NBL season

[binomial]

NZ +1.5 2u

Cairns have had a tough schedule last three rounds by NBL standards.
R14 away to NZ and home to Melbourne
R15 away to GC and away to Melbourne
R16 away to Wollongong now home to NZ

Tough game in Wollongong on Friday night. Whereas NZ had one home game past two rounds so should be ready for this.

Cairns have been impressive at home but I think NZ can get them here.

[binomial]

never in doubt.

[Bazz27]

NZ +1.5 2u

Cairns have had a tough schedule last three rounds by NBL standards.
R14 away to NZ and home to Melbourne
R15 away to GC and away to Melbourne
R16 away to Wollongong now home to NZ

Tough game in Wollongong on Friday night. Whereas NZ had one home game past two rounds so should be ready for this.

Cairns have been impressive at home but I think NZ can get them here.

Mate, nice call n the breakers, i had them to win b/tween 1-10 pts @ $3. u know your aussie b/ball, thanks n i'll will certainly check-in again....

[binomial]

pretty lucky jag, they were down 20 at the half. cairns fell away badly.

nice cash on the 1-10.

[binomial]

As I understand it:
- saville is out but likely to play sunday v Melbourne.
- ervin is playing. a couple days of days ago he was ruled out with OP but this was changed to playing
- davidson is questionable.

Wollongong looked allright against Cairns and alot better than previous efforts but they still ended up losing by 11 at home. Now lost 7 in a row and the last 3 by double digits.

NZ were down by 20 at the half but came back to win in Cairns.

Their last four home games have been:
- W adelaide by 14
- W Cairns by 6
- W Cairns by 14
- W GC by 21

all these teams are going better than wollongong currently are. The previous home game was where they lost to wollongong by 16, there only home loss of the season.

i reckon they get revenge here and win big.

NZ -10.5 3u

[ACoochy]

was going to take hawks +5.5 1H here but after seeing your reasoning i might lay off GL...

[changkaikk]

BOL with your plays today

[brettels]

i like both dogs sunday! then again, my point of view lately is similar to that of brandon lang, useless.

[binomial]

melbourne look short on talent but i read ervin may be out and sav as well, so pretty hard to get too keen on wollongong.

i am on GC though.

like both games under. Perth lack scoring without reddage and GC dont fill it up that much on the road.
dmac has been saying defence + play hard all week so think they will have to make more of defensive effort.

[hawley]

I like both dogs as well, but only if Ervin plays

Can someone post if they hear about the status of Ervin? I wont hear about it over here

[binomial]

i dont think what i read was very up to date, more likely that he is playing.

[GAMBLOR777]

Hawks 1H +1 looks good

[hawley]

Hawks 1H +1 looks good

Im on this and the Blaze

nice cash on the Kings the other night to

[hawley]

Wish Ervin wasn't playing now

[brettels]

blaze doing nicely

[binomial]

Worthington out for the season is a blow but Adelaide have been terrible on the road winning only one game when perth managed 65 against their sieve defence.

Adelaide get shannon back i believe, but they looked horrible last week and while they will likely play better i think GC will get the cover.

GC -3.5 1u
GC v Adelaide over 168 1u

[lonesomeloser]

Any thoughts on crocs v taipans?

[binomial]

i believe blacklock is out for crocs, which has them looking short handed. if he was playing would probably play over.

no valuable thoughts pretty much.

[RLF]

Unders was a good call.

[AzNDooM]

Hey Binomal, out of curiousity, whats your NBL record if you dont mind me asking.

[binomial]

terrible down plenty of units on sides and about even on totals.

Melbourne +5.5 2u
Sydney v Cairns over 2u

[Ben Franklin]

Tonight i actually like the kings to cover 3.5 and might sprinkle a little on the SU.

Kings have been playing well lately and the taipans seem to be going in the opposite direction. Cairns form away from home isn't to crash hot either.

Kings +3.5 GL

[binomial]

GC +2.5 1.5u
GC v NZ over 175 1.5
Adelaide +7.5 1u
Adelaide $3.99 1u
Perth v Adelaide under 163.5 1.5u

Pretty hard to point to a single team playing well at the moment. I thought NZ were terrible against Perth with no real idea what they were doing. Nearly half their shots were 3s only hitting 28% which isnt suprising given Bruton and Braswell were happy to throw up step back 3s with the defence all over them and Penney chucked up some speculators. Given their defence is pretty rubbish they look right to dominate the regular season and blow up in the playoffs.

GC have won 4 of 5 but their only convincing win was against adelaide who were so piss weak it is somewhat suprising there weren't sackings. However, they have averaged over 90 in their past five home games and given that NZ played thursday think they have the edge here.

the past 3 between these two have all been high scoring so some chance an under is due but seems unlikely given the offensive firepower involved and the likely lack of defence.

while adelaide have been disgracing themselves regularly they do tend to fire up and play close games with arch rival perth. pretty tough schedule for perth playing fourth game in ten days with some sick kilometres clocked. thinking adelaide can keep it close if not win it.

[Ben Franklin]

I will be also be on GC +2.5.

Breakers in for a let down and this will be it against a surging GC team.

Not convinced about adelaide. I think their morale is all the way down after that debacle a few nights ago. So no play for me.

[binomial]

Wollongong +5 1u
GC v Wollongong under 171 1u

GC have been playing well, but they have only won four games by more than 5 points all season.

Wollongong have put in some stinkers on the road of late, but over the course of the season they have been decent and have been back to their best at home.

5 just seems too many here given how much is at stake for mine.

GC have been over 90 6 of their last 7 home games, but the three games with Wollongong this season have all been under this number in regulation. Given the amount riding on this I like under.

[binomial]

Wollongong v Adelaide under 164 2u
Adelaide have the firepower to get 70 if they are lucky, Wollongong wont be in a hurry after a tough game last night.

Melbourne +9.5 1u lot of points for a team that has been going as bad as Cairns. Melbourne understaffed, but more minutes for Lewis and Waker is not that bad a thing.

Townsville -2.5 2u only lost one game at home and they should be ready to go after a tough loss last week. Did over NZ by 17 last time at home and they have arguably improved while NZ have dropped off.

[binomial]

Sydney -8 2u
Adelaide are broken, on b2b and even if they were trying the talent level is a fair bit below Sydney.

[hawley]

any love for the kings cover a double digit spread tonight?

Penny and Henare are both sick and sat out training yesterday plus Wilkinson is dealing with some deep bruising on his hip

Even if they play I dont expect them to play huge minutes or be 100%, plus the Kings are playing good ball and I thin Kazzouh will rack up the fouls inside. The breakers do have a long time off after this game though

I cant decide whehter the line is a trap because its seems a bit easy considering everything.

[MatI]

I'm not sure mate, im worried its a trap!

Having said that, and while it is top of the ladder vs bottom, Breakers have nothing to fight for, while Sydney will be keen to get off the bottom of the ladder.

Kings are also 7-3 SU in their last 10 games. I think they will cover, even without Khazzouh.

[GAMBLOR777]

Keep in mind NZ have lost 3 straight (can someone confirm if these were all on the road?)

back at home I think NZ light it up tonight.

NZ -12.5, Over 168.5

[hawley]

Is Khazzouh out?

[MatI]

NZ's last 5 games are WLLWL, 1 of those losses came at home.

[hawley]

Keep in mind NZ have lost 3 straight (can someone confirm if these were all on the road?)

back at home I think NZ light it up tonight.

NZ -12.5, Over 168.5

I didnt realise Khazzouh was out

I will probably play hte over, no play on the side but i stil like the kings

[MatI]

Is Khazzouh out?

It's a couple of days old, but pretty sure -

http://wwos.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=8224403

http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/sport/70631/kings-lose-khazzouh-to-injury

[hawley]

Yea it is, over here most of the sites I read on only discuss Breakers stuff

Thanks for pointing htat out though