Reverend's 2010 MLB

**seanzway** · 04-28-10, 09:32 PM

that was a horrible game. SF had it won.

**theincredibl** · 04-28-10, 09:49 PM

this is simply amazing!! love it!!

**reverend** · 04-28-10, 10:18 PM

Originally posted by reverend

Wednesday April 28:

Series System:

B Bet: Houston (ML) 2.73 Units to Win 2.3 Units (1 Unit Profit)

Situational System:

B Bet: Yankees (ML) 10.9 Units to Win 5.2 Units (2 Units Profit)

FAV System:

B Bet: Yankees (-1 RL) 9.2 Units to Win 5.3 Units (2 Units Profit)

Individual Bet:

Cubs (ML) 3.8 Units to Win 2 Units

Giants (ML) 1.6 Units to Win 1 Unit

*Yankees are a big game tomorrow!

Wednesday April 28:

Chase Systems: 2-0 (+4 Units)

Pending Chases: 1

Individual Bets: 0-2 (-5.4 Units)

*We have a C bet tomorrow on the Astros

*I am going to go back to the reason this thread was started, and discontinue the "Individual Bets" and only post the 3 Systems plays

**reverend** · 04-28-10, 10:21 PM

I want it to be known that I am very confident in the Astros tomorrow with Oswalt on the mound. The Astros had won 8 of 9 coming into this series.

Oswalt is 23-1 with a 2.58 ERA in his career against the Reds.

He will be going up against Arroyo who has struggled mightily this season with a 7.43 ERA on the season. In his last 3 outings (15 innings) he has given up 18 earned runs.

**jolmscheid** · 04-28-10, 10:21 PM

Thanks for what you do rev!

**SkivChef** · 04-28-10, 10:23 PM

any new start tomorrow rev?

**reverend** · 04-28-10, 10:36 PM

Originally posted by SkivChef

any new start tomorrow rev?

We will have a few new series starting tomorrow.

I will get them posted shortly.

**SkivChef** · 04-28-10, 10:39 PM

thanks rev, ur the best!

**reverend** · 04-28-10, 10:50 PM

Thursday April 29:

Series System:

C Bet: Houston (ML) 8.35 Units to Win 5.03 Units (2 Units Profit)

A Bet: Dodgers (ML) 4.8 Units to Win 2 Units

A Bet: Tampa Bay (ML) 4.8 Units to Win 2 Units

FAV System:

A Bet: Dodgers (-1 RL) 3.57 Units to Win 2 Units

*I have increased the Houston Series Bet to now win 2 Units for the Series

*Due to the heavy juice in the 2 Series System A Bets, possibly consider playing them on the -1 RL if you want to keep the juice down

**reverend** · 04-28-10, 10:52 PM

If possible, I would consider getting in the Houston bet tonight, as I see this line rising tomorrow. You may be able to wait out the Dodgers and Rays to see if the line drops a bit.

Lets clean up these 3 series tomorrow.

**investor** · 04-28-10, 10:53 PM

thanks rev!

**dume walker** · 04-28-10, 10:57 PM

*I am going to go back to the reason this thread was started, and discontinue the "Individual Bets" and only post the 3 Systems plays[/quote]

Don't be so quick to give up on posting individual bets, Rev. The Cubs had men on 2nd and 3rd and bases loaded with just one out and couldn't push thsoe tying/winning runs across. Pimike was big on the Cubs today as well. Giants were one strike away from a win in the 9th when it all fell apart. Unless it's too much extra work for you, some of us would still like the benefit of your thinking on individual games. If you don't want it to be factored into this chase system, perhaps you could post it on a separate thread. And thanks again for all you're doing.

**Lion4Life** · 04-28-10, 11:06 PM

Thanks Rev!

**mister bee** · 04-28-10, 11:10 PM

Originally posted by dume walker

*I am going to go back to the reason this thread was started, and discontinue the "Individual Bets" and only post the 3 Systems plays

Don't be so quick to give up on posting individual bets, Rev. The Cubs had men on 2nd and 3rd and bases loaded with just one out and couldn't push thsoe tying/winning runs across. Pimike was big on the Cubs today as well. Giants were one strike away from a win in the 9th when it all fell apart. Unless it's too much extra work for you, some of us would still like the benefit of your thinking on individual games. If you don't want it to be factored into this chase system, perhaps you could post it on a separate thread. And thanks again for all you're doing.[/QUOTE]

man, the cubbies left soooo many guys on base. let's get 'em tomorrow fellas.

**reverend** · 04-28-10, 11:20 PM

Originally posted by dume walker

*I am going to go back to the reason this thread was started, and discontinue the "Individual Bets" and only post the 3 Systems plays

Don't be so quick to give up on posting individual bets, Rev. The Cubs had men on 2nd and 3rd and bases loaded with just one out and couldn't push thsoe tying/winning runs across. Pimike was big on the Cubs today as well. Giants were one strike away from a win in the 9th when it all fell apart. Unless it's too much extra work for you, some of us would still like the benefit of your thinking on individual games. If you don't want it to be factored into this chase system, perhaps you could post it on a separate thread. And thanks again for all you're doing.[/QUOTE]

dume...

thanks for the encouragement. it has felt like the past 2 days have been almost laughable with the ways i have lost games. i will consider it. at minimum, i may post the games i like, but not really keep up with them. it is not completely because of the tough losses the last 2 days. i have felt like i have had too many plays posted, and i dont want to take emphasis away from the 3 systems that we have going in this thread. i really believe that if we stick with the plan, we will be up HUGE at the end of august. i dont want guys getting too focused on playing side games, when our bread and butter are going to be the 3 systems i got going in here. thoughts?

**SkivChef** · 04-28-10, 11:28 PM

rev, i have a buddy gettin started with a 2k roll, what amt do u think he should use for a unit? he doesnt want to take the chance of havin to reload.

**reverend** · 04-28-10, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by SkivChef

rev, i have a buddy gettin started with a 2k roll, what amt do u think he should use for a unit? he doesnt want to take the chance of havin to reload.

i would say to start trying to win 100 per series, but that may be a little aggressive. so maybe start around 75 a series. also, if he want to keep down the juice, tell him to play the "A Bets" on the -1 RL. He may push a few and miss a series win, but it will keep the juice down when we have B and C bets.

i am going to be adjusting a few things in my filters and try to screen out a few more series. I feel like I have been too exposed in these first 3 weeks. so that should keep the posted plays even stronger

**SkivChef** · 04-28-10, 11:36 PM

thanks rev

**BillAccpetor** · 04-28-10, 11:40 PM

Go astros!

**Echofox** · 04-28-10, 11:49 PM

thanks for the encouragement. it has felt like the past 2 days have been almost laughable with the ways i have lost games. i will consider it. at minimum, i may post the games i like, but not really keep up with them. it is not completely because of the tough losses the last 2 days. i have felt like i have had too many plays posted, and i dont want to take emphasis away from the 3 systems that we have going in this thread. i really believe that if we stick with the plan, we will be up HUGE at the end of august. i dont want guys getting too focused on playing side games, when our bread and butter are going to be the 3 systems i got going in here. thoughts?

I'd be interested in still seeing your individual plays. I have used them for reference when I've been on the fence about making a bet or not. Nice win on the Yanks today, and hopefully we'll close up on the Astro's series tomorrow.

.

I've taken a couple more chases for tomorrow as well. A 3 game situational on the Cardinals, 4 game situational on the Yanks, and a series play on the cubs.

**dume walker** · 04-28-10, 11:52 PM

Originally posted by reverend

Don't be so quick to give up on posting individual bets, Rev. The Cubs had men on 2nd and 3rd and bases loaded with just one out and couldn't push thsoe tying/winning runs across. Pimike was big on the Cubs today as well. Giants were one strike away from a win in the 9th when it all fell apart. Unless it's too much extra work for you, some of us would still like the benefit of your thinking on individual games. If you don't want it to be factored into this chase system, perhaps you could post it on a separate thread. And thanks again for all you're doing.

dume...

thanks for the encouragement. it has felt like the past 2 days have been almost laughable with the ways i have lost games. i will consider it. at minimum, i may post the games i like, but not really keep up with them. it is not completely because of the tough losses the last 2 days. i have felt like i have had too many plays posted, and i dont want to take emphasis away from the 3 systems that we have going in this thread. i really believe that if we stick with the plan, we will be up HUGE at the end of august. i dont want guys getting too focused on playing side games, when our bread and butter are going to be the 3 systems i got going in here. thoughts?[/quote]

The only focus that concerns me is yours. And I say that in a sincerely positive and supportive way. You are truly "the man with the plan". And if concentrating just on the series plays, making sure that game C is just as strong as games A and B should we need to go that far, helps you make better decisions in that regard, then I say stick with just the 3 chase series and focus on those.

If, however, in the course of researching 3 and 4 game series you find one game match-ups you really love then I for one would love to have access to those as well. Again, my suggestion would be a separate thread "Rev's One Game Plays" or something along those lines. I believe people would access each thread with the mindset necessary for those types of games. If you're thinking it would steer the more fearful people away from the chase games and to the individual games, then so be it. Less stress on you for having to allay people's fears every time a C bet comes up. IMO, the chase system should be for those people who understand the kind of commitment it requires and are willing to make that commitment with you. So, yes, keep this thread "chase only". But again, maybe make your individual picks available on a separate thread.

**reverend** · 04-29-10, 12:00 AM

fellas...

the more i look at the dodger/pit game tomorrow, the more i feel like there is no way pit can win this game. their bullpen is completely depleted, they played extra innings today and have to fly to the west coast, and they have a spot starter pitching who has brutal numbers. the dodgers are in a rough patch, but they still have one of the best team averages in the mlb, and i really think they step it up at home. kershaw has been a bit erratic, but he has "ace stuff".

anyway, im just rambling...

i really like the dodgers tomorrow!

**Manaconda** · 04-29-10, 12:07 AM

good stuff thanks rev!

**MathewXB** · 04-29-10, 12:17 AM

Thank you for all your hard work I like your system plays for tomorrow.

XB

**No coincidences** · 04-29-10, 12:41 AM

Originally posted by reverend

fellas...

the more i look at the dodger/pit game tomorrow, the more i feel like there is no way pit can win this game. their bullpen is completely depleted, they played extra innings today and have to fly to the west coast, and they have a spot starter pitching who has brutal numbers. the dodgers are in a rough patch, but they still have one of the best team averages in the mlb, and i really think they step it up at home. kershaw has been a bit erratic, but he has "ace stuff".

anyway, im just rambling...

i really like the dodgers tomorrow!

FWIW, rev, the Astros and Dodgers -- both RL and ML -- are my 2nd and 4th biggest bets of the year, respectively. IMHO, these are the games you have to take advantage of as a gambler.

**daneault23** · 04-29-10, 12:55 AM

Originally posted by reverend

fellas...

the more i look at the dodger/pit game tomorrow, the more i feel like there is no way pit can win this game. their bullpen is completely depleted, they played extra innings today and have to fly to the west coast, and they have a spot starter pitching who has brutal numbers. the dodgers are in a rough patch, but they still have one of the best team averages in the mlb, and i really think they step it up at home. kershaw has been a bit erratic, but he has "ace stuff".

anyway, im just rambling...

i really like the dodgers tomorrow!

I completely agree with you about the Pirates. Also, the Dodgers have one of the highest team batting averages in MLB, if not the highest. You would have to think with all that hitting, some runs should be scored, especially against Pitt. Even though the ppl in Tinseltown have struggled lately, I think they get on track starting in this series. We will see how things go. I can't believe I'm saying this, by being a Giants fan, but GO DODGERS!

**fatty mcgoo** · 04-29-10, 01:05 AM

Being a Dodger fan I am tempted to take it, but the fact is the Dodger pitching is terrible this year and the bats are not as good when Manny is not in the lineup. But I think tomorrow becomes a who ever scores last will win...

**PacmanJr_00** · 04-29-10, 01:28 AM

Isn't Tampa Bay the highest favorite for Thursday?

**robert_wrath** · 04-29-10, 01:31 AM

Originally posted by docvinny

SF got me today, damn relievers cant close a game

San Fran got EVERYONE!

**BillAccpetor** · 04-29-10, 01:31 AM

Dodgers @ home = good stuff...

On my card:

Astros = Big Game 2Dimes
Dodgers
Rays
Yankees
~~Cubs~~...->TWINS!

And may be Padres...

**ahhlenn** · 04-29-10, 01:38 AM

keep it up rev!

**mizzoujohn** · 04-29-10, 01:50 AM

Originally posted by JVP3122

I'd play Rev in that situation because even if his pick loses, you're still chasing it and you could win back what you lost in game 1. You could also play both. Then if PiMike get's it right and Rev loses, you win the first bet and then you chase the loss on Rev's system.

dont play both, your just giving away the juice if you do that... play neither or pick one.
John

**mizzoujohn** · 04-29-10, 02:04 AM

Originally posted by reverend

Don't be so quick to give up on posting individual bets, Rev. The Cubs had men on 2nd and 3rd and bases loaded with just one out and couldn't push thsoe tying/winning runs across. Pimike was big on the Cubs today as well. Giants were one strike away from a win in the 9th when it all fell apart. Unless it's too much extra work for you, some of us would still like the benefit of your thinking on individual games. If you don't want it to be factored into this chase system, perhaps you could post it on a separate thread. And thanks again for all you're doing.

dume...

thanks for the encouragement. it has felt like the past 2 days have been almost laughable with the ways i have lost games. i will consider it. at minimum, i may post the games i like, but not really keep up with them. it is not completely because of the tough losses the last 2 days. i have felt like i have had too many plays posted, and i dont want to take emphasis away from the 3 systems that we have going in this thread. i really believe that if we stick with the plan, we will be up HUGE at the end of august. i dont want guys getting too focused on playing side games, when our bread and butter are going to be the 3 systems i got going in here. thoughts?[/quote]

I think the individual plays kind of take away from the point of the thread... If you're doing that, it's just another guy posting individual plays and breaking even hitting 55% (not that you necessarily wouldn't hit higher than that, but you get my point).

**dolphan34** · 04-29-10, 02:12 AM

Hope Dodgers and Rays can pull it out. That is a lot of chalk to be chasing.

**robert_wrath** · 04-29-10, 02:16 AM

Originally posted by PacmanJr_00

Isn't Tampa Bay the highest favorite for Thursday?

Indeed Tampa Bay is. Have a look/see at the RunLine Payout. I'm seriously considering bumping up the OVER to 9 1/2.

KC's Hochevar gives up way too many runs against Tier 1 Teams: http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/players...;pageContainer . Tampa Bay score averages 6+ runs in the last 11 games against Tier 1 & 2 opponents. Adding fuel to this fire, the Royals HAVE NOT BEEN SHUTOUT this season avg loss scoring 3 runs.