Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[Vaughany]

Cerrone KO's dude in sparring!....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_jL1WX2MH74&feature=player_embedded

[BIGDAY]

DAAAAAAAAAAAmn

[zoo youk]

V

got vip tickets for this Cage Wars 13. ever hear of anything of these fighters?

http://www.mixedmartialarts.com/mma.cfm?go=events.detail&eid=098f61f8-9088-402f-853e-46aac96dd287

[Vaughany]

V

got vip tickets for this Cage Wars 13. ever hear of anything of these fighters?

http://www.mixedmartialarts.com/mma....e-46aac96dd287

Cant say I have pal

[zoo youk]

Cant say I have pal

yeah me either...their records look pretty brutal too lol. but a bunch of guys from Daddis Fight Camp are fighting so we'll see. hope its not a dud.

[Vaughany]

ha yeah, probably be lots of exciting fights. Might not be the most star studded line-up or many technically brilliant fights but could still be entertaining nonetheless. Never know, one out of the 12 might end up in the UFC down the road

[gabe]

V, don't think Vitor -290 is worth maxing?

[NunyaBidness]

Cerrone KO's dude in sparring!....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_jL1WX2MH74&feature=player_embedded

The dude is half his size.

[NunyaBidness]

V, don't think Vitor -290 is worth maxing?

You're on credit, right? If you lay out 1k or whatever the max is, does that impact your ability to make as many bets in the interim? If so, then in your case, you should definitely max it.

Seriously though, if it does you need to calculate how much EV you lose in the interim by not being able to make other bets. I did that to myself a few years ago with NFL regular season wins, found lots of value at large limits and tied up a third of my bankroll for 6 months. Every week in between I was kicking myself for doing it.

[illmatick]

hehe, saw this last night. Poor kid got glassed.

[Vaughany]

V, don't think Vitor -290 is worth maxing?

Not really, be more inclined to play Vitor by TKO/KO or Vitor in Rnd 1

[gabe]

So you don't think it will drop to near -400?

I don't have those prop options =(

[Beelzebubzy]

So you don't think it will drop to near -400?

I don't have those prop options =(

I dont think anyone has those options at this point.

Is this fight a win-win for Vitor? (just teasing)

I have about 4u on Vitor. What is making me confident in Vitor is his power is consistent at 185 whereas Wanderlai has not shown KO power. (KOing a 38 year old Cung Le is not impressive to me)

[gabe]

What are the best plays for Tate vs Rousey?

I'm thinking Rousey, Daley, Souza, Barnett, and Noons as Dog.

Should Souza be as big a fav, though?

Barnett over Cormier, right, V-Dogg?

[Vaughany]

Barnett/Cormier? Tht fight aint happenin this weekend son

I'd of taken Thomson over Noons at -150. Will probably play Thomson by decision at a +150 or better.

Rousey and Rousey by Sub, Rnd1 will be my main plays probably.

Semtex by TKO/KO as well

[Vaughany]

So you don't think it will drop to near -400?

I don't have those prop options =(

Probably will be anywhere between -325 and -400

[gabe]

Barnett/Cormier? Tht fight aint happenin this weekend son

I'd of taken Thomson over Noons at -150. Will probably play Thomson by decision at a +150 or better.

Rousey and Rousey by Sub, Rnd1 will be my main plays probably.

Semtex by TKO/KO as well

Best fight odds has Cornier/Barnett odds for this weekend lol n00bs i knew that wasn't on the card, dunno how it got past me. #wakenbake

[Vaughany]

Best fight odds has Cornier/Barnett odds for this weekend lol n00bs i knew that wasn't on the card, dunno how it got past me. #wakenbake

Ah yeah bestfightodds does to be fair! Probably a few people thinkin it's happenin this weekend

[NunyaBidness]

Best fight odds has Cornier/Barnett odds for this weekend lol n00bs i knew that wasn't on the card, dunno how it got past me. #wakenbake

Idiot, Vaughany. You're such a dummyhead if you didn't know that he knew that!

[Vaughany]

lol

[Vaughany]

pretty sure he's not eligible to win FOTN or SOTN.

anthony johnson wasnt eligible for his KO of yoshida, and nick pace wasnt eligible with the pillory choke of campuzano (definitley would have won otherwise).

Although this is pointless now, just watched the Thiago Alves/Hughes fight again and realized that he still got KO of the Night tht night even though he missed weight. And tht was the same night tht Wiman KO'd Tavares

[gabe]

i was referring to bestfightodds as n00bs, not vaughny... you n00b. (calling you a n00b now, nun-dog)

[Beelzebubzy]

Although this is pointless now, just watched the Thiago Alves/Hughes fight again and realized that he still got KO of the Night tht night even though he missed weight. And tht was the same night tht Wiman KO'd Tavares

This was most likely to help build Alves as a credible challenger.

[gabe]

You're on credit, right? If you lay out 1k or whatever the max is, does that impact your ability to make as many bets in the interim? If so, then in your case, you should definitely max it.

Seriously though, if it does you need to calculate how much EV you lose in the interim by not being able to make other bets. I did that to myself a few years ago with NFL regular season wins, found lots of value at large limits and tied up a third of my bankroll for 6 months. Every week in between I was kicking myself for doing it.

Yeah, I'm on credit, and I can always raise it. Upped it last night by a few k.

[Vaughany]

Adding:


7.5 units on Jordan at -150 to win 5 units.

[Beelzebubzy]

Playing Jordan V or Arbing?

[Vaughany]

Playing Jordan V or Arbing?

Straight up. Wouldnt play him worse than -150 tho. He's at -210 on sportsbook now so -150 is decent value in comparison

[gabe]

I'm evaluating that fight right now... Jordan has to really implement his wrestling and control Oli on the ground to win this fight.

Oli could knock him out, though. Tough to go big on either guy, so far...

[Beelzebubzy]

Straight up. Wouldnt play him worse than -150 tho. He's at -210 on sportsbook now so -150 is decent value in comparison

Cool. thanks

I played him 1u at -150 as well on Bmaker

[Vaughany]

Adding:


5 units on TJ Waldburger at Evens to win 5 units.

[gabe]

any fight vids for oli thompson? can't find any.

also can't find any on te huna besides his last 2 fights.

[Vaughany]

any fight vids for oli thompson? can't find any.

also can't find any on te huna besides his last 2 fights.

YOutube is your friend Gabriel!

Choking out Potter who is a boxer with next to zero boxing game... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ixmBxxQwows

Ben Smith (mediocre fighter)... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JHk4t6osHSM

Vs Pollard... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_vkD0UQXbG0

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZpH2yJza9Uk

[Vaughany]

lol http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKkJGwLBtp8

[gabe]

He dominates who you call a mediocre fighter, and you're betting against him on a big favorite (who, although talented, himself isn't the greatest)?

[fosho14]

Oli and Shawn? That is definitely a do not bet fight!