NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL

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  • JMon
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-11-09
    • 9800

    #2241
    It's good to see Phil get their first win.
    Comment
    • JMon
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-11-09
      • 9800

      #2242
      NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

      Overall Group Record - 56-47-1 54.3% (+5.85) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

      Yesterday's recap 2-3 (-1.25)

      Official Entries: Max 10 of 10:

      1. JMon - 8
      -9 (-1.00)

      2. pip2 - 10-6 (+3.69)

      3. nash13
      - 6-4 (+1.82)

      4. Ronald S.
      - 8-7 (+.50)

      5. hyahya
      - 6-4 (+1.55)

      6. Mako-SBR
      - 5-9 (-4.90)

      7. FlyinAir
      - 1-2 (-1.45)


      8. Consigliere
      - 7-3-1 (+3.84)

      9. Sports Mind
      - 2-0 (+2.00)

      10. GolfAddict -
      3
      -3 (-.20)
      Comment
      • Heart
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-23-11
        • 301

        #2243
        I don't think 2 weeks of support would be enough. If the API calls to the DB change or something gets tweaked on the server end you are out $2k.
        Comment
        • pip2
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-21-12
          • 543

          #2244
          Originally posted by Heart
          I don't think 2 weeks of support would be enough. If the API calls to the DB change or something gets tweaked on the server end you are out $2k.
          What if the programmer gets a couple of days into the project and suddenly realizes its going to be more difficult than he thought, so they now need $4,000 or $6,000, or whatever?
          Comment
          • Cutler'sThumb
            SBR Sharp
            • 12-06-11
            • 287

            #2245
            Like Jmon's idea of contacting sportsdatabase. a) competition is always good, and b) if they offer this kind of thing we wouldn't have to worry about them understanding the specifics. Nash 13, you want to shoot them an email since you have the specifics on the other quote?
            Comment
            • Consigliere
              SBR High Roller
              • 02-10-13
              • 126

              #2246
              Hey guys a friend and I setup a crawler a few years back to scrape the daily results of the sdql. It was pretty easy and I almost guarantee this is the method the developer is offering. I will be home this weekend and talk to my friend. I bet we can do this for free but would require more than the two week time frame.
              Comment
              • hyahya
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-08-14
                • 165

                #2247
                Here's one that's active for today that supports the other query results:

                tS(HW,N=4)>=3 and p:HW and AF and line<-3 and season>2005 and 190<=total<=200<total<200< html=""></total<200<>
                Comment
                • Heart
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-23-11
                  • 301

                  #2248
                  Originally posted by hyahya
                  Here's one that's active for today that supports the other query results:

                  tS(HW,N=4)>=3 and p:HW and AF and line<-3 and season>2005 and 190<=total<=200<total<200< html=""></total<200<>
                  just learning this stuff... is this indicate a play on Cavs -7?
                  Comment
                  • moshi
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-18-11
                    • 801

                    #2249
                    Originally posted by Cutler'sThumb
                    Like Jmon's idea of contacting sportsdatabase. a) competition is always good, and b) if they offer this kind of thing we wouldn't have to worry about them understanding the specifics. Nash 13, you want to shoot them an email since you have the specifics on the other quote?
                    Be careful with that. What this is asking for is a direct challenge to their business model. I'm not sure he'll be so accommodating or welcome to the idea. Last thing you want is for them to put up barriers to prevent web scraping.
                    Comment
                    • nash13
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-21-14
                      • 1122

                      #2250
                      Originally posted by moshi
                      Be careful with that. What this is asking for is a direct challenge to their business model. I'm not sure he'll be so accommodating or welcome to the idea. Last thing you want is for them to put up barriers to prevent web scraping.
                      That's the point. It is a two sided sword. On the one hand they are offering a great great tool and I would be pleased to pay for a package including all sports, but that is not possible. Without using your own workaround, you can get NBA, MLB and NFL automated right now.
                      If you like CFL, College FB and BB or NHL you have to do something. They are offering API free and API is usually used to do these kind of scraping.

                      In the open market there is only one comparable tool: It is BetLabs I suppose, and look what they charge you for their services. And it is not like they are significantly better.
                      Comment
                      • hyahya
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 03-08-14
                        • 165

                        #2251
                        Originally posted by Heart
                        just learning this stuff... is this indicate a play on Cavs -7?
                        Mainly the under but Cavs as well.
                        Comment
                        • pip2
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-21-12
                          • 543

                          #2252
                          NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

                          12/4/14 12:55pm Reduced Basketball 501 Cleveland Cavaliers -7 -103* vs New York Knicks


                          SDQL:

                          playoffs = 0 and game number > 5 and season > 2007 and tA(points - TPM*3 - points in the paint - FTM) > ( tA(points)*.285)

                          SDQL: English

                          Since 2007 and after 5 games have already been played in the season, a team that has averaged scoring over 28% of its points via mid-range shots is in a slump and will probably lose ats until it decreases that average ratio.
                          Last edited by pip2; 12-04-14, 04:18 PM.
                          Comment
                          • JMon
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-11-09
                            • 9800

                            #2253
                            Originally posted by pip2
                            NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

                            12/4/14 12:55pm Reduced Basketball 501 Cleveland Cavaliers -7 -103* vs New York Knicks


                            SDQL:

                            playoffs = 0 and game number > 5 and season > 2007 and tA(points - TPM*3 - points in the paint - FTM) > ( tA(points)*.285)

                            SDQL: English

                            Since 2007 and after 5 games have already been played in the season, a team that has averaged scoring over 28% of its points via mid-range shots is in a slump and will probably lose ats until it decreases that average ratio.
                            Boy this situation is as unique as they come. Only 7 different teams, with only the Knicks this year and no teams in 2012-13
                            Comment
                            • Cutler'sThumb
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-06-11
                              • 287

                              #2254
                              I got the NHL trends done this morning, but ran out of time for the NBA. Just thought I'd mention it, as someone had posted some of the NHL plays before me but only posted 4 or 5 for the possible 25 trends. I don't have time now to double check NBA, but if someone has looked at all the trends, maybe just verify that the Cle -7 and the Under are the only active trends.
                              Comment
                              • Heart
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 11-23-11
                                • 301

                                #2255
                                Where are all the trends? Someone mentioned in a spreadsheet somewhere? What page of the thread is that on?
                                Comment
                                • nash13
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-21-14
                                  • 1122

                                  #2256
                                  Originally posted by Heart
                                  Where are all the trends? Someone mentioned in a spreadsheet somewhere? What page of the thread is that on?
                                  Write me a Pm withy your Email-adress, i will give you access
                                  Comment
                                  • JMon
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-11-09
                                    • 9800

                                    #2257
                                    passing today..
                                    Comment
                                    • JMon
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-11-09
                                      • 9800

                                      #2258
                                      Originally posted by Heart
                                      Where are all the trends? Someone mentioned in a spreadsheet somewhere? What page of the thread is that on?

                                      Heart do you have some of your own queries to share with the group?
                                      Last edited by JMon; 12-04-14, 05:59 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • nash13
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-21-14
                                        • 1122

                                        #2259
                                        Passing today too. There is just too much juice on the Cavs.
                                        Comment
                                        • Heart
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-23-11
                                          • 301

                                          #2260
                                          Originally posted by JMon
                                          Heart do you have some of your own queries to share with the group?
                                          not yet! I want to take a look and continue on my learning curve. Hopefully I'll be able to contribute in the near future though.

                                          Nash, PM sent. Thanks!
                                          Comment
                                          • JMon
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-11-09
                                            • 9800

                                            #2261
                                            Originally posted by nash13
                                            Passing today too. There is just too much juice on the Cavs.
                                            I was hoping of a line around 4...understanding we have some major revenge going on here...with Knicks winning su as 12.5 dogs-in season. I have a query-and perhaps the doc as well, want to play them b/c of that! You playing?
                                            Comment
                                            • JMon
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-11-09
                                              • 9800

                                              #2262
                                              Originally posted by Heart
                                              not yet! I want to take a look and continue on my learning curve. Hopefully I'll be able to contribute in the near future though.

                                              Nash, PM sent. Thanks!
                                              great...will be looking forward to seeing your contributions in the near future. Hard work pays off!
                                              Comment
                                              • Ronald S.
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 07-02-13
                                                • 344

                                                #2263
                                                NBA Best Bet

                                                12/4/14 6:30 PM EST

                                                New Orleans +9.5 -105 (@Golden St) (5dimes)

                                                H and streak >= 6 and p:line <= -9 and p:margin <= 4
                                                SU: 24-7 (7.03, 77.4%)
                                                ATS: 8-23-0 (-3.69, 25.8%) avg line: -10.7
                                                O/U: 15-15-1 (1.23, 50.0%) avg total: 197.7

                                                Fade the home team on a winning streak of 6 or more that just escaped with a narrow win as a heavy favorite in their previous game. Although sample size is fairly small, what I like is that the trend gets better (or actually, worse) as the winning streak increases. Also same if we decrease the winning margin. I think this bodes well for this game since Warriors are actually on a 10 game winning streak and won their previous game by just 1 point. Even though sample size is small, I'll give this one a shot!

                                                H and streak >= 6 and p:line <= -9 and p:margin <= 1,2,3,4,5,6,7
                                                H and streak >= 4,5,6,7,8,9,10 and p:line <= -9 and p:margin <= 4

                                                Notice the steady decrease in the ATS record.
                                                Comment
                                                • FortySix
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 02-18-14
                                                  • 134

                                                  #2264
                                                  Hey fellas,

                                                  Gotta apologize to you all for not doing any best bets and I saw that I was replaced which is ok because of lack of posting but I have been away for awhile. Hope you are all doing well with the plays and I will just post a few of my own queries from now on.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JMon
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-11-09
                                                    • 9800

                                                    #2265
                                                    Originally posted by FortySix
                                                    Hey fellas,

                                                    Gotta apologize to you all for not doing any best bets and I saw that I was replaced which is ok because of lack of posting but I have been away for awhile. Hope you are all doing well with the plays and I will just post a few of my own queries from now on.
                                                    Hey 46,,,tried to get a hold of you..hope all is well. I'm trying to get in touch with flyinair with no response. I may be able to fit you in there..if interested.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • FortySix
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 02-18-14
                                                      • 134

                                                      #2266
                                                      Originally posted by JMon
                                                      Hey 46,,,tried to get a hold of you..hope all is well. I'm trying to get in touch with flyinair with no response. I may be able to fit you in there..if interested.
                                                      Everything is all good. Thanks Jmon. I will take Flyinair's spot if thats ok. Will have a query shortly.. Thank you again for all that you guys do on this thread.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pip2
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-21-12
                                                        • 543

                                                        #2267
                                                        Originally posted by Ronald S.
                                                        NBA Best Bet

                                                        12/4/14 6:30 PM EST

                                                        New Orleans +9.5 -105 (@Golden St) (5dimes)

                                                        H and streak >= 6 and p:line <= -9 and p:margin <= 4
                                                        SU: 24-7 (7.03, 77.4%)
                                                        ATS: 8-23-0 (-3.69, 25.8%) avg line: -10.7
                                                        O/U: 15-15-1 (1.23, 50.0%) avg total: 197.7

                                                        Fade the home team on a winning streak of 6 or more that just escaped with a narrow win as a heavy favorite in their previous game. Although sample size is fairly small, what I like is that the trend gets better (or actually, worse) as the winning streak increases. Also same if we decrease the winning margin. I think this bodes well for this game since Warriors are actually on a 10 game winning streak and won their previous game by just 1 point. Even though sample size is small, I'll give this one a shot!

                                                        H and streak >= 6 and p:line <= -9 and p:margin <= 1,2,3,4,5,6,7
                                                        H and streak >= 4,5,6,7,8,9,10 and p:line <= -9 and p:margin <= 4

                                                        Notice the steady decrease in the ATS record.
                                                        Thanks for this query Ronald. I'm tailing!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • nash13
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-21-14
                                                          • 1122

                                                          #2268
                                                          I will be away for a few days. Take care everyone. See y'all Monday.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GolfAddict
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 11-05-14
                                                            • 37

                                                            #2269
                                                            HF and rest =1 and o:rest = 1 and HWP >= 82 and o:AWP <= 34 and season >= 2012
                                                            SU:64-12 (11.84, 84.2%)
                                                            ATS:39-35-2 (1.01, 52.7%)avg line: -10.8

                                                            Is there a way to only find how often teams cover the spread or are within 4 points of covering?Would it be ATSm >= -4?
                                                            For example on tonight’s games GS and Portland fit this and I was trying to find out if you can run a query to find out if a two team teaser would be a good play on these games.I know its kinda late for these games but I would like to use this in the future if its possible

                                                            Comment
                                                            • Ronald S.
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 07-02-13
                                                              • 344

                                                              #2270
                                                              Originally posted by GolfAddict
                                                              HF and rest =1 and o:rest = 1 and HWP >= 82 and o:AWP <= 34 and season >= 2012
                                                              SU:64-12 (11.84, 84.2%)
                                                              ATS:39-35-2 (1.01, 52.7%)avg line: -10.8

                                                              Is there a way to only find how often teams cover the spread or are within 4 points of covering?Would it be ATSm >= -4?
                                                              For example on tonight’s games GS and Portland fit this and I was trying to find out if you can run a query to find out if a two team teaser would be a good play on these games.I know its kinda late for these games but I would like to use this in the future if its possible
                                                              Yep ats margin is what you are looking for. Sorry couldn't answer sooner though.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ronald S.
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 07-02-13
                                                                • 344

                                                                #2271
                                                                Originally posted by pip2
                                                                Thanks for this query Ronald. I'm tailing!
                                                                Ugh. Failed miserably on this one. Thought Pellies would be a bad matchup for them too but man Warriors are just too good right now!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dmitean
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 03-30-11
                                                                  • 364

                                                                  #2272
                                                                  Updated tonight's queries in the file.

                                                                  A lot of queries fit the game in Philly. A bit too much even...

                                                                  Obviously three games that don't have lines, may have queries that fit them, after the lines will be released...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Cutler'sThumb
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-06-11
                                                                    • 287

                                                                    #2273
                                                                    Originally posted by dmitean
                                                                    Updated tonight's queries in the file.

                                                                    A lot of queries fit the game in Philly. A bit too much even...

                                                                    Obviously three games that don't have lines, may have queries that fit them, after the lines will be released...
                                                                    Thanks D! Defiantly appreciated. I'm working on the NHL now. I started on them overnight too, but was concerned that I would miss plays due to lines not being out (Jets/Avalanche line finally out now). Both sports have generally been in the dumps this week...hopefully time for a bounce over the weekend.

                                                                    NBA note: Boy, woulda been good to get on the overnight lines, especially the totals. Almost all are moving the way we would like. Totals have been horrible lately (the main reason NBA generally has been bad). Maybe time for a correction.
                                                                    Last edited by Cutler'sThumb; 12-05-14, 12:15 PM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Ronald S.
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 07-02-13
                                                                      • 344

                                                                      #2274
                                                                      NBA Best Bet

                                                                      12/5/14 1:00PM EST

                                                                      Atlanta -1.5 -105 (@Brooklyn) (5dimes)

                                                                      HD and p:HW and p:margin <= 3 and P:L and 17 < WP < 47.5
                                                                      SU: 25-100 (-9.26, 20.0%)
                                                                      ATS: 33-92-0 (-4.02, 26.4%) avg line: 5.2
                                                                      HD and p:HW and p:margin <= 3 and P:L and 17 < WP < 47.5 and 0 <= p:line <= 8.5
                                                                      SU: 11-62 (-10.12, 15.1%)
                                                                      ATS: 17-56-0 (-4.56, 23.3%) avg line: 5.6


                                                                      Will go with cutler's excellent trend (with a couple small tweaks) today to hopefully get back into the black. Play against the home dog with a poor to moderate record that narrowly won their last game at home and lost their previous matchup against their opponent today. Changed max WP to 47.5 from 47 and took out the line parameter to accommodate the nets being just a 1.5 underdog though this could change as early money seems to be on the hawks.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Heart
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 11-23-11
                                                                        • 301

                                                                        #2275
                                                                        Yeah the Thunder -12.5 coming up in about 10 of the trends
                                                                        Comment
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