3 chase systems

[Betting Guru]

Yes, I think so! I'm just glad that the cards are still at home!

[Stifler]

14.05.2012

S3

(D Bet) Stl: St.Louis 1,69 1,45u | St.Louis 1,84 2,92u | St.Louis 1,662 8,11u | St.Louis 1,599 22,50u
(A Bet) Tor: Toronto 1,769 1,30u
(A Bet) Cin fade: Atlanta 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) Pit fade: Miami 1,565 1,77u
(A Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,541 1,85u
(A Bet) Oak fade: LA Angels 1,541 1,85u
(A Bet) SF: San Francisco 1,735 1,36u

- potential plays: NYY, if line +100 or more

[flyboy]

Really all this proves is if you have enough money you will never lose. Like st. louis, if you just keep playing them with more and more units, sooner or later they are going to win. This isn't exactly rocket science.

[Taro Punk]

Really all this proves is if you have enough money you will never lose. Like st. louis, if you just keep playing them with more and more units, sooner or later they are going to win. This isn't exactly rocket science.

it ain't rocket science, it is just statistics.. plus it's only a 4 game chase so if stl loses, 30+ units will be lost and we will stop chasing.. it's really up to you if you wanna chase with such high units. For me, i will place 10 units today and if it loses, i will get over it.

[ghost212]

Yep, you can also stop chasing after 3 loses. Its not progresive playing, its system. Progresive is betting to win and you can lost much more...

[pint86]

St. Louis will win today, we all go home happy.

If something goes wrong, stifler still has whoever started with him up for the season, it just sucks for those of us that joined him at the half way point.

If you didnt want to chase you should have read the title. Or even the details.

[Gndias]

i still can't believe they lost 3 games at home incredible....

[married2themoney]

I can't figure out how you get 22.5 units on stl.

39.90 to win 30
78.40 to win 70
160 to win 110
310 to win 190

I must have screwed up something along the way? Should have added to win an extra 120ish?

[wolvereen]

It's what you lost plus a unit, no?

[married2themoney]

I think I forget to add in what I lost on the a bet on c bet ans the a and b on the d bet. Long week brain fried can anyone confirm?

[Stifler]

I think I forget to add in what I lost on the a bet on c bet ans the a and b on the d bet. Long week brain fried can anyone confirm?

hard to tell, as we dont know what lines u were getting. If u played the same lines i was playing and u obviously play to win 30 on a series, it should have been look like that:

A Bet: (odds 1,69) 43,48 to win 30
B Bet: (odds 1,84) 87,48 to win 73,48
C Bet: (odds 1,662) 243,14 to win 160,96
D Bet: (odds 1,599) 674,62 to win 404,10

674,62/30 = 22,50u

...but u probably get other lines than me, so that wont actually be the same.

[married2themoney]

Yea I can tell from that what I did wrong. Got the a bet at a little better line.
My d bet will be smaller then yours because I messed up c. Glad I caught that. As always thanks for posting stifler! And go cards!

[Stifler]

anyway something is still wrong on ur chase

39.90 to win 30
78.40 to win 70
160 to win 110 - it should be to win 148,30 (a+b bet amount +30)
310 to win 190

thats the thing im figuring out, rest depends on the lines u are getting.

A Bet: to win 30
B Bet: to win the lost amount on a bet +30
C Bet: to win the lost amount on a and b bet +30
D Bet: to win the lost amount on a and b and c bet +30

[vm.rs]

Stifler thanks for everything. We've been doing great so far.

Guys?? Please, let me know your thoughts. if I do not play d bet on St.Louis taking the loss(a+b+c bets = 12,48u) instead of risking to lose the d bet with total of 34,89u loss. Only, because we are up (+45 units on S3 already).

[pm9964]

Stifler thanks for everything. We've been doing great so far.

Guys?? Please, let me know your thoughts. if I do not play d bet on St.Louis taking the loss(a+b+c bets = 12,48u) instead of risking to lose the d bet with total of 34,89u loss. Only, because we are up (+45 units on S3 already).

drop a set of balls and nut up and play the chase the way it is intended to be played.

[Stifler]

Stifler thanks for everything. We've been doing great so far.

Guys?? Please, let me know your thoughts. if I do not play d bet on St.Louis taking the loss(a+b+c bets = 12,48u) instead of risking to lose the d bet with total of 34,89u loss. Only, because we are up (+45 units on S3 already).

dont expect this to be the last d bet for the season. But if ur willing to do u can make a 3 game chase instead, but u will lose more series overall. Anybody not willing to take the risk on a 4 game chase shouldnt play a 4 game chase, i know its hard to lay such an amount but thats the way the chasing works.

[married2themoney]

Westbrook is awful

[married2themoney]

Tied it up!!

[Lakey]

Terrible day today.

[airattackers]

st losers...major upsets..now watch those cocksuckers win the next game...but to late for us!!!

[airattackers]

thats ok...i still believe in this system!!

[flyboy]

thats ok...i still believe in this system!!

One more chase like this one with st. louis and youwill be in the hole. To much to risk. all your other hard work goes down the drain with 2 chase losses. Good luck though. You wil never totally beat the book.

[Lakey]

Not at all. If you followed the system from the start you'd still be in the positive.

[ghost212]

Stifler 2 quiestions:
You wrote up records for seasons 2006-2011. Did you played in that seasons with system or you only checked up statisticks and that is first season playing that system?
Have you got record on A bets, B bets, C bets.... for that season 2012 ?
One more: Have you got that files(System records) from post #13 in better resolution? I want to see them, but there's too small images....

P.S. Now we loose 35 units with St. Louis, but the bigger lose in 2011 was on tampa with 32 units, that's bad sign for us...?

[married2themoney]

With a day like today I think it shows you really need 100-200 units to combat variance. Was playing with 70 until these losses. Gonna drop my unit size and get back to it. Still up on the season I have faith!

[Stifler]

Stifler 2 quiestions:
You wrote up records for seasons 2006-2011. Did you played in that seasons with system or you only checked up statisticks and that is first season playing that system?

Its the first year im playing those systems, i backtested it for 2006-2011

Have you got record on A bets, B bets, C bets.... for that season 2012 ?

No, i will add this up @ the end of the season

One more: Have you got that files(System records) from post #13 in better resolution? I want to see them, but there's too small images....

Will try to put a bigger screen up later today when im back @ home

P.S. Now we loose 35 units with St. Louis, but the bigger lose in 2011 was on tampa with 32 units, that's bad sign for us...?

I have a lost series in mind from other years where u lost more than 40 units. I did not expect to win every series, that never happened the years before. Best year had only 2 losses.

[Stifler]

14.05.2012

S3

(D Bet) Stl: St.Louis 1,69 1,45u | St.Louis 1,84 2,92u | St.Louis 1,662 8,11u | St.Louis 1,599 22,50u
(A Bet) Tor: Toronto 1,769 1,30u
(A Bet) Cin fade: Atlanta 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) Pit fade: Miami 1,565 1,77u
(A Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,541 1,85u
(A Bet) Oak fade: LA Angels 1,541 1,85u
(A Bet) SF: San Francisco 1,735 1,36u

Stl series lost = -34,98 units

records:
S1: W 6 | L 0 (+6 unit)
S2: W 5 | L 0 (+5 unit)
S3: W 46 | L 1 (+11,02 units)

[Stifler]

15.05.2012

S1

(A Bet) SD fade: Washington 1,45 2,22u


S3

(B Bet) Tor: Toronto 1,769 1,30u |Toronto 2,02 2,255u
(B Bet) Cin fade: Atlanta 1,725 1,38u | Atlanta 1,862 2,76u
(B Bet) Pit fade: Miami 1,565 1,77u | Miami 1,532 5,207u
(B Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,541 1,85u | LA Angels 1,658 4,33u
(B Bet) Oak fade: LA Angels 1,541 1,85u | LA Angels 1,658 4,33u

[chound]

Keep up the good work stifler. We're still positive and nobody expects to go through the season without a few loses or there just fooling themselves.

[Gndias]

wtf is up with sl? 4 losses in a row...god damn

[ghost212]

Its the first year im playing those systems, i backtested it for 2006-2011

Can i ask from you get the lines in that years ?

One more.
You told us, which teams loses series in 2011 and how many units. Have you got dates when these series loses? I'm interesting on that, because want to know, is system has a minus units in one year and how many units was that?
For example, if we now lose other serie, we will be on minus. I'm interesting how many situations was like that in years, which you backtested?

[wolvereen]

Check the first page

[Stifler]

Can i ask from you get the lines in that years ?

One more.
You told us, which teams loses series in 2011 and how many units. Have you got dates when these series loses? I'm interesting on that, because want to know, is system has a minus units in one year and how many units was that?
For example, if we now lose other serie, we will be on minus. I'm interesting how many situations was like that in years, which you backtested?

all records for 2006-2011 in post #1

i used covers for backtesting.

for 2011 i dont have the dates when they lost, but if u know the teams u can easily look @ covers for urself (in case u understand the system)

[TidesRoln]

Sorry guys, I hopped on board starting with the St. Louis "A" play. Should have given advance warning.

Mush

[WINNERS ONLY]

How does SD fade fall into S1 today? I don't see it. Am i missing something? They didn't win or lose 3 in a row recently.