Leans for Monday 1/12/09

[bumppinee]

I'm on this over with you, looks solid!

lets gets the books together my friend.

[JohnMorr08]

CK... I am from Boston and I read this website daily http://www.redsarmy.com/. You should take a look. They say that there is a good chance that Paul Pierce may SIT tonight due to his sore knee.

There is a chance that Perkins, Pierce and Tony Allen are all out tonight.

Not saying that can't still cover vs. Toronto... Just an FYI.

[IrwinFletcher]

Here's an example of the kind of research that i want to spend my money on

Indiana is out of gas going up to high altitude on the 2nd game of a back to back. The first game was a squeaker but an outright loss to the Warriors which ended around 9 or so pst. Then there is travel involved to Utah, which is in a different time zone, the Mountain time zone. Indiana has lost by an average of 22 points the last two trips to Salt Lake City. Utah is in third place in their division trying to make up ground and they are playing their last game of the 3 game homestand before heading out on a 3 game road trip. This is Indiana's 5 and last game of a grueling west coast road trip. Curtains for the Pacers big tme

You beat me to it.. Damn.. I guess I need to get on this board the night before games.. Elevation change +4000ft= dehydration, short breath (even for these caliber athletes), muscle fatigue not normal at sea level i.e., Golden State... I was thinking all the same angles.. final game of a R5/5, final game of H4/4 etc.. bastard!!!

[jaymac82980]

JohnMorrow, do you read barstoolsports too? I always get the links to redsarmy from that site. Great site, and I love going against the mortal locks.

[UndersSuck]

Thanks Ck for a profitable weekend. Also thanks to the Chargers for not getting off the plane!!

Already booked on Portland -1.5 (bought a point)

Thinking about BOS...but will wait to get updates on Pierce.

Zack....I like your analysis on the New Orleans/New York UNDER. Have you noticed that the number has shot up to 203.5 or 204 on some sites?? I like where that is going. Any thoughts??

Thanks again to everyone for their positive input on this thread!!

[JohnMorr08]

Jay - I do read Barstool HOWEVER... not so much for the sports. They have amazing contests that award the hottest girls / women in the area. Last year they had a 'Final Four' bracket and I finished in the top 15%. haha That didn't pay much though.

OK - Back to Sports.

[zackattack]

underssuck,
yes i see that number is rising, guess the public likes the over big......i will still stick with the under unless somebody can convince me to change

[africanroller]

Even thou Ck wont play the NHL some of us know it leads to cash

Kings/Lightning Under 5.5

Under 10-3 last 13 in LA this year
Uder 4-0 in last 4 meetings

Also going with the Tampa dog

Lightning 4-0-2 in last 6 in LA
Lightning 6-1-1 Last 8 meetings

College Hoops- Someone talk to me about Citadel tonight.

69% of the pubic on Tenn Chat yet the line went from -3.5 to -3

Citadel 7-3 ATS last 10 home games

Tenn Chat 3-12 last 15 road games
Tenn Chat 3-11 last 14 vs Southern
Tenn Chat 5-16 ATS last 21 overall

NBA

82% on Celtics yet line dropped 1 point
87% of the public on Portland
Portland beat Chicago by 42 points in November, No revenge factor on this one at home?

NJ 62% of public with line going from -7 to -6.5

[joanapoker]

I was up nicely after the college bowl games... unfortunately I got overconifident, bet too much and took a huge hit after this weekends nfl playoffs.

Based on information from this website and the following game predictions from sportsline.com


Selection record:
Last night: 4-3 (57.1%)
Week to date: 37-15 (71.2%)
Year to date: 385-167 (69.7%)
________________________________________ _____________

twitch,

Do you know what are the criteria for the selection at sportsline.com?? Because , if you follow only the predictions the Record would be way lower!!! and yesterday they wouldn't be 4-3 but 4-9

[Dexter]

Well you guys aren't giving me anything credible yet. I'll tell you all what. I'll help you guys out. The game that I like is Utah minus anything tomorrow. And unless someobody gives me something good that will be the only game that I play. I am however looking for someone to convince me that Portland-2 isn't a spectacular play as well.

ck - im with ya - see post 14

ram - i like your content ..welcome bud

[joanapoker]

No one taking BOS 1st Qrt? and 1st Half?

I really like the OVER at Chicago.....but I need more info to back that up.....

[darkenergy]

Utah, Portland and Boston can share my last NUT

ATL, SA and LAKER already got my first ONE. LOL
What's a brutal day yesterday, and this week for me. Lost almost 35k in two weeks from stocks and NBA, and now down to my last 9k for both stock and sports betting thing. Very poor money mangement.
Yesterday was a huge down day, but it's was a great day for me indeed. After I lost huge in ATL, SA and Laker game, I finished more than haft bottle of Hennessy and went to sleep painfully, lol. I woked up around 4 am, and thank GOD for let me see my wife and kid sleeping peafully. I know it kind like drama when say this, but I felt pretty good that I realized there are something more value than $$$$. BTW, I also talk my wife about how acurate CK's picks and somehow talk her into it, she lost $ 880 yesterday. LOL

My goal is to make them back the 15k I lost in sports betting in the next 10 weeks, that's is $1500 a week or equal to CK's single day play. lol !!! Do you think the goal is realistic? Should I add more funding to achieve the goal. How much should I put per wager from now on? How much is max per day? (Need CK help in this department, greatly appreciated).
So far I like Jazz -10 at home versus the OT Indiana last night.
Portland - 2 again Chicago
NY +11
and maybe Boston.

I don't document anything, but I noticed that durring weekend games, normally dogs are sweeped, and most of picks from the board members are favorited, that why we're getting so many holes in our pocket durring weekend, am I wrong?
Next weekend I will pay attention and "diversified" my bets.
BOOOOYAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!
Have a great day and GLTA

OH, to all of the people complaint about PC play yesterday of CK, if you guys follow his picks for the last few weeks and stick to his money management recommendation, you are making fortune. He turned water into wine for many people in this forum. Unfortunately for me, I am not discipline enough to benefit from that. I would blamed myself for go "all in", but I am not blaming CK or anyone else here just because they give me a wrong pick(s).

[killersweet]

Whether pierce plays or not, I am still sticking with the Raptors tonight. They should get the cover!

[Dexter]

whoaaa - utah was 9 vs the pistons and only 10 vs the pacers? this seems like a gift.

only 52% of the public is on utah right now (which is good)...but i need to see this line go up tonight. something is fishy in the salt lake..


**Jose Calderon (hamstring) left Sunday's game near the start of the fourth quarter due to his lingering hamstring injury and will not travel to Boston for Monday's game.

[jaymac82980]

joanapoker, I like the celts 1st half. I still think they will blow it and not cover the spread, but I see a similar start to the game. The celts haven't been having problems with the starts of games lately, its finishing them where they seem to have the trouble. And if there are some missing players tonight, I am even more confident of the raptors keeping it close. The celts bench hasn't been very good lately, and with perk hurt, it makes them start the game into their bench.

[Killer Chihuahua]

Dark Energy
Discipline is the KEY. Money Management will make you money. I bet anywhere from four to six games a day. My bet for EVERY game is the same except for a PC play or a game I REALLY like. I bet 300$ games and lines and 150$ halfs. I do not play parlays (with the rare exception). My goal is to make 300$ a day. How easy is that? With all the great info on this forum you should be able to do that with ease.....as long as you do not get greedy. in seven days you will be up 2100$ bucks. I do this every week. Cap the games yourself. Then bounce your picks off all the great cappers in this forum. Pick only the games you feel have the best shot at winning you your 300$. No more, No Less. You and your family will sleep better at night and you will be able to enjoy that Hennessy too! Good Luck and I hope this helps

[indeed]

No Pierce and Perkins and still getting -10? I'm going to wait this one out ..

[jaymac82980]

I think the line is 10 vs the pacers because they have been able to keep some good teams close (lakers 2x, celts). Also, this year the two teams have not met, so who is to say that it will be a for sure blowout? It seams the linesmakers don't see it that way. For the record I like Utah, but I am waiting to see what the line does.

[zackattack]

ESPN BOTTOM LINE
ok we have some plays today!!!
IN THE NBA
espn writes that boston has beaten toronto 7 out of last 8 meetings by an average score of 11.8ppg
spread is now at 10 so espn would like you to play boston......i won't........give me tor +10.5 (buy hook)
espn writes that utah jazz are only 7-11 vs eastern conference.........give me the jazz -9.5 (buy hook)
espn writes that portland is 11-2 vs eastern con..give me bulls +3(i am prob only guy not playing port lol)
NCAA
Espn writes that texas has won 11 of last 14 meetings with okl, plus won last 6 straight......i'll take okl -4.5
NHL
espn notes that la has only won 1 of last 8 meetings.......i'll take kings -140

i have one other play but it actually goes against my write up earlier.....
espn notes that the bucks have alternated wins and losses for last 10 games......they lost last game so espn would like us to believe they will win tonight......so i will go with whats been working and now play wash +3.5

[vassman86]

One play I'm thinking of is Toronto first half +6. In general, the Raptors are better in the first half than in the second half, as they usually blow leads later in the game. They played in Boston earlier this year and absolutely dominated them, taking a 48-36 lead and ended up losing the game. I look for the Raptors to carry over some of that momentum they earned late in the game.

[jaymac82980]

calderon is out for toronto...he only scored 6 yesterday, but it could still hurt them.

[cruyff]

Anyone worried about how many pts the Pacers have been scoring lately? Will Utah really put up the numbers for a double digit win?

[Dexter]

Anyone worried about how many pts the Pacers have been scoring lately? Will Utah really put up the numbers for a double digit win?

utah is the 7th best scoring team in the league - they will have no problem keeping pace with the pacers. i dont see the pacers hitting their 105 avg vs a decent utah defense in salt lake. something like 117-100 utah. but again, something smells fishy about this line...

[bumppinee]

Im adding a 4th play for today the pacers/utah over 220, both teams are averaging over a 100 points per game, the total has gone over in 13 of the pacers last 16 games, as well as 5 in the last 6 for utah, the lowest total in indianas last 5 games was 223.

4th play indiana/utah over 220

[roasthawg]

Im adding a 4th play for today the pacers/utah over 220, both teams are averaging over a 100 points per game, the total has gone over in 13 of the pacers last 16 games, as well as 5 in the last 6 for utah, the lowest total in indianas last 5 games was 223.

4th play indiana/utah over 220

I'm on the under here...I got it at 222 though so I'd gladly take a middle of 221!

[jaymac82980]

are lines on certain games really set innacurately at first just to trick the public on early bets?

[cocknocker]

Let's see, Milwaukee -3 straight like that. The offerings of

lambogb
SharkMerc
ram1502
vassman86
zackattack
nonsense48
bumppinee

....and i like:


Washington/Milwaukee over 191.5 (Pho3nix32's pick) if roasthawg likes it, I like it!



Money management for a budget of $1500.00 today. I have to be tight with how I disperse this money with 5 picks.... Alright, I have reached my maximum $1500.00 plateau, well actually $1400.00 I stll have $100.00 to go

My final plays are already credited for the sponsors

Boston-9.5
Milwaukee-3
Milwaukee/Washington over 191.5
Portland-2
Utah-9.5

So with 5 games I have $250.00 smackaroos apiece to put on each one, except Boston-9.5 which I played for $400.00. All of which leaves me a nice crisp $100.00 bill left to work with, and this little money can't be taken lightly, but I have to find a way to spend it. $1500.00, $1400.00 used already. What am I to do now?

I want a straight first half play... or maybe I should just go dumb and parlay all of my plays at -130 with it....hmm or tease them all with the Knicks+15.... You know what I like...I like the second thing....

I am doing a -130 per side parlay with my total left alone

Bucks-1.5
Celtics-9
Knicks+12 (The line movement in this one is hard to overlook put I can't play it straight)
Jazz-9
Bucks/Wizards over 191.5
Portland-1.5

$50 to win $1604.70

Ordinarily I would only put $25.00 play on it, but what the hell...These aren't my plays, they're yours and so I have just that much faith in the group as a whole to cash me that ticket, so I'm going all in. I need some more ATVI stocks... A couple hundred more would be nice. I want you boys and girls to get me that stock money, lol!

And now, I still have $50.00 left to spend. I need something hot and quick! Somebody give me a first quarter pick so I can double up and get me some halftime money!

I'm serious....


Somebody give me a good 1st quarter wager for this last $55.00

[cocknocker]

1st quarter... I don't care if it's a cricket game or whatever, just give me a first quarter

[williebob777]

I know Boston beat toronto in the first Quarter last night, but Toronto has won the last 16 out 20 of their last first quarters SU.

And as far as the Boston play, I see where Boston as essentially travel for their last 10 games. Dont you think they my be tired.

[djpremier36]

MIL +.5 1Q or try Nawlins team total over 107

[MrSink]

Today after big crash in yesterdays Bos Tor -6.5 spread I've many nice ideas for play. First of all its
NO -12.5
Mil -3.5
Utah -8.5
Bos -9.5
NJ -4.5
Portlan -1.5

[MrSink]

Good luck for all

[t-bone]

Let's see, Milwaukee -3 straight like that. The offerings of

lambogb
SharkMerc
ram1502
vassman86
zackattack
nonsense48
bumppinee

....and i like:


Washington/Milwaukee over 191.5 (Pho3nix32's pick) if roasthawg likes it, I like it!



Money management for a budget of $1500.00 today. I have to be tight with how I disperse this money with 5 picks.... Alright, I have reached my maximum $1500.00 plateau, well actually $1400.00 I stll have $100.00 to go

My final plays are already credited for the sponsors

Boston-9.5
Milwaukee-3
Milwaukee/Washington over 191.5
Portland-2
Utah-9.5

So with 5 games I have $250.00 smackaroos apiece to put on each one, except Boston-9.5 which I played for $400.00. All of which leaves me a nice crisp $100.00 bill left to work with, and this little money can't be taken lightly, but I have to find a way to spend it. $1500.00, $1400.00 used already. What am I to do now?

I want a straight first half play... or maybe I should just go dumb and parlay all of my plays at -130 with it....hmm or tease them all with the Knicks+15.... You know what I like...I like the second thing....

I am doing a -130 per side parlay with my total left alone

Bucks-1.5
Celtics-9
Knicks+12 (The line movement in this one is hard to overlook put I can't play it straight)
Jazz-9
Bucks/Wizards over 187.5
Portland-1.5

$50 to win $1604.70

Ordinarily I would only put $25.00 play on it, but what the hell...These aren't my plays, they're yours and so I have just that much faith in the group as a whole to cash me that ticket, so I'm going all in. I need some more ATVI stocks... A couple hundred more would be nice. I want you boys and girls to get me that stock money, lol!

And now, I still have $50.00 left to spend. I need something hot and quick! Somebody give me a first quarter pick so I can double up and get me some halftime money!

I'm serious....


Somebody give me a good 1st quarter wager for this last $55.00

Boston/Toronto Under 47 1st Qtr.

[zackattack]

ck at 3pm no way you are getting a total of 187 even with 2 point buy for wash/bucks........its 192

[cheesehead004]

Damn you really like Boston with that huge spread? I wouldnt be shocked if Toronto can win this game SU. As long as Rondo is playing like a moron, I see no point in betting on the Celtics until they turn it around first.