2012 Picks

[No coincidences]

Fair point, but if you're going to lay that high of a number, why not lay in a situation where there is a huge advantage in at least one area?

Get the f\*\*k out of my thread if you're going to keep trolling re: the losing bets.

[brahmabull117]

Get the f\*\*k out of my thread if you're going to keep trolling re: the losing bets.

To be fair, how many times have you done that to me in threads where I lost? Sorry, I'm not going to feel bad about returning the favor

[No coincidences]

To be fair, how many times have you done that to me in threads where I lost? Sorry, I'm not going to feel bad about returning the favor

I just don't want to see you bitch about trolling ever again you fvcking pathetic loser.

[brahmabull117]

I just don't want to see you bitch about trolling ever again you fvcking pathetic loser.

Don't whine NoCoin. You've flamed me literally a million times.



What comes around goes around

[No coincidences]

Don't whine NoCoin. You've flamed me literally a million times.



What comes around goes around

So you're good with trolling someone else's thread now? That's fair game?

[brahmabull117]

So you're good with trolling someone else's thread now? That's fair game?

nah, just returning the favor for the last time. No more trolling after this

[No coincidences]

nah, just returning the favor for the last time. No more trolling after this

Just trying to clarify, since you threw a tantrum about people trolling your subforum threads the other day. So now you're a hypocrite on top of everything else. Got it!

[brahmabull117]

Just trying to clarify, since you threw a tantrum about people trolling your subforum threads the other day. So now you're a hypocrite on top of everything else. Got it!

Nothing worse than the 10,000 times you have trolled and flamed my threads, dickhead



go fck yourself

[No coincidences]

Nothing worse than the 10,000 times you have trolled and flamed my threads, dickhead



go fck yourself

At least we're getting the real brahma now. Go cry to the mods you fvcking baby. I'll just link this thread every time you do.

[No coincidences]

1-3, -1.68U today
221-215, +10.47U thread

Fvcking Angels. Scoscia bobbled that game away.

[No coincidences]

ATL +100 (1U to win 1)
BOS -106 (1.06U to win 1)
OAK -102 (1.02U to win 1)

[No coincidences]

TB -150 (1.5U to win 1)

[t-wizzle]

I like both Chicago teams tonight Coin, what do you think?

[Dexter]

you hate dickey - hes the best pitcher in the game!

[hydrosmak]

you hate dickey - hes the best pitcher in the game!

Due for regression would be the standard response here.

[lunchbawks]

you hate dickey - hes the best pitcher in the game!

dont forget it

[No coincidences]

2-2, -0.5U tonight
223-217, +9.97U thread

I'd bitch about the Braves stranding a thousand runners on base, but Oakland made a nice surprising comeback so I guess it all evens out.

As for Dickey, I don't remember a pitcher ever coming out of virtual nowhere to completely and utterly dominate for such a long period of time like this in my 30 years of watching MLB. I was actually wagering more on Price here though, who let me down again. I keep waiting for him to graduate into one of the true aces in MLB, and he keeps letting me down.

[No coincidences]

Thursday's leans:

HOU +129
ARI +145
NYM +118
PHI +118

[No coincidences]

HOU +129 (2U to win 2.58)

Want to take the Mets, but fading Hellickson never works and the Rays need this one to avoid the sweep.

[Gee]

Nothing worse than the 10,000 times you have trolled and flamed my threads, dickhead



go fck yourself

You are both entertaining in your own way.

Brahma - SBR's resident square.

NoCoin - SBR's answer to the question that nobody asked.

[brahmabull117]

You are both entertaining in your own way.

Brahma - SBR's resident square.

Ain't no such thing as squares or sharps, son. There are winners and losers


I'm 17-8 my last 25 posted plays. So far I've been a winner since I started betting on baseball again. This is a tiny sample size though and it means nothing until I can keep it up for a 100 plays. Time will tell

[Dexter]

Right on - 100 plays is a solid sample size.

Try 500 big guy.

[italianbandit]

Good luck no coin. Always like me a zito fade.

Dear Brahmacunt,

Dvfdhfthcdgvcd 24-7, dhvcxsdbhuhfcghjjfc fbjjhhhhhgf ffgghbfgbjhfdd 100 plays ggbbfdcvbhg yhdbidfhjdxbggffhgvv.

Love
IB

[brahmabull117]

Right on - 100 plays is a solid sample size.

Try 500 big guy.

the possibility of hitting 58+% on a 100 play sample size based on nothing but pure luck is like 0.0000001%



Take a statistics course. Even hitting 58+% of a 50 sample size is very unlikely in that scenario

[Dexter]

the possibility of hitting 58+% on a 100 play sample size based on nothing but pure luck is like 0.0000001%



Take a statistics course. Even hitting 58+% of a 50 sample size is very unlikely in that scenario

You poor thing. You're so lost. I don't even know why I bothered replying to someone like you.

[guil0000]

the possibility of hitting 58+% on a 100 play sample size based on nothing but pure luck is like 0.0000001%



Take a statistics course. Even hitting 58+% of a 50 sample size is very unlikely in that scenario

Why do you keep putting winning % in there... In baseball a moneyline sport it means NOTHING!!!!!!!!!! I'm hitting under 50% and have made 10 units

[brahmabull117]

Why do you keep putting winning % in there... In baseball a moneyline sport it means NOTHING!!!!!!!!!! I'm hitting under 50% and have made 10 units

I use win % because my avg play is around - 100 - 120


If I played a lot of dogs, I would not use win %

[italianbandit]

I still think there is at least a 25% chance that Brahmacunt is a bot.

[brahmabull117]

You poor thing. You're so lost. I don't even know why I bothered replying to someone like you.

Hey bro, do statistics 101 for me


If I'm relying on nothing but luck, then the odds of winning a play is 50%. Your probability of a 50% proposition winning at 58+% over a 100 play sample size is astronomical


Common sense translation: If you can hit that sort of a number over that sample size, then clearly you know what you're doing. It doesn't guarantee future success but clearly you're onto something and you can keep succeeding if you keep working hard and making the right plays

[No coincidences]

Astros were an easy winner.

Should've hammered the Mets as well. Of course this is the day Hellickson gets his come-uppance.

[No coincidences]

ARI +136 (1U to win 1.36)
CHW +115 (1U to win 1.15)

[No coincidences]

2-1, +2.94U today
225-218, +12.91U thread

Initial leans from last night were 4-0. Passed on the Mets and Phils.

[No coincidences]

Friday's leans:

NYY +116
TB -130
MIN +108
CHW +122
SEA -101

[Hotnicks]

Friday's leans:

NYY +116
TB -130
MIN +108
CHW +122
SEA -101

Can not not bet sale right?

[EXhoosier10]

Got on the Yanks last night, NC.

Just jumped on Tampa after seeing them at -130 while everyone else is -138 or worse. Moore has put together a nice string of 5 starts against some good offenses.

I'll probably take minnesota's team total over as well as them to win. Axford and Rodriguez are both probably going to rest today; hoping the Loe / Veras / Parra combo will live up to their ERA's.

Somehow skipped looking at Seattle last night. I'm on them as well.

Last play will probably be on the mets. Reds are the best hitting team in the league against lefties, but against righties, middle of the pack in walks, 5th in K%, and mid-to-low 20's in wOBA, wRC+. I think it's safe to say Gee is the better pitcher as well. Early money on Cincy, but even with 56% (59% at SI) of the backers, line isn't budging much at all.

Also on Indians. They simply crussssh righties and i think Masterson is finally starting to turn a corner. Mcdonald has been fantastic, but we'll see how he fares against an AL club loaded with lefties (He doesn't have a changeup, so his splits v Lefties are pretty rough --- 4.26 xfip v LHH, 2.81 v RHH http://www.fangraphs.com/statsplits....=2012#advanced