Originally posted by Nino7
nba chase 12/13
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thelimit0310SBR MVP
- 01-24-11
- 1233
#1471You can fix it by getting Microsoft Office for Mac but you'd either have to buy it or start a trial on their website.Comment -
HowardRoarkSBR Rookie
- 12-13-12
- 29
#1472Im pretty sure the chase is for Boston @ home. and the fade is for them on the road.Originally posted by pellumb341You are backing and laying boston at the same time ...Let's assume that Bos fade : A bet (SA spurs) and B bet (chicago) are loss ... 20th december 2012 Boston - cleveland ... who will you bet on ??? back bosotn or fade boston ?
Right?Comment -
pellumb341SBR MVP
- 11-25-11
- 1183
#1473Boston Fade :Oh boy, here it comes again LOL
(A bet) 16th december SA Spurs (Let's assume it's loss) so ,
(B bet) 19th december Chicago Bulls ( Let's assume again loss) so,
(C bet) 20 december Cavaliers
BUT we have still pending back Boston at home (B bet) ...do you get what am i saying ?
One system says lay Boston ( C bet) and the other back boston (B bet)Comment -
pellumb341SBR MVP
- 11-25-11
- 1183
#1474Now it makes sens . thanksm pretty sure the chase is for Boston @ home. and the fade is for them on the road.
Right?Comment -
Nino7SBR Wise Guy
- 07-11-09
- 798
#1475great thx,before i buy it,are you sure there is no free way?Originally posted by thelimit0310You can fix it by getting Microsoft Office for Mac but you'd either have to buy it or start a trial on their website.Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#1476Two ways to go - have each bet cancel each other and NOT play the game but play the "B" bet.who will you bet on ??? back bosotn or fade boston ?
OR
Play both sides and play the "B" loser as normal. It happens - not a lot lately but when the system has a ton of games it's not REAL uncommon.
The BAD end of the world scenario and I believe the Mayans talk of it - is two "D" games at the same time.Comment -
AssetSBR Sharp
- 11-07-09
- 326
#1477To all the people that are trying to understand Stif's NBA system. Sometimes it's better to just be a robot and learn to trust his system. Just wait for him to post the plays daily, give him points and collect money at the end of the day...hopefully.
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thelimit0310SBR MVP
- 01-24-11
- 1233
#1478Check your PMsOriginally posted by Nino7great thx,before i buy it,are you sure there is no free way?Comment -
Nino7SBR Wise Guy
- 07-11-09
- 798
#1479Originally posted by thelimit0310Check your PMs
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bubbabubbaSBR Wise Guy
- 01-21-11
- 939
#1480These D plays will be in addition to my regular plays, I plan to make them twice the size of my normal bet size.Originally posted by AssetYou better hope we have a lot of D Bets then. And to be honest with you, if I remember correctly we only had 3 D Bets so far. So basically you will miss out on all the other wins. That's just my 2 cent, what do I know
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degengambleSBR Rookie
- 12-03-12
- 39
#1481Sorry Nino - The spreadsheet will not work with Open Office on a MAC. Your only option is to run it on a PC using MS Excel - or I believe you can get MS excel for MACs - but not the free version.Originally posted by Nino7thx but i run a mac and it doesnt work and i dunno how to fix it
Nothing I can do about it - Open Office does not run macros - which are necessary to pull the data we need from Covers.Comment -
Nino7SBR Wise Guy
- 07-11-09
- 798
#1482I got MS Excel for mac but i still have some pb:when i click update,a ton of windows i dont understand pop up and the bet tracker tab doesnt look updated.Could you plz help me on that? pm if u wantOriginally posted by degengambleSorry Nino - The spreadsheet will not work with Open Office on a MAC. Your only option is to run it on a PC using MS Excel - or I believe you can get MS excel for MACs - but not the free version.
Nothing I can do about it - Open Office does not run macros - which are necessary to pull the data we need from Covers.Comment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#1483Once every eleven years, if I remember correctly.Originally posted by Grinder12000Two ways to go - have each bet cancel each other and NOT play the game but play the "B" bet.
OR
Play both sides and play the "B" loser as normal. It happens - not a lot lately but when the system has a ton of games it's not REAL uncommon.
The BAD end of the world scenario and I believe the Mayans talk of it - is two "D" games at the same time.Comment -
RiceboiSBR Wise Guy
- 10-03-11
- 857
#1484how's that system you're researching coming along?Originally posted by Wallco99Once every eleven years, if I remember correctly.Comment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#14852 1/2 seasons done. Like it so far. Made a couple changes along the way, which caused a retest of season 1 with good results still. Had Christmas parties the past three nights, so hopefully getting back on it tonight after my tree is up.Originally posted by Riceboihow's that system you're researching coming along?Comment -
SttubSBR Rookie
- 12-10-12
- 25
#1486What page is the spread sheet on?
I hate to ask but I been searching for itComment -
Nino7SBR Wise Guy
- 07-11-09
- 798
#1487click "post" under degengamble name and look for his first postOriginally posted by SttubWhat page is the spread sheet on?
I hate to ask but I been searching for itComment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#1488Post #1100Originally posted by SttubWhat page is the spread sheet on?
I hate to ask but I been searching for itComment -
StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#1489records:Originally posted by Stifler15.12.2012
S1
(B Bet) Utah: Utah -1,5 1,10u | Utah -2 2,31u
S2
(A Bet) Cle fade: NY Knicks -11 1,10u
(A Bet) Bos fade: Spurs -10 1,10u
S1: W 23 | L 1 (+4,55 units)
S2: W 11 | L 0 (+11,00 units)
S3: W 7 | L 0 (+7,00 units)
S4: W 15 | L 0 (+16,00 units)
pending:
- S2 Bos, B Bet on 19.12.2012
- S1 Utah, C Bet on 18.12.2012
- S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 19.12.2012
________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #786
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StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#149016.12.2012
no plays today, Denver would have been a S1 play starting today, but i somehow dont like this 4 game series. I dont need to force any plays, thats why im skipping this game. As i already said Denver should not be on the list for S1 and im just making situational series bets on them.Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#1491Denver in 10 years is 100-7 - good call. No one has commented on ALWAYS buying a 1/2 point. I think this, in this system, would be a smart strategy. I have seen the light. Makes zero sense in normal wagering but here . . . . it's all about winning and juice be damned.Comment -
RiceboiSBR Wise Guy
- 10-03-11
- 857
#1492I wonder if Denver (and other teams) has a better record than 100-7 if you buy half a point or a point?Originally posted by Grinder12000Denver in 10 years is 100-7 - good call. No one has commented on ALWAYS buying a 1/2 point. I think this, in this system, would be a smart strategy. I have seen the light. Makes zero sense in normal wagering but here . . . . it's all about winning and juice be damned.Comment -
Captain MoSBR Rookie
- 12-16-12
- 7
#1493Would we fade Det tomorrow since they played a OT game the other night?Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#1494Captain MoNo they are not on the list of playable S4 teamsWould we fade Det tomorrow since they played a OT game the other night?
Riceboi
Probably not.I wonder if Denver (and other teams) has a better record than 100-7 if you buy half a point or a point?
Just taking Denver - a 1/2 point would have helped 15 times in 757 games for 1.9% So in ALL games a half point helped 1.9%. Don't know if those particular games were system games though.
Off the top of my head here . . .
The Chase has wagered on about 23% of the games (98 wagers with a league total of 420 team games . . seems like a high amount??) so 23% * 1.9%* is 0.0044 (0.44%). So in theory buying a 1/2 point on every game will help 2.17 times in one year.
But that 2.17 times is not just "D" games which are happening 4% of the time.
So - in the alleged 3-5 Chase losses in a year you would pay a LOT of juice - would that make up for the 2 times it helped a Chase. Then you have to wonder, if it stopped a chase would that Chase stop ANYWAY in the next game.
SO - maybe the correct strategy is to only buy 1/2 point when it REALLY means something like "C" and "D" games. Then you are not buying juice for all four games running up your bet total.Comment -
Teamprofit101SBR Sharp
- 12-14-11
- 336
#1495I will play the unofficial denver play since i'm running a labby...is anyone else making the play?Comment -
Captain MoSBR Rookie
- 12-16-12
- 7
#1496Thanks Grinder, where can I find the list?Comment -
AssetSBR Sharp
- 11-07-09
- 326
#1497I'll help you with all the trouble and maybe drama...Originally posted by Captain MoThanks Grinder, where can I find the list?
S1teams:
Boston(W streaks only)
Brooklyn(L streaks only)
NYK
Toronto
Chicago
Detroit(W streaks only)
Indiana(W streaks only)
Milwaukee(W streaks only)
Atlanta(L streaks only)
Charlotte(W streaks only)
Denver
Utah
Sacramento(L streaks only)
SASpurs
S2teams:
Boston
Cleveland
Atlanta
Orlando
Utah
S3teams:
Toronto
Indiana
Atlanta
Charlotte
GoldenState
S4teams:
Toronto
Chicago
Atlanta
Miami
Washington
Minnesota
LAClippers
Sacramento
Dallas
MemphisComment -
Nino7SBR Wise Guy
- 07-11-09
- 798
#1498editComment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#1499Hope you guys took my suggestion to bet the farm on New Orleans. 61-16 system looking good.Comment -
EasyPicksSBR MVP
- 10-21-11
- 3804
#1500amazing numbers, first time seeing this thread!
will follow!
GL allComment -
NYC's FinestRestricted User
- 11-27-12
- 52
#1501you recommend we should be taking hornets +4.5 today?Originally posted by Grinder12000Hope you guys took my suggestion to bet the farm on New Orleans. 61-16 system looking good.Comment -
jimSBR Sharp
- 11-30-06
- 479
#1502nice one man.Originally posted by Grinder12000Hope you guys took my suggestion to bet the farm on New Orleans. 61-16 system looking good.Comment -
brigade125SBR Wise Guy
- 07-03-11
- 685
#1503is there another system going on here besides stifler?Comment -
RiceboiSBR Wise Guy
- 10-03-11
- 857
#1504Originally posted by NYC's Finestyou recommend we should be taking hornets +4.5 today?
no he was talking about the Saints, he posted the pick a few days ago I believe. I don't know what his system is though. Would love to hear about it though.Comment -
NYC's FinestRestricted User
- 11-27-12
- 52
#1505makes sense, thanksComment
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