Public Fade Tracking Thread of Dogs 52% or Higher

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  • The-Diesel
    SBR MVP
    • 12-27-09
    • 1766

    #36
    We have a play tonight !!!

    GL tonight !!!!

    1 unit
    42% UCF -11 (-110)

    Fade Record
    7-2
    77%
    +4.81 units
    Comment
    • docvinny
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-21-09
      • 386

      #37
      so let me get this right tomorrows game Kansas St is 32%ATS and 44%ML so they would be the bet for Thursday night??
      Comment
      • docvinny
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-21-09
        • 386

        #38
        oh yeah congrats on the win tonite
        Comment
        • bu08usc11
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-14-10
          • 384

          #39
          Originally posted by docvinny
          so let me get this right tomorrows game Kansas St is 32%ATS and 44%ML so they would be the bet for Thursday night??
          I think it's only favs. So if Nebraska was at 32%, they would be the play. Someone correct me if that's incorrect...
          Comment
          • docvinny
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-21-09
            • 386

            #40
            I get it now, thanks
            Comment
            • The-Diesel
              SBR MVP
              • 12-27-09
              • 1766

              #41
              Originally posted by docvinny
              so let me get this right tomorrows game Kansas St is 32%ATS and 44%ML so they would be the bet for Thursday night??
              It looks like a no play on this game docvinny. The system only plays against public dogs.
              Comment
              • The-Diesel
                SBR MVP
                • 12-27-09
                • 1766

                #42
                Originally posted by bu08usc11
                I think it's only favs. So if Nebraska was at 32%, they would be the play. Someone correct me if that's incorrect...
                That's correct
                Comment
                • The-Diesel
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-27-09
                  • 1766

                  #43
                  Originally posted by The-Diesel
                  We have a play tonight !!!

                  GL tonight !!!!

                  1 unit
                  42% UCF -11 (-110)

                  Fade Record
                  7-2
                  77%
                  +4.81 units
                  The system won tonight (1-0 +1.00 units)

                  1 unit
                  42% UCF -11 (-110)............Won

                  Fade Record
                  8-2
                  80%
                  +5.81 units
                  Comment
                  • Godsmack
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-04-08
                    • 1226

                    #44
                    it appears as of right now there are 15 games on saturday that fall in your guidelines?
                    Comment
                    • pokerwhiz90
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-02-10
                      • 2618

                      #45
                      This looks really good actually - I think I'm gonna follow it unless it goes against huge historical trends like 6-1 ATS or something like that
                      Comment
                      • Godsmack
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-04-08
                        • 1226

                        #46
                        Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
                        This looks really good actually - I think I'm gonna follow it unless it goes against huge historical trends like 6-1 ATS or something like that
                        systems like this you dont pick and choose. you either play them all or stay away. if you play only a few of what will fall in the guidelines, the ones you chose could very possibly be the only losers for that given day
                        Comment
                        • jolmscheid
                          Restricted User
                          • 02-20-10
                          • 3256

                          #47
                          Very good point Godsmack...I like playing against these public dogs! And I also like playing against 66% public FAVS and against Sportsbook.com's Top 10 bets...

                          I am hoping putting all these together will be a solid plan...
                          Comment
                          • The-Diesel
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-27-09
                            • 1766

                            #48
                            Be careful guys there some things i learned along the way. For example if the opening line on a team could start as a favorite then move to the dog side this will throw your percentage off. Stay away from these games.
                            Comment
                            • The-Diesel
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-27-09
                              • 1766

                              #49
                              Thursday, 10-7-10

                              No Play tonight !!!!

                              GL
                              Comment
                              • Godsmack
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-04-08
                                • 1226

                                #50
                                *****
                                Comment
                                • Flying Dutchman
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-17-09
                                  • 2467

                                  #51
                                  This will be interesting....

                                  Comment
                                  • ebbearsfb1
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-07-08
                                    • 18815

                                    #52
                                    should of had no play myself... this threads getting book marked
                                    Comment
                                    • ebbearsfb1
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-07-08
                                      • 18815

                                      #53
                                      hopefully on saturday plays arent all the same time... so i can spread bets out
                                      Comment
                                      • TheCFBGuru
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 10-07-10
                                        • 3

                                        #54
                                        Interesting system here. According to my online site, here are the current favored public dogs:

                                        MINN 61% WIS -22
                                        TEM 74% NIU -3
                                        TENN 88% UGA -11 (Not touching this game at all)
                                        AKRON 61% Kent -17.5
                                        CLEM 56% NC -3
                                        MSU 69% UM -4.5
                                        UCLA 63% Cal -7.5
                                        *CU 48% MU -11.5
                                        FAU 76% ULM -2.5
                                        ORST 55% UA -8
                                        NM 70% NMST -2.5 (They will find a way to both lose here)
                                        *Tulsa 47% SMU -6.5
                                        UH 60% FRES -11

                                        * - close to 52% and have been trending upwards.

                                        Do you always wait until gameday to pull the trigger? Or is Friday night good enough for teams, say > 70% public pics? I know you use total public pics, but I'm betting the percentages are fairly close, +/- 5%.

                                        Anyone like any of these plays as they stand now?
                                        Comment
                                        • The-Diesel
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-27-09
                                          • 1766

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Flying Dutchman
                                          This will be interesting....
                                          Comment
                                          • The-Diesel
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-27-09
                                            • 1766

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                                            should of had no play myself... this threads getting book marked
                                            Comment
                                            • The-Diesel
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-27-09
                                              • 1766

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                                              hopefully on saturday plays arent all the same time... so i can spread bets out
                                              I will be posting my plays arount 11:15 Saturday morning.
                                              Comment
                                              • The-Diesel
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-27-09
                                                • 1766

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by TheCFBGuru
                                                Interesting system here. According to my online site, here are the current favored public dogs:

                                                MINN 61% WIS -22
                                                TEM 74% NIU -3
                                                TENN 88% UGA -11 (Not touching this game at all)
                                                AKRON 61% Kent -17.5
                                                CLEM 56% NC -3
                                                MSU 69% UM -4.5
                                                UCLA 63% Cal -7.5
                                                *CU 48% MU -11.5
                                                FAU 76% ULM -2.5
                                                ORST 55% UA -8
                                                NM 70% NMST -2.5 (They will find a way to both lose here)
                                                *Tulsa 47% SMU -6.5
                                                UH 60% FRES -11

                                                * - close to 52% and have been trending upwards.

                                                Do you always wait until gameday to pull the trigger? Or is Friday night good enough for teams, say > 70% public pics? I know you use total public pics, but I'm betting the percentages are fairly close, +/- 5%.

                                                Anyone like any of these plays as they stand now?
                                                I always wait until gameday anyway because the bets will be pouring in Friday night and Saturday and it could easily swing things in the other direction. I post my plays around 11:15am.
                                                Comment
                                                • The-Diesel
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-27-09
                                                  • 1766

                                                  #59
                                                  Also remember any game that starts out even or a team that has move from a favorite to a dog stay away from.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • stuiees
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 09-08-10
                                                    • 65

                                                    #60
                                                    gl with this, i will check back. always got to love the fade bet
                                                    Comment
                                                    • The-Diesel
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-27-09
                                                      • 1766

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by stuiees
                                                      gl with this, i will check back. always got to love the fade bet
                                                      Amend
                                                      Comment
                                                      • goallinebob
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 05-11-10
                                                        • 2973

                                                        #62
                                                        Like your system diesel is that 11:15 east coast time,,i'm in vegas so that 3 hr's earlier for me,,,
                                                        Comment
                                                        • khaden
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-19-09
                                                          • 1864

                                                          #63
                                                          Love it can't wait
                                                          Comment
                                                          • navyhawk
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 05-08-10
                                                            • 184

                                                            #64
                                                            where do you get your percentages? I understand sbrodds is only 5 dimes
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The-Diesel
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-27-09
                                                              • 1766

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by goallinebob
                                                              Like your system diesel is that 11:15 east coast time,,i'm in vegas so that 3 hr's earlier for me,,,
                                                              East Coast
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The-Diesel
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-27-09
                                                                • 1766

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by khaden
                                                                Love it can't wait
                                                                Comment
                                                                • The-Diesel
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-27-09
                                                                  • 1766

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Friday, 10-8-10

                                                                  No Plays tonight !!!!

                                                                  Enjoys the games
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • figue
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-23-10
                                                                    • 2524

                                                                    #68
                                                                    is this system the same for basketball ??
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The-Diesel
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-27-09
                                                                      • 1766

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by figue
                                                                      is this system the same for basketball ??
                                                                      Yes figue

                                                                      I will start a Thread for college and pro basketball when it comes around.

                                                                      I just started one for the NHL about 30 minutes ago. I going to try the ML in hockey to see what happens. It's does seem any Pro sport is tougher.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sportsbookempire
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 09-30-10
                                                                        • 5

                                                                        #70
                                                                        This sounds like it has potential, ill be following along...good stuff diesel...if your named after vin, then good name too
                                                                        Comment
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