The system still works, this is weed out time...lol. 1-7-5 filtered will definitely be positive by the end of the season
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its a high variance system. two losses is over a 50 unit swing.Comment -
Bankroll management.Comment -
Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 35-3 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -22.65 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-3.41 units)
(1/11/14):
#36 Orlando (+12½) (D) - Loss
#38 Milwaukee (+15) (B) - Loss
#39 New Orleans (+8) (B) - Win
v1 Plays
(A) 23-16
(B) 7-9
(C) 2-6
(D) 3-3
Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)
There are no system plays for (1/12/14):
#38 Resumes (C) on 1/13/14
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.Comment -
The system hasn't stopped working because the books have adjusted the lines. The system has become less efficient because the players in this league are becoming lazy'er and lazy'er each year. The money is so big that they decide when and where they want to play. You can't handicap a game when you have to factor in laziness. The days of MJ, Larry Bird, Julius Irving,Magic Johnson and others are long gone. These guy's wanted to win every game. Today's so called stars just try to win when they feel like it. The problem is that we don't know when they FEEL like it.
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Wallco, in your back testing, did a team that lost a 4 game chase (Orlando for example) ever then proceed to lose the next 4 as well? What I'm wondering is.. Based on the current losing streak of Orlando, would chasing their next 4 games have a 100% win rate over the last 10 years (or however long you have been tracking)?Comment -
Looking back to 1990 most teams have lost 8 in a row about 8 to 12 times. It's not unheard of.
i disagree with the laziness factor. That's just silly. Players a re smarter now and know that it's a LONG year. What some people call lazy other call pacing themselves.Last edited by Grinder12000; 01-12-14, 08:09 PM.Comment -
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Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 35-3 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -22.65 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-3.41 units)
v1 Plays
(A) 23-16
(B) 7-9
(C) 2-6
(D) 3-3
Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)
Games for (1/13/14):
#38 Milwaukee (+11½) @ Toronto (C) (7:05 pm EST)
#40 Orlando (+12) @ Dallas (A) (8:35 pm EST)
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.
Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.Last edited by Wallco99; 01-13-14, 11:59 PM.Comment -
I asked that same question awhile back and I think Wallco said he would check. I know he's been busy but personally I have upped the ante on repeat series the past two years and it's never gone past a second (B) bet except for Charlotte either last season or the one before. But I always cashed.Comment -
I am pretty sure it didn't, but I definitely have to double check that one. Is there some kind of search we can do to find 11 game losing streaks ATS. Then if there are some, double check those to make sure none of the 11 games would have been M/L wins when team was favored, provided that did not occur in games 1-3, which would have to be S/U as well as M/L losses to even qualify. I have been writing a spreadsheet to test 15 different scenarios at once for Chase 110. When this is complete, that info should be easy to comb through. But now, I am just guessing.Last edited by Wallco99; 01-13-14, 05:33 PM.Comment -
this is just pathetic!
is it time to fade? any of these systemsComment -
very good point KDavis!
Baalllinnnnnnn...DO WORK + KROW OD
do work! do work! do work! do work!
od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
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Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 35-3 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -22.65 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-9.36 units)
(1/13/14):
#38 Milwaukee (+10½) (C) - Loss
#39 Orlando (+12½) (A) - Loss
v1 Plays
(A) 23-17
(B) 7-9
(C) 2-7
(D) 3-3
Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)
Games for (1/14/14):
#38 Resumes (D) on 1/15/14
#40 Resumes (B) on 1/15/14
#41 Cleveland @ L.A. Lakers (+4) (A) (10:35 pm EST)
**Charlotte series has been temporarily suspended until conclusion of Orlando series (#40).
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.
Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.Last edited by Wallco99; 01-14-14, 11:34 PM.Comment -
Wallco,
I know the Lakers lost the last three, but I believe they pushed ATS against Houston on 1/8. Do they still count as a play?Comment -
@Jemstens people like you are scum of the earth. Do want us to honestly believe you know about fixed games. Why not become a millionair in Vegas and set off to the sunset? I know you want all of us to make money right
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You are correct, Kevin. I did read that, and when I did, I was thinking only in terms of games to bet on and not on qualifying games. Makes sense. Thanks.Comment -
Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 36-3 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -21.65 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-9.36 units)
(1/14/14):
#41 L.A. Lakers (+3½) (C) - Win
v1 Plays
(A) 24-17
(B) 7-9
(C) 2-7
(D) 3-3
Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)
Games for (1/15/14):
#38 Memphis @ Milwaukee (+6) (D) (8:05 pm EST)
#40 Chicago @ Orlando (+5.5) (B) (7:05 pm EST)
#42 Charlotte @ Philadelphia (M/L) (A) (7:05 pm EST)
** Denotes line not available at time of post.
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.
Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.Last edited by Wallco99; 01-15-14, 06:05 PM.Comment -
Morrison 1/14 Results & 1/15 Plays
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Talk about a huge day! Can't believe the lines on Orlando and Milwaukee. Orlando is without they're top scorer and rebounder…..and they're only getting 5.5???Last edited by imotiv8; 01-15-14, 01:16 PM.Comment -
WTF, Miami???Comment
