let's keep this thread rolling and make some $$$!
                                  Comment
                                  • milkshakeballa
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 03-24-09
                                    • 204

                                    #962
                                    NBA thoughts from the first week:

                                    LAL - No Pau...will revise later...N/A

                                    Bucks - Going to be ATS MONSTERS this year. Skiles is one of the top 4 or 5 coaches in the league. Gets his guys to play INCREDIBLY hard. Jennings so far (VERY early) looks LEGIT. 2-1 ATS this year (early) but I really think we can milk these guys.

                                    Denver - Title contenders IMO. Right there with the Spurs as #2 in the West. JR coming back. Think they win 55-58 games this year.

                                    Utah and NO - Bad teams. Totally have taken a step down. Still think Utah will win their fair share of home games but will get rocked on the road. NO is so bad. Hard to consistently bet against them because of their talent but..

                                    BOS - Ride them while they hot

                                    ORL - Lost 2nite 2 DET (good call Roag!) but still think they are legit and clear cut #2 in the East.

                                    OKC - ATS monsters as well first half of the year. Think the public will be on them in the 2nd half. Get your $$$ in now!

                                    NY - Do not touch

                                    CHA - Thinking about just pounding some unders on them the next week or two. These guys score like a WNBA team...

                                    CLE - Not as good as last year but don't see CHI or WASH overtaking them this year. Possibly ATL?

                                    ATL - Thought they were going to slow down this year but with Crawford off the bench...they have looked great. Want to see them a little more though.


                                    Thoughts?
                                    Comment
                                    • ztballer
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-24-09
                                      • 1007

                                      #963
                                      Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                      By the way, I'm on the Hawks ML tonight.


                                      Well done mate!
                                      Comment
                                      • RoagBettor
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-20-09
                                        • 8355

                                        #964
                                        Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                        By the way, I'm on the Hawks ML tonight.


                                        Damn, I really needed that. I liked Detroit ML tonight also. Those f'n Pacers have cost me all my winnings though, I'm done with them.
                                        Comment
                                        • RoagBettor
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-20-09
                                          • 8355

                                          #965
                                          OK I'm picking a lot of winners but getting nowhere because of the Pacers. I think I'll just play straight bets for a few days unless something really looks tempting for a teaser.

                                          Tomorrow I like:

                                          Phoenix/Orlando over anything
                                          Washington ML
                                          Houston ML
                                          Dallas minus whatever and the under
                                          Atlanta (sorry, Sacramento sucks and Atlanta will win this game)
                                          Comment
                                          • BeDtimeHobby
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 07-07-09
                                            • 61

                                            #966
                                            Good hit Roag, by the time that i saw your post, first quarter had just ended and Hawks were trailing a lot of points. I got my ML at +400,GOOD CALL.
                                            Comment
                                            • RoagBettor
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-20-09
                                              • 8355

                                              #967
                                              milkshake, you're doing just fine. It's been a whacky start to the season, that Lakers/Mavs game killed most of the betting world.
                                              Comment
                                              • RoagBettor
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-20-09
                                                • 8355

                                                #968
                                                Originally posted by BeDtimeHobby
                                                Good hit Roag, by the time that i saw your post, first quarter had just ended and Hawks were trailing a lot of points. I got my ML at +400,GOOD CALL.
                                                Comment
                                                • RoagBettor
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-20-09
                                                  • 8355

                                                  #969
                                                  milkshake, good analysis of the teams. Ride Boston and Denver!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RoagBettor
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-20-09
                                                    • 8355

                                                    #970
                                                    I'm not going to dick around, only 1 big play for me tomorrow:

                                                    Washington Wizards -3

                                                    $150 to win $125
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cap10
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 09-15-07
                                                      • 494

                                                      #971
                                                      even tho i mentioned that detroit does well vs orl below i never thot for a second that det could pull it off tonight;; orl can bury this tm but they sucked today;; i remember from cocknocker that if an important player is out, play that tm anyway;; but i could not do it;;
                                                      its stupid
                                                      redd is out but mil cover the number
                                                      rip is out but det cover the number;;
                                                      wow

                                                      pts to ponder;;

                                                      utah is allowing 108 per game
                                                      lal have won 9 straight vs okc
                                                      chi has won 7 straight at home vs mil
                                                      det has won 19 of 24 vs orlando
                                                      por has won 9 of 10 at home vs atl
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cap10
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 09-15-07
                                                        • 494

                                                        #972
                                                        Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                        I'm not going to dick around, only 1 big play for me tomorrow: Washington Wizards -3 $150 to win $125
                                                        roag
                                                        i think u win this bet;; why;; arenas is on a mission;; cle was a bit too much for them but they should roll mia

                                                        gl

                                                        ONLY ONE PROB;;MIA IS 22-5 VS WASH SU
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BeDtimeHobby
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 07-07-09
                                                          • 61

                                                          #973
                                                          Roag, whats your thoughts on your pick? All stats favors Miami but you might be seeing something that I dont. Is it because of Wizards would be putting all their effort at home because they had a great chance beating the Cavs but unfortunately didn't come through? or just Miami relies only to Wade? tks
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cap10
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 09-15-07
                                                            • 494

                                                            #974
                                                            my faves played like girls today at -5.5 adjusted spread;; only 4of9 faves covered this number;; only 2 of my selected 5 did the job;;

                                                            todays faves at -5.5 that i like are;;

                                                            den-1.9-just too good W
                                                            bos-1.71-won 4 games by avg of 19pts W
                                                            lal-1.66-have to give em a chance L
                                                            chi-1.55-no redd L
                                                            orl-1.76-carter prob;; rip out L
                                                            pays 15-1

                                                            AT 15-1 I WANT TO WIN ONE(1) PARLAY A WEEK;; 5TM PARLAY ASSUMED;;

                                                            Q1; HOW DO THE MAGIC PLAY LIKE GIRLS
                                                            Q2; HOW DO THE BULLS PLAY LIKE GIRLS? THEY BEAT UP THE SPURS AT HOME
                                                            Q3; HOW DO THE LAKERS PLAY LIKE GIRLS? KOBE AND ARTEST SHOULD ROLL OKC BY THEMSELVES
                                                            JMO
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Ace_of_Spades
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-14-09
                                                              • 13518

                                                              #975
                                                              I like Pacers +5 and a possible ML play too.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RoagBettor
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-20-09
                                                                • 8355

                                                                #976
                                                                Originally posted by BeDtimeHobby
                                                                Roag, whats your thoughts on your pick? All stats favors Miami but you might be seeing something that I dont. Is it because of Wizards would be putting all their effort at home because they had a great chance beating the Cavs but unfortunately didn't come through? or just Miami relies only to Wade? tks
                                                                Washington is pissed, and playing at home.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RoagBettor
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-20-09
                                                                  • 8355

                                                                  #977
                                                                  OK after calming down from last night I am seriously thinking of taking the Pacers ML tonight against the Knicks. Somebody give me a good reason why I shouldn't. The Pacers haven't started 0-4 since 1988 and are pissed. I like pissed teams.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • corona
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-12-09
                                                                    • 722

                                                                    #978
                                                                    Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                                    OK after calming down from last night I am seriously thinking of taking the Pacers ML tonight against the Knicks. Somebody give me a good reason why I shouldn't.
                                                                    they're a terrible basketball team. and terrible teams don't win on back to backs.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RoagBettor
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                                      • 8355

                                                                      #979
                                                                      Yeah they are terrible, but they're playing the Knicks who are, well, the Knicks. If the Pacers were ever going to break their losing streak, it would be tonight.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • RoagBettor
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-20-09
                                                                        • 8355

                                                                        #980
                                                                        4 Team Parlay (bought 2 pts)

                                                                        Orlando -6.5
                                                                        Boston/Minny over 184
                                                                        Lakers/Houston over 200.5
                                                                        Hawks/Kings over 206.5

                                                                        $35 to win $235.06
                                                                        Comment
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