CK's Leans for Tuesday 2/10/09

showtime2000 · 02-10-09, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Adding in a play on Loyola Chicago+4.5

Nice call CK, RLM in effect on this game, opened up at -4.5 and moved to -3.5 with 73% on Wright. Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Loyola-Chiccago, Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

May have to tail you on this.

UndersSuck · 02-10-09, 05:28 PM

Mr. Shankly

hockeytown generally doesnt list them in order of how strongly he feels about a particular game. He will generally bet all of his games for the same amount, which for the most part, will value the games equally. (obv not taking into account the extra vig for favorites)

IMO he is soo hot that you could take any one of his picks and b fairly certain of it coming up a chicken dinner.

hockey....didnt mean to step on your toes, but I know you have answered this questioned several times

anthonydiamondLC · 02-10-09, 05:36 PM

My last CK play for today other then the Toronto bet is I'm gonna be playing Villanova -2.5 for the 1st half against Marquette. Marquette lost a bad road game to South Florida in there last matchup, while Nova is coming off a very convincing win against Syracuse. Marquette is also on a 3 game road trip ending tonight. The game is being played on the campus of Nova tonight instead of the Wachovia Center in philly. Place is gonna be packed tonight and loud. This is only the 10th time, of 263 games where two natioonally ranked teams have ever played in the Pavillon. I'll expect Nova to feed off the early energy pushing ahead and covering for the 1st half.

BCaldwell32 · 02-10-09, 05:38 PM

I can do small write up Toronto since I too like them and did my homework. Toronto has been struggling as of late losing 6 games in a row and 7 straight ATS. However, they have performed exceptionally well against Minnesota covering 8 in a row and 4 in a row in Minnesota. Minnesota has an average offense playing against an average defense. Toronto has an average offense playing against way a below average defense. I believe this game would be close if Al Jefferson was playing tonight, therefore with him out I give the edge to the Raptors to win this one.

My prediction: Tor 98 Minn 89

cocknocker · 02-10-09, 05:39 PM

Peeking ahead to tomorrow, I like

Houston-14 Sac looses by 27.6 on average in back ends of back to backs
Boston-6.5 (Projected) No Paul and (A) Play
Denver+8 (A) Play

Gotcha on the play anthonydiamondsLC!

hockeytown11 · 02-10-09, 05:41 PM

thanks to all those that tried to help me get back on the forum,willie thanks for jump starting it,looks like as of 15 mins ago the problem is solved,the correct way.

as far as my picks go I try to stick with a few self imposed rules

I try not to lay 1.5(I do but its rare)I will not reccomend any pick where ML is over -150

I play my games for the same amount

when I absoulutely think a play is just too good to be true(only 2 times in last 2 weeks) last night Calgary over and on MLK day I told everyone to bet Boston/St Louis over,I will say so and tell everyone,if I dont specify then I am betting al lmy games equal

cnleaf · 02-10-09, 05:52 PM

CK why DEN is A bet tomorrow? Is that the fifth game on the road?

nonsense48 · 02-10-09, 05:56 PM

ck, will i qualify for national tv exposure in round 2 of the tourney? lol

Dexter · 02-10-09, 05:59 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Peeking ahead to tomorrow, I like

Houston-14 Sac looses by 27.6 on average in back ends of back to backs
Boston-6.5 (Projected) No Paul and (A) Play
Denver+8 (A) Play

Gotcha on the play anthonydiamondsLC!

what system is that - that you mention "A" plays?

i thought we werent supposed to speak of that system anymore

BCaldwell32 · 02-10-09, 05:59 PM

Geez not even a thanks or good job for writing up Toronto game, I'm trying to get involved here CK. I sat on the sidelines for awhile and mostly listened and now I wanna contribute.

Dexter · 02-10-09, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by BCaldwell32

Geez not even a thanks or good job for writing up Toronto game, I'm trying to get involved here CK. I sat on the sidelines for awhile and mostly listened and now I wanna contribute.

lol - this thread would be 27 pages if he wrote a thanks to all the contributors.

hockeytown11 · 02-10-09, 06:02 PM

or if the machine came here and issued a challenge,my bad if that happened the thread would be 47 pages not 27 lol

BCaldwell32 · 02-10-09, 06:03 PM

I understand that but I'm kinda new and i see him praising and directing posts to people all the time.

hockeytown11 · 02-10-09, 06:06 PM

lololol you arent really being serious are you Bcald? you sound like you need a hug

cocknocker · 02-10-09, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by BCaldwell32

Geez not even a thanks or good job for writing up Toronto game, I'm trying to get involved here CK. I sat on the sidelines for awhile and mostly listened and now I wanna contribute.

My bad, thanks BCaldwell!

BCaldwell32 · 02-10-09, 06:08 PM

lol I do need a hug, just having some fun

BCaldwell32 · 02-10-09, 06:11 PM

I'm heading over to the Bellagio in a couple hours and got all my plays in for the day so now I'm just sitting here watching A Rod stuff being bored.

cocknocker · 02-10-09, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by hockeytown11

or if the machine came here and issued a challenge,my bad if that happened the thread would be 47 pages not 27 lol

If that guy came here he would be lost dealing with us and our style. I think that in my quest to involve him in a challenge I rattled his cage a little, but he will be alright in the long run. He's just a little cold for the past few weeks. I don't think that his presence would make a new dynamic here as we already have our own crowd, issues, etc. I doubt very seriously that his presence would make that much of a splash at all. We are who we thought we were.

CUAIrish · 02-10-09, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

irish, i like all of your plays except the lakers

I can't go against the lakeshow. I made that mistake twice this season on games i liked and i think they come through again tonight. I bought 2 pts on it and i think OKC is simply out matched even with a tired LAL. I think lakers win by 14-18 so i'll take it at +10

hockeytown11 · 02-10-09, 06:15 PM

i was only joking anyways ck,i played ur heat tonight ck

cocknocker · 02-10-09, 06:16 PM

Originally posted by cnleaf

CK why DEN is A bet tomorrow? Is that the fifth game on the road?

It starts all over after the 3rd road game, and starts again if there are 6 total road games with an (A) in the 4th game. So Orlando is considered an A game starting off a new series if the guy is doing it right by the old rules before the system was processed packaged and sold

cnleaf · 02-10-09, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

It starts all over after the 3rd road game, and starts again if there are 6 total road games with an (A) in the 4th game. So Orlando is considered an A game starting off a new series if the guy is doing it right by the old rules before the system was processed packaged and sold

isnt MIA the 4th one in this series?

nonsense48 · 02-10-09, 06:22 PM

closing up shop for the day and the little lady needs a feed. type to you when i get to the ranch. cya

wangichu · 02-10-09, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by BCaldwell32

I understand that but I'm kinda new and i see him praising and directing posts to people all the time.

sam? is that you looking for approval again?

wangichu · 02-10-09, 06:24 PM

Originally posted by cnleaf

isnt MIA the 4th one in this series?

no, the first road game was in OKC... that's not an out of conference game, so it didn't start until they went to washington

vassman86 · 02-10-09, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by BCaldwell32

Geez not even a thanks or good job for writing up Toronto game, I'm trying to get involved here CK. I sat on the sidelines for awhile and mostly listened and now I wanna contribute.

This was a joke right?? lol seriously, it sounds like you need a REAL hug

BCaldwell32 · 02-10-09, 06:29 PM

lol calm down guys, I already explained I was having some fun. No need to get your panties in a bunch.

cnleaf · 02-10-09, 06:31 PM

Originally posted by wangichu

no, the first road game was in OKC... that's not an out of conference game, so it didn't start until they went to washington

OK. Thanks, wang. I didnt see that. My mistake.

BCaldwell32 · 02-10-09, 06:33 PM

Vassman,

If the fine ass girl in your avatar wants to give me a hug, I will not object.

wangichu · 02-10-09, 06:43 PM

I'm thinking about adding washington +9, the road team seems to be the play in this series and 9 pts is pretty good insurance for my claim. Still biding time here before tip off...

showtime2000 · 02-10-09, 06:47 PM

Originally posted by wangichu

I'm thinking about adding washington +9, the road team seems to be the play in this series and 9 pts is pretty good insurance for my claim. Still biding time here before tip off...

All games between these 2 in Atl have been close or Was winnig outright.

BCaldwell32 · 02-10-09, 06:47 PM

Originally posted by wangichu

I'm thinking about adding washington +9, the road team seems to be the play in this series and 9 pts is pretty good insurance for my claim. Still biding time here before tip off...

I have no lean on the game line, but I love Atlanta first quarter at minus 2, Washington is the absolute worst 1st quarter team in the NBA with a net 1st quarter total of minus 3.6. They have only won the 1st 31 percent of the time and are playing in Atlanta who matches up very well against an awful Washington team.

wangichu · 02-10-09, 06:53 PM

yeah, i am adding a couple of small plays to my ticket

WAS +9
TOR -2 (buy hook... can't see them losing all 3 of the road trip, plus they are a long overdue for a cover)

regular-size plays

OKC +12.5
MIA +2
NYK +4/ML (not yet posted... checking for late line movement before firing)

good luck mafia

hockeytown11 · 02-10-09, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by wangichu

yeah, i am adding a couple of small plays to my ticket

WAS +9
TOR -2 (buy hook... can't see them losing all 3 of the road trip, plus they are a long overdue for a cover)

regular-size plays

OKC +12.5
MIA +2
NYK +4/ML

good luck mafia

what no puck plays for you lololol its a cult thing I guess

jaymac82980 · 02-10-09, 07:06 PM

ok guys, here are my plays for the night. if any win, I will make late game plays on the knicks over (andy raised my eyebrow), maybe even the 1st half over too. but only if I can win something early...

Spurs -5 (500)
Cavs 1Q -2 (50)
Columbus ML (400)
Columbus over 5.5 (200)
LA Kings ML (100)
Bruins ML (50)

These games need to cash for me, so if anyone wants to share a vote of confidence in my picks, feel free.

Good luck guys.