Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[Vaughany]

Need main event to go distance big time!

[UpsetSpecial09]

Need Edgar to win this to have a profitable night...lets go Frankie!

[BoutDemCowboys]

Hows it looking for Henderson?

[Vaughany]

Hows it looking for Henderson?

Pretty goood!

[zoo youk]

awesome display from Henderson. kid is my new fav fighter. just so ******* smooth. would love to see him face Jose Aldo.

good thing I only took Okami in SBR points LOL that was an unreal come back them uppercuts were devastating.

ending up cashing in on Shields...was worried the first couple rounds but that tard SexyYama really didnt do any damage at all.

[fosho14]

Okami is the safest bet on the card in my opinion.

Yes the entire world, including myself thought this lol. They also thought page would handily beat bader motivated or not, based on skill. Let this be a lesson to everyone that there are far better places to put your money than mixed martial arts, where literally anything can happen!!! FAR TOO MANY VARIABLES.

If someone was basing their picks by the majority consensus of what people on this board agree on they would be down so much money. Literally everything that was talked about regarding ufc 144 in all threads on here was the exact opposite of the outcome. What a complete waste of time. Glad I didn't take anyones opinions seriously!

[MMAbetMASTA]

Yes the entire world, including myself thought this lol. They also thought page would handily beat bader motivated or not, based on skill. Let this be a lesson to everyone that there are far better places to put your money than mixed martial arts, where literally anything can happen!!! FAR TOO MANY VARIABLES.

If someone was basing their picks by the majority consensus of what people on this board agree on they would be down so much money. Literally everything that was talked about regarding ufc 144 in all threads on here was the exact opposite of the outcome. What a complete waste of time. Glad I didn't take anyones opinions seriously!

That's why anyone that does this is crazy... if you're playing mma and making your plays based strictly on other people's picks or a majority consensus then you're a foolish degenerate imo. The insight and discussion on here is priceless and a great asset, but in the end you need to know your shit and know your mmma to make your own decisions..

If your one of these people than you're a ******* tool degenerate....lol.

And btw, you couldn't be more wrong about putting money in other places imo. I've turned a 100 bucks placed back in Oct. 2010 into probably around 10k... MMA is the shit...its not only the greatest sport in the word but also the best sport to gamble - for reasons that would probably take too long to explain to you.

Look at V or ecco or any other solid capper's overall profit or event by event profit on here...they might have losing nights but in the end we make money, and decent money at that.

IF you are one of these idiots who just come on here and strictly follow picks, then don't come on here and be an unappreciate whiner when it doesn't go your way...

[fitguy67]

can u imagine edgar & aldo/pettis and henderson 2

edgar is just-about the toughest-willed human i've ever seen...rogan's right tho', he belongs down a weight class cuz guys lyk maynard and henderson walk the streets 25-pounds heavier than him...

damn that was a good ufc...even tho' it ate up units

[Vitooch]

Yes the entire world, including myself thought this lol. They also thought page would handily beat bader motivated or not, based on skill. Let this be a lesson to everyone that there are far better places to put your money than mixed martial arts, where literally anything can happen!!! FAR TOO MANY VARIABLES.

If someone was basing their picks by the majority consensus of what people on this board agree on they would be down so much money. Literally everything that was talked about regarding ufc 144 in all threads on here was the exact opposite of the outcome. What a complete waste of time. Glad I didn't take anyones opinions seriously!

I think MMA can be very profitable, more so than any other sport. Losing one fight like Okami or Kongo shouldn't leave you down for the night. You're in Vaughany's thread, so you should know that with enough knowledge in MMA, line shopping, catching early lines, showing good discipline, etc. will lead to success in MMA capping.

[Vaughany]

Yes the entire world, including myself thought this lol. They also thought page would handily beat bader motivated or not, based on skill. Let this be a lesson to everyone that there are far better places to put your money than mixed martial arts, where literally anything can happen!!! FAR TOO MANY VARIABLES.

If someone was basing their picks by the majority consensus of what people on this board agree on they would be down so much money. Literally everything that was talked about regarding ufc 144 in all threads on here was the exact opposite of the outcome. What a complete waste of time. Glad I didn't take anyones opinions seriously!

That's why anyone that does this is crazy... if you're playing mma and making your plays based strictly on other people's picks or a majority consensus then you're a foolish degenerate imo. The insight and discussion on here is priceless and a great asset, but in the end you need to know your shit and know your mmma to make your own decisions..

If your one of these people than you're a ******* tool degenerate....lol.

And btw, you couldn't be more wrong about putting money in other places imo. I've turned a 100 bucks placed back in Oct. 2010 into probably around 10k... MMA is the shit...its not only the greatest sport in the word but also the best sport to gamble - for reasons that would probably take too long to explain to you.

Look at V or ecco or any other solid capper's overall profit or event by event profit on here...they might have losing nights but in the end we make money, and decent money at that.

IF you are one of these idiots who just come on here and strictly follow picks, then don't come on here and be an unappreciate whiner when it doesn't go your way...

I clearly said not to play OKami or Shields straight up at the odds they were at...it wasnt like everybody was telling him to play Okami or Shields. And not everybody was on Rampage - especially on after the weigh-ins. I arbed out of my play, Bigday had a play on Bader and Im sure others did as well. And I had a profitable night overall!

[zoo youk]

I clearly said not to play OKami or Shields straight up at the odds they were at...it wasnt like everybody was telling him to play Okami or Shields. And not everybody was on Rampage - especially on after the weigh-ins. I arbed out of my play, Bigday had a play on Bader and Im sure others did as well. And I had a profitable night overall!

i'll vouch for that. he def did.

[Vaughany]

Totally agree. Got Okami at -275 in a parlay with Shields, but with Boetsch now at +310 the current Okami line seems too steep. His two wins against the better level of competition he has faced in Nate and Munoz weren't exactly dominant wins

Should of made the value play!

[cheeese]

Yes the entire world, including myself thought this lol. They also thought page would handily beat bader motivated or not, based on skill. Let this be a lesson to everyone that there are far better places to put your money than mixed martial arts, where literally anything can happen!!! FAR TOO MANY VARIABLES.

If someone was basing their picks by the majority consensus of what people on this board agree on they would be down so much money. Literally everything that was talked about regarding ufc 144 in all threads on here was the exact opposite of the outcome. What a complete waste of time. Glad I didn't take anyones opinions seriously!

Wait until you see the variance in other sports. But you seem like the type of person who doesn't discourage easily so you should be fine though.

[gabe]

Okami wasn't the safest bet on the card, because his opponent is powerful.

I was telling everyone on the forum that Fukuda was the safest play - but the line on him wasn't great, either. With Fukuda, I couldn't see him getting finished by Cantwell... but with Okami, I can see him getting finished by anyone with power, and I can see Boetsch finishing just about anyone if he gets the right hits in with those hard hands.

I agree with these dudes- MMA is best to watch and bet! Only thing sucks is getting screwed sometimes...

You shouldn't bet on someone because everyone here likes them. I've hit a lot of plays going against the majority here.

[caveira]

"You shouldn't bet on someone because everyone here likes them. I've hit a lot of plays going against the majority here."

I couldn't agree more.

[fosho14]

MMAbetMASTA,
If you've read any of my posts you'll see that I'm probably the least agreeable person on this message board when it comes to picks because I’m very opinionated and have a lot of my OWN THOUGHTS AND ANALYSIS. It’s funny because you couldn’t be more off base as I'm passionate and fascinated by the dynamics of the sport as a fan as well. I'd also like to think that I'm more knowledgeable than most about the fundamentals of mixed martial arts as I’ve trained bjj in the past which makes the betting experience that much more interesting. I like to follow all the fighters, and read about it in various mediums and publications, always listening to what other analysts have to say and how they break down the fight. I started reading the opinions on this forum to add to this mix because I thought people took a cerebral approach to their predictions and I respect that. It was another piece to the puzzle having another opinion to accompany all the other readings and discussion that exist out there before placing my wager. That doesn't mean the ppl here are always right, or that I'm always right, but what it does mean is that we both take this seriously and have logical opinions about match ups. If we were talking about hedge funds or investing in bonds, then this would be another story, as education qualification and credentials are everything. I wouldn't give a dam about what you had to say, and you wouldn't give a dam about what I had to say because for those risks there are established formulas and models and dozens of more appropriate methods for effectively assessing uncertainty and maximizing return. When it comes to the act of betting on mma however this could not be farther than the truth. There is no University of mma, or classess on betting, no. The only weapons we arm ourselves with are the research we conduct and the abilities and experiences we have in assessing the strengths and weaknesses of fighters and by how much each weakness or strength will offset the other. And of course mathematics for arbitrage (although there’s plenty of great software that exists for that).
Collaboration and discussion is a potent thought provoking tool that fuels hypothetical scenarios and our conceptual predictions of how we think the fight will play out in reality. Since it is impossible to truly know what's going to happen, it's best to rule out and weigh certain contingencies against others, brainstorming as many possible ways that the fight could go down TOGETHER rather than INDIVIDUALLY you idiot. That doesn’t mean I don’t have my own opinion or don’t form my own decision at the end of the discussion. Does that make sense you tool?

I’m not at all saying that you should just copy and mindlessly follow whatever people do on here, but if you have a certain belief about a fight and 99% of people on a mma betting focused forum share that belief, does that not seem sensible to you to finalize your pick accordingly?
I’m sorry mmabetMasta, I have a life and don’t scour these boards every waking minute of the day, and give live updates of the fight on my laptop as they’re going on instead of enjoying them out with friends at a bar like a normal human being lol. That’ll be all.


Vaughany,
I’m sorry if my post was a bit harsh, I value your opinion but do recall you saying you were most confident about okami and rampage somewhere earlier, don’t have time to go fishing through threads looking for the exact phrase, but you were very confident in both those picks. I guess you changed your mind about okami somewhere down the road and then also changed it about rampage during the weigh-ins (like many others as well). Fair enough bro. Anyway the point I’m trying to make is that I was out of line generalizing I suppose, cuz apparently you didn’t end up backing those fighters in the end.

Gabe,
I guess I stand corrected, and you must be one of the 1% or only ppl who weren’t backing okami or didn’t think that fight was in the bag! I had the feeling in my gut that okami has never really been a force to be reckoned with despite his winning% but it wasn’t enough to deter me. Nice call.
Yes, I agree Fukuda was my second biggest play, huge lock. I’ll have to pay closer attention to your opinions

[Vaughany]

Vaughany,
I’m sorry if my post was a bit harsh, I value your opinion but do recall you saying you were most confident about okami and rampage somewhere earlier, don’t have time to go fishing through threads looking for the exact phrase, but you were very confident in both those picks. I guess you changed your mind about okami somewhere down the road and then also changed it about rampage during the weigh-ins (like many others as well). Fair enough bro. Anyway the point I’m trying to make is that I was out of line generalizing I suppose, cuz apparently you didn’t end up backing those fighters in the end.

It's all good bro. You are right, I was very confident in Rampage initially, but tht was before the issue came up about the injury and missing weight. As a result of tht I completely backtracked and arbed out of my biggest play of night which was on Rampage, and actually ended up having a risk free play on Bader by decision (all was clearly documented). With regards to Okami, I hardly talked about tht fight at all. The only reason I played Okami was because I got him at the opener of -275 so knew I'd have the opportunity to arb out (which I passed up on as I'd already made some profit from fights before). The only time I really mentioned Okami/Boetsch fight was in response to RockyMatiolli's comments about Okami being over-valued - where I agreed with him and basically inferred tht he shouldnt be played at the odds at the time which were -400 or something silly...

Totally agree. Got Okami at -275 in a parlay with Shields, but with Boetsch now at +310 the current Okami line seems too steep. His two wins against the better level of competition he has faced in Nate and Munoz weren't exactly dominant wins

[fosho14]

what can I say, well played sir.

[Vaughany]

what can I say, well played sir.

ha Well not really. Arbing out of Rampage was a good decision.... but arbing out of Shields and not arbing out of Okami or at least hedging with Boetsch by TKO/KO were not good decisions!

[bjpenn85]

This is the last time i play shields. seriously the man is a world champion in close decisions. I just cant take it anymore. I think arbing out of shields was sound V but passing Boetsch tko @ +550 was clearly a mistake. I played boetsh tko last minute, but this only covered 50% of the okami bet. Greediness!!

Do you have any opinions on Nick penner?

[fosho14]

This is the last time i play shields. seriously the man is a world champion in close decisions

I know right. this was not a fight I felt comfortable risking money on so I left it alone. I love how I get chastised by everyone here when bringing up the possibility that shields will have a hard time taking akiyama down, and thats exactly what ends up happening and it is shields in fact who gets outgrappled in the first 2 rounds haha. 1st round: akiyama defends all takedowns and judo throws shields to the canvas. Second round akiyama stuffs all takedowns and again executes a beautiful judo throw sending shields to the floor. Third round a gassed akiyama gets takendown by shields...

[Vaughany]

I know right. this was not a fight I felt comfortable risking money on so I left it alone. I love how I get chastised by everyone here when bringing up the possibility that shields will have a hard time taking akiyama down, and thats exactly what ends up happening and it is shields in fact who gets outgrappled in the first 2 rounds haha. 1st round: akiyama defends all takedowns and judo throws shields to the canvas. Second round akiyama stuffs all takedowns and again executes a beautiful judo throw sending shields to the floor. Third round a gassed akiyama gets takendown by shields...

Yeah, granted he did defend Shield's take-downs easier than I thought and Im sure many others thought, but it was the 100% takedown defence stat we were chastising rather than your general assertion tht he has good takedown defence

[Vaughany]

Still cant believe how Bader survived this!...

[bjpenn85]

why is constantinos underdog, when he has faced and beat better competition than mcgee? Only name recognition i assume? I think mcgee gets koed in the first round, or at least loses the two first rounds.

[bjpenn85]

2.20....1.87...

[gabe]

Consta by KO and McGee by Decision are the plays

McGee's got a good chin, although he did get a little wobbly against Dongi Yang.

[The HOFF]

why is constantinos underdog, when he has faced and beat better competition than mcgee? Only name recognition i assume? I think mcgee gets koed in the first round, or at least loses the two first rounds.

Shhhhhhhhhh! I want Philippou as a dog!

[bjpenn85]

I am not so sure about Mcgee getting the decision here. He lost the first round against ryan jensen. The fight against dong was quite close although he seems to get stronger as the fight goes. But he is a serious slow starter which might be his downfall in this fight. Constantinos strength and wrestling may also be good enough to keep this fight standing where he IMO can pick MCgee apart. I am not sold on any of these guys really, but right now i think constantinos has showed improvements a lot of improvements and fight ending qualities,while mcgees biggest improvements have happened outside the ring.

[bjpenn85]

I want more, pinnacle where you at.

[fosho14]

Yeah, granted he did defend Shield's take-downs easier than I thought and Im sure many others thought, but it was the 100% takedown defence stat we were chastising rather than your general assertion tht he has good takedown defence

Whatever dude, I was warning people on here to be cautious of akiyamas underated TDD due to a variety of factors including his strong judo base. Re-read the post(s). And ya I was right.

Surprisingly it was shields striking that actually won him the fight. Disgusting win none the less.

[Vaughany]

UFC 144 Review:

Updated summary of UFC 144 plays:


10 units on Pettis/Lauzon FOTN at +750 to win 75 units;


6.666 units on Edgar/Henderson FOTN at +375 to win 24.997 units;

0.338 units on Edgar/Henderson FOTN at +400 to win 1.352 units;


Parlay: 0.324 units on Woodley/Mein Over 2.5 Rounds, Evans (-140), Condit (+145), & Benson Henderson (+105) to win 4.107 units;


Parlay (double): 2.273 units on Ben Henderson (+110), & Jon Jones (-400) to win 3.694 units;


Parlay: 1.605 units on Rivera/Schafer Under 2.5 Rounds (-205), Not Guillard by Submission (-11000), Ellenberger (-255), & Ben Henderson (+105) to win 5.272 units;


Parlay: 6.373 units on Miocic (-440), Simpson/Markes Starts Round 2 (-765), Ellenberger/Sanchez Starts Round 2 (-410), Not Bader Inside the Distance (-905), Schaub (-260), Rory MacDonald (-380), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-600) to win 18.554 units;

Parlay: 6.373 units on Not De Fries by TKO/KO (-3600), Simpson/Markes Starts Round 2 (-765), Ellenberger/Sanchez Starts Round 2 (-410), Edgar by Decision (+144), Schaub (-260), Rory MacDonald (-380), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-600) to win 39.495 units;


Parlay: 6.371 units Simpson/Markes Starts Round 2 (-593), Not Bader Inside the Distance (-905), Rory MacDonald (-380), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-900) to win 5.814 units;


Parlay: 3.187 units on Salas/Kuivanen Over 2.5 Rounds (-135), Rampage/Bader to Go the Distance (Evens), & Edgar/Henderson to Go the Distance (-280) to win 11.869 units;


Parlay: 3.191 units on Ellenberger (-375), Edgar/Henderson to Go the Distance (-280), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-600) to win 3.208 units;


Parlay (double): 11 units on Okami (-275) and Shields (-250) to win 10 units;


Parlay: 6.3 units on Hioki/Palaszewski Starts Round 2 (-490), Pettis (-250), & Edgar/Henderson Starts Round 3 (-665) to win 5.917 units;


Parlay: 1.575 units on Hioki/Palaszewski Starts Round 2 (-490), Pettis (-250), Shields/Akiyama Starts Round 2 (-802), Kongo Inside the Distance (Evens), Edgar/Henderson Starts Round 3 (-665), & Not Thiago Alves Inside the Distance (-780) to win 6.176 units;


13.335 units on Kongo at -210 to win 6.35 units;


Parlay (double): 6.349 units on Kongo (-290), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-600) to win 3.613 units;


3.75 units on Kongo by TKO/KO at +200 to win 7.5 units;

hedged with:

3 units on Not Kongo Inside the Distance at +125 to win 3.75 units;


8.498 units on Kongo by Decision at +481 to win 40.877 units;

hedged with:

37.5 units on Kongo/Hunt to Not Go the Distance at -250 to win 15 units

(Also got an arb with more on Not Distance at -250 and Fight Goes Distance at +380 so will make 0.274 units if it doesnt go distance or 7.122 units if it does go distance);


0.63 units on Shields SOTN at +1500 to win 9.45 units;

0.148 units on Shields SOTN at +900 to win 1.332 units;


5 units on Cantwell at +260 to win 13 units;

hedged with:

7 units on Fukuda by Decision at -137 to win 5.109 units.


4.286 units on Palaszewski at +204.15 to win 8.75 units;

0.126 units on Palaszewski by TKO/KO at +1200 to win 1.512 units;


0.5 units on Hunt KOTN at +1000 to win 5 units;


0.11 units on Kongo SOTN at +2000 to win 2.2 units;


0.2 units on Hioki SOTN at +2500 to win 5 units;


0.2 units on Bader SOTN at +5000 to win 10 units;

0.042 units on Bader SOTN at +5500 to win 2.31 units;


Parlay: 3.15 units on Mizugaki/Cariaso to Go the Distance (-270), Okami/Boetsch Starts Round 2 (-617), Edgar/Henderson Starts Round 2 (-942), & Alves/Kampmann to Go the Distance (-300) to win 4.248 units;


Parlay: 0.63 units on Tamura (+225), Mizugaki/Cariaso to Go the Distance (-270), & Ben Henderson (+130) to win 5.824 units;


Parlay: 0.63 units on Mizugaki by Decision (-135), & Tottenham PK (+110) to win 1.673 units;


1.29 units on Mizugaki by Decision at Evens to win 1.29 units;


0.523 units on Rampage by TKO/KO at +250 to win 1.308 units;

1.026 units on Rampage/Bader to Not Go the Distance at +125 to win 1.282 units;

1.151 units on Rampage/Bader Under 2.5 Rounds at +110 to win 1.266 units.


Also got risk free play on Bader by decision to win 5.044 units.

Adding:


Parlay (double): 3.15 units on Mizugaki (-300), & Henderson (+130) to win 6.51 units.

Adding:


2.5 units on Pettis by Decision at +300 to win 7.5 units;

hedged with:

1.908 units on Fight to Not Go the Distance at -150 to win 1.272 units;

1.76 units on Fight Under 2.5 Rounds at -137.5 to win 1.28 units.

Adding (live-in-play bet):


22.5 units on Hioki/Palaszewski to Go the Distance at -150 to win 15 units.

Adding:


Parlay: 6.3 units on Shields (-360), Edgar/Henderson Starts Round 2 (-835), & Tottenham PK (+109) to win 12.54 units.

Adding:


6.3 units on Rampage in Round 1 at +400 to win 25.2 units;

hedged with:

19.341 units on Rampage/Bader Starts Round 2 at -307 to win 6.3 units.

Stake: 207.051 units

Return: 224.426 units

Profit: +17.375 units (+18.702 units inc' arbs)

Not as great as I'd hoped, Kongo losing and Mizugaki not getting the decision didn't help. Okami killed the double with Shields and Tottenham squandered a 2 goal lead against Arsenal and lost so that also ruined a parlay with Shields in. Edgar/Henderson going the distance and being FOTN saved my night...probably should of focused on that fight more and had more on it being FOTN rather than as a hedge to Pettis/Lauzon FOTN. Still got a few parlays listed above going strong though thanks to fight going distance and Bader not winning inside and Bader/Rampage going distance.

[Vaughany]

UFC 144 Review:

Stake: 207.051 units

Return: 224.426 units

Profit: +17.375 units (+18.702 units inc' arbs)

Since Bellator 26 (August 26th 2010):

Bellator 26: +0.45 units
UFC 118: +6.11 units
MFC Retribution: -1.6 units
UFC Fight Night 22: +5.55 units
UFC 119: +1.5 units
WEC 51: +1.07 units
Cage Warriors 38: +11 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Noons 2: +2.417 units
UFC 120: -0.589 units
UFC 121: +9.011 units
WEC 52: -1.274 units
UFC 122: +17.355 units
Strikeforce Challengers 12: +0.865 units
UFC 123: +1.609 units
TUF 12 Finale: +9.556 units
K1 Grand Prix 2010 Review: +1.1 units
UFC 124: +5.135 units
WEC 53: +0.059 units
Sengoku Soul of Fight & Dream Dynamite: +1.354 units
UFC 125: +3.095 units
UFC Fight for the Troops 2: +3.961 units
UFC 126: +24.577 units
Strikeforce: Fedor vs Silva: +0.941 units
MFC 28 Supremacy: +8.594 units
BAMMA 5: +0.84 units
UFC 127: +10.945 units
UFC Live on Versus 3: +11.622 units
Strikeforce Columbus: -1.4 units
UFC 128: +22.131 units
Bellator 38: +4.875 units
UFC Fight Night 24: +44.283 units
Bellator 40: +2.325 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley: -5.527 units
Bellator 41: -0.7 units
UFC 129: +77.484 units

(Not including risk-free arbs on record from UFC 130 onwards):

UFC 130: +45.077 units
TUF 13 Finale: -16.766 units
UFC 131: +17.688 units
Strikeforce: Overeem vs Werdum: +11.474 units
UFC Versus 4: +25.288 units
UFC 132: +1.783 units
Cage Warriors 43: +1.308 units
Strikeforce: Henderson vs Fedor: +3.274 units
UFC 133: -12.302 units
UFC Versus 5: -5.073 units
UFC 134 : -10.214 units
UFC Battle on the Bayou: +20.466 units
Titan Fighting Championships 19: -1.863 units
UFC 135: +53.938 units
UFC Versus 6: +4.021 units
UFC 136: -33.134 units
Bellator 55: -5.731 units
UFC 137: +4.337 units (+10.151 units inc’ arb)
UFC 138: +57.692 units
UFC on FOX: +5.087 units (+121.575 units inc' arbs)
UFC 139: +15.24 units (+28.647 units inc' arbs)
UFC 140: -15.065 units
UFC 141: +70.166 units (+78.399 units inc' arbs)
Strikeforce: Rockhold vs Jardine: +0.664 units
UFC 142: +19.627 units (+44.333 units inc' arbs)
UFC on FX 1: +19.764 units (+24.264 units inc' arb)
UFC on FOX 2: +36.222 units (+38.571 units inc' arbs)
UFC 143: +78.321 units (+80.938 units inc' arbs)
UFC on FUEL 1: +12.958 units (+26.034 units inc' Dirty Bird Means arb)
Cage Warriors 45: +15.949 units
UFC 144: +17.375 units (+18.702 units inc' arbs)

Total profit (excluding arbs): +716.294 units

[Vaughany]

Pending plays going in to next weekend:

6.913 units on Rousey at -201 to win 3.439 units;

7.445 units on Thiago Alves at Evens to win 7.445 units.

Parlay: 3.15 units on Mizugaki/Cariaso to Go the Distance (-270), Okami/Boetsch Starts Round 2 (-617), Edgar/Henderson Starts Round 2 (-942), & Alves/Kampmann to Go the Distance (-300) to win 4.248 units;

6.305 units on Benavidez/Urushitani to Not Go the Distance at +180 to win 11.349 units.

Don't see Benavidez losing a decision if it goes the distance so this will be played along with Benavidez by decision at a plus number.

[Vaughany]

TUF 15 cast revealed...

http://www.mmaweekly.com/new-ultimate-fighter-15-cast-revealed

Good to see Myles Jury returning...kid's a beast

[Beelzebubzy]

V, where do you see the line movemnet on Hendricks/Kos going?

I am thinkign that Kos poor performance vs Pierce and Hendricks KO over uber jaw Fitch might sway this line to move Hendricks in the negatives. Thoughts? I would love to get Kos at + numbers. I think he outwrestles Hendricks.