nba chase 12/13
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thelimit0310SBR MVP
- 01-24-11
- 1233
#1471Comment -
HowardRoarkSBR Rookie
- 12-13-12
- 29
#1472
Right?Comment -
pellumb341SBR MVP
- 11-25-11
- 1183
#1473Oh boy, here it comes again LOL
(A bet) 16th december SA Spurs (Let's assume it's loss) so ,
(B bet) 19th december Chicago Bulls ( Let's assume again loss) so,
(C bet) 20 december Cavaliers
BUT we have still pending back Boston at home (B bet) ...do you get what am i saying ?
One system says lay Boston ( C bet) and the other back boston (B bet)Comment -
pellumb341SBR MVP
- 11-25-11
- 1183
#1474m pretty sure the chase is for Boston @ home. and the fade is for them on the road.
Right?Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#1476who will you bet on ??? back bosotn or fade boston ?
OR
Play both sides and play the "B" loser as normal. It happens - not a lot lately but when the system has a ton of games it's not REAL uncommon.
The BAD end of the world scenario and I believe the Mayans talk of it - is two "D" games at the same time.Comment -
AssetSBR Sharp
- 11-07-09
- 326
#1477To all the people that are trying to understand Stif's NBA system. Sometimes it's better to just be a robot and learn to trust his system. Just wait for him to post the plays daily, give him points and collect money at the end of the day...hopefully.Comment -
bubbabubbaSBR Wise Guy
- 01-21-11
- 939
#1480These D plays will be in addition to my regular plays, I plan to make them twice the size of my normal bet size.Comment -
degengambleSBR Rookie
- 12-03-12
- 39
#1481Sorry Nino - The spreadsheet will not work with Open Office on a MAC. Your only option is to run it on a PC using MS Excel - or I believe you can get MS excel for MACs - but not the free version.
Nothing I can do about it - Open Office does not run macros - which are necessary to pull the data we need from Covers.Comment -
Nino7SBR Wise Guy
- 07-11-09
- 798
#1482Sorry Nino - The spreadsheet will not work with Open Office on a MAC. Your only option is to run it on a PC using MS Excel - or I believe you can get MS excel for MACs - but not the free version.
Nothing I can do about it - Open Office does not run macros - which are necessary to pull the data we need from Covers.Comment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#1483Two ways to go - have each bet cancel each other and NOT play the game but play the "B" bet.
OR
Play both sides and play the "B" loser as normal. It happens - not a lot lately but when the system has a ton of games it's not REAL uncommon.
The BAD end of the world scenario and I believe the Mayans talk of it - is two "D" games at the same time.Comment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#14852 1/2 seasons done. Like it so far. Made a couple changes along the way, which caused a retest of season 1 with good results still. Had Christmas parties the past three nights, so hopefully getting back on it tonight after my tree is up.Comment -
SttubSBR Rookie
- 12-10-12
- 25
#1486What page is the spread sheet on?
I hate to ask but I been searching for itComment -
StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#1489
S1: W 23 | L 1 (+4,55 units)
S2: W 11 | L 0 (+11,00 units)
S3: W 7 | L 0 (+7,00 units)
S4: W 15 | L 0 (+16,00 units)
pending:
- S2 Bos, B Bet on 19.12.2012
- S1 Utah, C Bet on 18.12.2012
- S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 19.12.2012
________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #786
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StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#149016.12.2012
no plays today, Denver would have been a S1 play starting today, but i somehow dont like this 4 game series. I dont need to force any plays, thats why im skipping this game. As i already said Denver should not be on the list for S1 and im just making situational series bets on them.Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#1491Denver in 10 years is 100-7 - good call. No one has commented on ALWAYS buying a 1/2 point. I think this, in this system, would be a smart strategy. I have seen the light. Makes zero sense in normal wagering but here . . . . it's all about winning and juice be damned.Comment -
RiceboiSBR Wise Guy
- 10-03-11
- 857
#1492Denver in 10 years is 100-7 - good call. No one has commented on ALWAYS buying a 1/2 point. I think this, in this system, would be a smart strategy. I have seen the light. Makes zero sense in normal wagering but here . . . . it's all about winning and juice be damned.Last edited by Riceboi; 12-16-12, 10:59 AM.Comment -
Captain MoSBR Rookie
- 12-16-12
- 7
#1493Would we fade Det tomorrow since they played a OT game the other night?Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#1494Captain MoWould we fade Det tomorrow since they played a OT game the other night?
Riceboi
I wonder if Denver (and other teams) has a better record than 100-7 if you buy half a point or a point?
Just taking Denver - a 1/2 point would have helped 15 times in 757 games for 1.9% So in ALL games a half point helped 1.9%. Don't know if those particular games were system games though.
Off the top of my head here . . .
The Chase has wagered on about 23% of the games (98 wagers with a league total of 420 team games . . seems like a high amount??) so 23% * 1.9%* is 0.0044 (0.44%). So in theory buying a 1/2 point on every game will help 2.17 times in one year.
But that 2.17 times is not just "D" games which are happening 4% of the time.
So - in the alleged 3-5 Chase losses in a year you would pay a LOT of juice - would that make up for the 2 times it helped a Chase. Then you have to wonder, if it stopped a chase would that Chase stop ANYWAY in the next game.
SO - maybe the correct strategy is to only buy 1/2 point when it REALLY means something like "C" and "D" games. Then you are not buying juice for all four games running up your bet total.Last edited by Grinder12000; 12-16-12, 12:02 PM.Comment -
Teamprofit101SBR Sharp
- 12-14-11
- 336
#1495I will play the unofficial denver play since i'm running a labby...is anyone else making the play?Comment -
Captain MoSBR Rookie
- 12-16-12
- 7
#1496Thanks Grinder, where can I find the list?Comment -
AssetSBR Sharp
- 11-07-09
- 326
#1497I'll help you with all the trouble and maybe drama...
S1teams:
Boston(W streaks only)
Brooklyn(L streaks only)
NYK
Toronto
Chicago
Detroit(W streaks only)
Indiana(W streaks only)
Milwaukee(W streaks only)
Atlanta(L streaks only)
Charlotte(W streaks only)
Denver
Utah
Sacramento(L streaks only)
SASpurs
S2teams:
Boston
Cleveland
Atlanta
Orlando
Utah
S3teams:
Toronto
Indiana
Atlanta
Charlotte
GoldenState
S4teams:
Toronto
Chicago
Atlanta
Miami
Washington
Minnesota
LAClippers
Sacramento
Dallas
MemphisComment -
Nino7SBR Wise Guy
- 07-11-09
- 798
#1498editComment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#1499Hope you guys took my suggestion to bet the farm on New Orleans. 61-16 system looking good.Comment -
EasyPicksSBR MVP
- 10-21-11
- 3804
#1500amazing numbers, first time seeing this thread!
will follow!
GL allComment -
NYC's FinestRestricted User
- 11-27-12
- 52
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brigade125SBR Wise Guy
- 07-03-11
- 685
#1503is there another system going on here besides stifler?Comment -
NYC's FinestRestricted User
- 11-27-12
- 52
#1505makes sense, thanksComment
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