Reverend's 2010 MLB

[No coincidences]

a random thought:

The Dodger line is around -300 now. It appears that everyone and their mother is on this game. You can look at it 2 ways, some may say it is a public pick and you should go the other way for value, but I just dont believe that is the case. This is a huge mismatch in many different areas, mainly travel, pitching and hitting. It reminds me of a game last summer when a team was visiting the Giants and Lincecum was pitching and the team had to call up a triple-a pitcher for a spot start. The line was crazy high, but you have to take advantage of these rare situations as a sports bettor. Please dont hear me say this game is a lock, we all know that no game is guaranteed and know that both teams will have 9 professional baseball players on the field, so anything can happen...BUT, I do feel like you have to take these type of situations and benefit from them when they come up, which is rare.

You never know with Kershaw on the bump -- he could come out and walk six in the first three innings -- but on paper, this should be a huge play for sharps and squares alike. Dodgers desperately need a win here.

[jbizzle]

Rev, Your thread is an enjoyment to read and follow! With you all the way, BOL Today!

[docvinny]

gl today everyone

[hollywoodmanny]

dodgers

With the dodgers coming home after a terrible road trip, im on the dodgers RL play, Hopefully the dodgers blow out the pirates! bol everyone

[MrMichael826]

these may be dumb questions but where do i get -1 on the RL i always see -1.5 and also what exactly are the A, B, C bets?

[robert_wrath]

Just for Giggles, read on how many got burned on this game much like last nights San Fran game: http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/458115-twins-tigers.html
.....................Then count how many were opposed.

[reverend]

lets get it done today fellas

[kelvinlym]

these may be dumb questions but where do i get -1 on the RL i always see -1.5 and also what exactly are the A, B, C bets?

Some books actually have -1RL (I just noticed myself on Pinnacle).

Otherwise, find the link to the -1RL calculator in this thread.

[balls2wall]

these may be dumb questions but where do i get -1 on the RL i always see -1.5 and also what exactly are the A, B, C bets?

Dude, you need to go back and read the first post of the thread. REV explains what is going on there.


You really need to read much more than that, but at least do your part and read the first page before jumping in on the last page and wanting someone to explain to you what is going on.


It is much more difficult for someone to type what this is all about over you actually having to make a slight effort and take 2 minutes to at least read the first post of the thread.


I hope you get it figured out.


good luck

[venture]

I have an idea for getting back some of your losses if we do loss a c bet. I'm sure you know of the Morrison system, it basically says that if a team gets swept they will not get swept the next series by that same team as long as they are within .01 of rpi of each other. (I think Morrison might have refined it to .025) So if we do loss a rev system, then that will set up a Morrison system play the next time the teams play. So I was thinking if this does happen to risk 2 or 3 times your normal unit on that series chase. This won't get back all of your losses but it will get back some. The good part is that it is very unlikely a good team (Rev Pick) will not get swept 2 times in a row by same team, the bad part if you double or triple up on that series and it does loss, your bankroll is hit big time. Any thoughts

[khaden]

A lot of money on the line today---lets cash these early!!!!!!

[daneault23]

lets get it done today fellas

It will be interesting to see how Oswalt does today, especially since the house he grew up in in Mississippi was totally demolished by a tornado a couple days ago. No one in his family was injured, but it's going to be interesting to see how he gets back to baseball and not think about his off the field issues. I think he'll be fine, but I just thought I would share that. If that happened to me, it would be hard to focus on something other than my family.

[balls2wall]

I have an idea for getting back some of your losses if we do loss a c bet. I'm sure you know of the Morrison system, it basically says that if a team gets swept they will not get swept the next series by that same team as long as they are within .01 of rpi of each other. (I think Morrison might have refined it to .025) So if we do loss a rev system, then that will set up a Morrison system play the next time the teams play. So I was thinking if this does happen to risk 2 or 3 times your normal unit on that series chase. This won't get back all of your losses but it will get back some. The good part is that it is very unlikely a good team (Rev Pick) will not get swept 2 times in a row by same team, the bad part if you double or triple up on that series and it does loss, your bankroll is hit big time. Any thoughts

I tend to agree that the probability of one of these teams getting swept twice would be pretty low. That is definitely something to consider.

I would think HOU would be one of the worst teams that is in play to use this on though. Most of the other teams TB, NYY etc... should be the types of teams where this would be really strong.


hopefully y'all will not have to worry about it after tonight


I took STL earlier today in another one and thinking of starting another one with them against CIN tomorrow.


starting new ones with TB and NYY tonight


staying away from LAD


good luck all

[dlunc3]

hey guys.. I have spent about the last hour and a half reading through your posts and trying to research the system before I made any posts. After reading through, I am very interested in joining the thread and helping in any way possible. I am always looking out for new profitable systems, and this one as caught my eye.. A few questions I have..
I understand most of the FAV system system i think--that you bet the #1 favorite on the 1rl every day for 4 days.. question I have: if a team wins by 1 and pushes, do you continue onto the next bet? Or does the series stop here?
My main questions are on the series and situational systems: how does rev determine which series qualify for bets? I see the record so far already this early in the season is amazing (55-0). That seems amazing to me betting on 45 series already in only a few weeks into the season... to have this kind of success. If anyone could help clarify things to me I would greatly appreciate it. I look forward to becoming a regular poster in the thread with the rest of you..

[venture]

I tend to agree that the probability of one of these teams getting swept twice would be pretty low. That is definitely something to consider.

I would think HOU would be one of the worst teams that is in play to use this on though. Most of the other teams TB, NYY etc... should be the types of teams where this would be really strong.


hopefully y'all will not have to worry about it after tonight


I took STL earlier today in another one and thinking of starting another one with them against CIN tomorrow.


starting new ones with TB and NYY tonight


staying away from LAD


good luck all

Right now Houston is .006 rpi behind Cin, so it would fit the filter. But by the time they play agien it could be more and thus a no play.

[chase1]

A lot of chalk being layed today... Good luck lets bring it home!

[balls2wall]

hey guys.. I understand most of the FAV system system i think--that you bet the #1 favorite on the 1rl every day for 4 days.. question I have: if a team wins by 1 and pushes, do you continue onto the next bet? Or does the series stop here?

thanks for researching

that is very much appreciated, at least by REV and myself


Since the nature of the FAV system is to play the highest favorite (or one of them) every single day I am pretty sure it would continue.

In the other systems it would be evaluated to see if you wanted to continue since the -1rl plays are on the A bets in them.

On the FAV it could be the A, B, C or D bet so I think it continues. Your next bet would be the same letter as the one that pushed (pushed C bet would be bet as a C bet next game).

I could be wrong on that, but I think that is the way he is playing it.

I think that was answered before in here so if anyone knows for sure please chime in.

[TNT28]

GL to us all tonight I got on the Astros last night but haven't put in for the Rays or Dodgers yet. Did decide to risk $437 on a 6 team parlay to win $8,601.06. Hou, Tampa, NYY, Oakland, Padres and Dodgers. Anyone like my chances?

[mizzoujohn]

I'm passing on LAD... A bunch of series starting tomorrow, I decided not to push my luck on one I don't love. Gosh really need HOU to come through tonight!!! Get em Oswalt!!
John

[dyeguy]

I'm passing on LAD... A bunch of series starting tomorrow, I decided not to push my luck on one I don't love. Gosh really need HOU to come through tonight!!! Get em Oswalt!!
John

You love Houston more than the Dodgers though? We are not really betting on the Dodgers as much as fading the Pirates. That is definitely part of the original home series sweep for fading the bottom 5 teams on the road.

[dlunc3]

thanks for researching

that is very much appreciated, at least by REV and myself


Since the nature of the FAV system is to play the highest favorite (or one of them) every single day I am pretty sure it would continue.

In the other systems it would be evaluated to see if you wanted to continue since the -1rl plays are on the A bets in them.

On the FAV it could be the A, B, C or D bet so I think it continues. Your next bet would be the same letter as the one that pushed (pushed C bet would be bet as a C bet next game).

I could be wrong on that, but I think that is the way he is playing it.

I think that was answered before in here so if anyone knows for sure please chime in.

Thanks so much for the help! Is there any insight you can give me as to what stipulations make the series system plays and the situational system plays? Also, is there any records from past years for these systems? thanks for the help and great calls on tampa so far tonight!

[mizzoujohn]

You love Houston more than the Dodgers though? We are not really betting on the Dodgers as much as fading the Pirates. That is definitely part of the original home series sweep for fading the bottom 5 teams on the road.

In tonight's game? No. But I liked the HOU series more than this LAD series in terms of the risk/reward when taking the juice into account. Now I'm committed to HOU. I started looking over each series in it's entirety and if I wasn't comfortable with the game 3 pitching matchup, I dont even consider playing it. I like Oswalt vs. Cinn. Lets get em!
John

[b3diddy]

could someone please remind Houston they need to score to win...

[Jordan23]

I really hope Houston pulls it out! It is kind of funny that the system goes 50-0 and the one day that I start using the system it picks up a loss! Well I hope that is not the case. Either way this is still a wonderful system.. I just hate C bets.. because a system can be 800-0 but when a C bet comes it is almost like anything can happen.. because it is just 1 game.

[timmyboy34243]

fukkin' astros sux

[Echofox]

could someone please remind Houston they need to score to win...

I'll let em know over the stretch. Hopefully those bums listen.

[khaden]

Even if this wins I wish I wouldn't played this. Astros are terrible. There are better teams/series to play.

[JW Cash]

fukkin' astros sux

c'mon....Is that anyway for a pro to react....

this is a very positive thread......


we dont need your type of reaction in this thread...

[chase1]

Hopefully Houston can put together a rally here and pull this one out. It looked very unlikely that Cinci would sweep them on the road at the start of this series...let's keep the faith.

[dlunc3]

I really hope Houston pulls it out! It is kind of funny that the system goes 50-0 and the one day that I start using the system it picks up a loss! Well I hope that is not the case. Either way this is still a wonderful system.. I just hate C bets.. because a system can be 800-0 but when a C bet comes it is almost like anything can happen.. because it is just 1 game.

haha same here, my first day... im still tryin to learn the systems.. looks like a tough night for every one.. hopefully most of you have enough profited so far this season going 50-0 to easily make up for this loss.. good luck the rest of the night!

[SkivChef]

false hope!

[SkivChef]

c'mon rev do your magic!

[dogs1972]

c'mon....Is that anyway for a pro to react....

this is a very positive thread......


we dont need your type of reaction in this thread...

Astros suck, suck fukin suck.

[khaden]

Flush!

[SkivChef]