Calmeat's MLB Props 2012

I_WILL_WIN · 05-15-12, 04:08 PM

The fukking god dam ump called like 4 balls strikes in the 3rd for Seattle. It really messes with their timing. This is bull shit

I_WILL_WIN · 05-15-12, 04:13 PM

The pitch right before big papi home run would have been a strike if it was the Mariners. The umpire is going to make the Red Sox win. This is bull shit!!!!!!!!!!!!!! He should have been called out on strikes and not a home run!!!!!!

calmeat · 05-15-12, 04:50 PM

Damn I was following it on game tracker we were so close to winning that a foot to the left we would have had a HR

I_WILL_WIN · 05-15-12, 05:44 PM

I feel more stronger about SEA FF than I do them scoring the 1st run.

calmeat · 05-16-12, 12:04 PM

MLB 5/16/12 +14.50u

ML Series Chase +1.20u
GM1 DET (-185) 1u
GM1 LAD (-117) 3u

UnOfficial ML Series Chase +16.08u
No Plays

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) -17.99u
No Plays

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase -.72u
GM1 ARI/COL (-140) 1u

Score First Chase +10.58u
GM1 LAD (-155) 2u

Will update Props when they come out.

If you find yourself dying to play Texas for the 3rd game I understand. i have been wrestling with it all morning. After that big loss last night the only play that is real play is the Run Line. I had a bit too much confidence in TEX last night and underrated KC. The best idea though is dropping it and moving on.

VonnyB · 05-16-12, 12:42 PM

Tex

Hey, BCTex play the A's today not KC, so will that be Gm1?

calmeat · 05-16-12, 01:04 PM

@VonnyB
Yeah i know they are playing OAK becuase of the 2 losses they just had they do not clear our filters and therefore would not be a play today. It actually hurts to not play them today since more than likely they will not lose 3 games at home.

calmeat · 05-17-12, 09:04 AM

MLB 5/17/12 +9.45u

ML Series Chase -4.45u
Gm2 DET (-210) 2.90u

UnOfficial ML Series Chase +16.08u
Gm1 ATL (-145) 6.75u (sub for LAD)

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) -17.99u
No Plays

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase -.90u
Gm2 ARI/COL (-) 2.40u

Score First Chase +16.71u
No Plays

Really Bad week this week. And the prior rule of not playing 2 game series rings true and I should have stuck with it. LAD too many injuries so dropping that game and replacing it with ATL. ATL would have been unOfficial play but had too much juice on other games to add it.

calmeat · 05-18-12, 10:14 AM

MLB 5/18/12 +12.51u

ML Series Chase -10.54u
No Plays

UnOfficial ML Series Chase +22.83u
Gm1 TOR (-165) 1u
Gm1 CHC (-130) 1u
Gm1 ARI (-120) 1u
Gm1 TEX (-160) 1u (might wait to lock in, line may drop)

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) -17.99u
No Plays

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase -1.50u
Gm1 MIN/MIL (-105) 1u
Gm1 CIN/NYY (-125) 1u
Gm1 SEA/COL (-150) 1u

Score First Chase +16.71u
Gm1 Tex (-180) .5u
GM1 ARI (-155) 1u

Will update when props are released.

Interleague is here and lots of good matchups to watch but not really to wager on. Here is the card. Let's hope for a better week this week.

VonnyB · 05-18-12, 01:23 PM

Yes, I am hoping for a better week, because I have been paying out 2 weeks in a row.

Alki · 05-18-12, 04:31 PM

Thanks Cal. Following every day.

calmeat · 05-19-12, 07:34 AM

MLB 5/19/12 +16.46u

ML Series Chase -10.54u
No Plays

UnOfficial ML Series Chase +24.53u
Gm2 CHC (-155) 2.30u

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) -17.99u
No Plays

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase 2.25u
Gm2 CIN/NYY (-125) 2.25u

Score First Chase +18.21u
No Plays

Will update when props are released.

calmeat · 05-20-12, 09:44 AM

MLB 5/20/12 +15.15u

ML Series Chase -10.54u
No Plays

UnOfficial ML Series Chase +20.96u
Gm1 CHC (-100) 5.87u

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) -17.99u
BAL/WSH (-) 0u (tracking)

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase 4.50u
No Plays

Score First Chase +18.21u
No plays

calmeat · 05-21-12, 01:20 PM

MLB 5/21/12 +9.28u

ML Series Chase -10.54u
Gm1 NYY (-152) 1u
Gm1 MIA (-160) 1u

UnOfficial ML Series Chase +15.10u
Gm1 BAL (-100) .5u
Gm1 TEX (-150) .5u
Gm1 WSH (-130) .5u

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) -17.99u
LAA/OAK (-135) 0u (tracking)

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase 4.50u
Gm1 KC/NYY (-115) 1u
Gm1 SD/STL (-110) 1u
Gm1 LAD/ARI (-120) 1u
Gm1 BOS/BAL (-120) 1u

Score First Chase +18.21u
Gm1 KC (-130) .5u
Gm1 NYM (-155) 1u

I_WILL_WIN · 05-21-12, 04:40 PM

How do you cap who scores 1st? I just deposited my last $1k since I lost everything from interleague play. I am going to be tailing you on who scores 1st and ignore all the other post from this site. GL!!

I_WILL_WIN · 05-21-12, 04:40 PM

$100/unit is what I will be playing

unclebuzz1 · 05-21-12, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by I_WILL_WIN

$100/unit is what I will be playing

Please note ... he had 11.23 units in play in post #100. At $100 per unit, you'd need $1,722 to make all 3 plays. Please note ... if you play $100 per unit and he has 3 consecutive losses at (-125), your entire bankroll will be gone. The rule of thumb is that a player risk 1% of their bankroll per unit. With a $1,000 bankroll, you should be playing $10 per unit. GL

calmeat · 05-21-12, 07:09 PM

Unclebuzz your are right, I also have too much in play as well, but if your putting 100 on a play first make sure you realize its a chase so that 100 could turn into a high number per each 100. Just be careful and bet within your means.

I_WILL_WIN · 05-21-12, 09:38 PM

I am going to drop it to $10/u. I am strictly only playing the team to score first.

I_WILL_WIN · 05-22-12, 03:58 AM

Have you ever thought about playing team totals? I think you could do very well playing team totals.

calmeat · 05-22-12, 07:44 AM

Thank for the pts. I havent really thought about playing the team totals. Since capping the games i do look at the pitcher matchups but this year has been really odd. It seems its been very up and down where the aces look like crap and the crap pitchers look like aces sometimes i've been pretty happy with the score first category so far the only problem with it is it usually has the high juice. If you are only going to play them then you can add more to your unit size. You should not play anything over 5% and would recommend 2-3% of your BR for each unit.

calmeat · 05-22-12, 12:33 PM

MLB 5/22/12 +7.01u

ML Series Chase -11.06u
Gm2 NYY (-175) 2.52u

UnOfficial ML Series Chase +14.35u
Gm2 BAL (+105) 1.05u
Gm2 TEX (-175) 1.25u
Gm1 ATL (-115) 1u

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) -17.99u
No Plays

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase 2u
Gm2 SD/STL (-100) 2.10u
Gm2 LAD/ARI (-120) 2.20u
Gm2 BOS/BAL (-130) 2.20u

Score First Chase +19.71u
Gm1 SF (-150) .5u (im adding this and will up it to 1u play if braun is not in MIL lineup)

I_WILL_WIN · 05-23-12, 08:02 AM

I am going to give you 1 point/win of Score First. Thanks for your help!

calmeat · 05-23-12, 09:56 AM

MLB 5/23/12 +7.73u

ML Series Chase -8.54u
No Plays

UnOfficial ML Series Chase +15.45u
Gm2 ATL (-125) 2.15u

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) -17.99u
No Plays

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase 2u
Gm2 LAD/ARI (-130) 4.84u
Gm2 BOS/BAL (-120) 5.06u

Score First Chase +19.71u
Gm1 MIA (-105) 1u (Single Game no chase)
GM1 LAD (-145) .5u (single Game no Chase)

Will update props when released

calmeat · 05-24-12, 09:42 AM

MLB 5/24/12 +15.25u

ML Series Chase -8.54u
Gm1 NYM (-130) 1u

UnOfficial ML Series Chase +12.76u
Gm1 MIA (-160) .5u
Gm1 STL (-150) 1u
Gm1 SEA (-103) .5u

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) -17.99u
No Plays

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase 8.50u
Gm1 SF/MIA (+110) 1.10u
Gm1 PHL/STL (-110) .5u

Score First Chase +20.51u
No Plays

Will update props when released
*Score First correction post #129 should have units at +20.21 and not +19.71

Alki · 05-24-12, 06:32 PM

Thanks as always Cal.

calmeat · 05-25-12, 08:55 AM

MLB 5/25/12 +10.63u

ML Series Chase -9.84u
Gm2 NYM (-120) 2.30u
Gm1 BAL (-140) 1u
Gm1 CIN (-168) 1u

UnOfficial ML Series Chase +9.94u
Gm2 MIA (-145) 1.30u
Gm2 STL (-100) 2.50u
Gm2 SEA (-100) 1.02u

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) -17.99u
CHC/PIT (-) 0u (tracking)
WSH/ATL (-) 0u (tracking)

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase +8u
Gm2 SF/MIA (+120) 2.10u
Gm1 COL/CIN (-110) .5u

Score First Chase +20.51u
Gm1 LAD (-130) 1u

Will update props when released.

Last night I pressed it by playin the games. I really didnt like any of them but still played them. I like tonight a bit better. Looking to having only 3-5 plays tomorrow.

calmeat · 05-26-12, 01:05 PM

MLB 5/26/12 +6.44u

ML Series Chase -8.22u
Gm2 CIN (-145) 2.68u

UnOfficial ML Series Chase +7.73u
Gm3 STL (-165) 5u
Gm3 SEA (-160) 2.03u

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) -17.99u
LAA/SEA (-) 0u

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase +5.70u
Gm3 SF/MIA (+120) 3.75u
Gm2 COL/CIN (-130) 1.05u

Score First Chase +19.21u
Gm2 LAD (+110) 2.30u

calmeat · 05-27-12, 02:23 PM

Alright so after last night losses im gonna reboot this system. BR got down to the original starting point of 50$ so gonna start off again. My mistake was playing non system plays for more than i should have been. So i will remember that with this go around.

As for today as far as bets go im taking off and getting ready for the next series on Monday but tonight there is a system play of LAD score first to finish that chase off.

calmeat · 05-28-12, 10:04 AM

MLB 5/28/12 0u

ML Series Chase 0u
Gm1 TEX (-200) 1u
Gm1 LAD (-109) 1u

UnOfficial ML Series Chase 0u
No Plays

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) 0u
No Plays

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase 0u
Gm1 SEA/TEX (-145) .5u
Gm1 MIL/LAD (-100) .5u
Gm1 HOU/COL (-120) .5u

Score First Chase 0u
Gm1 HOU (-145) .5u

Will Update props when released.

VonnyB · 05-28-12, 10:42 AM

Hey, BC

I am still following you, I believe that you will turn it around Hun.

calmeat · 05-28-12, 10:50 AM

Originally posted by VonnyB

Hey, BC

I am still following you, I believe that you will turn it around Hun.

Thanks Vonny lets get em today

calmeat · 05-29-12, 10:25 AM

MLB 5/29/12 +1.91u

ML Series Chase -.09u
Gm2 LAD (-127) 2.09u

UnOfficial ML Series Chase 0u
No Plays

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) 0u
BAL/TOR (-) 0u (tracking)

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase +1.5u
No Plays

Score First Chase +.5u
No Plays

Will Update props when released.

Alki · 05-29-12, 03:47 PM

GL Cal.
Stay the course.
Thanks.

calmeat · 05-30-12, 11:43 AM

MLB 5/30/12 -.74u

ML Series Chase -.09u
Gm3 LAD (-160) 4.74u

UnOfficial ML Series Chase 0u
No Plays

No Score 1st Inning (No chase unless noted) 0u
SD/CHC (-) 0u (tracking)
CIN/PIT (-) 0u (tracking)

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase +1.5u
No Plays

Score First Chase +.5u
No Plays