Public Fade Tracking Thread of Dogs 52% or Higher

RLM_Tracker · 10-02-10, 10:48 AM

Nice idea, looking forward to seeing how this does.

Bostongambler · 10-02-10, 10:52 AM

gl Vin

Lets see this play out

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 11:02 AM

I will track this awhile and lets see how it goes guys

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 06:25 PM

Here's the way it stands with two game left.

1 unit
44% UConn -7.5 (-105)......................Won
32% Virginia Tech -3.5 (-102)..............Won
35% UNC -14 (-105)...........................Won
47% Mississippi -2.5 (-110).................Won
23% Air Force -9 (-110)......................Lost
43% LSU -16.5 (-109).........................Lost
34% Oregon -6.5 (-107)
40% Pittsburgh -17 (-110)..................Won
47% South Florida -21.5 (-103)

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 06:41 PM

Be back after the Stanford/Oregon game. Should be one hell of a game to watch.

VegasPlayer · 10-02-10, 06:58 PM

Lookin good

Sawyer · 10-02-10, 07:27 PM

Looks Promising!

dante1 · 10-02-10, 07:39 PM

Nice, good idea. I always like dogs, unless the public likes them too.

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 09:09 PM

Here's the way it stands with one game left.

1 unit
44% UConn -7.5 (-105)......................Won
32% Virginia Tech -3.5 (-102)..............Won
35% UNC -14 (-105)...........................Won
47% Mississippi -2.5 (-110).................Won
23% Air Force -9 (-110)......................Lost
43% LSU -16.5 (-109).........................Lost
34% Oregon -6.5 (-107)
40% Pittsburgh -17 (-110)..................Won
47% South Florida -21.5 (-103)............Won

MB · 10-02-10, 10:27 PM

Always wanted to track something like this over the long haul. Never had the nuts to str8 lay any money on the games though. Good shit

jolmscheid · 10-02-10, 10:52 PM

How come you picked 52% as a number?

jolmscheid · 10-02-10, 10:53 PM

Will be following along!

ebbearsfb1 · 10-02-10, 10:55 PM

awesome, saw ur nfl thread will defintely check it out

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 10:58 PM

Originally posted by jolmscheid

How come you picked 52% as a number?

Just wanted to pick a little over half to give it a little breathing room

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 10:58 PM

Originally posted by MB

Always wanted to track something like this over the long haul. Never had the nuts to str8 lay any money on the games though. Good shit

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 10:59 PM

Originally posted by jolmscheid

Will be following along!

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 10:59 PM

Originally posted by ebbearsfb1

awesome, saw ur nfl thread will defintely check it out

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 10:59 PM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Let's try this for awhile. In this thread I will post plays against the public dogs 52% and higher. The public % will be coming from the eye in the sky. Let's see how it goes. Let's say all plays are 1 unit for tracking. You know the %'s may chage alittle before gametime.

Today plays Saturday 10-2-10

1 unit
44% UConn -7.5 (-105)
32% Virginia Tech -3.5 (-102)
35% UNC -14 (-105)
47% Mississippi -2.5 (-110)
23% Air Force -9 (-110)
43% LSU -16.5 (-109)
34% Oregon -6.5 (-107)
40% Pittsburgh -17 (-110)
47% South Florida -21.5 (-103)

Final results today 7-2 +4.81 units

1 unit
44% UConn -7.5 (-105)......................Won
32% Virginia Tech -3.5 (-102)..............Won
35% UNC -14 (-105)...........................Won
47% Mississippi -2.5 (-110).................Won
23% Air Force -9 (-110)......................Lost
43% LSU -16.5 (-109).........................Lost
34% Oregon -6.5 (-107)......................Won
40% Pittsburgh -17 (-110)..................Won
47% South Florida -21.5 (-103)............Won

Fade Record
7-2
77%
+4.81 units

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 11:05 PM

Just remember guys today was a good day but it won't happen like this every time. The public has it's winning days also.

figue · 10-02-10, 11:21 PM

good work

og4667 · 10-05-10, 03:13 PM

looks like Troy +3 is a public underdog tonight @ 55% ATS and 59% ML

figue · 10-05-10, 03:16 PM

the diesel is MTS the play today ??

The-Diesel · 10-05-10, 06:31 PM

Originally posted by figue

the diesel is MTS the play today ??

No play tonight

The 54% of the public is on Middle Tenn. St. right now.

Could have a play building on UCF tomorrow night but to early to tell right now.

The-Diesel · 10-05-10, 06:33 PM

Originally posted by og4667

looks like Troy +3 is a public underdog tonight @ 55% ATS and 59% ML

This system only plays against public dogs og

figue · 10-05-10, 08:34 PM

where can i see the public plays ??

The-Diesel · 10-06-10, 03:53 AM

Originally posted by figue

where can i see the public plays ??

Two places
1. Pregame (Which I use because they are more up to date in my opinion anyway)
2. Sports Insight (They have a 20 minute delay and are a little off on the numbers in my opinion of course)

TakeIt · 10-06-10, 04:54 AM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Two places
1. Pregame (Which I use because they are more up to date in my opinion anyway)
2. Sports Insight (They have a 20 minute delay and are a little off on the numbers in my opinion of course)

what's your opinion of SBR'S numbers?

The-Diesel · 10-06-10, 03:09 PM

Looks like UCF will be a play right now. We will wait closer to gametime.

chanellygurl · 10-06-10, 03:14 PM

i like ucf tonight also nice thread....

og4667 · 10-06-10, 03:18 PM

Yea Diesel I had Troy as a public underdog last night per sportsinsights. Troy was getting 55% of ATS bets and 60% ML bets, how does that not make them a public underdog?

Its your thread/tracking so its up to you but just saying.

The-Diesel · 10-06-10, 03:25 PM

Originally posted by og4667

Yea Diesel I had Troy as a public underdog last night per sportsinsights. Troy was getting 55% of ATS bets and 60% ML bets, how does that not make them a public underdog?

Its your thread/tracking so its up to you but just saying.

I only use pregame which had Troy at 46% so it was a no play for me. Most likely both sites use different books to track there public % which is understandable. I always had more success with pregame. It's best to stick with only one to keep the confussion down.

The-Diesel · 10-06-10, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by chanellygurl

i like ucf tonight also nice thread....

jolmscheid · 10-06-10, 04:50 PM

Thanks for the plays Diesel...so you are going off the percentage on the SPREAD right? You are not looking at the % on the MoneyLine? Thanks!

PS...Why not use SBR's numbers since I believe their percentages are an average of all the books?

The-Diesel · 10-06-10, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by jolmscheid

Thanks for the plays Diesel...so you are going off the percentage on the SPREAD right? You are not looking at the % on the MoneyLine? Thanks!

PS...Why not use SBR's numbers since I believe their percentages are an average of all the books?

Only the spread.
I haven't had a chance to look over the SBR numbers.