I only have 1 nba game so far, I took Spurs -6.5. Got it last night. Hopefully those old balls arent too tired tonight. I actually like it even more seeing it as a free pick on the sbr homepage. haha, those guys really suck.
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The Lakers/Jazz game really looks too good to be true but how can I resist? As long as Kobe is playing...and he certainly did play and play well last night...this game should be a solid Laker win.
Its not often you get the Lakers at Pk... its a bit hard to believe the sharps are hammering this line based on the Lakers performance of 6-0 on that tough east coast road trip... cant they see that the Lakers are turning it up? Why would they pick this spot to try to take on the Lakers? Just because its a btb? If thats the case, I am going to have to downgrade the sharps a bit...that is a bit too little to have me go huge against the Lakeshow in this spot.
How can you look a gift horse in the mouth?
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Yeah Dex I figured there was wiseguy money on Utah from the jump being that the Lakers line was only -2.5 to beggin wit. But if Kobe is def playing then ama have to ride with the Kobes, ama just hit em harder now!
I like that Bucks play. Even wit Redd out I think this team has heart and also has a player named Ramon Sessions who has completly taken over dropping 44 on Det and 26 on Hou. Best of luck my friend
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The Lakers are on a perpetual road trip having played those 6 road games and then came home to face the Thunder and then go out agin in back to back fashion to play the Jazz in thin air and a different time zone. I myself am going to make a small play on the Jazz too, and I will reflect that on my front page.Comment -
CK...isn't there a bit of a problem with this Laker/Utah game and the strategy of taking the moneyline on Utah when they are at Pk and the moneyline on both is identical? I could understand it if there was a significant moneyline difference...but there is not in this case.
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any chance you guys think the boston line will go down anymore? Looks like it went from -8 to -7.5 so far.
Smack, I was thinkin the same thing. Usually when CK puts a ML bet on the other side hes gettin like 3 to 1 odds.Comment -
yeah nonsense - cheesehead came back and smacked me in the face with a 4-0 day yesterday. been a great battle. thx buddy.Comment -
LAC line went from -3 to-5 with 71% of the public on NYNComment -
I don't play Secret Plays carefully. If the criteria is there so it gets played for $1500.00, and that's about it. Already the public is placing their money on the Bulldogs, and Tennessee is a minority on the wager 63% to 37% for the game. I alread know what the yeild is for playing the Secret Plays over the course of a year in football and basketball, and this year is no different, desite the one bad Saturday. 39-9 college football and 33-12 college basketball. Translated that means 51 units over .500. Multiply that number by $1500 and you will see why I don't play these things with caution. Matter of fact i play them with reckless abandon. One bad Saturday won't make me change my wagering habits. Sometimes success takes a shot at you. Anyone playing the JM system knows that. Every once in a while you will lose some of those wagers too, and you will take a monstrous hit if you double up. But my Secret Plays are 72-21 altogether with absolutely no doubling up. Even plays every single time on a seperate book to see the actual earnings with no mixing of daily action plays to get in the way.Comment -
Nice 2-0 yesterday gonna try and come back with some strong plays tonight. I wanted to take UNC tonight, but it seems through the percantages that evreyone and there mother bet UNC so thats a no play for me. In the NBA I don't think you can steer away from the Spurs and Cavs tonight. Both teams are playing miserable clubs right now. I think I may end up doing Cavs for the half with Spurs for the game right now. I may try and get cute and throw in a spurs 1q play also. My CK plays though are gonna be Cavs -4.5 for the half and Spurs -6.5 for the game.Comment -
anthony, glad to see your on the spurs too. Cavs is scary to me. the game seems too obvious, cavs werent supposed to lose last night, so they really arent supposed to lose tonight. Which makes it look too easy to take. But I LOVE those spursComment -
is it too much to ask OKC to try cover 13pts two nights in a row??Comment -
The sharps were right on yesterday with my 2 nba plays...okla city and Toronto. Extremely early money was spot on.
TODAYS PLAYS BASED ON SHARPS EARLY MONEY AND LINE MOVEMENT:
UTAH PK
LAC -4 (BUY TO KEY #)
PURDUE -10 (BUY HOOK)
SMU +8Comment -
CK...isn't there a bit of a problem with this Laker/Utah game and the strategy of taking the moneyline on Utah when they are at Pk and the moneyline on both is identical? I could understand it if there was a significant moneyline difference...but there is not in this case.
When you made your wager with the Lakers as a 2.5 favorite, there was some weight on the Utah moneyline. But now of course there's equal action. As the Laker money pours in you will get some juice for Utah. I suggest waiting until right before tipoff and see, if not, then maybe you might want to divide it up by taking Utah moneylines with small plays on each of the quarters. Of course it's not a bad thing to just take the loss and move on to another game. No one is 100%. But it looks like Utah may hand them their hat today. That is a big line movement.Comment -
booked plays for today
orl -8.5
What about playing charlotte -8 against wizards?Comment -
Do not buy into the lakers because its a pk..they will lose this one.Comment -
Hornets Coach Byron Scott will decide just before tip-off tonight whether point guard Chris Paul will play against the Boston Celtics.
Paul has missed the past four games with a mild groin strain. Paul participated in Wednesday morning's shootaround at the New Orleans Arena. Scott said starting center Tyson Chandler will miss his 12th consecutive game with a sprained left ankle. Scott was asked by reporters this morning about Paul, but he stuck by his earlier statement of waiting until later today to make a decision.Comment -
Is anybody considering the Suns tonight? Seems not right but looks good if they show up. Everybody got plenty of rest in Philly and Cavs might just be in alittle slump. No bench right now. Suns players right now in hotel are hoping Wally is guarding them tonight! Cavs will have to shorten this game to the max. Don't know o/u, but could that be a play? Thanks!
MrMonkey
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lay off that game there are better out thereComment -
I wouldn't even think about it. Nash is a game-time decision too.Is anybody considering the Suns tonight? Seems not right but looks good if they show up. Everybody got plenty of rest in Philly and Cavs might just be in alittle slump. No bench right now. Suns players right now in hotel are hoping Wally is guarding them tonight! Cavs will have to shorten this game to the max. Don't know o/u, but could that be a play? Thanks!
MrMonkeyComment -
The suns are in some real turmoil. Amare is all over the trading blocks, nash is showing signs that he has gone down a level, and simply there just not playing like they used to. This is the NBA and these guys are professionals for a reason, so a Suns cover woulld not be something crazy, but I can't trust them right now in the spot the cavs are in here.Is anybody considering the Suns tonight? Seems not right but looks good if they show up. Everybody got plenty of rest in Philly and Cavs might just be in alittle slump. No bench right now. Suns players right now in hotel are hoping Wally is guarding them tonight! Cavs will have to shorten this game to the max. Don't know o/u, but could that be a play? Thanks!
MrMonkeyComment -
Haha monkey makes a post on the Suns and we all immediately respond back saying NOOOOOOO!...lol feels like were trying to stop someone from committing suicide.Comment -
I'm seriously considering Phoenix tonight. Watching the Cavs yesterday, they did not look anything like the team from the first 2 months of the season. In fact, they looked a lot more like previous years' teams, with a lot of offensive standing around waiting for Lebron to do something. Also, their bigs have been getting beat to a lot of rebounds that they normally get to. I think that this is a tired team right now. They have a week off after tonight so if my theory is correct maybe looking ahead to the break.Is anybody considering the Suns tonight? Seems not right but looks good if they show up. Everybody got plenty of rest in Philly and Cavs might just be in alittle slump. No bench right now. Suns players right now in hotel are hoping Wally is guarding them tonight! Cavs will have to shorten this game to the max. Don't know o/u, but could that be a play? Thanks!
MrMonkey
Hard for me to see them losing 3 in a row with 2 being at home, but getting 7.5 may very well be enough for Suns to cover. Haven't decided yet, more than likely going to lay off this one. But I just can't shake the image I got yesterday of a tired, banged up team looking ahead to the break.
EDIT: Certainly no play for me pending Nash's statusComment -
Kobe is playing. The line dropped because the sharps big money is on utah. Its a bad spot for lakers...just came off 6 game road trip...played 1 at home now back on the road in altitude. Huge RLM game. 85% on lakers but line towards utah 2.5 points. Dont play the lakers believe me utah is the play folks. CK also agrees looks like.Comment -
I did a write up earlier in this thread about the Cavs... I agree with El Degeneroso that the Cavs are a team waiting for Lebron to do his thing... his scoring is way up above his average for previous months this year... this is affecting their defense and making them play more close games and lose more of them when they come up against a motivated team in the right spot.
The Cavs are off my play list for now...
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good stuff lemondrop.Comment -
I've got too many plays...4 hockey(hockeytown..nuff said)...2 SP's
...LAC-5,SAS-5.5,MILW-5
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Yeah I thought your write-up was spot on. Balance is the key to the Cavs (and most other teams) success. Having read all of this and the info about Nash's injury, Suns issues as a team, Cavs injuries, have convinced my that the UNDER is the play in this game. Its dropped from 204 to 201, would likely go lower should Nash sit. Booked it at 201.I did a write up earlier in this thread about the Cavs... I agree with El Degeneroso that the Cavs are a team waiting for Lebron to do his thing... his scoring is way up above his average for previous months this year... this is affecting their defense and making them play more close games and lose more of them when they come up against a motivated team in the right spot.
The Cavs are off my play list for now...Comment -
Man, the Machine Choice is really opening up now and blasting people on his thread. The Cold War sort of humanized him and now he is getting all Pontious Pilate over there. He never said a word until these last couple of weeks. Somehow i don't think he likes all of the attention he is getting now after the Cold War....Comment -
I won't bet the Cavs until Delonte West comes back. Wally looks out of sorts being a starter. The problem with them is that they don't have a lot of guys that can beat the defender off of the dribble now. Someone alluded to the fact that they look similar to the Cavs teams of years' past. That is a spot on assessment. They have gone from being the Cavs to being the LeBrons again.Comment
