Public Fade Tracking Thread of Dogs 52% or Higher

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  • jakeandba
    SBR MVP
    • 01-13-09
    • 1033

    #386
    i dont like to bet teams where there is only .5 movement, i like at least 1 pt so unless something changes to get another .5 movement no Washington bet for me.
    Comment
    • sapidoc
      SBR MVP
      • 03-25-10
      • 1273

      #387
      Originally posted by jakeandba
      i dont like to bet teams where there is only .5 movement, i like at least 1 pt so unless something changes to get another .5 movement no Washington bet for me.
      Is Washington a bet?
      Comment
      • The-Diesel
        SBR MVP
        • 12-27-09
        • 1766

        #388
        Originally posted by sapidoc
        Is Washington a bet?
        Washington is not a play for me
        Comment
        • The-Diesel
          SBR MVP
          • 12-27-09
          • 1766

          #389
          I bet all my dog system plays. If the RLM plays match up I consider putting a larger than normal bet on them.

          We had 3 matches today.
          Illinois -17
          Iowa -6.5
          Nebraska -8
          Comment
          • goallinebob
            Restricted User
            • 05-11-10
            • 2973

            #390
            We had 3 matches today.
            Illinois -17,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,
            Iowa -6.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,
            Nebraska -8,,,,,,,,,,,WAITING,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
            Comment
            • The-Diesel
              SBR MVP
              • 12-27-09
              • 1766

              #391
              Originally posted by The-Diesel
              Saturday, 10/30/10 Plays

              Big day of college football plays guys. I hope these plays goes along with you capping skills brings us in some today. GL on your plays and enjouy the games.

              Note: There's alot of border line games on the board today.

              My dog sytem plays
              42% Illinois -17 (-104)
              48% Pittsburgh -9 (-105)
              40% Iowa -6.5 (-105)
              48% Mississippi -6.5 (-105)
              48% Iowa st. -17.5 (-105)
              30% Marshall -2.5 (-101)
              44% Nebraska -8 (-105)
              38% San Jose St. -3 (-110)
              38% Arizona St. -21.5 (-103)

              RLM Plays to keep an eye on

              2.5 point line movement
              20% Arkon +29.5 (-108)

              2 point line movement
              42% Illinois -17 (-104)
              18% Vanderbilt +17.5 (-110)

              1.5 line movement
              40% Iowa -6.5 (-105)
              30% Mississippi +7 (-107)
              37% Kansas St +4 (-105)
              44% Nebraska -8 (-105)
              41% Texas Tech +7.5 (-108)

              My Dog System Record
              19-10
              65%
              +8.40 units
              Saturday, 10/30/10 Results

              Boys please let me know if you need help dragging that big sack of cash you made today home. Hopefully we can keep it rolling next week. It time for bed now.

              N.O. looking like a nice play tomorrow night in the NFL, still early.

              Hope everyone made a profit today.


              My dog sytem plays
              42% Illinois -17 (-104).............................Won
              48% Pittsburgh -9 (-105)..........................Won
              40% Iowa -6.5 (-105)...............................Won
              48% Mississippi St. -6.5 (-105)..................Won

              48% Iowa st. -17.5 (-105).........................Lost
              30% Marshall -2.5 (-101)...........................Won
              44% Nebraska -8 (-105).............................Won

              38% San Jose St. -3 (-110).........................Lost
              38% Arizona St. -21.5 (-103)......................Won

              My Dog System Record
              26-12
              68%
              +13.25 units
              Comment
              • Aussiecapper101
                SBR MVP
                • 09-04-10
                • 2220

                #392
                Well done Diesel I only tailed on Illinois, Missisippi state and Nebraska. Spewing I mssed the Pitt game.. But thanks! good stuff!
                Comment
                • figue
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-23-10
                  • 2524

                  #393
                  good work diesel
                  Comment
                  • keel44
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-01-09
                    • 3363

                    #394
                    Are the public this dumb? or is this an anomaly?
                    Comment
                    • The-Diesel
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-27-09
                      • 1766

                      #395
                      Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
                      Well done Diesel I only tailed on Illinois, Missisippi state and Nebraska. Spewing I mssed the Pitt game.. But thanks! good stuff!
                      Thanks Aussiecapper and thanks for the points also.
                      Comment
                      • The-Diesel
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-27-09
                        • 1766

                        #396
                        Originally posted by figue
                        good work diesel
                        Thanks figue
                        Comment
                        • The-Diesel
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-27-09
                          • 1766

                          #397
                          Originally posted by keel44
                          Are the public this dumb? or is this an anomaly?
                          LOL

                          I don't know but damn if ain't working well.
                          Comment
                          • The-Diesel
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-27-09
                            • 1766

                            #398
                            Thanks for the points shades and tailin junkie
                            Comment
                            • shades12
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 09-12-10
                              • 58

                              #399
                              No Problem. Lets keep the ball rolling with good research and discipline!!
                              Comment
                              • M.W.
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-07-08
                                • 1668

                                #400
                                Great job, and the two losses were on TDs in the last ten seconds of the game!
                                Comment
                                • The-Diesel
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-27-09
                                  • 1766

                                  #401
                                  Originally posted by M.W.
                                  Great job, and the two losses were on TDs in the last ten seconds of the game!
                                  Comment
                                  • fballfan
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 10-26-10
                                    • 90

                                    #402
                                    I apologize for my ignorance as I am new to this thread. If I understand your system correctly then South Florida and Va Tech are plays for weeknight games so far according to Pregame?
                                    Comment
                                    • goallinebob
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 05-11-10
                                      • 2973

                                      #403
                                      Afternoon diesel,,,and fbalfan

                                      think your correct on S Fla as there giving points but JP is on the dog at 56%

                                      think the other play is void as dog is not getting the higher percentage as of yet

                                      Diesel am i correct ,,,
                                      Comment
                                      • fballfan
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 10-26-10
                                        • 90

                                        #404
                                        Va Tech moved from earlier, not a play as of now.
                                        Comment
                                        • The-Diesel
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-27-09
                                          • 1766

                                          #405
                                          Originally posted by goallinebob
                                          Afternoon diesel,,,and fbalfan

                                          think your correct on S Fla as there giving points but JP is on the dog at 56%

                                          think the other play is void as dog is not getting the higher percentage as of yet

                                          Diesel am i correct ,,,
                                          That's corrrect goalline
                                          Comment
                                          • The-Diesel
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-27-09
                                            • 1766

                                            #406
                                            May have a play building tomorrow night.
                                            Comment
                                            • PLAYA-PLAYA
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 09-11-10
                                              • 356

                                              #407
                                              DIESEL----Thanks for all you do--bro-----Tailing your plays is money----Thanks again----REFUSE TO LOSE-----
                                              Comment
                                              • louis.ana
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 02-09-09
                                                • 359

                                                #408
                                                wow..
                                                I wonder if this would apply to the NBA
                                                Comment
                                                • The-Diesel
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-27-09
                                                  • 1766

                                                  #409
                                                  Originally posted by PLAYA-PLAYA
                                                  DIESEL----Thanks for all you do--bro-----Tailing your plays is money----Thanks again----REFUSE TO LOSE-----
                                                  No problem Playa. Just trying to help
                                                  Comment
                                                  • The-Diesel
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-27-09
                                                    • 1766

                                                    #410
                                                    Originally posted by louis.ana
                                                    wow..
                                                    I wonder if this would apply to the NBA
                                                    The pros are alot harder. I do have a thread started in the NBA. I'm tracking them now to see how it goes.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pokerwhiz90
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-02-10
                                                      • 2618

                                                      #411
                                                      diesel ready for tonight's plays already! haha your work is awesome hopefully your able to see some of mine as well

                                                      however
                                                      are the rlm plays your plaing the ones from packbackers system, he's like 80% so far
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Godsmack
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-04-08
                                                        • 1226

                                                        #412
                                                        awesome week last week diesel!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • The-Diesel
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-27-09
                                                          • 1766

                                                          #413
                                                          Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
                                                          diesel ready for tonight's plays already! haha your work is awesome hopefully your able to see some of mine as well

                                                          however
                                                          are the rlm plays your plaing the ones from packbackers system, he's like 80% so far
                                                          Thanks pokerwhiz.

                                                          I'm posting my own RLM games. Most of them will be the same anyway
                                                          Comment
                                                          • The-Diesel
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-27-09
                                                            • 1766

                                                            #414
                                                            Originally posted by Godsmack
                                                            awesome week last week diesel!
                                                            Thanks Godsmack
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Aussiecapper101
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-04-10
                                                              • 2220

                                                              #415
                                                              I like your patience and discipline with your plays for your system diesel, you aint just chucking sh*t out there. keep up the good work
                                                              Comment
                                                              • goallinebob
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 05-11-10
                                                                • 2973

                                                                #416
                                                                Morn Diesel,,,, I know your more inclined with going against the dogs but you also do RLM's and i was wondering if any one goes back over past weeks to see if there are any other poss wins we over look
                                                                that are strong to the win % side


                                                                I went backover last 2 weeks to review the RLM's and also if there are any other plays that although may not be complete RLM's to see if there are any other poss plays that occur occasionally that could be legit plays due to freq of wins
                                                                last week i reviewed all plays over last two weeks and there results,,and this is what i found

                                                                Favorites who's opening line and closing line did not change went 16-7.( Last 2 weeks). not great but not bad

                                                                .05 favorite line increases from opening line to closing line ,,over last 2 weeks went 12-2..IMPRESSIVE

                                                                1 point drop between opening line and closing line went 7-4,, this was a RLM line play
                                                                1 point increase went 4-1,,,, (Poss these could be plays in reverse)even if JP is on that side
                                                                1.5 Drop went 4-0 ( RLM)

                                                                I guess its all about what opening lines and closing lines are and where and when we get them

                                                                have you ever attempted to review these oddities,,,,,to see if there is another edge,,,,,,,

                                                                Please do not hold me to these results as i think we all could have diff opening and closing lines

                                                                Just wondering if there are other things happening that could be poss plays if win % is great,,

                                                                ,, now lets get those dog system Plays
                                                                Comment
                                                                • fballfan
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 10-26-10
                                                                  • 90

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Goaline,

                                                                  Those stats are interesting but the problem is you do not have enough data. From week to week you can spot all kinds of trends but you need to follow it for a whole season. Two weeks worth of data is not enough to bet on.

                                                                  Let's see where the numbers are 4 weeks from now or can you go back and track the season?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • goallinebob
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 05-11-10
                                                                    • 2973

                                                                    #418
                                                                    In looking at this game t nite MTS is the fav and not only meets your going against the dog system play but also meets the Favorite team opening line at -1.5 and now at -2 = .05 increase that over the last 2 weeks went 12-2,,, so if line stays the same we have a double win combo play,,,,,
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • goallinebob
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 05-11-10
                                                                      • 2973

                                                                      #419
                                                                      yeaa thats why i was asking Diesel if he ever tracked this as i haven,t,,since hes been doing this more than i
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • goallinebob
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 05-11-10
                                                                        • 2973

                                                                        #420
                                                                        i could go back as i have the back up as i save everything,, just a ton of work,,,,let me see if and what i can do by saturday,,,,,
                                                                        Comment
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