i dont like to bet teams where there is only .5 movement, i like at least 1 pt so unless something changes to get another .5 movement no Washington bet for me.
Public Fade Tracking Thread of Dogs 52% or Higher
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jakeandbaSBR MVP
- 01-13-09
- 1033
#386Comment -
The-DieselSBR MVP
- 12-27-09
- 1766
#389I bet all my dog system plays. If the RLM plays match up I consider putting a larger than normal bet on them.
We had 3 matches today.
Illinois -17
Iowa -6.5
Nebraska -8Comment -
goallinebobRestricted User
- 05-11-10
- 2973
#390We had 3 matches today.
Illinois -17,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,
Iowa -6.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,
Nebraska -8,,,,,,,,,,,WAITING,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Comment -
The-DieselSBR MVP
- 12-27-09
- 1766
#391Saturday, 10/30/10 Plays
Big day of college football plays guys. I hope these plays goes along with you capping skills brings us in sometoday. GL on your plays and enjouy the games.
Note: There's alot of border line games on the board today.
My dog sytem plays
42% Illinois -17 (-104)
48% Pittsburgh -9 (-105)
40% Iowa -6.5 (-105)
48% Mississippi -6.5 (-105)
48% Iowa st. -17.5 (-105)
30% Marshall -2.5 (-101)
44% Nebraska -8 (-105)
38% San Jose St. -3 (-110)
38% Arizona St. -21.5 (-103)
RLM Plays to keep an eye on
2.5 point line movement
20% Arkon +29.5 (-108)
2 point line movement
42% Illinois -17 (-104)
18% Vanderbilt +17.5 (-110)
1.5 line movement
40% Iowa -6.5 (-105)
30% Mississippi +7 (-107)
37% Kansas St +4 (-105)
44% Nebraska -8 (-105)
41% Texas Tech +7.5 (-108)
My Dog System Record
19-10
65%
+8.40 units
Boys please let me know if you need help dragging that big sack of cashyou made today home.
Hopefully we can keep it rolling next week. It time for bed now.
N.O. looking like a nice play tomorrow night in the NFL, still early.
Hope everyone made a profit today.
My dog sytem plays
42% Illinois -17 (-104).............................Won
48% Pittsburgh -9 (-105)..........................Won
40% Iowa -6.5 (-105)...............................Won
48% Mississippi St. -6.5 (-105)..................Won
48% Iowa st. -17.5 (-105).........................Lost
30% Marshall -2.5 (-101)...........................Won
44% Nebraska -8 (-105).............................Won
38% San Jose St. -3 (-110).........................Lost
38% Arizona St. -21.5 (-103)......................Won
My Dog System Record
26-12
68%
+13.25 unitsComment -
Aussiecapper101SBR MVP
- 09-04-10
- 2220
#392Well done DieselI only tailed on Illinois, Missisippi state and Nebraska. Spewing I mssed the Pitt game.. But thanks! good stuff!
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figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#393good work dieselComment -
keel44SBR MVP
- 08-01-09
- 3363
#394Are the public this dumb? or is this an anomaly?Comment -
The-DieselSBR MVP
- 12-27-09
- 1766
#398Thanks for the points shades and tailin junkieComment -
shades12SBR Hustler
- 09-12-10
- 58
#399No Problem. Lets keep the ball rolling with good research and discipline!!Comment -
M.W.SBR MVP
- 09-07-08
- 1668
#400Great job, and the two losses were on TDs in the last ten seconds of the game!Comment -
fballfanRestricted User
- 10-26-10
- 90
#402I apologize for my ignorance as I am new to this thread. If I understand your system correctly then South Florida and Va Tech are plays for weeknight games so far according to Pregame?Comment -
goallinebobRestricted User
- 05-11-10
- 2973
#403Afternoon diesel,,,and fbalfan
think your correct on S Fla as there giving points but JP is on the dog at 56%
think the other play is void as dog is not getting the higher percentage as of yet
Diesel am i correct ,,,Comment -
fballfanRestricted User
- 10-26-10
- 90
#404Va Tech moved from earlier, not a play as of now.Comment -
The-DieselSBR MVP
- 12-27-09
- 1766
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The-DieselSBR MVP
- 12-27-09
- 1766
#406May have a play building tomorrow night.Comment -
PLAYA-PLAYASBR Sharp
- 09-11-10
- 356
#407DIESEL----Thanks for all you do--bro-----Tailing your plays is money----Thanks again----REFUSE TO LOSE-----Comment -
louis.anaSBR Sharp
- 02-09-09
- 359
#408wow..
I wonder if this would apply to the NBAComment -
pokerwhiz90SBR MVP
- 10-02-10
- 2618
#411diesel ready for tonight's plays already! haha your work is awesome hopefully your able to see some of mine as well
however
are the rlm plays your plaing the ones from packbackers system, he's like 80% so farComment -
GodsmackSBR MVP
- 10-04-08
- 1226
#412awesome week last week diesel!Comment -
The-DieselSBR MVP
- 12-27-09
- 1766
#413
I'm posting my own RLM games. Most of them will be the same anywayComment -
Aussiecapper101SBR MVP
- 09-04-10
- 2220
#415I like your patience and discipline with your plays for your system diesel, you aint just chucking sh*t out there. keep up the good workComment -
goallinebobRestricted User
- 05-11-10
- 2973
#416Morn Diesel,,,, I know your more inclined with going against the dogs but you also do RLM's and i was wondering if any one goes back over past weeks to see if there are any other poss wins we over look
that are strong to the win % side
I went backover last 2 weeks to review the RLM's and also if there are any other plays that although may not be complete RLM's to see if there are any other poss plays that occur occasionally that could be legit plays due to freq of wins
last week i reviewed all plays over last two weeks and there results,,and this is what i found
Favorites who's opening line and closing line did not change went 16-7.( Last 2 weeks). not great but not bad
.05 favorite line increases from opening line to closing line ,,over last 2 weeks went 12-2..IMPRESSIVE
1 point drop between opening line and closing line went 7-4,, this was a RLM line play
1 point increase went 4-1,,,, (Poss these could be plays in reverse)even if JP is on that side
1.5 Drop went 4-0 ( RLM)
I guess its all about what opening lines and closing lines are and where and when we get them
have you ever attempted to review these oddities,,,,,to see if there is another edge,,,,,,,
Please do not hold me to these results as i think we all could have diff opening and closing lines
Just wondering if there are other things happening that could be poss plays if win % is great,,
,, now lets get those dog system Plays
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fballfanRestricted User
- 10-26-10
- 90
#417Goaline,
Those stats are interesting but the problem is you do not have enough data. From week to week you can spot all kinds of trends but you need to follow it for a whole season. Two weeks worth of data is not enough to bet on.
Let's see where the numbers are 4 weeks from now or can you go back and track the season?Comment -
goallinebobRestricted User
- 05-11-10
- 2973
#418In looking at this game t nite MTS is the fav and not only meets your going against the dog system play but also meets the Favorite team opening line at -1.5 and now at -2 = .05 increase that over the last 2 weeks went 12-2,,, so if line stays the same we have a double win combo play,,,,,Comment -
goallinebobRestricted User
- 05-11-10
- 2973
#419yeaa thats why i was asking Diesel if he ever tracked this as i haven,t,,since hes been doing this more than iComment -
goallinebobRestricted User
- 05-11-10
- 2973
#420i could go back as i have the back up as i save everything,, just a ton of work,,,,let me see if and what i can do by saturday,,,,,Comment
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