No defense and the wind isn't effecting much here. Points all over the place. Thinking about pounding the half time line on the over to make up for the pending loss here on the 1st half. These defenses are really, really bad.
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[2nd Half] Toledo-Air Force Over 36 [-110]Comment -
2011 Record: 76-61-1 [+10.20]
Took another beating yesterday.Comment -
2nd half over would have cashed if AF didnt make the bonehead play of a fake extra point. Bad decision because they were moving the ball well enough to win in OT ..... bad coaching decision, cost me tooComment -
12.29.11
Champs Sports Bowl: Notre Dame-Florida State Over 46.5 [-110]
Over? Yes. FSU's defense? Solid stats. 15 ppg. Stellar. However, I think the Irish are going to have some success here if Kelly lives up to his promise of playing both Rees and Hendrix. The dual threat capability + Rees' arm could do some damage here if the Irish OL holds up. While FSU's stats look legendary, I think their secondary can be had. This is a team that chewed up and spit out some bogus ACC competition, but did have issues against the versatility of Clemson. There's also the possibility that FSU's fierce pass rush leads to some short fields due to turnovers or backing up the Irish if things work in their favor. That could make it easier for E.J. Manuel and the Seminoles offense who will likely focus on beating ND through the air. Their rushing game has been poor and with a mish-mash OL, probably isn't going to find a magic elixir today to start churning out yards. That leaves Manuel to make plays in the air and he can do it if given time to throw. Also the chance that Notre Dame could create some turnovers with this makeshift OL if FSU struggles, again leading to some short field opportunities. This is the polar opposite of my first impression on this game, so maybe that yields a positive result as I've been pretty much horse shit this bowl season.
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I should just quit. I go against my original thoughts and lose. I go with my original thoughts and lose. Damn bowl season.Comment -
Alright this hits or I go on hiatus until the bowls after Jan.1.
Alamo Bowl: Baylor-Washington Over 78.5 [-110]
No reason needed. Electric offenses. Porous defenses. Baylor will let RG3 rack up as many stats as he wants in this game since it could be his swan song. Baylor has had few issues hitting OVERs even with massive totals laid out. Six totals set at 74 or higher, four cleared and one pushed. Seven of their 12 games played into the 80s. Don't fukk me dudes.Comment -
2011 Record: 77-62-1 [+10.10]
12.30.11
Armed Forces Bowl: Tulsa-BYU Over 57 [-110]
Good match-up here. BYU's Riley Nelson has injected life into a stagnant offense as BYU now puts up points a-plenty with 38 or better in five of their last six. The Cougars will be looking to exploit a shotty secondary from Tulsa that has given up 290 ypg through the air. BYU should be able to spray the ball around and move it regularly against this defense. BYU also has a decent stable of RBs to use. Tulsa will rely on QB GJ Kinne to get the job done today. He leads their balanced attack that has churned out 200+ yards on the ground and in the air per game. Tulsa feasted on weak C-USA defenses, scoring 30 or more in eight of 12. BYU has some nice numbers on defense, allowing under 200 ypg in the air and just over 110 on the ground. If Tulsa can get their ground game churning, that should open up the passing game and allow them to put up some points. Even if they're limited, I think BYU could tear up Tulsa for enough points to get this one done.
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Pinstripe Bowl: Rutgers-Iowa State Either Team Special Teams or Defense Scores TD [+160]
Rutgers has 17 INTs on the season and two pick sixes, two fumbles returns + a kickoff return for a TD this season. Iowa State has returned one of their eleven INTs this season for a TD. Rutgers QBs combined to throw 16 INTs while Iowa State's QBs tossed 15, so there are some definite possibilities here.Comment -
Music City Bowl Prop
Wake Forest WR Chris Givens Total Receptions Over 6 [+110]
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12.31.11
Meineke Car Care Bowl: Northwestern QB Dan Persa Total Passing Yards Over 267.5 [-135]
Aggies secondary has been exploited most of the year by the prolific Big 12 offenses. Northwestern may not be in that class, but Persa and this offense are solid and should be able to move the ball. They'll also likely be playing from behind if their D has anything to say about it.Comment