Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[NunyaBidness]

And yes, fractals are math dumdum.

http://mathworld.wolfram.com/Fractal.html

[Vaughany]

Actually, I don't have aspergers, I won 2k on a prop bet proving that I didn't have it. Stupid people think to be good at remedial math you need to be an aspy for some reason. When, in reality, gambling math takes nothing beyond junior high school algebra, and college level Statistics 101.

My graduate work is in philosophy, something high functioning autism would be a detriment to.

I'd happily prop bet you than I could out-test you in any subject in the world (outside of foreign languages, sorry me no speaky armenian), but you don't have enough money or honor to make it worthwhile.

lol


I like the sound of this challenge!

[gabe]

Actually, I don't have aspergers, I won 2k on a prop bet proving that I didn't have it. Stupid people think to be good at remedial math you need to be an aspy for some reason. When, in reality, gambling math takes nothing beyond junior high school algebra, and college level Statistics 101.

My graduate work is in philosophy, something high functioning autism would be a detriment to.

I'd happily prop bet you than I could out-test you in any subject in the world (outside of foreign languages, sorry me no speaky armenian), but you don't have enough money or honor to make it worthwhile.

[bjpenn85]

Who is funnier ?

[Beelzebubzy]

Actually, I don't have aspergers, I won 2k on a prop bet proving that I didn't have it. Stupid people think to be good at remedial math you need to be an aspy for some reason. When, in reality, gambling math takes nothing beyond junior high school algebra, and college level Statistics 101.

My graduate work is in philosophy, something high functioning autism would be a detriment to.

I'd happily prop bet you than I could out-test you in any subject in the world (outside of foreign languages, sorry me no speaky armenian), but you don't have enough money or honor to make it worthwhile.

Why Philosophy?

[gabe]

Why Philosophy?

"Why, indeed, my friend. Why indeed." -Nunya


Any chance Sarah Kaufman loses?

[PunisherIND]

"Why, indeed, my friend. Why indeed." -Nunya


Any chance Sarah Kaufman loses?

i can see her losing a close decision. i wouldnt play the current lines. perhaps if you could get a decision prop.

[gabe]

i was thinking on a kaufman-daley-rousey parlay at + money

[PunisherIND]

i was thinking on a kaufman-daley-rousey parlay at + money

should be a winner, but personally id feel more comfortable with bowling or jacare instead of kaufman.

[gabe]

should be a winner, but personally id feel more comfortable with bowling or jacare instead of kaufman.

then i shall make three seperate parlays, my good sir. then one with all five.

[PunisherIND]

then i shall make three seperate parlays, my good sir. then one with all five.

GL mayne. i have them (minus kaufman) in various parlays too. i just couldnt pull the trigger on kaufman, mainly b/c i think it goes to the cards and i dont trust the judges.

[as99]

should be a winner, but personally id feel more comfortable with bowling or jacare instead of kaufman.

Agree with this, not confident in Kaufman.

[NunyaBidness]

Why Philosophy?

I wanted to make sure I'd never be gainfully employed.

[NunyaBidness]

Who is funnier ?

We should do a poll on that. I think I'd win.

[Vaughany]

Semtex in good form... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TH50A...eature=related

[Beelzebubzy]

Jones inside the distance at -172?

I dont get it. Do people think he cant finish Rashad.

It hit -185.
Might throw another unit on it. Still dont understand why it hasnt blown up.

[Vaughany]

Adding:


6.31 units on McGee by Decision at +320 to win 20.192 units;


Parlay: 6.308 units on C.Miller Wins Inside Distance (-141), Johnson/McCall Starts Round 2 (-800), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 7.439 units.

[rochestertitans]

vaughny.. whats the best play for tonights event

[bjpenn85]

Where did you get mcgee dec? hmm damit son

[Vaughany]

Where did you get mcgee dec? hmm damit son

Opener on sportbet....+250 now i think

They've got Benavidez by sub at +330 and by TKO at something similar..

[bjpenn85]

I got benavidez tko at +500 at both unibet and 5dimes.. well done with mccgee

[Vaughany]

Benavidez by sub is +190 now and TKO/KO +693 or something

[Vaughany]

Rousey on weight hours before weigh-ins...

[Beelzebubzy]

On weight and smiling
damn good work rhonda

[gabe]

On weight and smiling
damn good work rhonda

Thanks, bro. I helped her make the cut. No running, no sauna, just good ol' fashioned humpin'.

[Vaughany]

Thanks, bro. I helped her make the cut. No running, no sauna, just good ol' fashioned humpin'.

WIth her doing the humpin right?

[gabe]

Wrong. =)

[Vaughany]

Adding:



6.312 units on Benavidez by Submission at +335 to win 21.145 units;


Parlay: 3.155 units on Semerzier (-155), Benavidez/Urushitani Starts Round 2 (-395), & Not Kampmann by Submission (-1050) to win 3.969 units;


Parlay: 1.578 units on C.Miller/Siler to Not Go the Distance (-280), Benavidez/Urushitani Starts Round 2 (-395), McGee/Philippou Starts Round 2 (-275), Thompson (-170), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 6.84 units;


1.147 units on Benavidez by Decision at +110 to win 1.262 units;


1.586 units on Mighty Mouse by Decision at -125 to win 1.269 units;


3.185 units on Mighty Mouse/McCall to Go Over 2.5 Rounds at -250 to win 1.274 units;

2.869 units on Mighty Mouse/McCall to Go the Distance at -225 to win 1.275 units;


3.403 units on McGee/Philippou to Not Go the Distance at +155 to win 5.275 units;

2 units on Philippou by TKO/KO at +400 to win 8 units.

[more_betterness]

What you see in the Semerzier/Pineda fight V? I see you have Mackens in a parlay but what you think about him straight up? Pineda has shown flashes of brilliance, especially on the ground, but his striking is pretty sloppy. His cardio has also looked a little suspect in a few of his earlier fights.

[Vaughany]

What you see in the Semerzier/Pineda fight V? I see you have Mackens in a parlay but what you think about him straight up? Pineda has shown flashes of brilliance, especially on the ground, but his striking is pretty sloppy. His cardio has also looked a little suspect in a few of his earlier fights.

I just think Semerzier has a slight edge everywhere. Semerzier will latch on to any slight mistake, he showed tht against Caceres and Wagney. Combine this with the fact that Pineda's sub defence is questionable and I'll take a stab at Semerzier getting the sub or decision at least.

[Vaughany]

Summary of UFC on FX 2 plays:


7.445 units on Thiago Alves at Evens to win 7.445 units;

Parlay: 3.15 units on Mizugaki/Cariaso to Go the Distance (-270), Okami/Boetsch Starts Round 2 (-617), Edgar/Henderson Starts Round 2 (-942), & Alves/Kampmann to Go the Distance (-300) to win 4.248 units;

16.934 units on Alves/Kampmann to Go the Distance at -127.42 to win 13.29 units (Got distance prop at -150 to -187.5 and arbed out a little with Not Distance at +250. Depending on results before the main event, I may arb out of this completely);


1.586 units on Mighty Mouse by Decision at -125 to win 1.269 units;

3.185 units on Mighty Mouse/McCall to Go Over 2.5 Rounds at -250 to win 1.274 units;

2.869 units on Mighty Mouse/McCall to Go the Distance at -225 to win 1.275 units;


6.305 units on Benavidez/Urushitani to Not Go the Distance at +180 to win 11.349 units;

6.312 units on Benavidez by Submission at +335 to win 21.145 units;

1.147 units on Benavidez by Decision at +110 to win 1.262 units;


6.31 units on McGee by Decision at +320 to win 20.192 units;

3.403 units on McGee/Philippou to Not Go the Distance at +155 to win 5.275 units;

2 units on Philippou by TKO/KO at +400 to win 8 units;


Parlay: 6.308 units on C.Miller Wins Inside Distance (-141), Johnson/McCall Starts Round 2 (-800), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 7.439 units.


Parlay: 6.243 units on C.Miller/Siler to Not Go the Distance (-280), Te-Huna/Rosa to Not Go the Distance (-245), Jones/Evans to Not Go the Distance (-280), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 12.108 units.


Parlay: 3.155 units on Semerzier (-155), Benavidez/Urushitani Starts Round 2 (-395), & Not Kampmann by Submission (-1050) to win 3.969 units;


Parlay: 1.578 units on C.Miller/Siler to Not Go the Distance (-280), Benavidez/Urushitani Starts Round 2 (-395), McGee/Philippou Starts Round 2 (-275), Thompson (-170), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 6.84 units;


Parlay: 6.315 units on Te-Huna Inside Distance (-175), Rousey/Tate to Not Go the Distance (-380), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 7.891 units;


7.5 units on Jordan at -150 to win 5 units;


5 units on TJ Waldburger at Evens to win 5 units.



***Also have risk free plays on C.Miller/Siler fight...5.766 units profit if Miller wins (-350), or 9.791 units profit if Siler wins (+406). Also, a further 3.51 units profit if TJ Waldburger wins (-111), or 0.172 units if Hecht wins (+124).

[MMAbetMASTA]

Semtex in good form... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TH50A...eature=related

[Vaughany]

Adding:


1.577 units on Semerzier/Pineda Under 2.5 Rounds (-110), Te-Huna (-325), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 2.884 units.

[Vaughany]

Miller/Siler going the distance just killed a few parlays. Got the winnings from Siler to make up for it slightly tho.

Adding:


6.306 units on Mighty Mouse/McCall Starts Round 3 (-360), Benavidez/Urushitani Starts Round 2 (-377), Rousey/Tate to Not Go the Distance (-380), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 8.289 units.

[Vaughany]

Summary of UFC on FX 2 plays:


7.445 units on Thiago Alves at Evens to win 7.445 units;

Parlay: 3.15 units on Mizugaki/Cariaso to Go the Distance (-270), Okami/Boetsch Starts Round 2 (-617), Edgar/Henderson Starts Round 2 (-942), & Alves/Kampmann to Go the Distance (-300) to win 4.248 units;

16.934 units on Alves/Kampmann to Go the Distance at -127.42 to win 13.29 units (Got distance prop at -150 to -187.5 and arbed out a little with Not Distance at +250. Depending on results before the main event, I may arb out of this completely);


1.586 units on Mighty Mouse by Decision at -125 to win 1.269 units;

3.185 units on Mighty Mouse/McCall to Go Over 2.5 Rounds at -250 to win 1.274 units;

2.869 units on Mighty Mouse/McCall to Go the Distance at -225 to win 1.275 units;


6.305 units on Benavidez/Urushitani to Not Go the Distance at +180 to win 11.349 units;

6.312 units on Benavidez by Submission at +335 to win 21.145 units;

1.147 units on Benavidez by Decision at +110 to win 1.262 units;


6.31 units on McGee by Decision at +320 to win 20.192 units;

3.403 units on McGee/Philippou to Not Go the Distance at +155 to win 5.275 units;

2 units on Philippou by TKO/KO at +400 to win 8 units;


Parlay: 6.308 units on C.Miller Wins Inside Distance (-141), Johnson/McCall Starts Round 2 (-800), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 7.439 units.


Parlay: 6.243 units on C.Miller/Siler to Not Go the Distance (-280), Te-Huna/Rosa to Not Go the Distance (-245), Jones/Evans to Not Go the Distance (-280), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 12.108 units.


Parlay: 3.155 units on Semerzier (-155), Benavidez/Urushitani Starts Round 2 (-395), & Not Kampmann by Submission (-1050) to win 3.969 units;


Parlay: 1.578 units on C.Miller/Siler to Not Go the Distance (-280), Benavidez/Urushitani Starts Round 2 (-395), McGee/Philippou Starts Round 2 (-275), Thompson (-170), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 6.84 units;


Parlay: 6.315 units on Te-Huna Inside Distance (-175), Rousey/Tate to Not Go the Distance (-380), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 7.891 units;


7.5 units on Jordan at -150 to win 5 units;


5 units on TJ Waldburger at Evens to win 5 units.



***Also have risk free plays on C.Miller/Siler fight...5.766 units profit if Miller wins (-350), or 9.791 units profit if Siler wins (+406). Also, a further 3.51 units profit if TJ Waldburger wins (-111), or 0.172 units if Hecht wins (+124).

Adding:


0.77 units on McGee/Philippou to Not Go the Distance at +162.5 to win 1.251 units;

0.728 units on McGee/Philippou to Go Under 2.5 Rounds at +175 to win 1.274 units.