nba chase 12/13

ColdBeerHere · 03-13-13, 10:27 PM

lol 40 point lead now..82-42, wow.

parlay100 · 03-13-13, 10:44 PM

well i have to say losing by 50 points is better than losing by 1.

Harun · 03-13-13, 11:32 PM

ouchhhhhhhhhhhh

Stifler · 03-14-13, 07:49 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

13.03.2013

S1

(D Bet) Chic: Chi +8,5 1,10u | Chi -4 2,31u | Chi +5,5 4,85u | Chicago -3 10,19u
(A Bet) Chic fade: Sacramento +3,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Atl fade: Lakers +1 1,10u
(A Bet) Den: Denver -8,5 1,10u

records:
S1: W 69 | L 4 (- 4,80 units)
S2: W 35 | L 3 (-20,35 units)
S3: W 22 | L 0 (+22,00 units)
S4: W 47 | L 1 (+30,55 units)
additional:
-1,10 units Den fade
-3,41 units S4 Tor fade > closing line covers

pending:
- S1 Atl fade, B Bet on 15.03.2013
- S2 Bos, C Bet on 20.03.2013

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

Stifler · 03-14-13, 08:09 AM

14.03.2013

no plays today

thelegend67 · 03-14-13, 09:50 AM

i have to say that chicago was getting 90% of the bets, and the line moved 1/2 point. i thankfully laid off, as this looked very fishy.

OFS · 03-14-13, 09:58 AM

Originally posted by thelegend67

i have to say that chicago was getting 90% of the bets, and the line moved 1/2 point. i thankfully laid off, as this looked very fishy.

Chicago threw that game trying to guilt Derrick Rose into playing.

dalogester · 03-14-13, 10:02 AM

Rose is kinda being a baby.. w/e good riddance to them

Grinder12000 · 03-14-13, 06:00 PM

i have to say that chicago was getting 90% of the bets, and the line moved 1/2 point. i thankfully laid off, as this looked very fishy.

why play a system if you are going to try to outthink it. Makes zero logic.

ColdBeerHere · 03-14-13, 06:48 PM

olmec · 03-15-13, 08:52 AM

I have a question to Stifler or the other system chasers;

-- It is my first year that chasing the system, so I wonder that how is going the system if we compare the other years (considering middle of the March)

--Second question to Stifler; When do you think to start MBL chase? (That will be my first baseball bet, in my betting history)

thelegend67 · 03-15-13, 09:54 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

why play a system if you are going to try to outthink it. Makes zero logic.

i wasnt outthinking it, i merely was willing to take the c loss, and not worry about the d bet. it turned out good for me. id do it again given the same circumstances.

CheeseHead · 03-15-13, 10:06 AM

Originally posted by thelegend67

i wasnt outthinking it, i merely was willing to take the c loss, and not worry about the d bet. it turned out good for me. id do it again given the same circumstances.

I think Grinder's point was why are you here then? You don't pick and choose what games you play in a system, otherwise you're not actually playing the system lol.

thelegend67 · 03-15-13, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by CheeseHead

I think Grinder's point was why are you here then? You don't pick and choose what games you play in a system, otherwise you're not actually playing the system lol.

a system doenst have the ability to see everything. we do. perhaps when a system loses, this was why. we will never know i suppose. but if you think you can bet into a situation like the chicago d bet, and come out on the positive side, i think you would be wrong.

John Deere · 03-15-13, 10:12 AM

Rebusto mode !

Stifler · 03-15-13, 01:47 PM

15.03.2013

S1

(B Bet) Atl fade: Lakers +1 1,10u | Phoenix - waiting to get +9

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

John Deere · 03-15-13, 02:20 PM

BOL tonight. I need this one!!!!

Stifler · 03-15-13, 03:37 PM

- Phoenix line added.

15.03.2013

S1

(B Bet) Atl fade: Lakers +1 1,10u | Phoenix +9 2,31u

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

Grinder12000 · 03-15-13, 06:18 PM

but if you think you can bet into a situation like the chicago d bet, and come out on the positive side, i think you would be wrong.

No - you are actually fooling yourself with a victory and forgetting all the times you have over thought and lost. Those normally are forgotten. It's just like people that bet but don't put money on a game and they have amazing records.

Systems are used when players know they are not good cappers and know themselves. Either you are a good handicapper and don't need a system OR you know your own capabilities and become a system player. I do not believe that you can do both. I've never seen it done with success. Emotions come into play far far to easily.

Just the opinion from a 60 year old handicapper that has been doing this for 45 years!.

BUT - I could be wrong :-) Would not be the first time for sure!

rustie · 03-15-13, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

No - you are actually fooling yourself with a victory and forgetting all the times you have over thought and lost. Those normally are forgotten. It's just like people that bet but don't put money on a game and they have amazing records.

Systems are used when players know they are not good cappers and know themselves. Either you are a good handicapper and don't need a system OR you know your own capabilities and become a system player. I do not believe that you can do both. I've never seen it done with success. Emotions come into play far far to easily.

Just the opinion from a 60 year old handicapper that has been doing this for 45 years!.

BUT - I could be wrong :-) Would not be the first time for sure!

So Grinder , at 60 are you a handicapper or a system player? Just wondering as I have started to
think I may have to become a system player after a extemeley bad run of luck. Do systems or
chases in your opinion work ?In the long run. ?

Cheers

Grinder12000 · 03-15-13, 08:03 PM

System for sure. I know I suck at most sports, my emotions get in the way. Ill place maybe 1/2u on emotion plays ( which seem to win) but I know my limitations. Find a system, play it till it breaks down and move on.

long run yea, but the key is knowing when to pull the plug and when to press.

MY only system is the NFL and its worked for 21 years but only about 40 plays a year.

Stifler · 03-16-13, 05:45 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

15.03.2013

S1

(B Bet) Atl fade: Lakers +1 1,10u | Phoenix +9 2,31u

records:
S1: W 69 | L 4 (- 4,80 units)
S2: W 35 | L 3 (-20,35 units)
S3: W 22 | L 0 (+22,00 units)
S4: W 47 | L 1 (+30,55 units)
additional:
-1,10 units Den fade
-3,41 units S4 Tor fade > closing line covers

pending:
- S1 Atl fade, C Bet on 17.03.2013
- S2 Bos, C Bet on 20.03.2013

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

knugen · 03-16-13, 05:54 AM

i have a S1 detroit fade pendig on my spreadsheet..

i must have missed that B bet, anyone know when it was?

rustie · 03-16-13, 06:15 AM

Originally posted by knugen

i have a S1 detroit fade pendig on my spreadsheet..

i must have missed that B bet, anyone know when it was?

Was 4-5 days ago and was a detroit fade against the Clippers which the Clippers won , so B bet closed.
Hope that helps

knugen · 03-16-13, 06:23 AM

Thx, dont understand how i could miss it...

thelegend67 · 03-16-13, 09:10 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

No - you are actually fooling yourself with a victory and forgetting all the times you have over thought and lost. Those normally are forgotten. It's just like people that bet but don't put money on a game and they have amazing records.

Systems are used when players know they are not good cappers and know themselves. Either you are a good handicapper and don't need a system OR you know your own capabilities and become a system player. I do not believe that you can do both. I've never seen it done with success. Emotions come into play far far to easily.

Just the opinion from a 60 year old handicapper that has been doing this for 45 years!.

BUT - I could be wrong :-) Would not be the first time for sure!

it isnt about a victory, i did not bet the game. i merely was willing to accept the c level loss and move on. i happened to be correct given the circumstance of how the money was being bet, and the lack of compensation from the books. and i am 45 with 20 yrs of experience. i stand by what i said. if you bet into this type of situation, you will not have a positive outcome. i hope someone has learned from this, as it is all good.

Grinder12000 · 03-16-13, 09:21 AM

thelegend67 - I will agree to disagree and hoist a beer to you tonight (too early this morning). This is one of those "gut" things that sometimes actually works out. As long as you know yourself.

It's like online poker. Sometimes you KNOW something will happen because of experience but you can't explain it to an onlooker.

thelegend67 · 03-16-13, 09:35 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

thelegend67 - I will agree to disagree and hoist a beer to you tonight (too early this morning). This is one of those "gut" things that sometimes actually works out. As long as you know yourself.

It's like online poker. Sometimes you KNOW something will happen because of experience but you can't explain it to an onlooker.

im scottish, so i will hoist many this evening. best of luck to everyone. and please be careful tonight.

John Deere · 03-16-13, 10:43 AM

Any play tonight?

Grinder12000 · 03-16-13, 11:26 AM

im scottish, so i will hoist many this evening. best of luck to everyone.

I'm part owner of a brew pub so you KNOW I'll be hoisting a few :-)

Stifler · 03-16-13, 11:32 AM

today just a new starting series on Boston (S2). Im waiting to get atleast -15 to jump on board.

Grinder12000 · 03-16-13, 03:57 PM

-10 not good enough? Need a challenge? :-)

Stifler · 03-16-13, 05:20 PM

Booked S2 a Boston @ -15,5. cant Post in normal Format atm

Stifler · 03-17-13, 04:44 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

16.03.2013

S2

(A Bet) Bos: Boston -15,5 1,10u

records:
S1: W 69 | L 4 (- 4,80 units)
S2: W 36 | L 3 (-19,35 units)
S3: W 22 | L 0 (+22,00 units)
S4: W 47 | L 1 (+30,55 units)
additional:
-1,10 units Den fade
-3,41 units S4 Tor fade > closing line covers

pending:
- S1 Atl fade, C Bet on 17.03.2013
- S2 Bos, C Bet on 20.03.2013

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

Stifler · 03-17-13, 05:37 AM

17.03.2013

S1

(C Bet) Atl fade: Lakers +1 1,10u | Phoenix +9 2,31u | Brooklyn -4,5 4,85u
(A Bet) NYK fade: Clippers - no line up atm

S2

(A Bet) Atl fade: Brooklyn -4,5 1,10u

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586