Leans for Wednesday 2/11/09

jaymac82980 · 02-11-09, 01:52 PM

ck, I still think he was buying picks (when he was winning). When he came out of character he said he lost money in the past, then created the "machine choice" post to make back money. he said he took out a loan, and then made the money to pay back the loan...now, I think he used a pay service to make that loan money back, and then he decided it was time to start making his own picks - which is when he started talking to people, replying to posts, and oh yeah, losing on a consistent basis.

jaymac82980 · 02-11-09, 01:57 PM

p.s. that Xavier pick machine posted looks more like a late night - garbage "chase" pick more than a quality game to bet on. I don't see how people are still tailing machine choice

cocknocker · 02-11-09, 01:58 PM

Yeah the trolls are nipping at his heels now. Once the pick buying was exposed everything changed. He'll be alright though. I actually like the fact that he is being more open and involved now..

jaymac82980 · 02-11-09, 02:00 PM

yeah, if he's still buying picks, it's not from you know who anymore, maybe he's buying them from Mr. Hanky lately. Which would explain a lot.

GreatDanes52 · 02-11-09, 02:03 PM

CK, Jay What do you guys think of Tulsa tonight getting 14. I know Memphis is playing real good ball lately but, I really like the revenge factor. Last time these teams played Tulsa lost a heartbreaker at the last second. I think theyre gonna keep it close maybe even pull off the upset. What do you think?

jaymac82980 · 02-11-09, 02:05 PM

memphis. I'm not playing this game, but they are a much better team, and the ATS tends point towards memphis at home to cover.

cocknocker · 02-11-09, 02:13 PM

Wow, GreatDanes52,

I don't know if I can wager against the Tigers right now especially with a player suspension. Teams seem to respond to that kind of thing. I may want to stay away from that one. Duke looks good as a home dog though...

GreatDanes52 · 02-11-09, 02:14 PM

Originally posted by jaymac82980

memphis. I'm not playing this game, but they are a much better team, and the ATS tends point towards memphis at home to cover.

thanks for the input jay

GreatDanes52 · 02-11-09, 02:16 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Wow, GreatDanes52,

I don't know if I can wager against the Tigers right now especially with a player suspension. Teams seem to respond to that kind of thing. I may want to stay away from that one. Duke looks good as a home dog though...

thanks CK for the advice. I dont think I can wager against you and Jay. Im definitely going to take another look at this one. I'll probably lay off it or bet it real small. thanks again

repski · 02-11-09, 02:18 PM

SamsNCharge99 · 02-11-09, 02:21 PM

any one know how to bring your spreadsheet into a post w/o posting the link.

I know, just click on spreadsheet on add the link, but I DON'T WANT THAT. I want to drag in the spreadsheet so you see it on the post as I see it on the actual spreadsheet.

Anyone know how to do this?

BelieveTheHype · 02-11-09, 02:23 PM

unless there is some injury i don't know about, how can you not bet on OU -2 vs Baylor?

repski · 02-11-09, 02:27 PM

Uconn should beat Syracuse by 20...

Syracuse has surrendered 100 points in its last two road games
They are 0-4 SU/ATS on the road during thier last 4 road games, allowing 92 ppg in those four games.
The SU winner is 9-0 ATS in Syracuse's last nine games
The Huskies are 6-0 ATS in the last six regular-season games against Syracuse on their home court.

jaymac82980 · 02-11-09, 02:40 PM

I like the over for that Uconn/Syracuse game. and yeah, the huskies would be the obvious play.

jaymac82980 · 02-11-09, 02:42 PM

1st half Uconn might be a nice play. early lead taken.

djpremier36 · 02-11-09, 02:48 PM

If anybody has been watching the Lakers in their last 5 games or so they would not IMO bet against Kobe and the Lakeshow...even off of a B2B playing in a tough barn in Utah.

Just like the Lakers, the Spurs are ballin lately...how can I not take Tony and Tim to destroy the Raps?

Leaning towards OU, Drake and Bowling Green in CBB and love the BYU special play!

GL boys!

repski · 02-11-09, 02:51 PM

Originally posted by jaymac82980

1st half Uconn might be a nice play. early lead taken.

fwiw...I love UConn in the tourney...no one can hang with their big men...

as far as the 1st half they seem to wear/frustrate teams down....they get easy points in the paint...

peetlui · 02-11-09, 02:52 PM

Hey ck you mentioned playing Denver as an A play in one of your posts yesterday. You still rollin with them?

BelieveTheHype · 02-11-09, 03:01 PM

my plays for today
spurs -5
orlando -6
oklahoma -2
UNC -1.5
Wake Forest -4

esz04 · 02-11-09, 03:13 PM

Be careful with UConn. I'm concerned about their ability to handle Cuse's zone after watching them struggle with Michigan's.

cocknocker · 02-11-09, 03:17 PM

Originally posted by peetlui

Hey ck you mentioned playing Denver as an A play in one of your posts yesterday. You still rollin with them?

Naw, I'm gona let that one rest. Orlando may just blow them off. They have an agenda to win those home games. I was told that if you feel that a certain team will win a game, then take them on the spread. I feel that Orlando is gonna win this game.

repski · 02-11-09, 03:29 PM

Originally posted by esz04

Be careful with UConn. I'm concerned about their ability to handle Cuse's zone after watching them struggle with Michigan's.

'Cuse last 4 road games.....

@ Gtown L 74-88
@ Pittsburgh L 60-78
@ Providence L 94-100
@ Villanova L 85-102

seems to be gettin worse....I'm not playing yet...but I like the stats in their favor...

UndersSuck · 02-11-09, 03:36 PM

IN DEPTH CAVS STATS

I took a look at the Cavs game by game and see how they fared ATS in the 1st QTR and 1st Half. Hopefully this helps.

ALL RECORDS ATS AND 1st Qtr/1st H lines approximated

Season (50 gms)
31-19 1st Q
28-22 1st H

Home
14-10 1Q
14-10 1H

AWAY
17-9 1Q
14-12 1H

vs +.500 Teams (at time of game)
13-7 1Q
12-8 1H

vs -.500 Teams (at time of game)
17-13 1Q
16-14 1H

Since Jan. 15th (Delonte West Injury)
7-6 1Q
8-5 1H

On game 2 of Back-to-back games
8-3 1Q
7-4 1H

Thanks to CK and the mafia for great advice and picks.

as well as to Hockeytown for outstanding NHL picks

wangichu · 02-11-09, 03:38 PM

striking fact with the cavs suns for me is that the suns have swept the last 2 season series... I just can't see lebron and the boys not doing something to keep that from happening again, and i think that they shold be teed off enough to do it tonight. I think that's the reason that spread isn't around 10 though.

nonsense48 · 02-11-09, 03:41 PM

rep, which 4 in hockey did hock give out

akharlip · 02-11-09, 03:43 PM

Ck,dex,hockey,nonsense

any you boys like the sixers tonight??????

I think they have been playing monstrous @ home and they are gelling without brand. Meanwhile memphis is horrible on the road and are without 3 starters (lowrly, arthur,gay)

thoughts

thanks

nonsense48 · 02-11-09, 03:50 PM

tenn-9.5 byu-10.5 1st 1/2 now at greek byu and tenn have a moneyline now

ram1502 · 02-11-09, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by wangichu

striking fact with the cavs suns for me is that the suns have swept the last 2 season series... I just can't see lebron and the boys not doing something to keep that from happening again, and i think that they shold be teed off enough to do it tonight. I think that's the reason that spread isn't around 10 though.

wang, I saw this too. That was the only reason why I'm not betting the Cavs. The Cavs are amazing both SU(9-1) & ATS(9-1) the game following a SU loss. They are 6-0 SU & ATS at home the game following a SU loss and are 9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS on the back end of back to back. However, the Suns own the Cavs overall (8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS last 10) and in Cleveland (3-2 SU & ATS). No play for me...GL guys

nonsense48 · 02-11-09, 03:55 PM

76'er not for me lip. i think it's a good play tho. i have all my bb plays in and i have some play reserved for hockey

nonsense48 · 02-11-09, 03:58 PM

cavs have to be livid at the way the game was stolen from them last nite. my feel is that they show up and show phoenix tonite.

repski · 02-11-09, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

rep, which 4 in hockey did hock give out

Chi/Atl over 6
Mtl/Edm over 5.5
Col/Min under 5.5
San Jose -135

ram1502 · 02-11-09, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by akharlip

Ck,dex,hockey,nonsense

any you boys like the sixers tonight??????

I think they have been playing monstrous @ home and they are gelling without brand. Meanwhile memphis is horrible on the road and are without 3 starters (lowrly, arthur,gay)

thoughts

thanks

I liked the 76ers at first glance as well, but Memphis is 4-1 SU & ATS their last 5 and are playing really well as of late. However, the line movement strongly supports your early lean. With 55-60% of the betting public on the 76ers, the line has dropped from -12 to -11. Nothing major, but RLM nonetheless. Hope this helps.

wangichu · 02-11-09, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by ram1502

wang, I saw this too. That was the only reason why I'm not betting the Cavs. The Cavs are amazing both SU(9-1) & ATS(9-1) the game following a SU loss. They are 6-0 SU & ATS at home the game following a SU loss and are 9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS on the back end of back to back. However, the Suns own the Cavs overall (8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS last 10) and in Cleveland (3-2 SU & ATS). No play for me...GL guys

i just don't think that this suns team as anywhere close to the suns squads of the past, and this cleveland team is legit. That loss yesterday to the pacers really didn't surprise me as they've been doing that to contenders this year. I was just mad that i laid off the game rather than playing the pacers, but oh well, better than blindly following the cavs. Anyways, i just think lebron exposes a pretender tonight. they are young and fresh, they play well off back to backs and off SU losses (except against indy, but phoenix lost to indy at home so they can't talk trash).

so far posted

ORL -7.5
TOR/SA under 189.5
POR -11.5

leaning
UTAH +1
BOS -7.5 (waiting here either way cuz if cp3 plays we can get it for cheaper)
CLE -7.5 (just have to fade the suns against a true contender)

repski · 02-11-09, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

cavs have to be livid at the way the game was stolen from them last nite. my feel is that they show up and show phoenix tonite.

actually the Cav's got a foul call with .4 seconds on almost the same play that the Ind call was....

both should have been no calls....this is what I think of that ref...

Turkish · 02-11-09, 04:03 PM

hi guys

http://nbamatches.blogspot.com/ is my new blog..i am writing the new injuries before matches..also you can watch nba games

Today i am taking boston half time -4..chandler-paul is quesitonable...celtics starts good at first halfs..second half big-three will rest..they don't want to any injury before all-star