Roag's NBA Regular Season Thread

[rgga86]

OK these are just too juicy to pass up.

3 Team/8 Point Teaser

Washington +19.5
Pacers +13.5
Hawks +15

$72 to win $60

why you changed your bet amount? just curious

[MUHerd37]

I'm looking at some props and it's crazy I think. Check this out:

Winning Margin Moneyline 2011 Hawks to win by 1-2 Pts +1200 2012 Hawks to win by 3-6 Pts +850 2013 Hawks to win by 7-9 Pts +1200 2014 Hawks to win by 10-13 Pts +1500 2015 Hawks to win by 14-16 Pts +3000 2016 Hawks to win by 17-20 Pts +4000 2017 Hawks to win by 21 or more Pts +4000 2018 Trail Blazers to win by 1-2 Pts +850 2019 Trail Blazers to win by 3-6 Pts +350 2020 Trail Blazers to win by 7-9 Pts +500 2021 Trail Blazers to win by 10-13 Pts +400 2022 Trail Blazers to win by 14-16 Pts +850 2023 Trail Blazers to win by 17-20 Pts +950 2024 Trail Blazers to win by 21 or more Pts +850

[RoagBettor]

why you changed your bet amount? just curious

I won't bet as much when playing dogs.

[MUHerd37]

Expading on the last post, what if I make 3 $10 bets: Blazers win by 3-6, Blazers win by 7-9, Blazers win by 10-13. Now I have the Blazers winning from 3-13 covered. The lowest one of these pays $35 (Blazers win 3-6). If I hit the lowest I make $15. Obviously If I hit one of the other 2 I make even more. Any thought on playing props on stuff like that?

Hell look at the Magic ones: Magic win 7-9, 10-13, 14-16, 17-20. The lowest paying is Magic winning 7-9 @ $50 on a $10 bet. If I just hit the lowest I make $20.

This all looks very interesting to me. What do you guys think?

[RoagBettor]

Props are sucker bets, like playing the hardways bets at the craps table.

Atlanta can easily win this game, Portland is not an elite team.

[KiDBaZkiT]

Atlanta can easily win this game, Portland is not an elite team.

Thank You. Portlands lines have been a joke every game, might have to make a play on ATL, I just dont like them traveling 3 time zones to play a road game.

[haserfauld]

kobe might be out tonight, should bring some interesting line movements

[MUHerd37]

what do you guys think about risking a ton of money on the Bulls moneyline? They are home against the Milwaukee Bucks and Michael Redd is out. Any thoughts?

Moneyline is -500

[haserfauld]

i never play a moneyline over about 275. yeah you could hit it but what if rose pops his knee out on the opening jump ball? never know, and i would hate risking 5 units for just 1

[DJ Filthy Rich]

OK these are just too juicy to pass up.

3 Team/8 Point Teaser

Washington +19.5
Pacers +13.5
Hawks +15

$72 to win $60

im loving this teaser and i'm gonna follow you on this one!! run it

[suicidekings]

what do you guys think about risking a ton of money on the Bulls moneyline? They are home against the Milwaukee Bucks and Michael Redd is out. Any thoughts?

Moneyline is -500

I feel like big ML faves are great for parlays, but too much risk for too little reward otherwise. They become more playable later in the season when you know what you're getting, but for Chicago playing only their 4th game, it's hard to say what's going to happen tonight. Early season upsets happen...

PS: LOVE your avatar...

[RoagBettor]

4 Team/5 Point "GOING ROAG" Teaser and I WANT this one!

Pacers +10
Wizards +16
Hawks +11.5
Pistons +13.5

$100 to win $300

[danrman]

good luck roagy

[RoagBettor]

Thanks dan, good to see you drop in! Hope all is well.

[MUHerd37]

Roag, I'm surprised you don't have the Bulls in any of your teasers. They're at home against the Bucks and Redd is out. Like is -9. You were the one telling us to take the Bulls at home against the Spurs and you nailed that one.

[rgga86]

4 Team/5 Point "GOING ROAG" Teaser and I WANT this one!

Pacers +10
Wizards +16
Hawks +11.5
Pistons +13.5

$100 to win $300

tailing you in this one, hope it cash

[RoagBettor]

Roag, I'm surprised you don't have the Bulls in any of your teasers. They're at home against the Bucks and Redd is out. Like is -9. You were the one telling us to take the Bulls at home against the Spurs and you nailed that one.

Different scenarios. The Bulls were playing their home opener against the Spurs on a back to back. I'm not convinced they can beat the teams they're supposed to beat yet, so they are a "no play" for me. The Bucks put on a nice show in the 2H against Detroit the other night, they have confidence which could carry over to this game (or not).

[travisowain]

Different scenarios. The Bulls were playing their home opener against the Spurs on a back to back. I'm not convinced they can beat the teams they're supposed to beat yet, so they are a "no play" for me. The Bucks put on a nice show in the 2H against Detroit the other night, they have confidence which could carry over to this game (or not).

redd might be out, but he has only scored 13pts a game and hes shooting 32% from the field. i dont think its that much of a loss right now. the bucks have played well and i like them to cover in a teaser and i dont see them getting blown out

[RockyBalboa]

Roag,

I'm relatively new to the forum and after a streak of beginner's luck, fell on the sword this past weekend. I read your thread each day and I tailed you on a few picks tonight with hopes that I can see the + next to my plays.

You have a lot of great insight in this thread.

Thanks.

[haserfauld]

didn't post it, so I won't count it on my record but i took wash +4 1st Q. CLE is autofade for me, plus I'm on was +12 and a nickel on the ML for fun

[travisowain]

i got a heavy night of betting. ive tailed roag on his 4team haltime parlay. i loved it. but this is what i got going tonight.

8pt teaser (2 units to win2 )
washington +19
orlando +1 (i hate +1 on a teaser, but it i think orlando will cover like crazy anyway)
atlanta +14.5

2 team 6pt teaser (1 unit to win1)
boston -1.5
dallas -1

4 team 6pt teaser (1unit to win3)
boston -2
orlando -3.5
milwaukee +14
lakers -2

strait bets:
orlando -2 1Q (1unit)
boston -2 1Q (.5 unit)
orlando +8.5 (1 unit)

4team parlay (all haltime bets) 1unit to win10
hawks +4
pacers +3
pacers/nuggs under114
wizards +7
orlando -2

[RoagBettor]

Roag,

I'm relatively new to the forum and after a streak of beginner's luck, fell on the sword this past weekend. I read your thread each day and I tailed you on a few picks tonight with hopes that I can see the + next to my plays.

You have a lot of great insight in this thread.

Thanks.

Thanks Champ, but there's a lot of talent in this thread and at SBR overall. Let's make some money!

[RoagBettor]

I just know the Pacers aren't going to burn me twice in one week on their home court, I just know it.

[RoagBettor]

Well the good news is Washington and the Indiana 1H under looks good. The bad news is the under looks good because the Pacers once again start off a game shooting bricks. Might have to start fading them in the 1Q from now on.

[MUHerd37]

I knew I should have never touched the Pacers game. They are getting absolutely schooled right now. 13 points at home against Denver won't get it done.

[RoagBettor]

6 for 25 from the field. It can't get any worse, so I'm still optimistic they will cover the teasers.

[MUHerd37]

Roag didn't u take Indiana +3 in the first half of that teaser?

[RoagBettor]

Roag didn't u take Indiana +3 in the first half of that teaser?

I have them +3 in my 1H parlay, that's dead.

[john99]

indiana are putting in one of the worst shooting performances you can imagine, they are just lucky denver can't make them pay.

it's games like this that make me angry when you compare theses professional athletes salaries to the average joe...

[travisowain]

parlay that no one likes, but im still going with it!!! even though i wanna autofade cleveland as well. just got a gut feeling about it (i hope its actually not a tapeworm)

cavs -9 and under 100 in the 2nd half...i only got a half unit

[milkshakeballa]

One thing you can take from the first week: DENVER IS FOR REAL and only goin get better with JR coming back..

[haserfauld]

Tonight's feature film: how to blow a lead, starring the washington wizards

[rumple]

Im done with Indiana for awhile, terrible team.

[RoagBettor]

I think I'll take a break for a couple of days

[milkshakeballa]

Tonight's feature film: how to blow a lead, starring the washington wizards

and the lakers...