Public Fade Tracking Thread of Dogs 52% or Higher

The-Diesel · 10-08-10, 05:46 PM

Originally posted by sportsbookempire

This sounds like it has potential, ill be following along...good stuff diesel...if your named after vin, then good name too

TakeIt · 10-08-10, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by navyhawk

where do you get your percentages? I understand sbrodds is only 5 dimes

are you sure about that? i thought it was bookmaker.

Exakte · 10-08-10, 10:07 PM

Wow, had this idea myself today so decided to google it to see if anybody had already tracked it which would save me the trouble, and I ended up here seeing you already thought of it.
I think there's alot of potential in it, keep it up!

stuiees · 10-09-10, 03:53 AM

Didn't know if you were still going to post the plays that fit the criteria. This is what I see so far for anyone still interested...

There were 2 games right at 48% so I put those in bold as they are most likely to tip the other way.

35% WISC -22
24% GA -11
48% OHIO -9.5
29% MICH -4.5
35% NCAR -2
39% WVA -27.5
46% CAL -8
26% NAVY -3.5
48% NMST -2.5
43% WASH -1.5
34% NEV -38

stuiees · 10-09-10, 04:03 AM

They aren't chalk, but I am going to fade the pub on my first 3 plays tomorrow. I usually try and find value, and often it comes on the fade...

IND +22.5 (-105)
ILL +8
ILL v. PST O42

$Burm$ · 10-09-10, 04:05 AM

Originally posted by TakeIt

are you sure about that? i thought it was bookmaker.

its 5dimes, click on the percentages and the 5dimes line movements will show up

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 04:18 AM

Originally posted by Exakte

Wow, had this idea myself today so decided to google it to see if anybody had already tracked it which would save me the trouble, and I ended up here seeing you already thought of it.
I think there's alot of potential in it, keep it up!

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 04:19 AM

I will post the plays for the system all 11:30 this morning.

Godsmack · 10-09-10, 07:42 AM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

I will post the plays for the system all 11:30 this morning.

diesel, is that 11:30 est?

broadway6 · 10-09-10, 07:54 AM

they're multiple places you can get % of bets. My favorite is sportsinsights b/c it shows you how many bets have been placed at a few online books. You can also get info at pregame.com.

Romanov · 10-09-10, 07:54 AM

gonna be a ton a plays today according to pregame. interesting.

Romanov · 10-09-10, 08:08 AM

anyway to check public dogs from past weeks to see how they fared?

goallinebob · 10-09-10, 10:20 AM

11:30 est

Romanov · 10-09-10, 10:39 AM

bump, in case diesel is too hungover to scroll down and post

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 10:39 AM

Saturday 10/9/10 Plays

Just a reminder guys I've been doing this for a long time as while have most of you. The system hit 80% the 1st week but I know that it can't hold at 80% (no system can no matter what anyboby tells you). The public wll have it's winning days (keep that in mind). I just saying don't jump overboard to fast and use this system along with your capping skills to play your games. With that being said here are today's plays.

4 early games fall in the system. I'm going to hold off on the late afternoon and night games because so many bets are rolling in.

1 unit
40% Wisconsin -21.5 (-102)
31% Georgia -11 (-110)
44% Ohio -8.5 (-103)
36% Texas Tech -1 (-105)

Will post the late afternoon games at 2:45 EST

GL today

Fade Record
8-2
80%
+5.81 units

bu08usc11 · 10-09-10, 10:47 AM

Hopefully the "can't hold" part is Texas Tech. As a Baylor alum I can't bet against them...on the rest of them with you.

Romanov · 10-09-10, 10:47 AM

betted. had wisc and georg tagged on tuesday

halofan · 10-09-10, 10:50 AM

toutbuster.com uses a method to fade/follow consensus touts (he comes up with only 3 max each day) and is hitting about 63% overall in ncaaf and nfl.

newguy · 10-09-10, 10:54 AM

My lines at local are way off numbers posted. Played small but i got at least 1.5 points against on each line. T tech was 3 at my book. Will be interesting to see how this goes down today!!!

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by bu08usc11

Hopefully the "can't hold" part is Texas Tech. As a Baylor alum I can't bet against them...on the rest of them with you.

Gl today bu08usc11

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by Romanov

betted. had wisc and georg tagged on tuesday

Hope they hit Romanov

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by halofan

toutbuster.com uses a method to fade/follow consensus touts (he comes up with only 3 max each day) and is hitting about 63% overall in ncaaf and nfl.

I'm trying to come up with something in the NHL also but the ML is tough.

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 11:10 AM

Originally posted by newguy

My lines at local are way off numbers posted. Played small but i got at least 1.5 points against on each line. T tech was 3 at my book. Will be interesting to see how this goes down today!!!

My lines are offshore lines so they more than likely a little defferent.

dimon · 10-09-10, 11:11 AM

GL today...I have 2 plays that I like, and they both fit your system criteria

alex.blasscyk · 10-09-10, 11:12 AM

I love the post! I love the photo! All the best bro... Blasscyk provides WINNER AFTER WINNER!

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Let's try this for awhile. In this thread I will post plays against the public dogs 52% and higher. The public % will be coming from the eye in the sky. Let's see how it goes. Let's say all plays are 1 unit for tracking. You know the %'s may chage alittle before gametime. Today plays Saturday 10-2-10 1 unit 44% UConn -7.5 (-105) 32% Virginia Tech -3.5 (-102) 35% UNC -14 (-105) 47% Mississippi -2.5 (-110) 23% Air Force -9 (-110) 43% LSU -16.5 (-109) 34% Oregon -6.5 (-107) 40% Pittsburgh -17 (-110) 47% South Florida -21.5 (-103)

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by dimon

GL today...I have 2 plays that I like, and they both fit your system criteria

GL today dimon

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by alex.blasscyk

I love the post! I love the photo! All the best bro... Blasscyk provides WINNER AFTER WINNER!

Thanks team.
I hope you cash big on your card today.

Romanov · 10-09-10, 11:48 AM

public

that texas tech onside kick cannot be predicted

goallinebob · 10-09-10, 12:06 PM

Nice diesel,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

,,continued success,,

hitman2010 · 10-09-10, 12:23 PM

Nice, keep it up

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 12:28 PM

We'll see what happens today guys.

jolmscheid · 10-09-10, 12:30 PM

Hey Diesel...I use Pregame and I see a lot more plays under your system using their percentages...what do you use to get your percentages? Thanks!

TakeIt · 10-09-10, 01:09 PM

i don't see ohio as a play. 52% on pregame and 54% on sbr.

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 01:16 PM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Saturday 10/9/10 Plays

Just a reminder guys I've been doing this for a long time as while have most of you. The system hit 80% the 1st week but I know that it can't hold at 80% (no system can no matter what anyboby tells you). The public wll have it's winning days (keep that in mind). I just saying don't jump overboard to fast and use this system along with your capping skills to play your games. With that being said here are today's plays.

4 early games fall in the system. I'm going to hold off on the late afternoon and night games because so many bets are rolling in.

1 unit
40% Wisconsin -21.5 (-102)
31% Georgia -11 (-110)
44% Ohio -8.5 (-103)
36% Texas Tech -1 (-105)

Will post the late afternoon games at 2:45 EST

GL today

Fade Record
8-2
80%
+5.81 units

I posted that damn 2:00 Ohio game to early it ended up 50/50. Damn it, maybe it will still work out.

The-Diesel · 10-09-10, 01:20 PM

I screwed up guys the the Ohio game is a no play.