NBL season

[GAMBLOR777]

Kazzouh being out changes everything,

Sydney can cover here...

[MatI]

I really think Sydney to cover is the play. Got it at +13.0 right before game.

[Gee]

Nice one. Kings cover whatever line you got

[MatI]

Nice one. Kings cover whatever line you got

[sportscash]

Good stuff NZ aren't very good at covering at home

[binomial]

Nice call on Sydney.

Wollongong to win it $15 1.5u

Looks fairly likely that Wollongong will finish 4th and play NZ in the first round. Lots of stuff could happen but Cairns look like they need to win Woll away and Townsville and Perth home to make it ahead of Woll which seems unlikely.

Both Perth and Townsville have the split on Woll so the only way they get better than 4th is if Townsville lose all 3 of their remaining games as I see it, which looks unlikely.

The way NZ are playing Woll should be close to favourite in a series against them. They went 2-2 over the season and the way NZ are playing defence anyone is a chance against them, say even the next to bottom team missing their best two players. How many times have you seen players go coast to coast down the middle of the floor when the defence is set but still not get within metres of the player? Penney may be close to the best offensive player in the league but he is also close to the worst defensive player.

After a hideous run Woll have won four in a row by double digits, including wins over 1st and 3rd. NZ look terrible and drag the ball and chain of a clueless coach who supercoach mcleod should be able to abuse.

I took NZ to win it $7 at the start of the season so is partly hedging this but I think it represents alot of value also

[MatI]

Any thoughts on the Tigers @ 36ers game tonight?

Both have been playing like crap IMO. Tigers on a fairly long losing streak, but play well at home normally. Tigers on the other hand have been bad on the road but defeated the 36ers the last 3 match ups.

Two below par teams, could go either way if you ask me...

[NEW_WORLD]

i like over

[Gee]

Wildcats tonight.

They can handle Townsville

[MatI]

Wildcats tonight.

They can handle Townsville

That is what im leaning to as well.

[NEW_WORLD]

what you think about under today?

[MatI]

Under looks good, avg score for Steel is about 37. I would think final score would be under 100.

eh, my bad... I was looking at the netball game when I read your post. not sure about the nbl game, i've been stung lately on overs/unders.

[Duff85]

Taipans+7 against the Gong tonight?

[MatI]

what you think about under today?

Very good defense for both sides. Will be close I think. I prefer Taipans to cover or under for the total.

[binomial]

GC -9.5 2u

Without Ballinger Adelaide don't have much and Clark should do what he likes inside.

[GAMBLOR777]

NZ/adelaide under 171.5 (1.5x)
adelaide +12 (1x)

[SportsMushroom]

gamblor any insight on your picks?

i was thinking the over

[MatI]

staying off the under but I do like adelaide to cover. BOL, lets cash.

[ultra_vision]

newzealand will likely play key players low minutes adelaide +11.5 easy money $1000x$1.95

[benrama]

These NBL games always feel a bit like picking red and black on roulette. I'm on the same plays as you Gambler777, Adelaide+12 and the Under 171.5. Adelaide have been competitive of late and are coming off beating a quality team, Cairns on their homecourt. Breakers have been in inconsistent and poor form of late, but at home they could easily break out and win by 30. In the previous 3 head-to-head games, two of them went under and Adelaide generally has a slower pace and more defensive game. The concern here is that there will be little D played as both teams have little motivation to treat the game too seriously.

[benrama]

Well the under is already done if this continues, these guys are running the ball up and down the court like madmen, if they hold the ball for more than 5 seconds without shooting it's a shock.

How poor is the quality of this league too, the local basketball comp in Oz is going to die.

[sportscash]

newzealand will likely play key players low minutes adelaide +11.5 easy money $1000x$1.95

Yeah i think this is a great bet.Make it 10000 but

[ultra_vision]

good first half for adelaide

[SportsMushroom]

5 minutes into the 4th quarter and adelaide has yet to score

great

[ultra_vision]

adelaide wont cover now piss weak effort 4th quarter

[Beniphone]

Burgers

[GAMBLOR777]

cash the under by .5

that had me sweating balls

unfortunately 36ers collapsed in the 2nd half and couldn't get the cover

[hawley]

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/sport/news/article.cfm?c_id=4&objectid=10716310

Read this article guys, should we hammer Cairns??

Surely the Crocs would rather a local playoff than playing Perth

[GAMBLOR777]

big game tonight guys

who ya got?

breakers SHOULD win,

i'm expecting a very defense-focused game

I like the under for now.

[GAMBLOR777]

For anyone wondering, the semi-finals are a best of 3 with the higher seeded team getting 2 of those games on their home court.

[binomial]

i agree with under. also like perth +5.5 bit too high for mine.

[hawley]

under will be the only play for me if I make one but since im going to the game I cant decide if I want to just relax and watch it

[Gee]

Perth +5.5 looks gold. They have no business being 5.5 point dogs. I would have thought 3.5 would be a fair line.

Also on the under.

Hawley: like you, I'm going to be facing the same dilemma on Sunday. Less so tonight on my TV. Lets go Wildcats!

[GAMBLOR777]

good luck everyone

my final plays are

Under 167.5 (0.5x)

NZ Breakers -5 (0.5x)

nothing serious, just for a bit of action really...

[GAMBLOR777]

this game is going nothing like I expected

hedged my bets with

LIVE Perth Wildcats +2.5 (1x)