Leans for Friday 1/23/09 CK versus hockeytown11 Challenge

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    Leans for Friday 1/23/09 CK versus hockeytown11 Challenge
    Okay I have a couple of plays for Friday night, and I am going againstmy usual thinking to take a few road teams on Friday night, which is something I usually don't do. Here's my plays fo Friday. You guys fill in the blanks now.

    Houston is in a tough position to get he cover by previous ats numbersin this one, but the Pacers just can't hold leads and they are not playing up to par. Meanwhile the starless Rockets are plying much better these days, and this is a classic example of two ships passing in the night. For their part Indiana is 4-2 ats at home against the Rockets, and 4-1 overall in their last 5. But the Rockets are starting out a east coast trip here and would like to get off to a good start with a game against the Pistons coming up next. I like my chances taking them as a pick in this matchup to pick up the win.

    Houston (PK) BIG

    The Hornets already got their excuse me win against the Pacers, and a blowout win over the hapless Nets, and now those injuries catch up to them facin a red hot Minnesota team. One look at the line already spells fishy, and I like the Wolves to pick up the cover against the shell of a Hornets line which is missing Chandler, West and Armstrong. The truth of the matter is that the Hornets injuries will catch up to them in the paint, when Al Jefferson shows up to work in the evening.

    Minnesota+2

    In a game between two sorry ass teams you might as well take the points, especially if the dog is at home. Oklahoma City is doing well as a dog, but put them in the spot of being a favorite of 4 or less points and they turn into pumpkins going 1-4 ats. They already are 0-2 ats and straight up on the road againt the Clips losing by an average of 9.5 points. Oklahoma has been doing well, just not well enough to be a road favorite yet.

    Clips+2.5

    This total is too low fr two teams that have absolutely no shotblocking whatsoever. The Knicks give up an average of 106.4 points per in their last 5 games, and the Grizzlies are surrendering 98. However, they have played teams that collectively give up only 93.5 points per game combined (Cleveland 89 ppg, Charlotte 93.7 ppg, Detroit 92.7 ppg, and Utah 99ppg defensively ) The Knicks are anything but a defensive team and their center, David Lee is 6 ft 9 inches tall. Rudy Gay alone is 6 ft 8 inches. Whatever. I like this one to sail over the total.

    Grizzlies/Knicks over 202



    Competition picks for hockeytown11

    Indiana (PK)
    Atlanta-4
    Cleveland/Golden State under 215.5
    Phoenix-3
    Detroit/Dallas over 182

    Records

    CK 13-10-1 (15-5-1 for lonesomeloser 2-1) Challenge

    hockeytown11 8-15-1


    CK Secret Play-O-Meter 18-4 ats


    CK versus lonesomeloser Baskeball Challenge

    CK 15-5-1

    lonesomeloser 2-1

    Where's my money, lone$omelo$er. Go put it in that account
  • jaymac82980
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-09
    • 3416

    #2
    ck, is BIG better than HEAVY?
    Comment
    • KillaBeesSwarmin
      SBR Rookie
      • 01-17-08
      • 28

      #3
      are the suns a morrison c bet tomorrow?
      Comment
      • woodyman
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-27-08
        • 389

        #4
        no suns covered the A bet
        Comment
        • cocknocker
          Restricted User
          • 11-06-08
          • 8001

          #5
          jaymac, heavy is bigger
          Comment
          • willpies
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-18-08
            • 128

            #6
            Houston Hornets and hawks to cover i hopes
            Comment
            • jaymac82980
              SBR MVP
              • 01-08-09
              • 3416

              #7
              thanks ck, I like that houston pick, it worries me that indy won last time they played, but if tmac is out houston plays better, and they have been on a nice little streak.

              I also like the new york over.

              I'll be tailing those straight out the gates to make back my lost money from tonights wizards debaucle. Im still up 500 for the week, but I would rather go down in flames than waste my time driving to meet the man for a measly 500.

              Any suggestions on wagering amounts? I'm thinking 250 on houston, and 250 on knicks over, then take it from there - if those cover maybe a little run for the late games. More specifically cleveland and clippers.
              Comment
              • lonesomeloser
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-18-09
                • 379

                #8
                CK Main Bet Monitor

                Yesterday: 3-2
                Overall: 6-7
                Comment
                • jaymac82980
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-08-09
                  • 3416

                  #9
                  thanks lonesomeloser. I'll be sure to write that down
                  Comment
                  • LUNT101
                    Restricted User
                    • 03-12-07
                    • 919

                    #10
                    The Milwaukee Bucks lost their #1 draft pick center, Andrew Bogut (who has been having a career year), right before their west coast road trip. They won against lowly Sacramento in their first game without him but failed to make the adjustment on a back-to-back with the Clippers the next night followed by a blowout in Portland 2 days later. With a day to collect themselves and sleep in their own beds, the Bucks righted the ship against a Dallas team who was playing fairly good basketball. The 6-11 Charlie Villanueva has played at a high level since Bogut's absence and the Bucks are carrying quite a bit of momentum into their game against Atlanta tomorrow, ready to test out their new lineup for a quick road game before coming home for 2. I see them riding their momentum into the first quarter and getting off to a quick start against the Hawks, who have had a couple days off and may show signs of rust early as the Magic did tonight.

                    Milwaukee +1 1Q
                    Comment
                    • NBA Hero
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-05-08
                      • 1886

                      #11
                      will the hous game be a close one? wafer has been shooting quite well, but i take that happened at toyota center.alderman choosing to go with a taller lineup with scola and battier means the rebounding will be fairly even. While granger has dunleavy complimenting his game, but it hasnt registered to plenty of wins.Not mentioning ford has been shooting horribly, but t.j. will have his speed as an advantage will the taller line up of hous.

                      how do you see this game ending ck, knowing this is your biggest play.
                      Comment
                      • cheesehead004
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-24-08
                        • 715

                        #12
                        I've got my eye on Under 199 in the PHX-CHA game, what are your guys' thoughts on that?
                        Comment
                        • cocknocker
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-06-08
                          • 8001

                          #13
                          LUNT101,

                          Atlanta was always hockeytown's pick, not mine. I never had them
                          Comment
                          • cheesehead004
                            Restricted User
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 715

                            #14
                            haha i just noticed that the suns and bobcats have both alternated over and then under for their last 7 games and are in line to alternate back to the under tomorrow. it doesnt really mean much imo but at least its a good sign
                            Comment
                            • BelieveTheHype
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-03-09
                              • 747

                              #15
                              Memphis fired their coach today and play the Knicks Friday. Seems like a good time to get on the Knicks.
                              Comment
                              • jaymac82980
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-08-09
                                • 3416

                                #16
                                Cheese, I'd love to help you with my two cents, but in case you haven't noticed, I don't like under bets. haha. I don't think I have ever actually placed an under, even when I thought the line looked too high.
                                Comment
                                • jaymac82980
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-08-09
                                  • 3416

                                  #17
                                  tool academy, this show is awesome! I've never watched it before, but seriously, hilarious. these guys are TOOLS!
                                  Comment
                                  • cocknocker
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-06-08
                                    • 8001

                                    #18
                                    New York hasn't earned a reason to be favored by 6 over ANYBODY. When was the last time that they were this much of a favorite? The Gizzlies will get the cover as the players band together to prove that they, and not the coach, were the reason for the firing. It always happens in games following a firing.
                                    Comment
                                    • djpremier36
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-11-08
                                      • 3479

                                      #19
                                      I'm jumping on CLE 1Q... 1st quarter #'s: CLE 73% - GSW 35%
                                      Comment
                                      • woodyman
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-27-08
                                        • 389

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by djpremier36
                                        I'm jumping on CLE 1Q... 1st quarter #'s: CLE 73% - GSW 35%
                                        dj was just looking at the same thing! looks a good option
                                        Comment
                                        • jaymac82980
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-09
                                          • 3416

                                          #21
                                          for you 1st quarter boys, GSW 1st quarters always seem to be pretty high scoring too, I'mnot sure what the line is, but might be something to consider. I have no doubt CLE will win for you, but both teams should start out scoring too!
                                          Comment
                                          • lonesomeloser
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 01-18-09
                                            • 379

                                            #22
                                            Lol, CK when are you going to stop being such a fraud, making up your own rules and starting challenges without acknowledging your competitors beforehand. 15-5 he he he. You are the stoned pied piper leading the stoned blind mice.

                                            CK Main Bet Accountability Monitor

                                            Yesterday: 3-2
                                            Overall: 6-7
                                            Comment
                                            • BelieveTheHype
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-03-09
                                              • 747

                                              #23
                                              I'll be playing these lines tomorrow.. sure to add to them:

                                              Cleveland 1st Quarter (vs GS)
                                              Toronto 1st Quarter (vs CHI)
                                              New York 1st Quarter (vs MEM)
                                              Detroit 1st Quarter (vs DAL)

                                              may adjust when lines are out.
                                              Comment
                                              • cocknocker
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 11-06-08
                                                • 8001

                                                #24
                                                15-5-1 documented on the threads over the past two days right in your face, 10-2 Wednesday and 5-3-1 on Thursday, better go back and read the threads and look at all of my plays. But I know already that you are bad at math, and keep trying to discredit me every chance you get, liar. Here's a refresher for you:

                                                Wednesday:

                                                Boston 1st quarter win
                                                Boston 1st half win
                                                Boston for game win
                                                Cleveland 1st quarter win
                                                Cleveland for game win
                                                BYU loss
                                                SDSU win
                                                Villanova 1st half win
                                                Nets for game loss
                                                Golden State/OKC over win
                                                Memphis 1st half win
                                                Washington win

                                                Thursday

                                                Temple win
                                                Wright State win
                                                W. Kentucky loss
                                                Washington State win
                                                San Diego loss
                                                Tennessee Martin-10 1st half win
                                                Gonzaga-14.5 1st half win
                                                W. Kentucky 1st half push
                                                Cal-9 2nd half loss

                                                Shall I continue? And guess what? These plays are all documented and known by over 18,000 views over two days and you still can't admit it. Notice how nobody else is questioning that streak but you. We can keep going on like this ALL day.


                                                Once again your math is bad and yes you are getting your tail kicked in and yes you still have the nerve to keep talking. You're 2-1 with lost -250 vigorish, and afraid to put up some money for a challenge that was presented to you. Gotta call it like i see it. Stop questioning my record. Start worrying about yours.
                                                Comment
                                                • cocknocker
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-06-08
                                                  • 8001

                                                  #25
                                                  Still got any questions, matey, lol! It just doesn't get any better than this!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • The_Kid
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-09-08
                                                    • 5049

                                                    #26
                                                    Monta Ellis is set to make his debut tomorrow night against the Cavaliers. Don Nelson said he will start alongside Jamal Crawford in the backcourt as well and he plans to play Ellis about 20-30 minutes tomorrow. I know the Warriors don't play any defense, but does anyone think the total of 215 is high considering Nelson will be trying to mix and match his five guys on the floor? I could easily see the Cavs putting up 100+ and if that's the case, they might just try to outscore their opponent rather than try and play defense.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hunt3rtheone
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-14-08
                                                      • 140

                                                      #27
                                                      what do you guys think about detroit vs dallas over 182? cand detroit finally score more points or can dallas go trought detroit good defence?

                                                      thanks!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • img
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 01-03-09
                                                        • 10

                                                        #28
                                                        regarding about Houston, the game that they lost earlier was because the rockets are mentally weak closing out games. They had the lead basically the whole second half and had a commanding 13 point lead late game. Indiana got the go ahead basket in the closing seconds and Houston did not make their last second shot. I like the chances that they didn't forget. revenge factor? and pacer d has no reason to think that they held rockets to 35 percent shooting, rockets killed themselves last game. like ck said, rockets has been playing well lately consistently , due to the fact that they now know who's gonna be in the starting lineup days ahead instead of hours. Might have to go against ck rule of not betting on teams winning 3 straight games, but i am in.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lonesomeloser
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 01-18-09
                                                          • 379

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                          15-5-1 documented on the threads over the past two days right in your face, 10-2 Wednesday and 5-3-1 on Thursday, better go back and read the threads and look at all of my plays. But I know already that you are bad at math, and keep trying to discredit me every chance you get, liar. Here's a refresher for you:

                                                          Wednesday:

                                                          Boston 1st quarter win
                                                          Boston 1st half win
                                                          Boston for game win
                                                          Cleveland 1st quarter win
                                                          Cleveland for game win
                                                          BYU loss
                                                          SDSU win
                                                          Villanova 1st half win
                                                          Nets for game loss
                                                          Golden State/OKC over win
                                                          Memphis 1st half win
                                                          Washington win

                                                          Thursday

                                                          Temple win
                                                          Wright State win
                                                          W. Kentucky loss
                                                          Washington State win
                                                          San Diego loss
                                                          Tennessee Martin-10 1st half win
                                                          Gonzaga-14.5 1st half win
                                                          W. Kentucky 1st half push
                                                          Cal-9 2nd half loss

                                                          Shall I continue? And guess what? These plays are all documented and known by over 18,000 views over two days and you still can't admit it. Notice how nobody else is questioning that streak but you. We can keep going on like this ALL day.


                                                          Once again your math is bad and yes you are getting your tail kicked in and yes you still have the nerve to keep talking. You're 2-1 with lost -250 vigorish, and afraid to put up some money for a challenge that was presented to you. Gotta call it like i see it. Stop questioning my record. Start worrying about yours.

                                                          Taking out our aftertimed qtr etc plays the main bet monitor reads 6-7.

                                                          Although I have noticed a increase in your previous woeful form (53-214) over the previous month since the monitor was introduced. I think I deserve a thank you and a lot of credit for that.

                                                          out my humble rasta blunt lover
                                                          Comment
                                                          • joanapoker
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 12-09-08
                                                            • 2275

                                                            #30
                                                            Two plays jump to me just by looking once to the lines:

                                                            HOU-1 (sytem play mixed up with revenge for the last game won by 1 point by the Pacers)
                                                            HOU/IND OVER 211 (this will happen, last 10 games of both teams is 6-4 to the OVER, Indy is 13-4 at home to the OVER and the Rockets are 14-8 to the OVER. The average in the past 3 games between this two is only 202 but that's because of the 91-90 Indy Win last November and that low score will not happen in this game. Also Houston doesn't have the Spurs defense so Indy will not score less than 105 )
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kowalin
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 01-13-08
                                                              • 6

                                                              #31
                                                              How's this for a HotTip by LONESOMELOSER. Remember in yesterday's thread, lonesomeloser recommended to you CK that you place 10 dimes on Australia to win the cricket match??? Well as i live in australia, i watched my australian team play tonight and get beating by South Africa with 3 wickets remaining. If you don't know what that means, it means that the better team on paper got smashed. So if you would have put your $10k on Australia, you would have lost the lot. Australia were also heavy favourites for the match too so it goes to show how well lonesomeloser's big picks on favourite teams go hey. Good luck to all for today's basktball matches.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • joanapoker
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 12-09-08
                                                                • 2275

                                                                #32
                                                                Also locking CK pick

                                                                MEM/NYK OVER 202.5
                                                                Comment
                                                                • showtime2000
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-09-08
                                                                  • 1054

                                                                  #33
                                                                  CK, no one considering Charlotte to get the cover over Phoenix? I know alll trends point in Phonix's favor but look at who's been playing the better lately, Charlotte with wins in 5 of their last 6 adn against quality teams. Considering this is their lst home game before a long road trip. I see some value in Charlotte. With Phonix being a huge public play tonight let's see if we get RLM on this game. I get the sense their might be.

                                                                  Ck any thoughts from you on Charlotte and also from Styles?

                                                                  Defiantley be playing those 1st qtr plays tonight. What i got so far,
                                                                  Cleveland 1st qtr
                                                                  Toronto 1st qtr
                                                                  Houston PK (CK i will tail you on this)
                                                                  Memphis/New York Over (CK)


                                                                  Leaning on
                                                                  Memphis +6(teams always perform better once coach is canned. Aswell RLM with this game with 80% on NY)
                                                                  Charlotte +3.5
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Karayilan9
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-10-09
                                                                    • 3742

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Toronto and Cleveland 1st QTR's look hot!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dexter
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #35
                                                                      the hornets are 5-0 su and ats in their last 5 trips to minny winning by an avg of 12ppg. the wolves are coming back home off a minny 3 game rd trip. they've been playing well, but may be a little rusty (like the magic last night) having a few days off of that road trip. the hornets have west and chandler out, but cp3 will likely just step up with another 3d. they essentially have to win su, so i'll stick with the trend here of no.

                                                                      -hornets
                                                                      ______________________
                                                                      no artest or tmac tonight for houston - the rockets are 7-14 ats this year vs teams with a losing record, while the pacers are 7-1 ats after a loss of 10 or more points.

                                                                      -pacers
                                                                      ______________________
                                                                      Comment
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