Mlb 2012

[2daBank]

A's tt ov 4

tribe+102

and that concludes my day action...going to gym, prob take few laps in pool after that, should have time to stop back by before i go set some stuff on fire .........gl everyone

[BiffTFinancial]

like your numbers in nyy/tb gm as well..

nyy/tb u8 -105..

yeah, trying to remember what scared me off of that one. good start, hope it comes home for you brother.

[BiffTFinancial]

Biff & Bank: Once again we are seeing some similar angles here. I am also on Reds -1, and I took the Marlins -1 rather than TT, which also looks solid. I am also on Cardinals TT o5.

I looked hard at the Orioles too but didn't play that one.

Time to head out for some cold beers in the hot sun. Best of luck to all.

BOL, bottles. i looked hard at Fish -1 and just went with TT because i saw big value when 5D didn't adjust TTs when total jumped. hope we both hit. glad that i played that when i did, i played opener of over 4' -110 and it's now over 5 -121. enjoy your holiday. i think that my final play will be Cards RL (+105), TT over (5 -120) or maybe wrap Cards in a ML parlay with Verlander (+106).

[BiffTFinancial]

A's tt ov 4

tribe+102

and that concludes my day action...going to gym, prob take few laps in pool after that, should have time to stop back by before i go set some stuff on fire .........gl everyone

like em both but passing on both. think that i will sit back and watch and ponder adding one more play for the 7 pm EST games/Dbacks game. i never play parlays bigger than 2 teams, but it's worth noting that Cards ML + Tigers ML + Dbacks ML = +210. man that seems easy. i guess that's the point. at the same time, you realize why parlays are bad deals when you compare Cards RL +105 to Cards + Tigers parlay +106 tonight. there is probably a 15% or so chance of Cards winning by 1 run tonight. no matter how you slice it, Twins have a better than 15% or so chance of beating Verlander tonight.

[2daBank]

yeah, trying to remember what scared me off of that one. good start, hope it comes home for you brother.

hopefully it doesnt have the late innings that muts/phis did......only good thing about that gm is i did put phils-1.5 in a parlay with stl rl and cin ml so hopefully that turns out ok...still sux cuase phi had rl covered with 5 (guess i should have went with muts tt un as Lee pitched to almost exactly the numbers i said he would, who would have thunk phi score 9 late, duh!)

[2daBank]

if nyy gets out of this inning w/o much more damage i may check out live total to see if i can avoid getting done in by pens again..

[2daBank]

like em both but passing on both. think that i will sit back and watch and ponder adding one more play for the 7 pm EST games/Dbacks game. i never play parlays bigger than 2 teams, but it's worth noting that Cards ML + Tigers ML + Dbacks ML = +210. man that seems easy. i guess that's the point. at the same time, you realize why parlays are bad deals when you compare Cards RL +105 to Cards + Tigers parlay +106 tonight. there is probably a 15% or so chance of Cards winning by 1 run tonight. no matter how you slice it, Twins have a better than 15% or so chance of beating Verlander tonight.

NC started a thread about exact same parlay last night...i didnt feel the odds were right comparatively to what actual percentage of it hitting were..i could make a case against det, dbags, and even Cards (to lesser extent) but bottom line is twinks have some guys with history of success against zoolander and det not playing good ball (will they lose, doubt it but price to steep even for parlay imo), pads are super hot and dbags nothing more than a .500 team and Kennedy hasnt pitched well enough to deserve ace prices.. biggest reason it harder to poke holes in stl is because rox are just that bad, Guthrie hasnt been stretched out in some time (gonna see tons more of that pen today), but to be fair wainwright hasnt put up numbers that warrant ace prices either (even tho i continue to say he is closer and closer to his pre tommy john form)...think taking stl rl is about all ill do with thoose 3..

[2daBank]

i need JJ to get out of this 2nd inning jam to have shot at this ff u..

[BiffTFinancial]

NC started a thread about exact same parlay last night...i didnt feel the odds were right comparatively to what actual percentage of it hitting were..i could make a case against det, dbags, and even Cards (to lesser extent) but bottom line is twinks have some guys with history of success against zoolander and det not playing good ball (will they lose, doubt it but price to steep even for parlay imo), pads are super hot and dbags nothing more than a .500 team and Kennedy hasnt pitched well enough to deserve ace prices.. biggest reason it harder to poke holes in stl is because rox are just that bad, Guthrie hasnt been stretched out in some time (gonna see tons more of that pen today), but to be fair wainwright hasnt put up numbers that warrant ace prices either (even tho i continue to say he is closer and closer to his pre tommy john form)...think taking stl rl is about all ill do with thoose 3..

yep, like i said, the odds of Twins winning has to be greater than odds of Cards winning by 1 run. if you look at Rocks schedule, when they lose, they lose big. i'm going to make my decision soon as i just cracked beer #3 and i like to book my wagers before i start drinking. i agree, RL looks best.

[2daBank]

running thru your late gm total projections right now to see if anything i think worth playing, gotta do it fast as bout time to go blow some money on chinese fireworks to celebrate America

[BiffTFinancial]

i need JJ to get out of this 2nd inning jam to have shot at this ff u..

ouch. this is good for my Fish TT over for the game to open up early, but bad for your FF under. at least NYY/TB under and Tribe off to decent start for you.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* Cardinals RL (+105)

Wednesday 7.4.2012 updated card
3* Reds -1 (+100)
2* Orioles ML (-105)
2* Marlins TT over 4' (-110)
2* Rangers/White Sox over 10 (-120)
2* Cubs/Braves over 9 (-107)
2* Cardinals RL (+105)
1* Orioles RL (+155)

BOL to all tonight. USA! USA! USA!

[2daBank]

ouch. this is good for my Fish TT over for the game to open up early, but bad for your FF under. at least NYY/TB under and Tribe off to decent start for you.

that was pretty much a account rounding degen play just to have something to look at when i got home...yesterday those actually salvaged a not so good day so odds of hitting a random degen 1 today wasnt good, doesnt hurt too bad, rather lose this and cash the bigger bets today (kinda sux i wasted balty play with it tho)..

[Vinnie Paz]

Biff i see you have whitesox over 10 which i as well have. How do you feel about both TTs over though? Think rangers should come out guns blazing after lasts night pitiful effort, and Feldmans case need not be explained wouldnt mind a 2nd opinion if you could pal

[Madison]

FK me. JJ has given up 5 er in last 4 games over 26 inn and he gives up 5 in 2nd.

[2daBank]

A's have Cook on the ropes...need them to get these runners home, i was realy torn on whether to go A's tt ov or oak ml. in the end although kid pitching for oaktown has been very good just wasnt enough on him for me to trust him to keep sox quite..

[2daBank]

How about those tribe!!!! love it, not only have i became a closet tribe fan (simply wanting biff to have good team to root for) but you know i hate the fukkin halos and fagboy albert..

[2daBank]

number drop on kc/tor is curious..i agree with your projection and think 9.5 is kinda a gift, is there some kind of news out of tor that would cause drop?

9.5 overs scare me for some reason

[BiffTFinancial]

Biff i see you have whitesox over 10 which i as well have. How do you feel about both TTs over though? Think rangers should come out guns blazing after lasts night pitiful effort, and Feldmans case need not be explained wouldnt mind a 2nd opinion if you could pal

you could certainly justify either TT in that game, like em both about the same. BOL whatever you decide.

[BiffTFinancial]

FK me. JJ has given up 5 er in last 4 games over 26 inn and he gives up 5 in 2nd.

i really did not see this coming. reason that i went with Fish TT over rather than game over was that i didn't trust Brewers to score on JJ.

[BiffTFinancial]

How about those tribe!!!! love it, not only have i became a closet tribe fan (simply wanting biff to have good team to root for) but you know i hate the fukkin halos and fagboy albert..

Tribe looking great today, though Lowe tried to give it all back in the 2nd and only managed to give one back. i need a good pro team to root for since i don't like NBA and i know better than to believe in the Browns. i would think that more people would like the Tribe, what with Major League movie and the offensive logo, but Cleveland sports fanship in general doesn't seem to be catching. in short, it's good to have you, welcome aboard, prepare yourself to get kicked in the pills by these teams on weekend afternoons.

and let's not even get started on Deirdre Pujols...

[2daBank]

i really did not see this coming. reason that i went with Fish TT over rather than game over was that i didn't trust Brewers to score on JJ.

i saw things that made me believe Wolf could limit mia (early at least) and trusted JJ to do his thing...actually thought the ff un was pretty well thought out by me, and wolf hasnt disappointing..but of coarse whenever i trust any player on the fish it doesnt end well..

worst part it gonna be only that 1 damn inning that bites me in ass..take that away and it 1-0 mil thru 5 i thinks..like i said no biggie, just sux i wasted what was a very good balty play by you on it..live by parlay die by parlay, lol

[BiffTFinancial]

number drop on kc/tor is curious..i agree with your projection and think 9.5 is kinda a gift, is there some kind of news out of tor that would cause drop?

9.5 overs scare me for some reason

i scratched this one for line movement. nothing that i see to explain it (unlike drop in Braves total, which was due to news that McCann is out of lineup). that's one where i'm viewing the line move as a red flag and passing and not thinking about it much more closely.

[2daBank]

leaning to ov 8 in det/min..think twinks can manage 3 off zoolander and duensing is not a starter so if det has any self repect they will run him by 5th..

still curious bout line drop in tor/kc? any info anyone? seems like ov 9.5 has serious value, i know wind blowing in but that doesnt seem to effect the launching pad in Canada...

any thoughts be great..im jumping in shower and will check back before i walk out the door...

[2daBank]

i scratched this one for line movement. nothing that i see to explain it (unlike drop in Braves total, which was due to news that McCann is out of lineup). that's one where i'm viewing the line move as a red flag and passing and not thinking about it much more closely.

yeai can see that..thing that keep me wanting to attack it is another thing curious to me is that the total action seems extremely split, considering tor overs always seem to get blindly hit by the masses im cant help but wonder if we just have spot were number drop gives us more value becasue for whatever reason the typical tor over player isnt tagging this over like they normally would???? just some random irrelevant thoughts.. lol

[2daBank]

def strong lean to det ov...

[2daBank]

also think min rl is worth a look but dont really have time or wanna worry bout it..

[BiffTFinancial]

leaning to ov 8 in det/min..think twinks can manage 3 off zoolander and duensing is not a starter so if det has any self repect they will run him by 5th..

still curious bout line drop in tor/kc? any info anyone? seems like ov 9.5 has serious value, i know wind blowing in but that doesnt seem to effect the launching pad in Canada...

any thoughts be great..im jumping in shower and will check back before i walk out the door...

i don't like the Twins/Tigers over. i really think that Verlander could shut them down (and i like Twins new and improved lineup, similar to A's).

as for Toronto total, it can't be due to the roof. wind has little effect there because the roof shields part of the field. there's little chance of rain and no news that it's closed that i've seen. like i said, i have 11+ runs on that one.

stupid Austin Kearns DP groundball.

[italianbandit]

Happy 4th all. Great thread. Thanks Biff for keeping it going. I trailed your Reds -1 as I am in Brooklyn visiting the family and had no time to crunch. Rooting for you on the O's.

[BiffTFinancial]

yeai can see that..thing that keep me wanting to attack it is another thing curious to me is that the total action seems extremely split, considering tor overs always seem to get blindly hit by the masses im cant help but wonder if we just have spot were number drop gives us more value becasue for whatever reason the typical tor over player isnt tagging this over like they normally would???? just some random irrelevant thoughts.. lol

line movement in baseball is a weird fkn thing. everyone knows that 90+% of bets are on Cards RL and it went from -110 to +105. i have a really hard time imagining some dude sitting in front of his computer on a yacht in the Caribbean with a magic excel program that forecasts baseball games going knuckledeep on Rocks RL. i'd rather just stick with my numbers. all that said, yeah, over 9.5 sucks the same way that under 8.5 does.

[BiffTFinancial]

Happy 4th all. Great thread. Thanks Biff for keeping it going. I trailed your Reds -1 as I am in Brooklyn visiting the family and had no time to crunch. Rooting for you on the O's.

thanks, bandit! happy 4th to you and your family. go Reds, go O's. salud!

[Madison]

i really did not see this coming. reason that i went with Fish TT over rather than game over was that i didn't trust Brewers to score on JJ.

YEP, understood when you made the bet. Oh well, Ive been streakin so I guess you gotta bite one once in a while.

[2daBank]

i don't like the Twins/Tigers over. i really think that Verlander could shut them down (and i like Twins new and improved lineup, similar to A's).

as for Toronto total, it can't be due to the roof. wind has little effect there because the roof shields part of the field. there's little chance of rain and no news that it's closed that i've seen. like i said, i have 11+ runs on that one.

stupid Austin Kearns DP groundball.

thank you captain obvious!! staring to get that good beer/hash buzz going (you know im joking)...just like twinks good players numbers against zoo, that said you prob right zoo is usually a beast in spots after his team been struggling, think ill pass and cuss you later, lol

[BiffTFinancial]

Brewers broadcasts discussing rumor that Booger Lee may now be headed to Fish after refusing trade to Big Blue.

[BiffTFinancial]

thank you captain obvious!! staring to get that good beer/hash buzz going (you know im joking)...just like twinks good players numbers against zoo, that said you prob right zoo is usually a beast in spots after his team been struggling, think ill pass and cuss you later, lol

what, my Verlander-could-dominate rationale doesn't impress you?

if you ever see any kind of prop involving Johnny Damon - hitting, fielding, whatever, fade him.