nba chase 12/13

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  • thelimit0310
    SBR MVP
    • 01-24-11
    • 1233

    #1471
    Originally posted by Nino7
    thx but i run a mac and it doesnt work and i dunno how to fix it
    You can fix it by getting Microsoft Office for Mac but you'd either have to buy it or start a trial on their website.
    Comment
    • HowardRoark
      SBR Rookie
      • 12-13-12
      • 29

      #1472
      Originally posted by pellumb341
      You are backing and laying boston at the same time ...Let's assume that Bos fade : A bet (SA spurs) and B bet (chicago) are loss ... 20th december 2012 Boston - cleveland ... who will you bet on ??? back bosotn or fade boston ?
      Im pretty sure the chase is for Boston @ home. and the fade is for them on the road.
      Right?
      Comment
      • pellumb341
        SBR MVP
        • 11-25-11
        • 1183

        #1473
        Oh boy, here it comes again LOL
        Boston Fade :

        (A bet) 16th december SA Spurs (Let's assume it's loss) so ,
        (B bet) 19th december Chicago Bulls ( Let's assume again loss) so,
        (C bet) 20 december Cavaliers

        BUT we have still pending back Boston at home (B bet) ...do you get what am i saying ?

        One system says lay Boston ( C bet) and the other back boston (B bet)
        Comment
        • pellumb341
          SBR MVP
          • 11-25-11
          • 1183

          #1474
          m pretty sure the chase is for Boston @ home. and the fade is for them on the road.
          Right?
          Now it makes sens . thanks
          Comment
          • Nino7
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-11-09
            • 798

            #1475
            Originally posted by thelimit0310
            You can fix it by getting Microsoft Office for Mac but you'd either have to buy it or start a trial on their website.
            great thx,before i buy it,are you sure there is no free way?
            Comment
            • Grinder12000
              SBR MVP
              • 04-21-11
              • 1809

              #1476
              who will you bet on ??? back bosotn or fade boston ?
              Two ways to go - have each bet cancel each other and NOT play the game but play the "B" bet.

              OR

              Play both sides and play the "B" loser as normal. It happens - not a lot lately but when the system has a ton of games it's not REAL uncommon.

              The BAD end of the world scenario and I believe the Mayans talk of it - is two "D" games at the same time.
              Comment
              • Asset
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-07-09
                • 326

                #1477
                To all the people that are trying to understand Stif's NBA system. Sometimes it's better to just be a robot and learn to trust his system. Just wait for him to post the plays daily, give him points and collect money at the end of the day...hopefully.
                Comment
                • thelimit0310
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-24-11
                  • 1233

                  #1478
                  Originally posted by Nino7
                  great thx,before i buy it,are you sure there is no free way?
                  Check your PMs
                  Comment
                  • Nino7
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-11-09
                    • 798

                    #1479
                    Originally posted by thelimit0310
                    Check your PMs
                    Comment
                    • bubbabubba
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-21-11
                      • 939

                      #1480
                      Originally posted by Asset
                      You better hope we have a lot of D Bets then. And to be honest with you, if I remember correctly we only had 3 D Bets so far. So basically you will miss out on all the other wins. That's just my 2 cent, what do I know
                      These D plays will be in addition to my regular plays, I plan to make them twice the size of my normal bet size.
                      Comment
                      • degengamble
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 12-03-12
                        • 39

                        #1481
                        Originally posted by Nino7
                        thx but i run a mac and it doesnt work and i dunno how to fix it
                        Sorry Nino - The spreadsheet will not work with Open Office on a MAC. Your only option is to run it on a PC using MS Excel - or I believe you can get MS excel for MACs - but not the free version.

                        Nothing I can do about it - Open Office does not run macros - which are necessary to pull the data we need from Covers.
                        Comment
                        • Nino7
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-11-09
                          • 798

                          #1482
                          Originally posted by degengamble
                          Sorry Nino - The spreadsheet will not work with Open Office on a MAC. Your only option is to run it on a PC using MS Excel - or I believe you can get MS excel for MACs - but not the free version.

                          Nothing I can do about it - Open Office does not run macros - which are necessary to pull the data we need from Covers.
                          I got MS Excel for mac but i still have some pb:when i click update,a ton of windows i dont understand pop up and the bet tracker tab doesnt look updated.Could you plz help me on that? pm if u want
                          Comment
                          • Wallco99
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-01-11
                            • 7261

                            #1483
                            Originally posted by Grinder12000
                            Two ways to go - have each bet cancel each other and NOT play the game but play the "B" bet.

                            OR

                            Play both sides and play the "B" loser as normal. It happens - not a lot lately but when the system has a ton of games it's not REAL uncommon.

                            The BAD end of the world scenario and I believe the Mayans talk of it - is two "D" games at the same time.
                            Once every eleven years, if I remember correctly.
                            Comment
                            • Riceboi
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-03-11
                              • 857

                              #1484
                              Originally posted by Wallco99
                              Once every eleven years, if I remember correctly.
                              how's that system you're researching coming along?
                              Comment
                              • Wallco99
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-01-11
                                • 7261

                                #1485
                                Originally posted by Riceboi
                                how's that system you're researching coming along?
                                2 1/2 seasons done. Like it so far. Made a couple changes along the way, which caused a retest of season 1 with good results still. Had Christmas parties the past three nights, so hopefully getting back on it tonight after my tree is up.
                                Comment
                                • Sttub
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 12-10-12
                                  • 25

                                  #1486
                                  What page is the spread sheet on?
                                  I hate to ask but I been searching for it
                                  Comment
                                  • Nino7
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-11-09
                                    • 798

                                    #1487
                                    Originally posted by Sttub
                                    What page is the spread sheet on?
                                    I hate to ask but I been searching for it
                                    click "post" under degengamble ​name and look for his first post
                                    Comment
                                    • Wallco99
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-01-11
                                      • 7261

                                      #1488
                                      Originally posted by Sttub
                                      What page is the spread sheet on?
                                      I hate to ask but I been searching for it
                                      Post #1100
                                      Comment
                                      • Stifler
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-11-09
                                        • 3511

                                        #1489
                                        Originally posted by Stifler
                                        15.12.2012

                                        S1

                                        (B Bet) Utah: Utah -1,5 1,10u | Utah -2 2,31u

                                        S2

                                        (A Bet) Cle fade: NY Knicks -11 1,10u
                                        (A Bet) Bos fade: Spurs -10 1,10u
                                        records:
                                        S1: W 23 | L 1 (+4,55 units)
                                        S2: W 11 | L 0 (+11,00 units)
                                        S3: W 7 | L 0 (+7,00 units)
                                        S4: W 15 | L 0 (+16,00 units)

                                        pending:
                                        - S2 Bos, B Bet on 19.12.2012
                                        - S1 Utah, C Bet on 18.12.2012
                                        - S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 19.12.2012

                                        ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________

                                        all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #786
                                        Comment
                                        • Stifler
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-11-09
                                          • 3511

                                          #1490
                                          16.12.2012

                                          no plays today, Denver would have been a S1 play starting today, but i somehow dont like this 4 game series. I dont need to force any plays, thats why im skipping this game. As i already said Denver should not be on the list for S1 and im just making situational series bets on them.
                                          Comment
                                          • Grinder12000
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-21-11
                                            • 1809

                                            #1491
                                            Denver in 10 years is 100-7 - good call. No one has commented on ALWAYS buying a 1/2 point. I think this, in this system, would be a smart strategy. I have seen the light. Makes zero sense in normal wagering but here . . . . it's all about winning and juice be damned.
                                            Comment
                                            • Riceboi
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-03-11
                                              • 857

                                              #1492
                                              Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                              Denver in 10 years is 100-7 - good call. No one has commented on ALWAYS buying a 1/2 point. I think this, in this system, would be a smart strategy. I have seen the light. Makes zero sense in normal wagering but here . . . . it's all about winning and juice be damned.
                                              I wonder if Denver (and other teams) has a better record than 100-7 if you buy half a point or a point?
                                              Last edited by Riceboi; 12-16-12, 10:59 AM.
                                              Comment
                                              • Captain Mo
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 12-16-12
                                                • 7

                                                #1493
                                                Would we fade Det tomorrow since they played a OT game the other night?
                                                Comment
                                                • Grinder12000
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-21-11
                                                  • 1809

                                                  #1494
                                                  Captain Mo
                                                  Would we fade Det tomorrow since they played a OT game the other night?
                                                  No they are not on the list of playable S4 teams

                                                  Riceboi

                                                  I wonder if Denver (and other teams) has a better record than 100-7 if you buy half a point or a point?
                                                  Probably not.

                                                  Just taking Denver - a 1/2 point would have helped 15 times in 757 games for 1.9% So in ALL games a half point helped 1.9%. Don't know if those particular games were system games though.

                                                  Off the top of my head here . . .

                                                  The Chase has wagered on about 23% of the games (98 wagers with a league total of 420 team games . . seems like a high amount??) so 23% * 1.9%* is 0.0044 (0.44%). So in theory buying a 1/2 point on every game will help 2.17 times in one year.

                                                  But that 2.17 times is not just "D" games which are happening 4% of the time.

                                                  So - in the alleged 3-5 Chase losses in a year you would pay a LOT of juice - would that make up for the 2 times it helped a Chase. Then you have to wonder, if it stopped a chase would that Chase stop ANYWAY in the next game.

                                                  SO - maybe the correct strategy is to only buy 1/2 point when it REALLY means something like "C" and "D" games. Then you are not buying juice for all four games running up your bet total.
                                                  Last edited by Grinder12000; 12-16-12, 12:02 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Teamprofit101
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-14-11
                                                    • 336

                                                    #1495
                                                    I will play the unofficial denver play since i'm running a labby...is anyone else making the play?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Captain Mo
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 12-16-12
                                                      • 7

                                                      #1496
                                                      Thanks Grinder, where can I find the list?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Asset
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-07-09
                                                        • 326

                                                        #1497
                                                        Originally posted by Captain Mo
                                                        Thanks Grinder, where can I find the list?
                                                        I'll help you with all the trouble and maybe drama...


                                                        S1teams:
                                                        Boston(W streaks only)
                                                        Brooklyn(L streaks only)
                                                        NYK
                                                        Toronto
                                                        Chicago
                                                        Detroit(W streaks only)
                                                        Indiana(W streaks only)
                                                        Milwaukee(W streaks only)
                                                        Atlanta(L streaks only)
                                                        Charlotte(W streaks only)
                                                        Denver
                                                        Utah
                                                        Sacramento(L streaks only)
                                                        SASpurs

                                                        S2teams:
                                                        Boston
                                                        Cleveland
                                                        Atlanta
                                                        Orlando
                                                        Utah

                                                        S3teams:
                                                        Toronto
                                                        Indiana
                                                        Atlanta
                                                        Charlotte
                                                        GoldenState

                                                        S4teams:
                                                        Toronto
                                                        Chicago
                                                        Atlanta
                                                        Miami
                                                        Washington
                                                        Minnesota
                                                        LAClippers
                                                        Sacramento
                                                        Dallas
                                                        Memphis
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Nino7
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-11-09
                                                          • 798

                                                          #1498
                                                          edit
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Grinder12000
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-21-11
                                                            • 1809

                                                            #1499
                                                            Hope you guys took my suggestion to bet the farm on New Orleans. 61-16 system looking good.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EasyPicks
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-21-11
                                                              • 3804

                                                              #1500
                                                              amazing numbers, first time seeing this thread!

                                                              will follow!

                                                              GL all
                                                              Comment
                                                              • NYC's Finest
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 11-27-12
                                                                • 52

                                                                #1501
                                                                Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                                                Hope you guys took my suggestion to bet the farm on New Orleans. 61-16 system looking good.
                                                                you recommend we should be taking hornets +4.5 today?
                                                                Last edited by NYC's Finest; 12-16-12, 05:01 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jim
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 11-30-06
                                                                  • 479

                                                                  #1502
                                                                  Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                                                  Hope you guys took my suggestion to bet the farm on New Orleans. 61-16 system looking good.
                                                                  nice one man.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • brigade125
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-03-11
                                                                    • 685

                                                                    #1503
                                                                    is there another system going on here besides stifler?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Riceboi
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-03-11
                                                                      • 857

                                                                      #1504
                                                                      Originally posted by NYC's Finest
                                                                      you recommend we should be taking hornets +4.5 today?

                                                                      no he was talking about the Saints, he posted the pick a few days ago I believe. I don't know what his system is though. Would love to hear about it though.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • NYC's Finest
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 11-27-12
                                                                        • 52

                                                                        #1505
                                                                        makes sense, thanks
                                                                        Comment
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