Public Fade Tracking Thread of Dogs 52% or Higher

The-Diesel · 10-17-10, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by Sdotbold

hey any nfl plays today??

Here's my NFL thread Sdotbold

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/705753-nfl-public-fade-tracking-thread-dogs-52-higher.html

Godsmack · 10-20-10, 09:19 AM

diesel, it is looking like a nice line up of games fall into your theory so far

PITT
ILL
BAY
SMU
STAN
VIRG
TCU

goallinebob · 10-20-10, 02:10 PM

Afternoon Diesel and godsmack,,,,been working on plays

Godsmack my plays that match yours are( liking last 4)

Baylor although could be a RLM by Saturday so will wait per packbacker
Stanford
Virginia
TCU
Packbacker watching Ill/Ind game

The-Diesel · 10-20-10, 02:42 PM

Originally posted by goallinebob

Afternoon Diesel and godsmack,,,,been working on plays

Godsmack my plays that match yours are( liking last 4)

Baylor although could be a RLM by Saturday so will wait per packbacker
Stanford
Virginia
TCU
Packbacker watching Ill/Ind game

Hey guys

Can't wait until Saturday

HoofHearted · 10-20-10, 03:28 PM

Thanks alot Diesel. I really like your system. Keep doing what you are doing. Peace

The-Diesel · 10-20-10, 05:16 PM

Originally posted by HoofHearted

Thanks alot Diesel. I really like your system. Keep doing what you are doing. Peace

AdamL2424 · 10-20-10, 05:29 PM

Does RLM work for totals too you think?

The-Diesel · 10-20-10, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by AdamL2424

Does RLM work for totals too you think?

I haven't checked totals

shades12 · 10-21-10, 07:21 AM

Using your system and RLM, would that be contradictory (working against eachother) or it doesn't matter?

do5000 · 10-21-10, 08:06 AM

interesting stuff

CLASSIC ROCK · 10-21-10, 08:21 AM

this is always good stuff ,thanks for doing this

The-Diesel · 10-21-10, 12:42 PM

Originally posted by shades12

Using your system and RLM, would that be contradictory (working against eachother) or it doesn't matter?

Really not sure shades. I haven't been tracking the RLM

The-Diesel · 10-21-10, 12:42 PM

Originally posted by shades12

Using your system and RLM, would that be contradictory (working against eachother) or it doesn't matter?

......

The-Diesel · 10-21-10, 12:43 PM

Originally posted by do5000

interesting stuff

The-Diesel · 10-21-10, 12:44 PM

Originally posted by CLASSIC ROCK

this is always good stuff ,thanks for doing this

No problem CR. Just trying to help out.

goallinebob · 10-21-10, 01:01 PM

diesel look in my thread and let me know if any of your picks match mine,,,,apprec your input,,,,

The-Diesel · 10-21-10, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by goallinebob

diesel look in my thread and let me know if any of your picks match mine,,,,apprec your input,,,,

No problem goalline
I will look it over tonight.

The-Diesel · 10-21-10, 03:35 PM

Thursday, 10/21/10

No system play tonight guys

GL on your plays and enjoy the game!!!

MnyMkr · 10-21-10, 09:59 PM

I have a feeling K-state will be getting more than 52% public love this week...

The-Diesel · 10-22-10, 12:25 PM

Friday, 10/22/10

No system play tonight !!!

GL and enjoy the game.

bu08usc11 · 10-22-10, 11:02 PM

Looking forward to tomorrows picks.

iwantcougars · 10-22-10, 11:55 PM

what you think about miami fl -6.5?

The-Diesel · 10-23-10, 12:06 AM

Originally posted by bu08usc11

Looking forward to tomorrows picks.

The-Diesel · 10-23-10, 12:07 AM

Originally posted by iwantcougars

what you think about miami fl -6.5?

It's close right now

texhooper · 10-23-10, 12:45 AM

Originally posted by shades12

Using your system and RLM, would that be contradictory (working against eachother) or it doesn't matter?

it's definitely not contradictory, and i honestly think it makes the play stronger.

a good example would be stanford this week. would not be surprised one bit if they won by 40+.

The-Diesel · 10-23-10, 10:36 AM

Saturday, 10/23/10 Plays

Big Saturday guys and I hope everyone is able to in. I have 5 fade plays today and alot of people have ask me to start adding on the RLM. Keep in mind this is only system plays and they have not been capped at all. Hopefully with your capping skills you can find a nice play. GL today and enjoy all the games.

I will be gone most of the day so I posted the entire Saturday's card. With that being said the precentages can change at any time so keep your eye on things.

Be back late tonight!!!

Note: I only use pregame numbers.

Fade plays for 1 unit
46% Miami -6.5 (-105)
46% Clemson -4.5 (-105)
48% Pittsburgh -12.5 (-110)
37% Stanford -35.5 (-106)
48% Middle Tenn. St. -12 (-103)

RLM Plays for 1 unit (Visit packbacker thread also he is very good at RLM plays)

.5 point line movement
46% Miami -6.5 (-105)
32% Houston +8.5 (-102)
34% Utah St. +3 (+100)
37% Standford -35.5 (-106)
46% Air Force +18.5 (-106)
20% W. Kentucky +6 (-107)

1 point movement.
35% Maryand +4 (-102)
24% Arkon +7.5 (-105)
39% Washington +6.5 (-105)
22% Tennessee +16.5 (-105)

1.5 point line movement
31% Northwestern +5.5 (-108)
48% Pittsburgh -12.5 (-110)
21% Syracuse +14 (-109)

2 point line movement
17% Iowa St. +20.5 (+100)
48% Middle Tenn. St. -12 (-103)

shades12 · 10-23-10, 10:38 AM

So I take it, your playing just the first five listed??

The-Diesel · 10-23-10, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by shades12

So I take it, your playing just the first five listed??

Thats correct shades

The-Diesel · 10-23-10, 10:47 AM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Saturday, 10/23/10 Plays

Big Saturday guys and I hope everyone is able to in. I have 5 fade plays today and alot of people have ask me to start adding on the RLM. Keep in mind this is only system plays and they have not been capped at all. Hopefully with your capping skills you can find a nice play. GL today and enjoy all the games.

I will be gone most of the day so I posted the entire Saturday's card. With that being said the precentages can change at any time so keep your eye on things.

Be back late tonight!!!

Note: I only use pregame numbers.

Fade plays for 1 unit
46% Miami -6.5 (-105)
46% Clemson -4.5 (-105)
48% Pittsburgh -12.5 (-110)
37% Stanford -35.5 (-106)
48% Middle Tenn. St. -12 (-103)

RLM Plays for 1 unit (Visit packbacker thread also he is very good at RLM plays)

.5 point line movement
46% Miami -6.5 (-105)
32% Houston +8.5 (-102)
34% Utah St. +3 (+100)
37% Standford -35.5 (-106)
46% Air Force +18.5 (-106)
20% W. Kentucky +6 (-107)

1 point movement.
35% Maryand +4 (-102)
24% Arkon +7.5 (-105)
39% Washington +6.5 (-105)
22% Tennessee +16.5 (-105)

1.5 point line movement
31% Northwestern +5.5 (-108)
48% Pittsburgh -12.5 (-110)
21% Syracuse +14 (-109)

2 point line movement
17% Iowa St. +20.5 (+100)
48% Middle Tenn. St. -12 (-103)

It's interesting because Stanford, Miami and Middle Tenn. St sow up on both systems.

bhoward13 · 10-23-10, 11:13 AM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

It's interesting because Stanford, Miami and Middle Tenn. St sow up on both systems.

So does Pitt

I've seen interest in RLM and public fade on totals, so I'm tracking games this week and looking up historicals. If it looks like a successful trend to factor in, I will start a new thread and put the link on here for you guys.

Thanks for sharing your system Diesel.

goallinebob · 10-23-10, 11:16 AM

Diesel great Presentation,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,

Aussiecapper101 · 10-23-10, 11:29 AM

GL

Goodfella10 · 10-23-10, 12:31 PM

Really nice thread. Great info in here. Keep up the good work.

The-Diesel · 10-23-10, 03:09 PM

Originally posted by bhoward13

So does Pitt

I've seen interest in RLM and public fade on totals, so I'm tracking games this week and looking up historicals. If it looks like a successful trend to factor in, I will start a new thread and put the link on here for you guys.

Thanks for sharing your system Diesel.

The-Diesel · 10-23-10, 03:09 PM

Originally posted by goallinebob

Diesel great Presentation,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,

Thanks goalline