2012 Picks

lunchbawks · 06-22-12, 09:36 PM

good call...no point in getting landered on a chalky fav..

No coincidences · 06-23-12, 12:32 AM

1-4, -3.81U tonight
232-235, -4.67U thread

blackeyeshamus · 06-23-12, 01:03 AM

back in the saddle, sir.
any leans on overnight nickel lines?
thanks. best of luck tomorrow.

No coincidences · 06-23-12, 11:32 AM

Originally posted by blackeyeshamus

back in the saddle, sir.
any leans on overnight nickel lines?
thanks. best of luck tomorrow.

Sorry blackeye -- just saw this and didn't get a chance to look at the lines last night.

BOS -136 (2.72U to win 2)
DET -139 (2.78U to win 2)
NYM +138 (1U to win 1.38)
LAA -147 (1.47U to win 1)
CIN -1.5 +100 (1U to win 1)
CHC +184 (.5U to win .92)

No coincidences · 06-24-12, 01:22 AM

The struggle continues.

2-4, -2.75U today
234-239, -7.42U thread

Sunday:

NYY -109 (4.36U to win 4)
HOU -110 (2.2U to win 2)
KC +136 (1U to win 1.36)
MIN +148 (.5U to win .74)
MIL +126 (.5U to win .63)

2daBank · 06-24-12, 02:34 AM

1st glance i like stros, to buzzed to play anything before morning but lefty vs tribe prob find a way onto my card..

the rest i doubt ill be on either way far as a side,..

No coincidences · 06-25-12, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

The struggle continues.

2-4, -2.75U today
234-239, -7.42U thread

Sunday:

NYY -109 (4.36U to win 4)
HOU -110 (2.2U to win 2)
KC +136 (1U to win 1.36)
MIN +148 (.5U to win .74)
MIL +126 (.5U to win .63)

3-2, +5.11U Sunday
237-241, -2.31U thread

No coincidences · 06-25-12, 05:43 PM

MIN +102 (2U to win 2.04)
MIL +121 (1U to win 1.21)
CLE +150 (1U to win 1.5)
CHC +125 (1U to win 1.25)
LAD -104 (1U to win 1.04)

Really want to roll the dice with Pittsburgh against Blanton, but I'm not sure what to expect from Karstens in his first start back.

No coincidences · 06-25-12, 05:47 PM

KC +105 (1U to win 1.05)

CanuckG · 06-25-12, 05:51 PM

Fading NY teams tonight may be very profitable.

2daBank · 06-25-12, 05:54 PM

really like Tribe...little undervalued after dropping a few to stros, but that was against lhp's..Kuroda's numbers little worse against lefties which cle is stacked with and Tomlin does good job of keeping ball in the yard, nyy struggles to score w/o homers..

considering scrubbies..

i guess someone sharp likes minny cause line strange to me...i cant pass up the price im getting to back Peavy vs hapless twinks, so guess we banging heads on this one..

BOL NC (besides on twinks)

Redscot · 06-25-12, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

MIN +102 (2U to win 2.04)
MIL +121 (1U to win 1.21)
CLE +150 (1U to win 1.5)
CHC +125 (1U to win 1.25)
LAD -104 (1U to win 1.04)

Really want to roll the dice with Pittsburgh against Blanton, but I'm not sure what to expect from Karstens in his first start back.

Disappointed in that Dodger pick homie, gonna ruin your rep taking that chalk . Only thing that scares me is that the BrewCrew and the Cubs are popular in these here parts today.......not always a good thing.

Can definitely understand the Cubs angle though, Mets coming off emotional series, Sunday night game, Mets less effective against LHP....Wood is a bit of a line drive machine though.

Still

on the Colorado total myself. Wind blowing out a bit, and it's hot as hell, but it's dry heat, not the humidity that makes pitchers wilt. So if Stras (dude is rare air good, no pun intended*ok maybe it was) and the Nat's give up 4 here, they need to get 7 for this bitch to go over......hmmmmm. Francis is run of the mill these days but hey, how much damage can he do with 75 pitches

, before they start their bullpen dance of which they have the best of their B's rested tonight (Belisle/Brothers/Betancourt).

GL tonight

Hangoverblack · 06-25-12, 06:17 PM

Cannot believe you are not on Cubs here No Coin.

You gotta play what you see. Money doesn't lie. Even when it's the cubbies! Bol

Sorry. I flat out missed CHC +125. I will STFU!! Seriously, when I saw the line I looked to this thread for validation of the play. BOL

hydrosmak · 06-25-12, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by Hangoverblack

Cannot believe you are not on Cubs here No Coin.

You gotta play what you see. Money doesn't lie. Even when it's the cubbies! Bol

Guess you missed this:

CHC +125 (1U to win 1.25)

No coincidences · 06-26-12, 12:00 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

MIN +102 (2U to win 2.04)
MIL +121 (1U to win 1.21)
CLE +150 (1U to win 1.5)
CHC +125 (1U to win 1.25)
LAD -104 (1U to win 1.04)

Really want to roll the dice with Pittsburgh against Blanton, but I'm not sure what to expect from Karstens in his first start back.

Originally posted by No coincidences

KC +105 (1U to win 1.05)

3-3, +1.3U tonight
240-244, -1.01 thread

I should've known better re: the Indians Canuck. Line moved way too much.

No coincidences · 06-26-12, 12:02 AM

Good to see Banker and Red in this thread. Two guys I respect a ton on this board.

2daBank · 06-26-12, 12:08 AM

i wonder if i got myself in a spot where im stuck looking for a tribe win in this series? kinda thought that way going into this one so i guess that a yes..

any reason not to fade nats again? col throwing another lefty, sure he young, sure he has been bad at coors thus far, but hey he is left handed and this is the nats offense....Gio got control issues, cant be good thing in Coors..

No coincidences · 06-26-12, 12:16 AM

CLE +146 (4U to win 5.84)

I doubt I'll get a better number than this -- if I do, the play might be in trouble.

No coincidences · 06-26-12, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

i wonder if i got myself in a spot where im stuck looking for a tribe win in this series? kinda thought that way going into this one so i guess that a yes..

any reason not to fade nats again? col throwing another lefty, sure he young, sure he has been bad at coors thus far, but hey he is left handed and this is the nats offense....Gio got control issues, cant be good thing in Coors..

I actually like Friedrich. He hasn't been as good lately, but his advanced stats are still OK. So yes, I'm with you there Banker.

No coincidences · 06-26-12, 12:20 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

CLE +146 (4U to win 5.84)

I doubt I'll get a better number than this -- if I do, the play might be in trouble.

COL +128 (2U to win 2.56)
MIN +116 (1U to win 1.16)
LAD -118 (1.18U to win 1)
SEA -120 (1.2U to win 1)

2daBank · 06-26-12, 12:24 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I actually like Friedrich. He hasn't been as good lately, but his advanced stats are still OK. So yes, I'm with you there Banker.

yea i wasnt trying to say he was bad, just kinda stating the crap folks backing the nats will see after they get done drooling on Gio's nuts.

lunchbawks · 06-26-12, 12:26 AM

friedrich will only throw 75 pitches max.. who the ff knows who colorado will through out there late.. the team is the biggest gamble in mlb

No coincidences · 06-26-12, 12:26 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

yea i wasnt trying to say he was bad, just kinda stating the crap folks backing the nats will see after they get done drooling on Gio's nuts.

Gio's good, but he overperformed early in the season and like you said, Coors isn't a great place to struggle with your control.

2daBank · 06-26-12, 12:31 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Gio's good, but he overperformed early in the season and like you said, Coors isn't a great place to struggle with your control.

yea no problem w Gio, hell i like nats, like stras (faded him too)..but time for nats to come back to pack a little..

No coincidences · 06-26-12, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

yea no problem w Gio, hell i like nats, like stras (faded him too)..but time for nats to come back to pack a little..

What do you think of the Dodgers/Giants matchup?

2daBank · 06-26-12, 12:35 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

What do you think of the Dodgers/Giants matchup?

honestly i think ppl crazy for laying juice with LAD and i luv me some cy kershaw....

2daBank · 06-26-12, 12:40 AM

not that im seriously looking to play sf or anything, i know metric geeks hate vogelsong (took me a while to believe myself) but the guy gets outs and is facing a lineup full of them...

italianbandit · 06-26-12, 12:42 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

honestly i think ppl crazy for laying juice with LAD and i luv me some cy kershaw....

Agree, too expensive.

No coincidences · 06-26-12, 12:54 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

honestly i think ppl crazy for laying juice with LAD and i luv me some cy kershaw....

You're probably right, and it's tough to fade Vogs at home -- especially against a team struggling as much as the Dodgers. Still, I had to bite for a small play on Kerfax at that price.

No coincidences · 06-26-12, 05:36 PM

Adding:

BAL +139 (1U to win 1.39)
ARI +120 (1U to win 1.2)

face · 06-26-12, 05:43 PM

seems like voglesong pitches twice a week, they use him a lot. his arm will get tired soon i think.

No coincidences · 06-26-12, 06:05 PM

PIT +131 (1U to win 1.31)
KC -108 (1.08U to win 1)

vyomguy · 06-26-12, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Adding:

BAL +139 (1U to win 1.39)
ARI +120 (1U to win 1.2)

My model is against these 2 plays...but not strongly. Only 2 star plays.

vyomguy · 06-26-12, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

CLE +146 (4U to win 5.84)

I doubt I'll get a better number than this -- if I do, the play might be in trouble.

Just note that indians have struggled really bad against hughes. Whats your angle here?

No coincidences · 06-26-12, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by vyomguy

My model is against these 2 plays...but not strongly. Only 2 star plays.

The minute I submitted the O's, I got a bad feeling in my gut.

I like Zona, but not more than 1U as it's hard to tell which Hudson will show up for them. Atlanta just got hammered too.

Good luck tonight vyom.