Originally posted by Stifler
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GJ
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records:Originally posted by Stifler
S1: W 1 | L 0 (+1 unit)
S2: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
S3: W 18 | L 0 (+18 units)Comment -
- games for tomorrow
16.04.2012
S3
(A Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,503 1,99u
...thats it for mondayComment -
I was hoping you could help clarify the streak systems. So, you said we divide by road and home games. Is that only the case during the end of the streak, during the streak + the break, or streak + break + skipped games (if S1)? For instance, we've had one play on S1 so far, which was the Padres starting on 4/12 and they cashed on the A play. At the time, they had lost 3 straight, had their streak broken, we skipped 2 games, then we started on the next game, all of which were home games. Had it not cashed, 4/13 had them going on the road to play the Dodgers. Would we have chased against them through those road games if it were necessary? If it would be easier than explaining it, perhaps you would be so kind as to supply a couple examples from past seasons that show it a little better.
It's off to a great start so far. Thanks!
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padres on that 4/13 would not have been a play, as they were moving to the road. If we had a B Bet here it would be the next game played @ home.
example S1: San Diego 2011
covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/teams/pastresults/2011/team2955.html
2011/04/6.-9. - 3 game losing streak
2011/04/10 - streak broken
2011/04/11+12 - both games skipped
2011/04/13 - A Bet lost
2011/04/21 - B Bet won
S2 is the same procedure, u just dont have to skip the 2 games and start right after the streak was broken.Comment -
records:Originally posted by Stifler;14459092[B
S1: W 1 | L 0 (+1 unit)
S2: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
S3: W 19 | L 0 (+19 units)Comment -
17.04.2012
nothing todayComment -
Excited for tomorrows plays. Hit big tonight!
Any plays for tomorrow?
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18.04.2012
S1
(A Bet) Pit fade: Arizona 1,592 1,69u
...thats it for todayComment -
ThanksComment -
Originally posted by Stifler
19.04.2012
so far nothing for today.
Only 2 games to watch out: Detroit and San Diego if the lines fall under +100Comment -
20.04.2012
S3
(A Bet) TB: Tampa Bay 1,562 1,78u
(A Bet) SF fade: NY Mets 1,763 1,31u
_________
and alot games to look @ line movement:
NYY fade, if +100
Cubs, if < +100
Stl fade, if +100
Pit, if < +100
Tor fade, if +100
Oak, if < +100
CHW fade, if +100Comment -
will the B Bets be tomorrow?
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21.04.2012Originally posted by Stifler
S3
(B Bet) TB: Tampa Bay 1,562 1,78u | Tampa Bay 1,526 5,29u
(B Bet) SF fade: NY Mets 1,763 1,31u | NY Mets 1,917 2,52uComment -
Got a question for you. Pitt, Cubs and Oak were <+100 and all loses on Friday but you don't have them listed as b bets ?Comment -
pit +133 @ gametime - so no play
cubs +120 @ gametime - so no play
oak +104 @ gametime - so no play
all lines from covers. dunno were u get < +100 lines for those games. Even if u were getting those lines, the lines on covers indicates if they are a system play or not.Comment -
I mis read it....I thought if the odds were greater than +100 where they would have been plays only if less than.
sorry.
thanks for postingComment -
records:Originally posted by Stifler
S1: W 1 | L 0 (+1 unit)
S2: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
S3: W 21 | L 0 (+21 units)
pending:
S1 Pit fade (B Bet) on 27.04.2012Comment -
22.04.2012
no gamesComment -
Stifler
I was thinking yesterday night, to maybe uprage that system, to add 1 unit to win on every next chase bet...
A bet - 1 unit to win
B bet - 2 units to win
B bet - 3 units to win...
I was looking on your 2011 stats and that would be a 577 units win minus your 6 chases loses. I don't know what stakes was on that 6 chesas so don't know what loose that would be, but i think overall win should be a 300-400 units on plus.
Can you check this out? And what you think about that?Comment -
whenever u have a winning system and add up the units u will win more. Ofc u can up it to 5units on b bet, 10 units on c bet and the outcome will be much higher. Its pretty much the same thing as u will play every series to win 2units or even more, but that will just distort ur statistics, as many touts do. They claim to have monster winnings years with 200 units or something like that, but in case the smallest unit they are going to play is 10u, so the fact is technical they just won 20u and claim to be the heroes on earth.
Your upgrade is pretty much the same thing as adding 1 extra unit to win a series (not exactly, but its not far away). So lets say u play to win 2u=200$, why not make that 200$ to 1u? You pretty much betray urself with claiming more units on such a system, just because u didnt adjust ur unit size.
example for 2011
2011: 334-6 (+ 222,65 units)
if i would have played 2units on every series, ofc i would have won 445,30 units. And what if i would have put 10u on every series - i would have won 2226,50 units. Am i the king of sports betting now just because no one ever put up such a winning unit amount on a season? No i only betray myself, cause those 10units are technical 1u.
hope i could help u finding the point. I will keep it to 1unit, as im not the type of air better as many are.Comment -
23.04.2012
S2
(A Bet) Ari fade: Phillies 2,09 0,92u
S3
(A Bet) Tex: Texas 1,926 1,08u
- texas line can move in a no play direction, but i already booked them.Comment -
strike gold!!!
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24.04.2012Originally posted by Stifler
S2
(B Bet) Ari fade: Phillies 2,09 0,92u | Phillies 1,877 2,19u
S3
(B Bet) Tex: Texas 1,926 1,08u | Texas 1,741 2,81u
(A Bet) LAA fade: Tampa Bay 1,671 1,49u
- Cincinnati will also be a S3 play if the line stays < +100Comment -
so will cinci be an official play.. or you haven't decided yet?
thanksComment -
probably a gametime decision, as the closing line indicates if its a system play or not.Comment -
will make a decision in 10min, atm cin is a play.Comment -
ok, adding cincinnati...
24.04.2012
S2
(B Bet) Ari fade: Phillies 2,09 0,92u | Phillies 1,877 2,19u
S3
(B Bet) Tex: Texas 1,926 1,08u | Texas 1,741 2,81u
(A Bet) LAA fade: Tampa Bay 1,671 1,49u
(A Bet) Cin: Cincinnati 1,962 1,04uComment -
Nice Sweep!!!
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Yes it was
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records:Originally posted by Stifler
S1: W 1 | L 0 (+1 unit)
S2: W 1 | L 0 (+1 unit)
S3: W 24 | L 0 (+24 units)
pending:
S1 Pit fade (B Bet) on 27.04.2012Comment -
25.04.2012
S1
(A Bet) SD fade: Washington 1,763 1,31u
S2
(A Bet) Phil fade: Arizona 2,00 1uComment -
good luck!!
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ThanksComment -
records:Originally posted by Stifler
S1: W 2 | L 0 (+2 unit)
S2: W 1 | L 0 (+1 unit)
S3: W 24 | L 0 (+24 units)
pending:
S1 Pit fade (B Bet) on 27.04.2012
S2 Phil fade (B Bet) on 01.05.2012Comment
