Roag's NBA Regular Season Thread

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  • dannyovercash
    SBR Rookie
    • 10-16-09
    • 33

    #1051
    F***ing Celtics

    down 5 units tonight, , NCAA comes to town soon (big plays still to come for yo Roag)
    Comment
    • Sirus73
      SBR Sharp
      • 10-08-09
      • 493

      #1052
      hey MUHERd37, who's that hot chick in ur avatar?
      Comment
      • RoagBettor
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-20-09
        • 8355

        #1053
        It's just money management. I'm picking winners more than losers, but I went heavy on the Lakers when they got beat by Dallas, and the Pacers twice. Those 3 losses wiped out all my gains. I loved the Hawks ML last night, and the Pacers tonight. Those are the ones I should have gone heavier on. The Hawks were +250 and the Pacers around +195. Ugh!
        Comment
        • RoagBettor
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-20-09
          • 8355

          #1054
          Friday I'm moving over to 5Dimes from Bookmaker. I really need to make the switch so I can get better soccer odds.
          Comment
          • MUHerd37
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-23-09
            • 12816

            #1055
            Originally posted by Sirus73
            hey MUHERd37, who's that hot chick in ur avatar?
            Allison Stokke is her name.
            Comment
            • haserfauld
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-12-08
              • 957

              #1056
              Originally posted by haserfauld
              also, at half time I'm putting a solid unit on orlando 3rd Q (and phoenix 4th Q +anything if I can get points)
              couldn't get 4th quarter but i hit up the 3rd pretty big
              Comment
              • ztballer
                SBR MVP
                • 08-24-09
                • 1007

                #1057
                I need Lakers and Rockets to score over 8 between them to hit o98 2H

                COME ON!!
                Comment
                • RoagBettor
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-20-09
                  • 8355

                  #1058
                  Originally posted by RoagBettor
                  4 Team Parlay (bought 2 pts)

                  Orlando -6.5
                  Boston/Minny over 184
                  Lakers/Houston over 200.5
                  Hawks/Kings over 206.5

                  $35 to win $235.06
                  This is how it's going for me. Orlando hits, now the Lakers/Rockets will go over with OT coming up, Hawks/Kings will go over.

                  What happened to the Celtics over 184? With 1:14 left in the game the score was 92-90. The final was 92-90. No foul shots in the last 1:14? WTF?

                  I really am ready to give up gambling for good. When you make the right call most of the time and can't win it's time to give it up.
                  Comment
                  • corona
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-12-09
                    • 722

                    #1059
                    Originally posted by ztballer
                    I need Lakers and Rockets to score over 8 between them to hit o98 2H

                    COME ON!!
                    in 5 minutes. that's a lock

                    nice hit
                    Comment
                    • corona
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-12-09
                      • 722

                      #1060
                      nm
                      Comment
                      • milkshakeballa
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 03-24-09
                        • 204

                        #1061
                        Originally posted by RoagBettor
                        This is how it's going for me. Orlando hits, now the Lakers/Rockets will go over with OT coming up, Hawks/Kings will go over.

                        What happened to the Celtics over 184? With 1:14 left in the game the score was 92-90. The final was 92-90. No foul shots in the last 1:14? WTF?

                        I really am ready to give up gambling for good. When you make the right call most of the time and can't win it's time to give it up.

                        Roag it happens bro!!! Just gotta take a deep breathe and bet with your head. Try not to get so emotionally attached. Look at it as disposable income and fun $$$. You know your $&@@ and you will get back on track. Just a matter of time before we RAKE in the dough this season.


                        If anyone here is struggling - tomorrow is a GREAT day to take off. Only 2 games...and tough games to cap at the moment.
                        Comment
                        • RoagBettor
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-20-09
                          • 8355

                          #1062
                          The Spurs will destroy Utah tomorrow, and I won't be on it.
                          Comment
                          • ztballer
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-24-09
                            • 1007

                            #1063
                            I bet a lot of people lost money with the Fakers tonight
                            Comment
                            • milkshakeballa
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 03-24-09
                              • 204

                              #1064
                              Originally posted by RoagBettor
                              The Spurs will destroy Utah tomorrow, and I won't be on it.
                              I feel the exact same way Roag but I'm not going to touch it either. Not going to look at lines or cap either game 2morrow. Going to take a break and get ready for Friday.

                              Friday is a BIG DAY! 13 games!

                              And the following Friday?!?!?!?! Only a 126 college basketball games on tap!!!! + 9 NBA games!!!

                              MONEY 2 B MADE ROAG!!! WE GOT PLENTY OF TIME LEFT!! ONLY A WEEK + 1 day IN!!!!!!

                              Comment
                              • milkshakeballa
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 03-24-09
                                • 204

                                #1065
                                Man I tohught I finished up 2day....

                                Anyways went 2-2...Boston only winnin by 2 instead of by 4 cost me 3 units but no biggie!!!

                                Still up 1.2 units! I got a really good feeling about Friday! Going to spend a lot of time capping and will give a run down of the games. Let's hope for some soft lines and let's cash in fellas!!!


                                So until Friday fellas take care and BOL to you all 2morrow!!


                                Comment
                                • cap10
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-15-07
                                  • 494

                                  #1066
                                  this sh..t should not be this hard;; a 6 pt win in fn easy u fn faves;; went 3w2l today

                                  i like the following to cover -5.5;;

                                  tor-W
                                  orl-W
                                  wash-L
                                  den-W
                                  bos-L ;; pays around 10-1;

                                  funny thing is i was worried about both losses as i read al jefferson is healthy again and he gets jacked vs his former boston tm and
                                  i did mention mia is 22-5 vs wash but i didnt listen to myself


                                  usually fri is a dog day in the nba so we'll see if this holds true;;
                                  Comment
                                  • milkshakeballa
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 03-24-09
                                    • 204

                                    #1067
                                    Originally posted by cap10
                                    this sh..t should not be this hard;; a 6 pt win in fn easy u fn faves;; went 3w2l today

                                    i like the following to cover -5.5;;

                                    tor-W
                                    orl-W
                                    wash-L
                                    den-W
                                    bos-L ;; pays around 10-1;

                                    funny thing is i was worried about both losses as i read al jefferson is healthy again and he gets jacked vs his former boston tm and
                                    i did mention mia is 22-5 vs wash but i didnt listen to myself


                                    usually fri is a dog day in the nba so we'll see if this holds true;;
                                    Cap,

                                    I have never used your method with this 5.5 fave thing but have you made good $$ with this? Is it profitable? Seems very hard to find 5 games in a single night that you can reasonably cap for 6 point wins. I haven't really researched it though! Seems interesting!
                                    Comment
                                    • cap10
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 09-15-07
                                      • 494

                                      #1068
                                      milk

                                      on sunday every fave covered this -5.5 number;; in theory it should be easy;; the trick is to not go to the same well too often like boston today;;
                                      i have dabbled in the past but this is the fiirst time where i will stay at it for a month and see how it goes;;

                                      i am triying to prove to myself that its easier to hit than a regular 4tm parlay cause it usually gives the faves a smaller spread ;;
                                      if i dont hit 1 of these parlays a week than i will scrap it;; but its still early

                                      the other reason i am doing it is i am tired of trying to pick dogs;; if i see a live dog its a no play with this approach
                                      also i usually include faves of -4 to about -12 and adjust the line

                                      another thing this approach is good for is u can prepick the 6 pt winners before the line comes out and sways u off
                                      a good pick;; eg; look at the fri games and circle all tms that 'should' comfortably win by 6+;;

                                      and the biggest reason of all is that its very hard for a cold dog to cover a line of +5.5;; it happens but very rarely;;its the cappers job to NO PLAY the hot dogs
                                      Comment
                                      • SexyMit
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-12-06
                                        • 6139

                                        #1069
                                        How about our Rockets Roag? They are playing with aot of heart and hustle. They will be a team to watch this yr unlike the Lastros!
                                        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                        Comment
                                        • BamaCBass
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-07-09
                                          • 1252

                                          #1070
                                          Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                          This is how it's going for me. Orlando hits, now the Lakers/Rockets will go over with OT coming up, Hawks/Kings will go over.

                                          What happened to the Celtics over 184? With 1:14 left in the game the score was 92-90. The final was 92-90. No foul shots in the last 1:14? WTF?

                                          I really am ready to give up gambling for good. When you make the right call most of the time and can't win it's time to give it up.
                                          Roag, I haven't gone back and reviewed all your parlays and teasers, but I have to wonder where you would be if you played straight bets on all of these teams. I know you crush some teasers and parlays some, but slow and steady may have some merit as well. We should go back and check it out. Thanks for your input as always.
                                          Comment
                                          • RoagBettor
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-20-09
                                            • 8355

                                            #1071
                                            Originally posted by BamaCBass
                                            Roag, I haven't gone back and reviewed all your parlays and teasers, but I have to wonder where you would be if you played straight bets on all of these teams. I know you crush some teasers and parlays some, but slow and steady may have some merit as well. We should go back and check it out. Thanks for your input as always.
                                            Yep, I'm "GOING STRAIGHT"! LOL!

                                            When I can hit 7 out of 8, 4 out of 5, etc. on parlays consistently, it's time to start betting straight bets.
                                            Comment
                                            • BamaCBass
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-07-09
                                              • 1252

                                              #1072
                                              Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                              Yep, I'm "GOING STRAIGHT"! LOL!

                                              When I can hit 7 out of 8, 4 out of 5, etc. on parlays consistently, it's time to start betting straight bets.
                                              So you're really laying off a game (the Spurs) you love after some bad parlay beats?
                                              Comment
                                              • RoagBettor
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-20-09
                                                • 8355

                                                #1073
                                                Yes. I pulled all my money out of Bookmaker and I'm switching to 5Dimes tomorrow. I'll skip tonight so the karma can reset and start fresh tomorrow with the new book.
                                                Comment
                                                • mebaran
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-16-09
                                                  • 1540

                                                  #1074
                                                  Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                  Yes. I pulled all my money out of Bookmaker and I'm switching to 5Dimes tomorrow. I'll skip tonight so the karma can reset and start fresh tomorrow with the new book.
                                                  It sounds like you may be a Cubs fan...do you have a pet billygoat as well?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RoagBettor
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-20-09
                                                    • 8355

                                                    #1075
                                                    LOL nope I'm originally from the Boston area. But I'm VERY superstitious!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RoagBettor
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                      • 8355

                                                      #1076
                                                      Tomorrow night I'm going to play every spread and total on the board and see where I stand at the end of the night.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • FightinIrish
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 11-05-09
                                                        • 63

                                                        #1077
                                                        Hey, new guy here, been reading around the forum for the last few days and thought I'd make my first post,

                                                        I'm from Ireland and been getting into NBA over the last couple of years (Celtics fan),

                                                        just want to say that your tips seem to be hitting nicely,

                                                        and I'm not really a fan of tonights games so I aint got much to say on these,

                                                        I'll be around and I hope I can give some help out,

                                                        but I hope I can use information I have picked up from other sites,

                                                        In the Spurs/Jazz game I think the under is my likely bet, the total is 198,

                                                        and the total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah,

                                                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 9 games when playing at home against San Antonio,

                                                        and it seemed to me last year that the Spurs played in a lot of games under the total, especially on the road,

                                                        and Parker was out for a lot of last season, as far as I know?,

                                                        anyways hope that is of some use, once again, nice little thread you guys got going here...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HustleGetPaid
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-28-09
                                                          • 1199

                                                          #1078
                                                          Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                          Yes. I pulled all my money out of Bookmaker and I'm switching to 5Dimes tomorrow. I'll skip tonight so the karma can reset and start fresh tomorrow with the new book.
                                                          I did the same thing right before the NBA season, 5Dimes is much better. I haven't cashed out yet, but heard they are much faster with payouts than Bookmaker. Best of luck!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • milkshakeballa
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 03-24-09
                                                            • 204

                                                            #1079
                                                            Here is a question for all you guys....Have you ever had problems cashing out if you are from the US? Do you claim these earnings on your taxes?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • El Sol
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 05-17-08
                                                              • 876

                                                              #1080
                                                              Originally posted by milkshakeballa
                                                              Here is a question for all you guys....Have you ever had problems cashing out if you are from the US? Do you claim these earnings on your taxes?

                                                              never had a problem and and claiming it on taxes is up to you (honor system). books do not report to irs
                                                              Comment
                                                              • travisowain
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 10-28-09
                                                                • 94

                                                                #1081
                                                                ive got the spurs on the over. i know no one is betting on it, but ive got a feeling that when the spurs are healthy and rested they like to run. when they were on the road against the bulls they had an offnight, but they still pushed the ball. that was a 2nd game of a back to back. the spurs have not played in 5 days, so i am taking them in the over. the jazz allow a lot of points this year and have scored in triple digits in every game except for the mavs which was the 2nd game of a back to back WITH travel. travel is the key point cause it means they went strait from the game the night before to the plane then into a hotel around 3 in the morning at the earliest. i think both these teams put up a lot of points with the way they like to play this year and i wouldnt be surprised at all if it went to 210. both teams are rested. i took the jazz in the first quarter at a pickem while the spurs shake off some cobwebs then i took the spurs in the 3rdQ and to cover (-2)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RoagBettor
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-20-09
                                                                  • 8355

                                                                  #1082
                                                                  Spurs/Jazz 1H under 99

                                                                  $25 to win $22.73
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • El Sol
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 05-17-08
                                                                    • 876

                                                                    #1083
                                                                    what happened to your project roag?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jcygts6
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-05-09
                                                                      • 3316

                                                                      #1084
                                                                      how is your thread 31 pages already?
                                                                      DO WORK + KROW OD
                                                                      do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                                                      od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • RoagBettor
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-20-09
                                                                        • 8355

                                                                        #1085
                                                                        The project is on hold until the karma changes back to positive. I'm still over $2,000 and when I get back to $3,000 I will update the thread again.

                                                                        Thanks.
                                                                        Comment
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