2012 Picks

[No coincidences]

Friday's leans:

NYY +116
TB -130
MIN +108
CHW +122
SEA -101

I'm pissed at myself for missing good numbers on the White Sox and Twins. Those were two I really wanted to play. Now I'm not so sure.

[No coincidences]

Got on the Yanks last night, NC.

Just jumped on Tampa after seeing them at -130 while everyone else is -138 or worse. Moore has put together a nice string of 5 starts against some good offenses.

I'll probably take minnesota's team total over as well as them to win. Axford and Rodriguez are both probably going to rest today; hoping the Loe / Veras / Parra combo will live up to their ERA's.

Somehow skipped looking at Seattle last night. I'm on them as well.

Last play will probably be on the mets. Reds are the best hitting team in the league against lefties, but against righties, middle of the pack in walks, 5th in K%, and mid-to-low 20's in wOBA, wRC+. I think it's safe to say Gee is the better pitcher as well. Early money on Cincy, but even with 56% (59% at SI) of the backers, line isn't budging much at all.

Also on Indians. They simply crussssh righties and i think Masterson is finally starting to turn a corner. Mcdonald has been fantastic, but we'll see how he fares against an AL club loaded with lefties (He doesn't have a changeup, so his splits v Lefties are pretty rough --- 4.26 xfip v LHH, 2.81 v RHH http://www.fangraphs.com/statsplits....=2012#advanced

Outstanding post Ex. Thanks.

[No coincidences]

LAD TT under 3 -115 (1.15U to win 1)
CLE TT over 3.5 -125 (1.25U to win 1)
TOR TT over 4 -125 (1.25U to win 1)
HOU TT over 3.5 -120 (1.2U to win 1)

[Redscot]

Got on the Yanks last night, NC.

Just jumped on Tampa after seeing them at -130 while everyone else is -138 or worse. Moore has put together a nice string of 5 starts against some good offenses.

I'll probably take minnesota's team total over as well as them to win. Axford and Rodriguez are both probably going to rest today; hoping the Loe / Veras / Parra combo will live up to their ERA's.

Somehow skipped looking at Seattle last night. I'm on them as well.

Last play will probably be on the mets. Reds are the best hitting team in the league against lefties, but against righties, middle of the pack in walks, 5th in K%, and mid-to-low 20's in wOBA, wRC+. I think it's safe to say Gee is the better pitcher as well. Early money on Cincy, but even with 56% (59% at SI) of the backers, line isn't budging much at all.

Also on Indians. They simply crussssh righties and i think Masterson is finally starting to turn a corner. Mcdonald has been fantastic, but we'll see how he fares against an AL club loaded with lefties (He doesn't have a changeup, so his splits v Lefties are pretty rough --- 4.26 xfip v LHH, 2.81 v RHH http://www.fangraphs.com/statsplits....=2012#advanced

Digging the analysis Hoosier! Bol to you today. Bol NoCo as well

[No coincidences]

Digging the analysis Hoosier! Bol to you today. Bol NoCo as well

You too Red. Hope you still post even with LTA away. Feel free to use this thread whenever.

[EXhoosier10]

Thanks guys. Could really use a good day today; I have a big card going

[No coincidences]

BOS +3 live -110 (1.1U to win 1)

[EXhoosier10]

BOS +3 live -110 (1.1U to win 1)

What book are you grabbing these live lines from? Fading the Cubs bullpen could be the best bet imaginable

[No coincidences]

CLE -134 (4.02U to win 3)
CLE -1.5 +145 (1U to win 1.45)

[No coincidences]

What book are you grabbing these live lines from? Fading the Cubs bullpen could be the best bet imaginable

BOL. Unfortunately, the Red Sox gagged in both the 7th and 9th innings. When I locked that +3 in, I got it at -110 and it was +160 at Pinnacle.

[No coincidences]

COL TT over 4.5 -105 (1.05U to win 1)
NYM TT over 4 +100 (1U to win 1)

[No coincidences]

BAL +140 (2U to win 2.8)
ATL TT under 4.5 -115 (2.3U to win 2)

Come on Matusz you fvcking loser. One time.

[No coincidences]

Going to roll the dice with Liriano, which typically never ends well.

MIN -103 (1.03U to win 1)

[BigDofBA]

So far the Twins are my only play tonight.

Also leaning Mariners, Padres, and Royals.

I'm one of the biggest Cardinals fans around but I feel like you're getting KC at a great value tonight. They always play the Cardinals tough and St. Louis has been struggling after a good start.

As for Liriano, the guy always seems to get lit up when I back him, then when I go against him, he throws a no hitter. Go figure.

[No coincidences]

KC TT over 3.5 -120 (1.2U to win 1)

[lunchbawks]

COL TT over 4.5 -105 (1.05U to win 1)
NYM TT over 4 +100 (1U to win 1)

mets tt dropped to 3.5 -120 at pinny before gametime.. kiss that one goodbye

[No coincidences]

SEA +102 (1U to win 1.02)
SD +102 (1U to win 1.02)

[No coincidences]

SEA +102 (1U to win 1.02)
SD +102 (1U to win 1.02)

Adding a unit to Seattle at +101.

[No coincidences]

Unreal. Guy with one fvcking homer goes deep for Atlanta.

[No coincidences]

SD TT over 3.5 -110 (1.1U to win 1)
ARI TT over 3 -120 (1.2U to win 1)

[No coincidences]

5-11, -6.17U Friday
230-229, +6.74U thread

What a day. TT's were a disaster.

[No coincidences]

Saturday:

PHI -106 (10.6U to win 10)

Only other play I'm considering right now is Arizona. Cliff Lee's already burned me once this year on an 8U play -- let's hope it doesn't happen again in even uglier fashion tomorrow.

[paco]

Saturday:

PHI -106 (10.6U to win 10)

Only other play I'm considering right now is Arizona. Cliff Lee's already burned me once this year on an 8U play -- let's hope it doesn't happen again in even uglier fashion tomorrow.

Big play, GL

[No coincidences]

Big play, GL

Thanks paco. Hopefully I can match what you've been doing lately.

[Vinnie Paz]

Nc,

How do you feel about phillies over 4 runs @ even money? RR seems to be good for 4 just by himself not including jays shitpen.

[paco]

Thanks paco. Hopefully I can match what you've been doing lately.

Gotta cut the amount of games u play bro. It does wonders. More $, less stress, more family time. Win all way around

[No coincidences]

Gotta cut the amount of games u play bro. It does wonders. More $, less stress, more family time. Win all way around

I play a lot of games when I'm stuck at work like tonight. Always bad for the bankroll.

[No coincidences]

Nc,

How do you feel about phillies over 4 runs @ even money? RR seems to be good for 4 just by himself not including jays shitpen.

Phils aren't hitting much lately, but it might be worth considering.

[taxe91]

"Ruiz left Fridays game in the seventh inning with a left oblique strain after sliding into second base. He is considered questionable for Saturday's game against the Blue Jays."

i dont like the sound of that. im already on the phils though like i mentioned in the other thread so lets hope for the best

[lunchbawks]

Saturday:

PHI -106 (10.6U to win 10)

Only other play I'm considering right now is Arizona. Cliff Lee's already burned me once this year on an 8U play -- let's hope it doesn't happen again in even uglier fashion tomorrow.

biggest play of the year? hope it hits for you nocoin

[EXhoosier10]

Saturday:

PHI -106 (10.6U to win 10)

Only other play I'm considering right now is Arizona. Cliff Lee's already burned me once this year on an 8U play -- let's hope it doesn't happen again in even uglier fashion tomorrow.

I was a huge pu$$y and only put 4u on this right when it opened at -108 yesterday. my model shows that this game is probably the biggest value play of the year and I barely have an opportunity to capitalize.

I'm on the yanks as well, + Pit, Baltimore, and SF.

[italianbandit]

Gotta cut the amount of games u play bro. It does wonders. More $, less stress, more family time. Win all way around

This.

[ShogunRua]

looked good when it was 5-2 headed to the bottom of the 8th.

tough break.

[EXhoosier10]

f'in blows, coin. Terrible break

[lunchbawks]

he hedged when phillies were up. nocoin isn't stupid