I'm going to tail that OSU/PSU pick.
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That was a beautiful run by Rice.Comment -
I have been laughing my ass off at that Fumble/TouchdownComment -
i don't blame you. it was a like a little kid's game. bah. this is why the NFL replay system sucks - because every time there's a close play that doesn't favor the Stillers, Dierdorf will remind us that Mike Tomlin is out of challenges. this is why i hate backing Pittsburgh, because if they lose, i can't truly enjoy watching their dumbass fans lose.
PSU/OSU off to a decent start. need more fouls, but Penn State's hanging tight, which is essential.Comment -
32-all end of 1H, and that's with only 10 fouls and 10 FTs. PSU had tried to shorten the game and has shot lights out, but OSU's offense has been mediocre or worse. once either or both of those things changes, this thing should open up.Comment -
Pittsburgh's offensive line is complete garbage. the Ravens are good, sure, but the Steel City's finest can't keep them out of the backfield.Comment -
Dierdorf saying "gaffe" after the Ray Rice fumble was one of the great moments in speech impediment history.Comment -
thanks, zulu, you're too kind. just glad Stillers are back in it.
my 3rd CBB over tonight is Utah State/Fresno State over 129', also small. the line movement on this is not for the faint of heart, but consistent with the other overs, they are dogs that i think will "keep up" from the start.Comment -
This NFL playoff season has been sweet for me so far. The Saints and Colts are out, and my Pack are still in it. Hopefully the Steelers are on the way out too.Comment -
i want them out, just next weekend against the Pats. sucks that they settled for a FG there, thought maybe i'd get a TD after going for it on 4th. i hate the Stillers, but i have to say that i think that Tomlin's a good coach. i've met him before and he's a good guy too. with you on the Pack, the reason that i love that under is the GB defense.
booked this a little while ago. 4* Bears -10. i cap this game at 33-17, considered over, but i think there's a 1 in 3 chance that Seattle gets held to 10 or less. they've lost 7 of 8 on the road this year, all but one by 2 TDs plus.
that may be my only NFL play sunday. lean Pats but don't know if i want to eat that much chalk in one Sunday.Comment -
someone should tell Flacco that he can throw it to the black dudes, too.
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PSU/OSU over hits.
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gonna roll OSU win into Wake Forest/Va Tech 1H under 66, small.Comment -
all right, 3* Stillers -3 - WINNER. 4* GB/ATL under 44, 4* Bears -10 pending.
zulu, do i take it that you're on Pack ML? i'm considering adding that for a unit or so.Comment -
Christ, the Michigan/Indiana 1H under is truly a missed opportunity. there's no such thing as lock, but these teams are absolutely capable of not scoring for 8-10 minutes easy.Comment -
WF/VT 1H under 66 - LOSER, Hokies, 44-24. bah. Hokies score 44 in the 1H, what is it, Dell Curry night?Comment -
Yes, sorry, been away from the computer. I put 3 units on the Packers ML in addition to the teaser.
Cheers on the OSU pick, keep up the good work.Comment -
Also, there is no way i would have seen the Packers/Falcon game ending this way. I wouldn't have bet half a unti on Rodgers being sat in the 4th, even at +1,000,000.
No punts by GB, thet really played some inspired football tonight. Hopefully we can carry that into the Super Bowl.
Baltimore played the worst second half I have seen since the damn Iron Bowl.Comment -
Also, there is no way i would have seen the Packers/Falcon game ending this way. I wouldn't have bet half a unti on Rodgers being sat in the 4th, even at +1,000,000.
No punts by GB, thet really played some inspired football tonight. Hopefully we can carry that into the Super Bowl.
Baltimore played the worst second half I have seen since the damn Iron Bowl.Comment -
Is Notre Dame +2 vs St John a trap play?Comment -
Also booked another 2 team teaser:
Chicago -4
New York +15Comment -
no worries. i ended up playing Pack ML small. too bad i was so heavy on the under, i agree that i never saw that blowout coming. oh well. time to get started on today's CBB card, have about an hour before i go play hoops. will look at ND/SJU first. that one jumped out at me last night as an interesting game, same with Purdue/WVU. i might tail that teaser, was thinking about teasing Bears and over.Comment -
my conclusion is that, yes, ND +2 is a probable trap. Irish have been straight garbage on the road (lost by 12 at Cuse, 22 at Marquette), and just beat SJU in South Bend. SJU is playing hard, needs the game more, and public of course is heavy on ND and line's not moving. i cap it as SJU, 66-63. a big part of ND's advantage at home is how many FTs they shoot (and make), and they haven't been able to translate that to the road. when they played last week, ND only made one more FT than SJ and only attempted 4 more, and ND won because they shot 51% and held SJ in the 30s. this game will be at MSG, and a lot of college teams struggle shooting there. ND's history there is spotty. not saying that i'd play SJU, more saying that i'd pass here.Comment -
i like Purdue +2' at WVU. i cap it at Purdue, 70-67. Boilers are off that loss in the Barn where E'Twaun Moore played badly. WVU's is uncharacteristically bad at controlling the defensive boards and Purdue will exploit that, it's the biggest mismatch in this game. WVU has no one who can control JaJuan Johnson, and games like this are ones that WVU wins very narrowly if they win them.Comment -
Liking your Purdue pick - Huggy just doesn't have a very consistant team this year. But they are at home (line went to 3). I really like Valpo this season, but I think they lose the re-bound battle and the game at Detriot.
My picks today - Detroit -1 1/2, UNC -6
Bears - Pats - Bears over
What you think?
Yeaterday was a pretty good day for WI teams.Comment -
i like Detroit a bit, was actually eying that one. i capped it as Detroit, 76-72, so was eyeing the over too. i also agree with Pats and Bears over, haven't gotten to UNC game yet. need to cap the Indiana State game pronto and decide if going to add anything to Bears and Purdue for 1 pm.Comment -
Well you know it wouldn't kill me if the Bears lose - lol.Comment -
i've decided that i like Indiana State -4 at 1:05 EST better than Detroit or Bears over (though still considering Bears over). i cap it as Indiana State, 71-61, so even though i just got around to looking at it, i definitely like it. for the moment, i have:
4* Bears -10
3* Purdue +2' (unwise booking this early, could've had +3)
3* Indiana State -4
ND/SJU 2H over is gonna be worth a look, probably.Comment -
Good Luck Biff. Let me know what you think about that ND over. I don't do much with O/UComment -
I suppose - but I usually don't care who beats them. I don't really think they'll lose today, but I didn't think the Seahawks would beat the Saints.Comment -
thinking hard on it right now. the general principle at work is that, if two teams go under by 20+ 1H, 2H over is worth a look. i've gone 7-3 on that principle over last week or so (and lost my last one - UNC/VT). these guys went under by 20.5 1H. my concern is that ND looks like absolute garbage and historically has played poorly at SJU and their 2Hs have gone under. well, this theory has been good to me, so i'm playing the 2H over 70' for 1.5u. ND's assist/TO ratio 1H was 4:14 and they've missed 10 FTs. that's as poorly as they can play. they'll improve 2H and each team should be good for 35+.Comment -
Ok - gonna tail ya. Glad you explained the theory. I was going to ask if it had anything to do with the original O/U, but your idea is based on what happens with the first half O/U then.Comment -
let's get it. 2H started slow, but pace now good. 16 points before the first time-out, making me wish i'd also played over 29' first 10 minutes of 2H.
one correction, i incorrectly said they went under 1H by 20.5, it was actually 17.5. however, the 2H opened at 70 (when i would've thought it would've been 72'), then immediately jumped to 70' then 71. basically, we have the game over 115' when the total was 135, so it's about 20 points of value. i initially capped this game to have 129 points, so that's the full explanation as to why i like it.Comment