CBASS 2011-2012 NCAAF Picks

[mstone897]

Week 6 Plays Updated:

8* Mississippi State -17

4* Arkansas -10

4* Miami (FL) +7.5

4* South Carolina -20.5

6* Missouri -3

4* Florida +14

6* LA-Lafayette +7 (bt. hook)


BOL this weekend everyone!

Loving the card CBASS. Good luck this weekend.

BTW. I'm with you on Miss St., Arkansas, Mizzou, and Florida.

[CBASS]

Loving the card CBASS. Good luck this weekend.

BTW. I'm with you on Miss St., Arkansas, Mizzou, and Florida.

Good deal Hopefully all goes well.

[CBASS]

Week 6 Plays:

8* Mississippi State -17 WINNER

4* Arkansas -10 WINNER

4* Miami (FL) +7.5 WINNER

4* South Carolina -20.5 WINNER

6* Missouri -3 LOSER

4* Florida +14 LOSER

6* LA-Lafayette +7 (bt. hook) WINNER


Thru Week 6:

2* 2-3-1

4* 10-6-1

6* 7-3

8* 3-2

10* 1-0

Overall: 23-14-2

[roymunson]

Wonderful CBASS! You are on fire buddy!

[CBASS]

Wonderful CBASS! You are on fire buddy!

Thanks Roymunson!

[guy Fawkes]

Great week CBASS! Congratulations buddy!

[CBASS]

Great week CBASS! Congratulations buddy!

Thank you G Fawkes!

[shooms79]

nicely done sir.

[CBASS]

nicely done sir.

Thanks Shooms! Hope you had a great weekend!

[CBASS]

Strong Leans:

Cal +4

Ole Miss +25

[shooms79]

bro...not only did i have a wicked week...i matched the payout on det closing bets and maxed it out. I hate butting head w u this week, but all on alabama. after seeing them last week vs vandy (who, i think is better than ole miss). After seeing how saban whipped hisboys into shape, gotta like them
1) yes not home game but you dont think saban will point out they arent no 1? plus what has ole miss done this year...honestly
I teased them hard with lsu. LSU -9 and bama -19....thats looking good. I have already gone crazy and played so much...i got so many teasers and parlays...i think this week in ncaaf an nfl is WIDE open...something is up...i hope im on the right side

[CBASS]

Week 7 Plays:

4* Mississippi State +3

2* Oregon -14

2* Ole Miss +26

2* Vanderbilt +11.5

4* Texas +8

[mstone897]

Week 7 Plays:

4* Mississippi State +3

2* Oregon -14

2* Ole Miss +26

2* Vanderbilt +11.5

4* Texas +8

Been waiting for these. Would you mind giving us a quick few thoughts on your Vandy and Texas picks? I like your Ole Miss pick but it's a no play for me.

[CBASS]

Been waiting for these. Would you mind giving us a quick few thoughts on your Vandy and Texas picks? I like your Ole Miss pick but it's a no play for me.

Oklahoma St. vs. Texas: Texas getting 8 pts. at home after getting demolished is a nice play here. Texas has a huge advantage on defense. They allow a little over 300 yds/gm, while Okla. St. allows more than 430 yds/gm. (also, Okla. St. allowed 34 pts. at home to UL Lafayette!). I look for Texas to cut out their self-inflicting wounds and play a much more disciplined game at home. The best way to get over their embarrassing loss to OU is to knock off the #6 ranked team in the land. I look for Bryan Harsin (Texas' OC) to unleash a masterful gameplan against that soft Pokes D'. Remember, the Cowboys were down big to Texas A&M before the Aggies imploded. Look for Texas to continue having success in the return game as well. Oklahoma St. is too 1-dimensional to be laying over a td on the road to a perennial power who just got their pride hurt. I wouldn't be surprised if Texas wins outright in this spot. Hey Pokes, you are on upset alert!

[CBASS]

Also, after Texas lost to OU last year, they went on the road and beat a ranked Nebraska team 20-13. They did have some extra prep time, but that team was a lot worse than this year's team IMO. That is just a little more food for thought. No one circles the wagons like .....okay, okay...that is going a little too far. LOL

[shooms79]

well cbass...maybe we can middle. I tease ok st to -1.5 on a few bets, very minimal. I just saw texas secondary exposed. that in addition to their duel young qb. there is an old saying...if u have 2 qbs, you dont have one. ie so much parity in the plays, and leadership. i think texas will be the team to beat NEXT year...IF they keep their coach.
respectfully
shooms

[shooms79]

ps. yes texas at home, yes after a loss they will be motivated. but i think ok state say the blueprint for OU and will follow. I dont think texas can contain blackmon. in addition, look at motivation for ok st. they handled texas AM...and to beat texas as well would be a rush and lotta point w bcs computer. u dont htink they are OU red headed step child?

[CBASS]

@ Mstone,

I will be posting the Georgia vs. Vanderbilt write-up soon. What games are you looking at? I am interested in who you are playing on this weekend.

[mstone897]

@ Mstone,

I will be posting the Georgia vs. Vanderbilt write-up soon. What games are you looking at? I am interested in who you are playing on this weekend.

Appreciate the Texas write-up. I'm most likely tailing you on that. I'm struggling this week. Been sick and busy and just starting to cap tonight. A few leans I have are Baylor +9, GT -7.5, USF -7.5, Washington -14.5, and I locked in Florida as a Pick early in the week on a pure gut bet. GT seems pretty easy but UVA is off their bye week. USF has been off since 9/29, I look for them to come out flying against Uconn. UW's offense has been pretty great with Price and Polk and I don't see anyway Colorado can keep up with them without their top WR. Florida, like I said is a pure gut pick. I love that I got it at a pick. I just don't see Florida losing 3 in a row. This is a huge game for them in the SEC East race. If they lose this they are all but done. The QB situation is a mess but Auburn's D isn't close to the Bama and LSU defense they faced the past 2 weeks. Florida's d-line is also pretty pissed about they way they've been pushed around the last 2 weeks, I see them stepping up and slowing down Dyer and forcing Trotter to throw the ball.

[shooms79]

take a look at 1h boise and wisc too

[CBASS]

Appreciate the Texas write-up. I'm most likely tailing you on that. I'm struggling this week. Been sick and busy and just starting to cap tonight. A few leans I have are Baylor +9, GT -7.5, USF -7.5, Washington -14.5, and I locked in Florida as a Pick early in the week on a pure gut bet. GT seems pretty easy but UVA is off their bye week. USF has been off since 9/29, I look for them to come out flying against Uconn. UW's offense has been pretty great with Price and Polk and I don't see anyway Colorado can keep up with them without their top WR. Florida, like I said is a pure gut pick. I love that I got it at a pick. I just don't see Florida losing 3 in a row. This is a huge game for them in the SEC East race. If they lose this they are all but done. The QB situation is a mess but Auburn's D isn't close to the Bama and LSU defense they faced the past 2 weeks. Florida's d-line is also pretty pissed about they way they've been pushed around the last 2 weeks, I see them stepping up and slowing down Dyer and forcing Trotter to throw the ball.

Nice breakdowns! I really like that Washington lean. I can see Colorado getting smoked in that one. As for your play on Florida, I definitely see your points there. Weis must find ways to get his playmakers involved. Florida has too much speed on offense to not have an impact on the game. I also agree that Florida's D-line is better than they have shown lately. The only thing that would scare me is their young qb making his first start in an SEC road (night) game. Also, Auburn fans will be jacked now that the university has been cleared in the Cam Newton investigation. Hopefully that play will hit for you. I also hope you are feeling much better. Seems like it is that time of year. A lot of people are starting to become 'under the weather'.

[CBASS]

take a look at 1h boise and wisc too

Thanks. Going to take a look.

[mstone897]

Nice breakdowns! I really like that Washington lean. I can see Colorado getting smoked in that one. As for your play on Florida, I definitely see your points there. Weis must find ways to get his playmakers involved. Florida has too much speed on offense to not have an impact on the game. I also agree that Florida's D-line is better than they have shown lately. The only thing that would scare me is their young qb making his first start in an SEC road (night) game. Also, Auburn fans will be jacked now that the university has been cleared in the Cam Newton investigation. Hopefully that play will hit for you. I also hope you are feeling much better. Seems like it is that time of year. A lot of people are starting to become 'under the weather'.

Appreciate it. I just locked in Washington and USF at -14 and -7. I bought the hook in each. Yeah, the Florida pick is by no means a sure thing. I just saw it and I had been thinking Florida would win so I took it before it went up. Florida coaches definitely have to do a great job this week but Muschamp is returning to his former school and I think that will get him jacked up. A lot of times when I look at motivational factors one question I ask is who needs this win more? In this case it's definitely Florida.

And yeah, I'm hoping to be better by the weekend. I just recently moved across the country to a completely different climate and am adjusting to my first fall here. We got a few inches of snow this past Saturday. I'm thinking that cool front is what caused it.

[mstone897]

Also, what made you decide against your Cal pick?

[sandman0713]

Oklahoma St. vs. Texas: Texas getting 8 pts. at home after getting demolished is a nice play here. Texas has a huge advantage on defense. They allow a little over 300 yds/gm, while Okla. St. allows more than 430 yds/gm. (also, Okla. St. allowed 34 pts. at home to UL Lafayette!). I look for Texas to cut out their self-inflicting wounds and play a much more disciplined game at home. The best way to get over their embarrassing loss to OU is to knock off the #6 ranked team in the land. I look for Bryan Harsin (Texas' OC) to unleash a masterful gameplan against that soft Pokes D'. Remember, the Cowboys were down big to Texas A&M before the Aggies imploded. Look for Texas to continue having success in the return game as well. Oklahoma St. is too 1-dimensional to be laying over a td on the road to a perennial power who just got their pride hurt. I wouldn't be surprised if Texas wins outright in this spot. Hey Pokes, you are on upset alert!

i guess people will just always look at ostate and assume bad d. these guys are stronger up front imo and better in the back than last year...and against a+m when it mattered they played extremely well. also pointed out in here a few times already...the 34 to laffy was because of 2 pick 6's and a 3rd int for a short field. this ostate d has always matched up much better with the texas style o's than they do with the spreads as well. also, this team runs the ball often and pretty well...so i'm not sure about the 1-dimensional angle. since holgorsen left this o is much more focused on the run, and they use a lot of 2 and 3 back sets with a lot more tight end...very balanced actually. that being said, i agree that texas at home would be the play here if i had to bet it...just too many points to lay with okie on the road. also, not trying to bash your picks or opinions. just giving you the opinion of someone who goes to every home game and sees these guys play. i very rarely bet on my team, and not this week for sure...so here is hoping ostate pulls it out by a fg and we are both happy man.

[CBASS]

i guess people will just always look at ostate and assume bad d. these guys are stronger up front imo and better in the back than last year...and against a+m when it mattered they played extremely well. also pointed out in here a few times already...the 34 to laffy was because of 2 pick 6's and a 3rd int for a short field. this ostate d has always matched up much better with the texas style o's than they do with the spreads as well. also, this team runs the ball often and pretty well...so i'm not sure about the 1-dimensional angle. since holgorsen left this o is much more focused on the run, and they use a lot of 2 and 3 back sets with a lot more tight end...very balanced actually. that being said, i agree that texas at home would be the play here if i had to bet it...just too many points to lay with okie on the road. also, not trying to bash your picks or opinions. just giving you the opinion of someone who goes to every home game and sees these guys play. i very rarely bet on my team, and not this week for sure...so here is hoping ostate pulls it out by a fg and we are both happy man.

Feedback is always appreciated Sandman! You make some very valid points. I just feel Texas is definitely worth a play at +8 @ home. I would not complain if OSU wins by a fg. GL this weekend friend.

[CBASS]

Appreciate it. I just locked in Washington and USF at -14 and -7. I bought the hook in each. Yeah, the Florida pick is by no means a sure thing. I just saw it and I had been thinking Florida would win so I took it before it went up. Florida coaches definitely have to do a great job this week but Muschamp is returning to his former school and I think that will get him jacked up. A lot of times when I look at motivational factors one question I ask is who needs this win more? In this case it's definitely Florida.

And yeah, I'm hoping to be better by the weekend. I just recently moved across the country to a completely different climate and am adjusting to my first fall here. We got a few inches of snow this past Saturday. I'm thinking that cool front is what caused it.

Good point about the motivational factor (that is the most important variable IMO).

Wow! Sounds like it might take you some time to settle in at your new home. Hopefully the winter months won't be too bad.

[CBASS]

Also, what made you decide against your Cal pick?

My lean on Cal was at first glance, without any real research. After taking a closer look, most roads led to USC being the play. I just couldn't flip flop, because I don't trust USC giving pts on the road (in conference).

[CBASS]

Week 7 Plays:

4* Mississippi State +3

2* Oregon -14

2* Ole Miss +26

2* Vanderbilt +11.5

4* Texas +8

[mstone897]

Week 7 Plays:

4* Mississippi State +3

2* Oregon -14

2* Ole Miss +26

2* Vanderbilt +11.5

4* Texas +8

Was wondering what you might do about the Ole Miss game. If you have the time I'd love to hear your thoughts on Vandy. I lean UGA but not for great reasons.

[CBASS]

Week 7 Plays Updated:

4* Mississippi State +3

2* Oregon -14

2* Vanderbilt +11.5

4* Texas Tech -3 (bt. hook)

4* Texas +8


BOL this weekend my SBR fam!

[CBASS]

Was wondering what you might do about the Ole Miss game. If you have the time I'd love to hear your thoughts on Vandy. I lean UGA but not for great reasons.

Yeah, I bought out of the Ole Miss play just before the news broke about the suspensions. I have a source that tipped me off, so I got lucky with that one. I almost forgot to update the change here on SBR.

I am going to take a short break and will post that UGA/Vandy write-up ASAP. I apologize for taking so long.

[CBASS]

Georgia vs. Vanderbilt: First things first...I like that this game is being played in Nashville at night. Vanderbilt will definitely benefit from the support of their fans who will have spent all day long tailgating. I also like the fact that all the pressure will be on Georgia. The Dawgs are still tied for 1st in the SEC East and there is no margin for error. Speaking of margin for error, Aaron Murray has 6 int's through 6 games. That spells trouble if he does not take better care of the football, because Vanderbilt leads the nation in int's with 14!!! Something else that spells trouble for Georgia is that they will be without 2 of their WR's for this game due to injuries. Let's take a quick look at what Vandy has been doing at home this season: The Commodores have played 3 games at home, averaging 33.0 points per game, while allowing 14.0 points per game. I know that the level of competition they have faced at home has not been impressive, but they are WINNING their home games. They have the 22nd ranked defense in the country, which will help compensate for their underachieving offense (this is due in large part b/c of tough games against Alabama & South Carolina-2 great defensive teams). Georgia is another great defensive team, but Vandy's offense is balanced enough to keep Georgia on their heels. Look for Georgia to rely more on their run game while Vanderbilt stacks the box. Hopefully, Vandy will not get bit by a big play on a play-action pass. Let's take a look inside the numbers in recent years for this series: Average points scored per game for the home team in the Georgia/Vanderbilt series is 21 ppg while the vistor has put up 21.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.8 favoring the road team. Add in the SEC home underdog trend showing more than 58% winners over the last 5 yrs and I will gladly side with Vandy here. I can't pass up getting the 11.5 pts at home with the 'Dores putting up just enough fight to stay within the number. My prediction: Georgia 24 Vandy 17.

[CBASS]

-I may have a couple of added plays soon-

[mstone897]

-I may have a couple of added plays soon-

Appreciate the write up. Looking forward to more plays. Another lean I have is ECU -14 versus Memphis. It's most likely a play for me.