CK's Leans for Tuesday 2/10/09

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  • GreatDanes52
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-12-09
    • 297

    #71
    Originally posted by GreatDanes52
    Dex the cleveland line at my book came out an hour ago at 6.5 and dropped to 6 I dunno why it id that but do you think I should jump on it now or see if theres anymore RLM?
    Nonsense what do you think buddy?
    Comment
    • nonsense48
      SBR MVP
      • 12-15-08
      • 2927

      #72
      peter, let's get 'em
      Comment
      • ANDYW15
        SBR MVP
        • 07-28-08
        • 1254

        #73
        Booked plays for me

        The association

        Cavs -5.5
        Spurs -5
        Okc +12
        Raps -2.5

        My puck plays for today -

        LA Kings ML -145
        Redwings PL +160
        CBJ/Avs over 5.5. -110
        Comment
        • cocknocker
          Restricted User
          • 11-06-08
          • 8001

          #74
          Originally posted by chalupa
          what do some of you think about denver mia game i have them as a pk right now. Is there any reason why DENVER does not win this game?

          Denver is the wrong call on this game. The Heat will punish them for shooting too many jumpers.
          Comment
          • solobass
            SBR MVP
            • 01-15-09
            • 1277

            #75
            Originally posted by nonsense48
            booked nbaistons+2 spurs-5 cavs-5.5 den+1 cbb:mich st-4 nhl:wings over 5.5 kings over 5.5 all for a nickle each thanks hockey, i'm tailing you again. good luck everyone.
            right now i cannot lay my cash on the pistons especially with sheed/ai and others looking toward the all star break. joe d needs to trade for amare and move out some of the non effort (sheed) guys.
            Comment
            • Dexter
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-24-08
              • 25829

              #76
              look at that thunder money coming in - i love it and hate it all at the same time.
              Comment
              • repski
                SBR MVP
                • 02-01-09
                • 1929

                #77
                MARQUETTE is 3-0 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
                VILLANOVA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons
                Comment
                • Dexter
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-24-08
                  • 25829

                  #78
                  booked plays-

                  cavs -6.5 (big)
                  thunder +12
                  Comment
                  • cocknocker
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-06-08
                    • 8001

                    #79
                    I see 26% on the Thunder at Sportsinsights, Dexter. You can best believe that the Laker backers will make it more lopsided before gametime
                    Comment
                    • Dexter
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-24-08
                      • 25829

                      #80
                      Originally posted by cocknocker
                      I see 26% on the Thunder at Sportsinsights, Dexter. You can best believe that the Laker backers will make it more lopsided before gametime
                      i have 2 guys - one had 11.5, one 12...i just took the 12 now. sit on the key number.
                      Comment
                      • roasthawg
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-09-07
                        • 2990

                        #81
                        Originally posted by cocknocker
                        Denver is the wrong call on this game. The Heat will punish them for shooting too many jumpers.
                        I think so too...I'm on the Heat as a pk.
                        Comment
                        • solobass
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-15-09
                          • 1277

                          #82
                          Originally posted by cocknocker
                          I see 26% on the Thunder at Sportsinsights, Dexter. You can best believe that the Laker backers will make it more lopsided before gametime

                          damn sheep! what drives me nuts is jokers that automatically throw money down on cleveland, lakers, boston without capping at all. of course it does not drive me too nuts because i am taking their money! when i see a team like orlando that is 33-16-1 you have to know they will see some inflated lines in the 2nd half of the season. the lakers have seen inflated lines all year, and i saw value there once bynum went out with an injury. i mean the thunder are 30-19-2 ATS and 15-8 ATS at home and there has been value there all year let's clean up on those plays as well!
                          Comment
                          • nonsense48
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-15-08
                            • 2927

                            #83
                            ck, you don't think the flu moving thru the heat locker room will have any effect on this game? i took den+1 for just that reason and denver isn't a half bad team
                            Comment
                            • solobass
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-15-09
                              • 1277

                              #84
                              Originally posted by nonsense48
                              ck, you don't think the flu moving thru the heat locker room will have any effect on this game? i took den+1 for just that reason and denver isn't a half bad team

                              haha the all star "flu" is an affliction that might reach pandemic status in the next few hours.....
                              Comment
                              • nonsense48
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-15-08
                                • 2927

                                #85
                                zactly solo lol
                                Comment
                                • cocknocker
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-06-08
                                  • 8001

                                  #86
                                  I think that the intravenious fluids will be applied and the gang will be okay when they hit the floor. The Heaters will avenge the loss to the Nuggets earlier this year. Denver is a good team to b sure, but they are in a difficult situation with Orlando in their next game, and may chalk up the Heat as a win looking forward to that game. Big spot for a letdown. The Heat are hungry and are also a good home team. The blowout loss to the Nets was a telling game for the Nuggets as they overlooked the Nets due to VC's injury. Miami is much the same as the Nets with their makeup. Since this is a home gamefor the Heat, they will get the calls down the stretch, and prevail. I would probably take the Nuggets in the next game against the Magic though, as Chaucney Billups will outshine anything that the Magic will be able to put on the floor to guard him, and the Nuggets length and three point shooting will keep them in the game until the end.
                                  Comment
                                  • BelieveTheHype
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-03-09
                                    • 747

                                    #87
                                    nobody likes sac +13 vs dallas with terry out and dirk coming off of 34 shots?
                                    Comment
                                    • MrMonkey
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-09-08
                                      • 2278

                                      #88
                                      CK, already bet Denver. Coach will do everything possible to get win tonight with Magic waiting. A total ***t effort against NJ! Heat shot ungodly against Char. and just barely won. Hopefully Wade won't be 100%?

                                      MrMonkey
                                      Comment
                                      • CarloTwoGuns
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-22-09
                                        • 1024

                                        #89
                                        NBA[703] CLEVELAND -4-160 (B+2½)



                                        NBA[706] MIAMI EV



                                        NBA[707] SAN ANTONIO -3-140 (B+1½)



                                        NBA[710] TORONTO v MINNESOTA u194-110



                                        NBA[711] SACRAMENTO +14-170 (B+3)



                                        NBA[715] OKLAHOMA CITY +15-170 (B+3)



                                        NBA[718] GOLDEN STATE -1-170 (B+3)
                                        Comment
                                        • repski
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-01-09
                                          • 1929

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by BelieveTheHype
                                          nobody likes sac +13 vs dallas with terry out and dirk coming off of 34 shots?
                                          unless thats 34 shots of Quervo...Mavs roll IMHO
                                          Comment
                                          • Achilles15
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-25-09
                                            • 156

                                            #91
                                            i bet oklahoma city at +13, anyone know wher i can get +15???? did you actually make this bet carlo, or are you just posting plays,because no one has +15
                                            Comment
                                            • Dexter
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-24-08
                                              • 25829

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by Achilles15
                                              i bet oklahoma city at +13, anyone know wher i can get +15???? did you actually make this bet carlo, or are you just posting plays,because no one has +15
                                              he indicated that he bought 3 pts.
                                              Comment
                                              • repski
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-01-09
                                                • 1929

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by Dexter
                                                he indicated that he bought 3 pts.
                                                12 times this year OKC has been an underdog of 11 or more points....they are 11-1 ATS in that spot....
                                                Comment
                                                • BoomerOK95
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 08-22-08
                                                  • 191

                                                  #94
                                                  BUY three points ? well why not buy six? laying 170 , good liuck with that
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BelieveTheHype
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-03-09
                                                    • 747

                                                    #95
                                                    tcu +15
                                                    michigan state -2
                                                    raptors/wolves u194
                                                    spurs -3
                                                    thunder +14
                                                    kings +14
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dexter
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                      • 25829

                                                      #96
                                                      CK - so there is clear RLM in the laker game with 70% of the public on the lakers, yet the line has dipped from 14 to 11.5. now, what if right before tip-off, the line moves back to 13.

                                                      does this negate the RLM angle on the thunder?

                                                      does this indicate the smart money is now on the lakers?

                                                      or do the true sharps always move the opening line (by looking for "off" lines)?

                                                      -my take is that the sharps always move the opening line by finding "off" lines. the way i see it, the professional gambler is making plays early in the day - while joe public is placing bets before tip-off to simply have action on the game.

                                                      anyone can chime in, but i would like cocknockers take on this.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SamsNCharge99
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-22-08
                                                        • 41242

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                                        CK - so there is clear RLM in the laker game with 70% of the public on the lakers, yet the line has dipped from 14 to 11.5. now, what if right before tip-off, the line moves back to 13.

                                                        does this negate the RLM angle on the thunder?

                                                        does this indicate the smart money is now on the lakers?

                                                        or do the true sharps always move the opening line (by looking for "off" lines)?

                                                        -my take is that the sharps always move the opening line by finding "off" lines. the way i see it, the professional gambler is making plays early in the day - while joe public is placing bets before tip-off to simply have action on the game.

                                                        anyone can chime in, but i would like cocknockers take on this.

                                                        Hey DEX, I hope you noticed the things I did for you.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dexter
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 25829

                                                          #98
                                                          yes sir - great job!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • nonsense48
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-15-08
                                                            • 2927

                                                            #99
                                                            well gang, okc is a lock as i just got them+14 from the dishwasher at the local diner here and this guy hasn't cashed a ticket in forever.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MVFC182
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 12-08-08
                                                              • 112

                                                              #100
                                                              Ill be on Cleveland today but I fancy it to be closer than first thought. Indiana's lack of a big man wasn't a worry at all as they dispatched Dwight Howard and the Magic a few days ago, but I expect Cavs outside shooting to be the difference as I think Dunleavy is injured and may miss
                                                              Comment
                                                              • repski
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-01-09
                                                                • 1929

                                                                #101
                                                                My Booked Plays SO FAR:
                                                                Detroit/Nash over 5.5
                                                                CLEV -6
                                                                OKC +12.5
                                                                NYN/GS over 231
                                                                MARQUETTE +5
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cocknocker
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-06-08
                                                                  • 8001

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Yeah Dex,

                                                                  The smart money will move the line when a time frame has been set up for them to get their plays off. it usually comes early, like in the wee hours of the morning once the incorrect line has been laid out. A late break for the favorite can't negate what is abundantly clear in the middle of the day, however. Even if the line goes back up to 14, the late break will still be negated byt what has transpired during the day, with respect to the doubt that has already been felt by the linemaker himself about the Lakers winning by 20. Because that basically is what this is all about. A late break for a home dog to become a lesser underdog with a smaller percentage of bettors on their side is the one exception. A prohibitive favorite should have a steady upward line increase to correspond with the amount of bettors on their side. The sharps don't wait for line movement. They make the line move. The sharps play early when they see an off line, but they are running on contact when the sportsbooks give the Wise Guys their moment of grace.

                                                                  But i am also not really all the way buying the reporting of some of these line tracking services. They are not being completely honest. This marks one more time that I have caught Sportsinsights with an altered opening line, and thereby not showing the true movement of a particular line.

                                                                  I'll take the Cleveland/Indiana game for instance...

                                                                  In Vegas the line actually opened at 6 then it dipped to 5.5 for around almost 30 minutes (Wise Guy play time), and now it is at 6.5 with feelers for 7 at some books already. Apparently there was a wiseguy play made on Cleveland as the line dipped a bit at various casinos for them to make ther plays on Cleveland below the key number for a period between 11:19am and 11:46, with the exception of the Atlantis and Ceasar's books which came back with a 6 and 6.5 line respectively a little after 12 noon. Most books came back after 11:44 with lines of 6.5 (Nugget, Hilton, Stations) and the rest came back with 6 at 11:45.

                                                                  There is definitely smart money on Cleveland and the line will go up to 7 soon on a few books, as there were feelers for 7 already on the Ceasar, LVSC and Venetian Line.

                                                                  But getting back to the point, the Sportsinsights is not being all the way honest about where the line started to where it has ended up. The line jumped over a key number to meaning te Cavs mst win by 8 now. Any move over or under a key number is substantial becuase it either subtracts or adds two points onto the spread basically.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • repski
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-01-09
                                                                    • 1929

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Hofstra

                                                                    little play on Hofstra..
                                                                    6-1 ATS as dog of less than 6 points
                                                                    ODU hammered the Hofstra last season by a 75-54 count
                                                                    The avenging team in this series is 11-2 ATS.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • schaapattack
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 12-23-08
                                                                      • 1007

                                                                      #104
                                                                      THANKS ALOT CK..i FOLLOWED THE LINES YESTERDAY AND THE VERY EARLY MONEY ON THE GREEK WAS ON OKCITY AND TORONTO..THE LINES DROPED AT 2 POINTS IN 30 MINUTES IN BOTH GAMES
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • anthonydiamondLC
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-02-08
                                                                        • 2296

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Toronto is the play tonight! No Al Jeffereson for the rest of the year kills the twolves.
                                                                        Comment
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