nba chase 12/13

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  • Nino7
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-11-09
    • 798

    #2906
    Originally posted by thelimit0310
    Underperforming based on the backtests, but a few systems are underperforming this year.
    I think the amount of systems players and the amount of money we place on our teams are a part of the reason the systems underperform.The last lost serie was decided by 1 point on both C and D games.
    Comment
    • Riceboi
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-03-11
      • 857

      #2907
      Originally posted by Nino7
      I think the amount of systems players and the amount of money we place on our teams are a part of the reason the systems underperform.The last lost serie was decided by 1 point on both C and D games.

      definitely agree.
      Comment
      • Huego
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-23-11
        • 265

        #2908
        Originally posted by Nino7
        I think the amount of systems players and the amount of money we place on our teams are a part of the reason the systems underperform.The last lost serie was decided by 1 point on both C and D games.
        I really doubt that. it take more $ than u think to influence lines.
        Comment
        • Riceboi
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-03-11
          • 857

          #2909
          Originally posted by Huego
          I really doubt that. it take more $ than u think to influence lines.
          not out of the question. this thread has like almost 250k views, not sure how it counts the views, but that's a lot
          Comment
          • Stifler
            SBR MVP
            • 11-11-09
            • 3511

            #2910
            Originally posted by Stifler
            21.01.2013

            S3

            (B Bet) Char: Charlotte +2 1,10u | Charlotte +7 2,31u
            (A Bet) Ind fade: Memphis -6 1,10u

            S4

            (A Bet) Chic fade: Lakers +2 1,10u
            (A Bet) Mem fade: Indiana +6 1,10u

            records:
            S1: W 40 | L 2 (+ 3,10 units)
            S2: W 20 | L 0 (+20,00 units)
            S3: W 11 | L 0 (+11,00 units)
            S4: W 33 | L 1 (+16,55 units)

            pending:
            - S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
            - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013
            - S1 Den fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
            - S4 Tor fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
            - S4 Dal fade, B Bet on 25.01.2013
            - S3 Ind fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
            - S4 Chic fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013


            ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

            all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
            Comment
            • miczz14
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-22-13
              • 146

              #2911
              Originally posted by Stifler
              records:
              S1: W 40 | L 2 (+ 3,10 units)
              S2: W 20 | L 0 (+20,00 units)
              S3: W 11 | L 0 (+11,00 units)
              S4: W 33 | L 1 (+16,55 units)

              pending:
              - S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
              - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013
              - S1 Den fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
              - S4 Tor fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
              - S4 Dal fade, B Bet on 25.01.2013
              - S3 Ind fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
              - S4 Chic fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
              i dont understand, the S3 has 2 red which means S3 has 2 lost but in your records it is still W:11 L:0?

              what am i missing? im new btw..
              Comment
              • Nino7
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-11-09
                • 798

                #2912
                Originally posted by miczz14
                i dont understand, the S3 has 2 red which means S3 has 2 lost but in your records it is still W:11 L:0?

                what am i missing? im new btw..
                It's a 4 games chase means you raise your bet size up to 4 times to recover + profit.A serie isnt lost as long as 1 out of 4 bet is won.
                Comment
                • miczz14
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 01-22-13
                  • 146

                  #2913
                  Originally posted by Nino7
                  It's a 4 games chase means you raise your bet size up to 4 times to recover + profit.A serie isnt lost as long as 1 out of 4 bet is won.
                  so what if out of that 4 games, you only won the 1st game the next 3 is a lose so there will be no profit?
                  Comment
                  • samcro1
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 11-28-12
                    • 28

                    #2914
                    when you win the first game the chase is done. read post #1586. why dont you people ever listen to stifler
                    Comment
                    • Grinder12000
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-21-11
                      • 1809

                      #2915
                      Relax - everybody is new at some point.
                      Comment
                      • miczz14
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 01-22-13
                        • 146

                        #2916
                        ic now.. one last question though, the last S2 series was on page 82 which is a WIN and stifler is B betting on 01-22-13, where did the A bet go? why did he jump on B bet?
                        Comment
                        • Grinder12000
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-21-11
                          • 1809

                          #2917
                          Pretty sure your number is wrong.
                          Well - Stifler has 50.65 ?? So I'm 4 over Stifler.

                          A few weeks ago I went through every post by Stifler and compiled. I personally have less with one more "D" loss then most people but I've won chases sooner then a few also.

                          Everybody has different numbers.
                          Comment
                          • miczz14
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-22-13
                            • 146

                            #2918
                            -S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
                            - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

                            does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!
                            Last edited by miczz14; 01-22-13, 07:27 AM. Reason: z
                            Comment
                            • yelohell
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 01-11-13
                              • 47

                              #2919
                              Originally posted by miczz14
                              -S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
                              - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

                              does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!
                              You got that right sir!
                              Cle fade, meaning bos is the play
                              and orl for tom.
                              Comment
                              • slashfan
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-20-12
                                • 25

                                #2920
                                Originally posted by miczz14
                                -S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
                                - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

                                does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!
                                fade means you bet on the opposite team. so since it's Cle Fade, bet on Boston.
                                Comment
                                • Grinder12000
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-21-11
                                  • 1809

                                  #2921
                                  A personal whine.

                                  Why is it the Lakers are not on any "Play" list and we keep playing this hell hole of a team! MAN - they are like fingernails on a chalkboard. It's like every system FADE play ends up playing the Lakers. AAAAHHHHHH!!!

                                  I'm going to go back and look at every team we have played and look at their record.
                                  Comment
                                  • jmdb91011
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 01-22-13
                                    • 7

                                    #2922
                                    Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...
                                    Comment
                                    • Nino7
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-11-09
                                      • 798

                                      #2923
                                      Originally posted by jmdb91011
                                      Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...
                                      It's not about winning every games, it's about being statistically in the black over the long run.Just play every games like they come and you will make money.$$$
                                      Comment
                                      • Ji-a
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 01-09-13
                                        • 19

                                        #2924
                                        Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                        Why is it the Lakers are not on any "Play" list and we keep playing this hell hole of a team!
                                        I've actually played Lakers in all four systems for about two months now and I'm 7-0 with them alone, only one chase has gone to C bet. They sure are a train wreck this season. Loving it!
                                        Comment
                                        • slashfan
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 12-20-12
                                          • 25

                                          #2925
                                          Originally posted by jmdb91011
                                          Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...
                                          Read what's a 4-game chase first and the rules of this system before reacting.
                                          Comment
                                          • thes0vereign
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-13-12
                                            • 712

                                            #2926
                                            Originally posted by jmdb91011
                                            Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...
                                            How much do you charge for your picks bro? You must be sharp.
                                            Comment
                                            • Stifler
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-11-09
                                              • 3511

                                              #2927
                                              22.01.2013

                                              S2

                                              (B Bet) Orl: Orlando +2 1,10u | Orlando +5,5 2,31u
                                              (B Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta -4 1,10u | Boston -4 2,31u



                                              ________________________________________ ________________________________________

                                              all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                              Comment
                                              • ColdBeerHere
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-25-11
                                                • 3626

                                                #2928
                                                Originally posted by jmdb91011
                                                Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...
                                                You are obviously a newb when it comes to betting.....You have no clue what a chase system is.....Now run along and go make your bets....

                                                Oh, and please start a thread with all your winning picks since you claim you have winners....The rest of the forum would like to see your picks.
                                                Comment
                                                • parlay100
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 09-23-09
                                                  • 117

                                                  #2929
                                                  Originally posted by miczz14
                                                  -S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
                                                  - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

                                                  does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!

                                                  READ THE PAST POSTS FOR penetrate SAKE
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cubfan2121
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                    • 188

                                                    #2930
                                                    Originally posted by miczz14
                                                    so what if out of that 4 games, you only won the 1st game the next 3 is a lose so there will be no profit?
                                                    .....
                                                    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 04-14-15, 10:38 AM. Reason: image does not exist
                                                    Comment
                                                    • thelimit0310
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-24-11
                                                      • 1233

                                                      #2931
                                                      Originally posted by Grinder12000

                                                      Everybody has different numbers.
                                                      That may be true but from an official standpoint the system is underperforming compared to the backtests, which was the original point being made by Nino and another here. I'm guessing you were lucky enough to dodge the Covers official Orlando loss to be up that amount.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cind3r
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 01-16-13
                                                        • 56

                                                        #2932
                                                        Hey. Just joined. Hope I won't get flamed for asking a question that (probably) has been asked million times before (and yes, I read post on page 46 and sort of understand the concept).

                                                        Question, since I just joined, could I simply follow todays picks with the same unit amount and continue every pick after that, or do I have to wait for a new chase to start?

                                                        Thanks.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Nino7
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-11-09
                                                          • 798

                                                          #2933
                                                          Originally posted by cind3r
                                                          Hey. Just joined. Hope I won't get flamed for asking a question that (probably) has been asked million times before (and yes, I read post on page 46 and sort of understand the concept).

                                                          Question, since I just joined, could I simply follow todays picks with the same unit amount and continue every pick after that, or do I have to wait for a new chase to start?

                                                          Thanks.
                                                          I would start now @1,1 to win 1 on all the plays but its up to you:you can pretend you started the chases on G1s and simply bet the same amount as we do.The risk/reward ratio is the same.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Grinder12000
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-21-11
                                                            • 1809

                                                            #2934
                                                            I'm just keeping track of what Stifled posted for the system. He has 50+. I had it at 54. I'll go over every pick again
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Nino7
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 07-11-09
                                                              • 798

                                                              #2935
                                                              edit
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cind3r
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 01-16-13
                                                                • 56

                                                                #2936
                                                                Originally posted by Nino7
                                                                I would start now @1,1 to win 1 on all the plays but its up to you:you can pretend you started the chases on G1s and simply bet the same amount as we do.The risk/reward ratio is the same.
                                                                Alright, thanks! Will probably start todays B Bets as A Bets instead then, and continue onward.


                                                                Also, one more question for Stifler, or somebody else if they know the answer. From what I understand, Stifler doesn't bet real money himself on this system. Why not? Since he has proven year after year that this is a winning concept, I don't see why not.. just being curious, don't really need an answer.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Teamprofit101
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-14-11
                                                                  • 336

                                                                  #2937
                                                                  Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                                                  I'm just keeping track of what Stifled posted for the system. He has 50+. I had it at 54. I'll go over every pick again
                                                                  Grinder, Do you have this all in a spreadsheet? Can you easily look up how many points we lose by on average on our losses?

                                                                  Damn i don't think i made sense lol

                                                                  I remember you spoke about buying a half point, I wanted to see if it's worth buying a full point or 1.5 points.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • thes0vereign
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 02-13-12
                                                                    • 712

                                                                    #2938
                                                                    Originally posted by cind3r
                                                                    Alright, thanks! Will probably start todays B Bets as A Bets instead then, and continue onward.


                                                                    Also, one more question for Stifler, or somebody else if they know the answer. From what I understand, Stifler doesn't bet real money himself on this system. Why not? Since he has proven year after year that this is a winning concept, I don't see why not.. just being curious, don't really need an answer.
                                                                    Stifler plays real money on the system, he doesn't play much else though.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cind3r
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 01-16-13
                                                                      • 56

                                                                      #2939
                                                                      Originally posted by thes0vereign
                                                                      Stifler plays real money on the system, he doesn't play much else though.
                                                                      Oh okay, I guess I misread previously. Thanks for clearing that up!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Valand
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 05-25-11
                                                                        • 238

                                                                        #2940
                                                                        Iv been trying to find which dates they three losses or they three wins are for Orl, Cle. Then I divided them into home and away. When I looked at the schedule Orlando lost from dec 21 th until jan 9th. If they should have Lost then have you just started a new series. But you say Orlando is going to Win? Havent the already won against indian and clippers or didn't the cover?

                                                                        Clev lost recently three consecutive losses but you didn't start your chase their becuase of the atlanta game is the A bet? I just dont get how I should count wich three dates do you count from on both of this teams. The three games Lost or won does it only count if it's three away games or is it like wallco's system any?

                                                                        This is not my native tounge

                                                                        Hope it's understandable
                                                                        Comment
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