nba chase 12/13

Nino7 · 01-22-13, 01:29 AM

Originally posted by thelimit0310

Underperforming based on the backtests, but a few systems are underperforming this year.

I think the amount of systems players and the amount of money we place on our teams are a part of the reason the systems underperform.The last lost serie was decided by 1 point on both C and D games.

Riceboi · 01-22-13, 01:34 AM

Originally posted by Nino7

I think the amount of systems players and the amount of money we place on our teams are a part of the reason the systems underperform.The last lost serie was decided by 1 point on both C and D games.

definitely agree.

Huego · 01-22-13, 01:56 AM

Originally posted by Nino7

I think the amount of systems players and the amount of money we place on our teams are a part of the reason the systems underperform.The last lost serie was decided by 1 point on both C and D games.

I really doubt that. it take more $ than u think to influence lines.

Riceboi · 01-22-13, 02:12 AM

Originally posted by Huego

I really doubt that. it take more $ than u think to influence lines.

not out of the question. this thread has like almost 250k views, not sure how it counts the views, but that's a lot

Stifler · 01-22-13, 04:12 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

21.01.2013

S3

(B Bet) Char: Charlotte +2 1,10u | Charlotte +7 2,31u
(A Bet) Ind fade: Memphis -6 1,10u

S4

(A Bet) Chic fade: Lakers +2 1,10u
(A Bet) Mem fade: Indiana +6 1,10u

records:
S1: W 40 | L 2 (+ 3,10 units)
S2: W 20 | L 0 (+20,00 units)
S3: W 11 | L 0 (+11,00 units)
S4: W 33 | L 1 (+16,55 units)

pending:
- S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
- S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013
- S1 Den fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
- S4 Tor fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
- S4 Dal fade, B Bet on 25.01.2013
- S3 Ind fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
- S4 Chic fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

miczz14 · 01-22-13, 06:27 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

records:
S1: W 40 | L 2 (+ 3,10 units)
S2: W 20 | L 0 (+20,00 units)
S3: W 11 | L 0 (+11,00 units)
S4: W 33 | L 1 (+16,55 units)

pending:
- S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
- S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013
- S1 Den fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
- S4 Tor fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
- S4 Dal fade, B Bet on 25.01.2013
- S3 Ind fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
- S4 Chic fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013

i dont understand, the S3 has 2 red which means S3 has 2 lost but in your records it is still W:11 L:0?

what am i missing? im new btw..

Nino7 · 01-22-13, 06:30 AM

Originally posted by miczz14

i dont understand, the S3 has 2 red which means S3 has 2 lost but in your records it is still W:11 L:0?

what am i missing? im new btw..

It's a 4 games chase means you raise your bet size up to 4 times to recover + profit.A serie isnt lost as long as 1 out of 4 bet is won.

miczz14 · 01-22-13, 06:36 AM

Originally posted by Nino7

It's a 4 games chase means you raise your bet size up to 4 times to recover + profit.A serie isnt lost as long as 1 out of 4 bet is won.

so what if out of that 4 games, you only won the 1st game the next 3 is a lose so there will be no profit?

samcro1 · 01-22-13, 06:40 AM

when you win the first game the chase is done. read post #1586. why dont you people ever listen to stifler

Grinder12000 · 01-22-13, 07:05 AM

Relax - everybody is new at some point.

miczz14 · 01-22-13, 07:05 AM

ic now.. one last question though, the last S2 series was on page 82 which is a WIN and stifler is B betting on 01-22-13, where did the A bet go? why did he jump on B bet?

Grinder12000 · 01-22-13, 07:09 AM

Pretty sure your number is wrong.

Well - Stifler has 50.65 ?? So I'm 4 over Stifler.

A few weeks ago I went through every post by Stifler and compiled. I personally have less with one more "D" loss then most people but I've won chases sooner then a few also.

Everybody has different numbers.

miczz14 · 01-22-13, 07:26 AM

-S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
- S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!

yelohell · 01-22-13, 07:33 AM

Originally posted by miczz14

-S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
- S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!

You got that right sir!
Cle fade, meaning bos is the play
and orl for tom.

slashfan · 01-22-13, 07:43 AM

Originally posted by miczz14

-S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
- S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!

fade means you bet on the opposite team.

so since it's Cle Fade, bet on Boston.

Grinder12000 · 01-22-13, 07:54 AM

A personal whine.

Why is it the Lakers are not on any "Play" list and we keep playing this hell hole of a team! MAN - they are like fingernails on a chalkboard. It's like every system FADE play ends up playing the Lakers. AAAAHHHHHH!!!

I'm going to go back and look at every team we have played and look at their record.

jmdb91011 · 01-22-13, 08:12 AM

Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...

Nino7 · 01-22-13, 08:14 AM

Originally posted by jmdb91011

Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...

It's not about winning every games, it's about being statistically in the black over the long run.Just play every games like they come and you will make money.$$$

Ji-a · 01-22-13, 08:37 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Why is it the Lakers are not on any "Play" list and we keep playing this hell hole of a team!

I've actually played Lakers in all four systems for about two months now and I'm 7-0 with them alone, only one chase has gone to C bet. They sure are a train wreck this season. Loving it!

slashfan · 01-22-13, 08:38 AM

Originally posted by jmdb91011

Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...

Read what's a 4-game chase first and the rules of this system before reacting.

thes0vereign · 01-22-13, 09:12 AM

Originally posted by jmdb91011

Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...

How much do you charge for your picks bro? You must be sharp.

Stifler · 01-22-13, 09:13 AM

22.01.2013

S2

(B Bet) Orl: Orlando +2 1,10u | Orlando +5,5 2,31u
(B Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta -4 1,10u | Boston -4 2,31u

________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

ColdBeerHere · 01-22-13, 09:52 AM

Originally posted by jmdb91011

Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...

You are obviously a newb when it comes to betting.....You have no clue what a chase system is.....Now run along and go make your bets....

Oh, and please start a thread with all your winning picks since you claim you have winners....The rest of the forum would like to see your picks.

parlay100 · 01-22-13, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by miczz14

-S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
- S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!

READ THE PAST POSTS FOR penetrate SAKE

cubfan2121 · 01-22-13, 10:07 AM

Originally posted by miczz14

so what if out of that 4 games, you only won the 1st game the next 3 is a lose so there will be no profit?

.....

thelimit0310 · 01-22-13, 10:13 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Everybody has different numbers.

That may be true but from an official standpoint the system is underperforming compared to the backtests, which was the original point being made by Nino and another here. I'm guessing you were lucky enough to dodge the Covers official Orlando loss to be up that amount.

cind3r · 01-22-13, 11:07 AM

Hey. Just joined. Hope I won't get flamed for asking a question that (probably) has been asked million times before (and yes, I read post on page 46 and sort of understand the concept).

Question, since I just joined, could I simply follow todays picks with the same unit amount and continue every pick after that, or do I have to wait for a new chase to start?

Thanks.

Nino7 · 01-22-13, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by cind3r

Hey. Just joined. Hope I won't get flamed for asking a question that (probably) has been asked million times before (and yes, I read post on page 46 and sort of understand the concept).

Question, since I just joined, could I simply follow todays picks with the same unit amount and continue every pick after that, or do I have to wait for a new chase to start?

Thanks.

I would start now @1,1 to win 1 on all the plays but its up to you:you can pretend you started the chases on G1s and simply bet the same amount as we do.The risk/reward ratio is the same.

Grinder12000 · 01-22-13, 11:14 AM

I'm just keeping track of what Stifled posted for the system. He has 50+. I had it at 54. I'll go over every pick again

Nino7 · 01-22-13, 11:20 AM

edit

cind3r · 01-22-13, 11:29 AM

Originally posted by Nino7

I would start now @1,1 to win 1 on all the plays but its up to you:you can pretend you started the chases on G1s and simply bet the same amount as we do.The risk/reward ratio is the same.

Alright, thanks! Will probably start todays B Bets as A Bets instead then, and continue onward.

Also, one more question for Stifler, or somebody else if they know the answer. From what I understand, Stifler doesn't bet real money himself on this system. Why not? Since he has proven year after year that this is a winning concept, I don't see why not.. just being curious, don't really need an answer.

Teamprofit101 · 01-22-13, 11:39 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

I'm just keeping track of what Stifled posted for the system. He has 50+. I had it at 54. I'll go over every pick again

Grinder, Do you have this all in a spreadsheet? Can you easily look up how many points we lose by on average on our losses?

Damn i don't think i made sense lol

I remember you spoke about buying a half point, I wanted to see if it's worth buying a full point or 1.5 points.

thes0vereign · 01-22-13, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by cind3r

Alright, thanks! Will probably start todays B Bets as A Bets instead then, and continue onward.

Also, one more question for Stifler, or somebody else if they know the answer. From what I understand, Stifler doesn't bet real money himself on this system. Why not? Since he has proven year after year that this is a winning concept, I don't see why not.. just being curious, don't really need an answer.

Stifler plays real money on the system, he doesn't play much else though.

cind3r · 01-22-13, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by thes0vereign

Stifler plays real money on the system, he doesn't play much else though.

Oh okay, I guess I misread previously. Thanks for clearing that up!

Valand · 01-22-13, 12:28 PM

Iv been trying to find which dates they three losses or they three wins are for Orl, Cle. Then I divided them into home and away. When I looked at the schedule Orlando lost from dec 21 th until jan 9th. If they should have Lost then have you just started a new series. But you say Orlando is going to Win? Havent the already won against indian and clippers or didn't the cover?

Clev lost recently three consecutive losses but you didn't start your chase their becuase of the atlanta game is the A bet? I just dont get how I should count wich three dates do you count from on both of this teams. The three games Lost or won does it only count if it's three away games or is it like wallco's system any?

This is not my native tounge

Hope it's understandable