nba chase 12/13

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  • dogs1972
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-22-09
    • 509

    #4761
    This reminds me of my ex wife. Took all my money and then disappeared right when I hit rock bottom.
    Comment
    • rustie
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-23-12
      • 358

      #4762
      Originally posted by dogs1972
      This reminds me of my ex wife. Took all my money and then disappeared right when I hit rock bottom.
      Bugger off, has it occurred to you that Stifler has not missed posting in forever, maybe there is a reason out of his control for being MIA today
      Comment
      • Grinder12000
        SBR MVP
        • 04-21-11
        • 1809

        #4763
        I thought the game that we won the previous chase on (Win #4) didn't count toward the next streak. I think you need the streak to be 7 in a row before a replay. I am talking about NYK.
        that is correct. I thought they had 7. Hmmmm. GO KNICKs
        Comment
        • Stifler
          SBR MVP
          • 11-11-09
          • 3511

          #4764
          - Sorry guys, had no time to post all the plays in time. I will end the season at this point for myself, but i still post all the plays.For the plays today i used covers closing line.

          27.03.2013


          S1

          (A Bet) NYK: Knicks +1 1,10u

          S2


          (D Bet) Atl fade: Brooklyn -4,5 1,10u | Milwaukee -2,5 2,31u| Indiana -7,5 4,85u | Toronto +2,5 10,19u
          (C Bet) Orl: Orlando +11 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u| Orlando +3 4,85u
          (A Bet) Atl: Atlanta -2,5 1,10u

          S3

          (C Bet) Atl fade: Milwaukee -2,5 1,10u | Indiana -7,5 2,31u| Toronto +2,5 4,85u
          (A Bet) Ind fade: Houston -5,5 1,10u

          S4

          (A Bet) LAC fade: New Orleans +5,5 1,10u


          - S1 Denver fade could be played aswell, but i wouldnt have started it anyway
          Comment
          • illisdre
            SBR Sharp
            • 06-22-12
            • 360

            #4765
            toronto not on Pinnacle live.. dammit
            Comment
            • illisdre
              SBR Sharp
              • 06-22-12
              • 360

              #4766
              dammit... Orlando isn't posted either..

              flipping hell... is this my luck or what?? i didn't get to make the bets prior to game start.. and the two that pinnacle decides not to post.
              Comment
              • illisdre
                SBR Sharp
                • 06-22-12
                • 360

                #4767
                well make it up on MLB. Jah bless.
                Comment
                • dalogester
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-02-13
                  • 1088

                  #4768
                  No It is your luck. Both appear they may lose. at least Atlanta and another d bet loses and another incoming.. very unimpressed by this season.
                  Comment
                  • sportscreep1
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 03-02-10
                    • 292

                    #4769
                    Another NBA team with players making millions of dollars decided to take the 2nd half off, thanks a lot Toronto, lucky for them they still get paid..
                    Comment
                    • ColdBeerHere
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-25-11
                      • 3626

                      #4770
                      Think I've had enough of the system for this year.....ready for a system for MLB, either Stifler's or another...Only about a week till opening day...
                      Comment
                      • CheeseHead
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-03-10
                        • 439

                        #4771
                        Mother. Fukk. Un-real.
                        Comment
                        • illisdre
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 06-22-12
                          • 360

                          #4772
                          wow.. i mean those looked like desirable games at end of 3rd quarter.
                          wat BS.. this traggedy happens all the time.

                          i might still playout the rest of the system, but im going to unleash my reserves on MLB
                          this nba season cost me most the bankroll I worked so hard to build.. and thanks to stiff in part for that.
                          Its not over.
                          Comment
                          • CheeseHead
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-03-10
                            • 439

                            #4773
                            I think we can all agree S2 plays suck. I've finally learned my lesson and will stop playing those.
                            Comment
                            • dalogester
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-02-13
                              • 1088

                              #4774
                              Lololol best system ever.
                              Comment
                              • Stifler
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-11-09
                                • 3511

                                #4775
                                Originally posted by Stifler
                                27.03.2013

                                S1

                                (A Bet) NYK: Knicks +1 1,10u

                                S2


                                (D Bet) Atl fade: Brooklyn -4,5 1,10u | Milwaukee -2,5 2,31u| Indiana -7,5 4,85u | Toronto +2,5 10,19u
                                (C Bet) Orl: Orlando +11 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u| Orlando +3 4,85u
                                (A Bet) Atl: Atlanta -2,5 1,10u

                                S3

                                (C Bet) Atl fade: Milwaukee -2,5 1,10u | Indiana -7,5 2,31u| Toronto +2,5 4,85u
                                (A Bet) Ind fade: Houston -5,5 1,10u

                                S4

                                (A Bet) LAC fade: New Orleans +5,5 1,10u

                                records:
                                S1: W 78 | L 5 (-14,25 units)
                                S2: W 39 | L 5 (-53,25 units)
                                S3: W 23 | L 0 (+23,00 units)
                                S4: W 49 | L 1 (+32,55 units)
                                additional:
                                -1,10 units Den fade
                                -3,41 units S4 Tor fade > closing line covers


                                pending:
                                - S2 Orl, D Bet on 30.03.2013
                                - S3 Atl fade, D Bet on 29.03.2013
                                - S3 Ind fade, B Bet on 28.03.2013
                                - S4 LAC fade, B Bet on 29.03.2013



                                ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

                                all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                Comment
                                • Stifler
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-11-09
                                  • 3511

                                  #4776
                                  - as already mentioned, i personally quit the season yesterday. But i will still post the plays to keep the full record alive. For the recap im going to use the covers closing lines.

                                  28.03.2013

                                  S3

                                  (B Bet) Ind fade: Houston -5,5 1,10u | Dallas 2,31u

                                  S4

                                  (A Bet) Dal fade: Indiana 1,10u

                                  Comment
                                  • Grinder12000
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-21-11
                                    • 1809

                                    #4777
                                    I want to personally thank you Stifler for The Chase and sticking in there. I learned a lot from your chase and think with modifications it will be successful next year (not that I'm trying to steal your thunder LOL)

                                    S1 FOLLOWS S3 and S4 are good - S1Fade and S2 . . . not so much.

                                    I think the lesson learned here is that like all systems people have to learn when to pull the plug. 90% of all systems fail within 5 years. If there was a BIG money making system that worked all the time EVERYBODY would know about it right?

                                    I would love for you to keep posting so we can finish the numbers but do it when you have time. AT least S1Follow S3 and S4s as I'm still playing those.
                                    Comment
                                    • VenomLugz
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-17-09
                                      • 472

                                      #4778
                                      Pacers?!!
                                      Comment
                                      • Want2Win
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 09-30-09
                                        • 440

                                        #4779
                                        Thank you for all your work Stiffler!
                                        Comment
                                        • Stifler
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-11-09
                                          • 3511

                                          #4780
                                          Originally posted by Stifler

                                          28.03.2013

                                          S3

                                          (B Bet) Ind fade: Houston -5,5 1,10u | Dallas 2,31u

                                          S4

                                          (A Bet) Dal fade: Indiana 1,10u
                                          records:
                                          S1: W 78 | L 5 (-14,25 units)
                                          S2: W 39 | L 5 (-53,25 units)
                                          S3: W 23 | L 0 (+23,00 units)
                                          S4: W 50 | L 1 (+33,55 units)
                                          additional:
                                          -1,10 units Den fade
                                          -3,41 units S4 Tor fade > closing line covers


                                          pending:
                                          - S2 Orl, D Bet on 30.03.2013
                                          - S3 Atl fade, D Bet on 29.03.2013
                                          - S3 Ind fade, C Bet on 30.03.2013
                                          - S4 LAC fade, B Bet on 29.03.2013



                                          ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

                                          all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                          Comment
                                          • Stifler
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-11-09
                                            • 3511

                                            #4781
                                            29.03.2013

                                            S1

                                            (A Bet) SA fade: Clippers 1,10u

                                            S2


                                            (A Bet) Utah: Utah 1,10u

                                            S3


                                            (D Bet) Atl fade: Milwaukee -2,5 1,10u | Indiana -7,5 2,31u| Toronto +2,5 4,85u| Boston 10,19u

                                            S4

                                            (B Bet) LAC fade: New Orleans +5,5 1,10u | Spurs 2,31u
                                            Comment
                                            • dalogester
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-02-13
                                              • 1088

                                              #4782
                                              bostons a good bet tonight and i didnt need a D bet to tell me.
                                              Comment
                                              • Stifler
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-11-09
                                                • 3511

                                                #4783
                                                Originally posted by Stifler
                                                29.03.2013

                                                S1

                                                (A Bet) SA fade: Clippers +4 1,10u

                                                S2


                                                (A Bet) Utah: Utah +1,5 1,10u

                                                S3


                                                (D Bet) Atl fade: Milwaukee -2,5 1,10u | Indiana -7,5 2,31u| Toronto +2,5 4,85u| Boston -2,5 10,19u

                                                S4

                                                (B Bet) LAC fade: New Orleans +5,5 1,10u | Spurs -4 2,31u
                                                records:
                                                S1: W 79 | L 5 (-13,25 units)
                                                S2: W 40 | L 5 (-52,25 units)
                                                S3: W 24 | L 0 (+24,00 units)
                                                S4: W 50 | L 1 (+33,55 units)
                                                additional:
                                                -1,10 units Den fade
                                                -3,41 units S4 Tor fade > closing line covers


                                                pending:
                                                - S2 Orl, D Bet on 30.03.2013
                                                - S3 Ind fade, C Bet on 30.03.2013
                                                - S4 LAC fade, C Bet on 30.03.2013



                                                ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

                                                all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                                Comment
                                                • Stifler
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-11-09
                                                  • 3511

                                                  #4784
                                                  30.03.2013

                                                  S1
                                                  (A Bet) Chic: Chicago 1,10u
                                                  (A Bet) Utah: Utah 1,10u
                                                  S2

                                                  (D Bet) Orl: Orlando +11 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u| Orlando +3 4,85u| Orlando 10,19u
                                                  (A Bet) Orl fade: Atlanta 1,10u

                                                  S3

                                                  (C Bet) Ind fade: Houston -5,5 1,10u | Dallas 2,31u | Phoenix 4,85u
                                                  (A Bet) Atl: Atlanta 1,10u

                                                  S4

                                                  (C Bet) LAC fade: New Orleans +5,5 1,10u | Spurs -4 2,31u | Houston 4,85u
                                                  Comment
                                                  • zacharyj53
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-07-10
                                                    • 2514

                                                    #4785
                                                    Originally posted by Stifler
                                                    30.03.2013

                                                    S1
                                                    (A Bet) Chic: Chicago 1,10u
                                                    (A Bet) Utah: Utah 1,10u
                                                    S2

                                                    (D Bet) Orl: Orlando +11 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u| Orlando +3 4,85u| Orlando 10,19u
                                                    (A Bet) Orl fade: Atlanta 1,10u

                                                    S3

                                                    (C Bet) Ind fade: Houston -5,5 1,10u | Dallas 2,31u | Phoenix 4,85u
                                                    (A Bet) Atl: Atlanta 1,10u

                                                    S4

                                                    (C Bet) LAC fade: New Orleans +5,5 1,10u | Spurs -4 2,31u | Houston 4,85u

                                                    My man, how did Orlando not cover last night?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Mr. Green
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 02-01-11
                                                      • 251

                                                      #4786
                                                      Originally posted by zacharyj53
                                                      My man, how did Orlando not cover last night?

                                                      Orlando wasn't a play last night...only qualifies as a road game
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Grinder12000
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-21-11
                                                        • 1809

                                                        #4787
                                                        For anybody wondering - I'm playing Chicago as an S1A Follow Da Bulls are 59-2 in the last 10 years BUT - lost their last Chase a couple weeks ago.

                                                        They are suppose to pay Dallas tonight right? +5

                                                        penetrate - game started already LOL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • wutang340
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 02-23-13
                                                          • 18

                                                          #4788
                                                          grinder,
                                                          thanks for taking the time to backtest some of these. would you mind telling me what site you use to gather all that info? sounds time consuming but I really want to give a lot of consideration before making anymorr s1,2, and 4 bets. thanks man
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Grinder12000
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-21-11
                                                            • 1809

                                                            #4789
                                                            I have software called WINPICKS for NBA. They advertise being able to predict games which is 100% BS - HOWEVER - you get all scores and lines for the last 25 years and for S1 and S3 is pretty easy to back test by hand WIN WIN LOSS LOSS and so forth are all color coded. You can also export to Excel. Costs only $39 a year after the 1st year. I just basically used it as a database looking for patterns.

                                                            It does NOT show OT games though.

                                                            So I just went through 10 years to see how the league did as a whole Stiflers system did OK except for the fades and S2s.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • CheeseHead
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-03-10
                                                              • 439

                                                              #4790
                                                              Great night. This was well over-due...hopefully we can take this momentum & finish out the year on a positive note!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Stifler
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-11-09
                                                                • 3511

                                                                #4791
                                                                Originally posted by Stifler
                                                                30.03.2013

                                                                S1

                                                                (A Bet) Chic: Chicago +5 1,10u
                                                                (A Bet) Utah: Utah -4 1,10u

                                                                S2

                                                                (D Bet) Orl: Orlando +11 1,10u | Orlando +10,5 2,31u| Orlando +3 4,85u| Orlando +10,5 10,19u
                                                                (A Bet) Orl fade: Atlanta -10,5 1,10u

                                                                S3

                                                                (C Bet) Ind fade: Houston -5,5 1,10u | Dallas 2,31u | Phoenix +10 4,85u
                                                                (A Bet) Atl: Atlanta -10,5 1,10u

                                                                S4

                                                                (C Bet) LAC fade: New Orleans +5,5 1,10u | Spurs -4 2,31u | Houston +2,5 4,85u
                                                                records:
                                                                S1: W 81 | L 5 (-11,25 units)
                                                                S2: W 41 | L 5 (-51,25 units)
                                                                S3: W 25 | L 0 (+25,00 units)
                                                                S4: W 51 | L 1 (+34,55 units)
                                                                additional:
                                                                -1,10 units Den fade
                                                                -3,41 units S4 Tor fade > closing line covers


                                                                pending:
                                                                - S2 Orl fade, B Bet on 01.04.2013
                                                                - S3 Atl, B Bet on 01.04.2013




                                                                ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

                                                                all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Stifler
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-11-09
                                                                  • 3511

                                                                  #4792
                                                                  31.03.2013

                                                                  no plays today
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Grinder12000
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-21-11
                                                                    • 1809

                                                                    #4793
                                                                    I missed Utah yesterday? Hmmmm

                                                                    So Utah had WWWWWW Am I correct that you need 7 W's for a 2nd Chase?

                                                                    On a side note - if you were using a 20 game moving average you wold be doing pretty well in the chase this year. We moved above the moving average last night for the 1st time in 54 games - time to BUY!!! :-)


                                                                    Chases I'm playing

                                                                    S1A Follow Utah 4/1/13
                                                                    S1A Follow Charlotte 4/1/13
                                                                    Last edited by Grinder12000; 03-31-13, 10:02 AM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • imotiv8
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-28-09
                                                                      • 892

                                                                      #4794
                                                                      what do you mean by "20 game moving average" ?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Stifler
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-11-09
                                                                        • 3511

                                                                        #4795
                                                                        Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                                                        I missed Utah yesterday? Hmmmm

                                                                        So Utah had WWWWWW Am I correct that you need 7 W's for a 2nd Chase?
                                                                        u need 6 to qualify for 2 series.
                                                                        Comment
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