nba chase 12/13

[John Deere]

GSW cant hold it

[zonedog]

wtf does that mean?

I think he meant baseball

[John Deere]

Red night.
Beat : Gf too.

[miczz14]

this is why u need a chase system in nba. it's too unpredictable

[zonedog]

Stifler,

I really appreciate all the hard work you put into backtesting. I know you said that you would have a new system for basketball next year. Do you think it would make sense to at least weigh in a little bit on the skill of the players of the current roster when picking teams?

Example - Orlando is a drastically different team this year roster wise then what it was during the last 5 years since Howard left plus they have had injuries too. I know line moves accordingly but it seems like no matter what the line is they just don't have enough skill players this year to cover the spread most of the time.

[Wallco99]

Stifler,

I really appreciate all the hard work you put into backtesting. I know you said that you would have a new system for basketball next year. Do you think it would make sense to at least weigh in a little bit on the skill of the players of the current roster when picking teams?

Example - Orlando is a drastically different team this year roster wise then what it was during the last 5 years since Howard left plus they have had injuries too. I know line moves accordingly but it seems like no matter what the line is they just don't have enough skill players this year to cover the spread most of the time.

It sounds like you are starting a new system! What will the name of your thread be?

[Grinder12000]

I know in the NFL I always have one team that kills me. Normally the amazingly offense teams that crush the spread. They are my Orlando.

[dalogester]

I'm more upset about the boston bet tonight then Orlando. They absolutely should have covered.
With that being said, we haven't lost until we lose the D bets fellas. Have faith

[knugen]

Aahh, had cleveland ML tonight, a hard one... Gonna keep fading miami, thav gonna lose soon

[zonedog]

It sounds like you are starting a new system! What will the name of your thread be?

It sounds like you are clueless as to what I was trying to get to. I was simply asking Stifler's opinion on teams that performed well one away or the other in the past 5 years and now has completely different make up may better be avoided some time until a pattern developed on how this new look team plays. He even admitted that he would tweak this system for the next year. So get a clue.

[Grinder12000]

There are some parts of The Chase that I back tested for 10 years that are awesome. S1 follows kicked butt the last 10 years.

For instance - Orlando is one of the best teams in S1 going 52-1 and are 4-0 this year but are horrible fading being 12-4, they are 5-0 in S1 fade this year.

Utah was 54-0 and are 3-0 follow and 3-0 fade

[Stifler]

20.03.2013

S1

(B Bet) NYK fade: Utah -10 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u
(B Bet) Atl: Atlanta -3 1,10u | Atlanta -5,5 2,31u
(A Bet) SA fade: Golden State +8,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Bos: Boston -4,5 1,10

S2

(C Bet) Bos: Boston +11 1,10u | Boston -11 2,31u | Boston -4,5 4,85u
(B Bet) Orl: Orlando +11 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u

records:
S1: W 71 | L 4 (- 2,80 units)
S2: W 36 | L 3 (-19,35 units)
S3: W 22 | L 0 (+22,00 units)
S4: W 47 | L 1 (+30,55 units)
additional:
-1,10 units Den fade
-3,41 units S4 Tor fade > closing line covers


pending:
- S2 Bos, D Bet on 22.03.2013
- S2 Atl fade, B Bet on 24.03.2013
- S1 NYK fade, C Bet on 22.03.2013
- S2 Utah, B Bet on 25.03.2013
- S2 Orl, C Bet on 27.03.2013
- S1 Bos, B Bet on 22.03.2013
- S1 SA fade, B Bet on 22.03.2013

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[ABOSSSGAME]

Big day tomorrow ..

[John Deere]

Pay day tomorrow ..

FYP

[dalogester]

No plays today Stif? Im sad we don't have enough money out there LOL

[Teamprofit101]

There are some parts of The Chase that I back tested for 10 years that are awesome. S1 follows kicked butt the last 10 years.

For instance - Orlando is one of the best teams in S1 going 52-1 and are 4-0 this year but are horrible fading being 12-4, they are 5-0 in S1 fade this year.

Utah was 54-0 and are 3-0 follow and 3-0 fade

With teams changing players and coaches some years will be different on a team to team basis.........

do you have the record for S1-S4 for every team all together in the past years?

[Stifler]

21.03.2013

S4

(A Bet) Chic fade: Portland +6 1,10u


________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[Stifler]

Stifler,

I really appreciate all the hard work you put into backtesting. I know you said that you would have a new system for basketball next year. Do you think it would make sense to at least weigh in a little bit on the skill of the players of the current roster when picking teams?

Example - Orlando is a drastically different team this year roster wise then what it was during the last 5 years since Howard left plus they have had injuries too. I know line moves accordingly but it seems like no matter what the line is they just don't have enough skill players this year to cover the spread most of the time.

I definately will take a look closer in the next season. I mean its easy to talk about the impact after the regular season is done. Orlando was undefeated for S2 the previous 6 seasons. If any drastical team changings are going to happen next year i think its better to lay of that teams. Still hard to decide before the season, could have been the same with Brooklyn aswell.

There will probably new systems next year. I already made the backtesting, will take a look closer as soon as the nba season is done.
Im also willing to do my own nba database with 1H, 2H, 1Q, 2Q 3Q, 4Q spreads and maybe a bit more, but this is a hell of a work and will probably take alot time. This wont be finished for the next season, i dont even know if this can be done for the 2014/15 season. This will take atleast 1 year to add all those things together, cause i wanna have atleast 3 or 4 full seasons of data.

Im also looking for a soccer chase, cause soccer is the sport i am most addicted to. Plus there is still NHL in my mind. But even my day has 24 hours, i will do everything step by step.

There will also be a new pitcher chase system for mlb. I will post all the mlb stuff on the weekend, including all the team-changes.

[dalogester]

Awesome stuff stifler, I think we need to all keep in mind that its also plausible to have seasons like this one that just simply under perform. We can't expect every single season in every single sport to double up our bankroll. As far as im concerned, if we still show a profit from this season then I am happy. Its a marathon, not a sprint. Can't wait to try out baseball season!

[olmec]

Im also looking for a soccer chase, cause soccer is the sport i am most addicted to.

Have you ever try any soccer chase and share on sbr or somewhere else? Also i have a soccer chase and i really wonder yours..

[Stifler]

Have you ever try any soccer chase and share on sbr or somewhere else? Also i have a soccer chase and i really wonder yours..

I Never did any Soccer chasing. Never Even did it with Single betting seriously.
Is your system documented anywhere?

[olmec]

I Never did any Soccer chasing. Never Even did it with Single betting seriously.
Is your system documented anywhere?

No. I havent documented it. It's martingale based system like yours. If you wish i can explain you by pm.

[miczz14]

incoming d bet and c bet! heres to tomorrow! let's win these

[Stifler]

21.03.2013

S4

(A Bet) Chic fade: Portland +6 1,10u

records:
S1: W 71 | L 4 (- 2,80 units)
S2: W 36 | L 3 (-19,35 units)
S3: W 22 | L 0 (+22,00 units)
S4: W 48 | L 1 (+31,55 units)
additional:
-1,10 units Den fade
-3,41 units S4 Tor fade > closing line covers


pending:
- S2 Bos, D Bet on 22.03.2013
- S2 Atl fade, B Bet on 24.03.2013
- S1 NYK fade, C Bet on 22.03.2013
- S2 Utah, B Bet on 25.03.2013
- S2 Orl, C Bet on 27.03.2013
- S1 Bos, B Bet on 22.03.2013
- S1 SA fade, B Bet on 22.03.2013

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[Stifler]

22.03.2013

S1

(C Bet) NYK fade: Utah -10 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u | Toronto - waiting on line movement
(B Bet) SA fade: Golden State +8,5 1,10u | Utah - no line up atm
(B Bet) Bos: Boston -4,5 1,10 | Boston - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) NYK: Knicks -1 1,10u


S2

(D Bet) Bos: Boston +11 1,10u | Boston -11 2,31u | Boston -4,5 4,85u | Boston - waiting on lm
(A Bet) Bos fade: Dallas - waiting on line movement

S4

(A Bet) Mem fade: New Orleans - waiting on lm



________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[dogs1972]

Yeeeeeeehaaaaaaw!

[Stifler]

- NO & Utah line added.

22.03.2013

S1

(C Bet) NYK fade: Utah -10 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u | Toronto - waiting on line movement
(B Bet) SA fade: Golden State +8,5 1,10u | Utah +10,5 2,31u
(B Bet) Bos: Boston -4,5 1,10 | Boston - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) NYK: Knicks -1 1,10u

S2

(D Bet) Bos: Boston +11 1,10u | Boston -11 2,31u | Boston -4,5 4,85u | Boston - waiting on lm
(A Bet) Bos fade: Dallas - waiting on line movement

S4

(A Bet) Mem fade: New Orleans +6,5 1,10u



________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[dogs1972]

quiet around here

[Stifler]

- Dallas line added.

22.03.2013

S1

(C Bet) NYK fade: Utah -10 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u | Toronto - waiting on line movement
(B Bet) SA fade: Golden State +8,5 1,10u | Utah +10,5 2,31u
(B Bet) Bos: Boston -4,5 1,10 | Boston - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) NYK: Knicks -1 1,10u

S2

(D Bet) Bos: Boston +11 1,10u | Boston -11 2,31u | Boston -4,5 4,85u | Boston - waiting on lm
(A Bet) Bos fade: Dallas -4,5 1,10u

S4

(A Bet) Mem fade: New Orleans +6,5 1,10u



________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[illisdre]

quiet around here

Very.

[dalogester]

oh sorry just busy losing all my winnings on stupid college basketball. I won't ever bet on that shitty sport again.

[illisdre]

I guess I'm waiting for someone to say this is a lock and they put there house on it.
That'd make me feel better!

Awell. Pulling the trigger on this mawf.

[Stifler]

- Toronto line added.

22.03.2013

S1

(C Bet) NYK fade: Utah -10 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u | Toronto +1 4,85u
(B Bet) SA fade: Golden State +8,5 1,10u | Utah +10,5 2,31u
(B Bet) Bos: Boston -4,5 1,10 | Boston - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) NYK: Knicks -1 1,10u

S2

(D Bet) Bos: Boston +11 1,10u | Boston -11 2,31u | Boston -4,5 4,85u | Boston - waiting on lm
(A Bet) Bos fade: Dallas -4,5 1,10u

S4

(A Bet) Mem fade: New Orleans +6,5 1,10u



________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[Stifler]

- Boston line added.

22.03.2013

S1

(C Bet) NYK fade: Utah -10 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u | Toronto +1 4,85u
(B Bet) SA fade: Golden State +8,5 1,10u | Utah +10,5 2,31u
(B Bet) Bos: Boston -4,5 1,10 | Boston +4,5 2,31u
(A Bet) NYK: Knicks -1 1,10u

S2

(D Bet) Bos: Boston +11 1,10u | Boston -11 2,31u | Boston -4,5 4,85u | Boston +4,5 10,19u
(A Bet) Bos fade: Dallas -4,5 1,10u

S4

(A Bet) Mem fade: New Orleans +6,5 1,10u



________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[John Deere]

BOL !