I also saw Hoye listed for STL
Under umpire streakers
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DirkDigglerSBR High Roller
- 08-21-14
- 104
#491Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#492Stat had Eddings and Covers none listed until recently. Other sources say another umpire is on the AZ/SD game. We will stay away from that game.
Also, Hoye is listed for STL but the factors are not lining up right for us to take.
Hope this helps.
AliComment -
EbumdudeSBR MVP
- 11-15-12
- 2189
#493
Last night the Phillies shut down the braves.
Tonight I placed a wager on the braves to go under.
Look what's about to cash.....
i think you MAY be on to something as well.Comment -
IrishLuck777SBR Sharp
- 01-25-14
- 332
#494this looks pretty interesting... how far has it been back tested if at all?Comment -
EbumdudeSBR MVP
- 11-15-12
- 2189
#495This is only the first time I have done it. Only game to see a shut out since JM's post, I believe was last night.Last edited by Ebumdude; 09-02-14, 09:38 PM.Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#496Late evening update:
Tues, 9/02/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers
#955 UN 7.5 -125 MIL/CUBS 1.25u/1.00u
Barry 8ov/16un L24gms 66.7%
0-1 -1.25u
87-56-7 +19.43u 61.0%
Tues, 9/02/14 DOGS
#979 CIN +130 1.00u/1.30u
#973 CWS +120 1.00u/1.20u
1-1 +.20u
142-146 +11.20u 49.3%
Tues, 9/02/14 FUN
#970 TB -110 1.00u/.91u
#962 SD -115 1.00u/.87u
1-1 -.13u
28-17 +7.25u 62.2%
Goodnight all
Ali & MitchComment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#497Good morning all (did my homework last night with the early game)
Wed, 9/03/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers
#901 UN 7.5 -125 PHI/ATL 1.25u/1.00u
Davidson 9ov/16un L25gm 64.0%
#909 UN 7 -105 NYM/MIA 1.05u/1.00u
Muchlinski 9ov/16un/L25gms 64.0%
#913 UN 6.5 -125 AZ/SD 1.25u/1.00u
Blaser 7ov/14un L21gms 66.7%
Wed, 9/03/14 DOGS
#915 SEA +110 1.00u/1.10u
#917 DET +115 1.00u/1.15u
#925 CWS +115 1.00u/1.15u
#913 AZ +120 1.00u/1.20u
Wed, 9/03/14 FUN
#922 TB -124 1.00u/.81u
GLTA
Ali & MitchComment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#498Last three days been following the juice for the o/u on my book meaning if it was o-115 i played over or vice versa if both were the same i stayed away. Been trying to follow that because over a short sample it showed winning record most days so figured it was just about how i bet all the games. Down 6u with sd u6.5 pending not looking good. Using a half unit increment system, Going to try and ride it out up to 50u loss. Tomorrow will have 3u bets each game to cover what is likely down 8.5u. Make sense? Guess i need to do some more research on this. I was testing the odds using sbr score and odds.
Think I am 12-12 this week for the o/u which is ok just meaning the this system and on3 system has not done well for the selective games I have bet with them. Probably be up if I did bet every game.Last edited by J.M. Disciple; 09-03-14, 11:47 PM.Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#499Late evening update
Wed, 9/03/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers
#901 UN 7.5 -125 PHI/ATL 1.25u/1.00u
Davidson 9ov/16un L25gm 64.0%
#909 UN 7 -105 NYM/MIA 1.05u/1.00u PUSH (wrong umpire-already bet)
Muchlinski 9ov/16un/L25gms 64.0%
#913 UN 6.5 -125 AZ/SD 1.25u/1.00u
Blaser 7ov/14un L21gms 66.7%
0-2-1 -2.50u
87-58-8 +16.93u 60.0%
Wed, 9/03/14 DOGS
#915 SEA +110 1.00u/1.10u
#917 DET +115 1.00u/1.15u
#925 CWS +115 1.00u/1.15u
#913 AZ +120 1.00u/1.20u
2-2 +.16u
144-148 +11.36u 49.3%
Wed, 9/03/14 FUN
#922 TB -124 1.00u/.81u
0-1 -1.00u
28-18 +6.25u 61.0%
Goodnight all
Ali & MitchComment -
RollinDoSBR Posting Legend
- 09-04-13
- 13322
#500Been a rough last few days for Unders.
Really thought SD pitching would do its part on Wed. To snag that Under.Comment -
SBRMAN23SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-07-11
- 6905
#501Should of had a terrible safe call at home by Mlb then 9th inning they want to put in mlb debut pitchers to walk bases loaded and give up the one run that put it over. Now you have to cap that bs also into games unbelievable baseballComment -
alamoSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-09
- 7131
#502
Pirates
Reds
Cards
Based on the fact that these teams got shut out last night (Wednesday)Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#503Getting kind of hard to cap for this. It's getting to be like the Twilight Zone. And a lot of pitching goes into capping both unders and dogs. Recreational drugs might help things, I guess.Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#504Good morning
Thurs, 9/4/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers
NONE
Thurs, 9/04/14 DOGS
#964 MIN +115 1.00u/1.15u
Thurs, 9/04/14 FUN
#961 SEA -125 1.00u/.80u
GLTA
Ali & MitchComment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#505
Good Luck if you take them today. I see my book has most games at over (-115) for almost every game except Tb which is under at -120.Comment -
alamoSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-09
- 7131
#506Thx JM for the reply. Sorry, to ask again but is the way you pick the under based on the team who is shut out the night before. In last nights case three teams were shut out so do we go under on their games.
Apologies to Mitch and Ali for temporarily hi jacking their thread.Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#507Thx JM for the reply. Sorry, to ask again but is the way you pick the under based on the team who is shut out the night before. In last nights case three teams were shut out so do we go under on their games.
Apologies to Mitch and Ali for temporarily hi jacking their thread.Comment -
EbumdudeSBR MVP
- 11-15-12
- 2189
#508Thx JM for the reply. Sorry, to ask again but is the way you pick the under based on the team who is shut out the night before. In last nights case three teams were shut out so do we go under on their games.
Apologies to Mitch and Ali for temporarily hi jacking their thread.
This has been a crazy week for me. Once the smoke settles, I'll try to research or even throw a few units to test it.Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#509Big day following the total juice for the o/u's whatever is -115 or more for whatever side. Looking like a 7-1 day to turn a -8.4u week into what is looking like +6u week now pending SD and stl on the overs. Maybe I am onto something over a short live sample. Back to small bets with my .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3.0 system. So simple its genius....
Anyways I have a question about this thread. Why is it you play Favorites risking 1u and dogs risking 1u to win more then 1u. Shouldn't you just risk 1u on favorites and bet to win 1u on dogs. Today for example you are down .2u but if you bet dogs .87 to win 1 and favorite 1 to win .8 it would show a smaller loss right?Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#510
Anyways I have a question about this thread. Why is it you play Favorites risking 1u and dogs risking 1u to win more then 1u. Shouldn't you just risk 1u on favorites and bet to win 1u on dogs. Today for example you are down .2u but if you bet dogs .87 to win 1 and favorite 1 to win .8 it would show a smaller loss right?
AliComment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#511Evening update
Thurs, 9/4/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers
NONE
87-58-8 +16.93u 60.0%
Thurs, 9/04/14 DOGS
#964 MIN +115 1.00u/1.15u
0-1 -1.00u
144-149 +10.36u 49.1%
Thurs, 9/04/14 FUN
#961 SEA -125 1.00u/.80u
1-0 +.80u
29-18 +7.05u 61.7%
Goodnight all
Ali & MitchComment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#512turned a .9u profit on the week. I thought SD was going over in the 8th with bases loaded and 1out. Only got 1 run in though. As other guy said I am not trying to hi-jack any thread. Just share money management strategies that I found to be of some success and bounce off ideas from other baseball betters.
I have had someone test betting all over or all under every game using a 5 - 10 - 15 - 20 - 25 - 30 etc strategy before and it would go up like 100 units at one point and finish the season where you would be down over 100 units, but that was betting all overs or all unders was not following the juice of the site which is mixed over and under.
The books look at their simulations as if its 53% of going over they charge -115 juice or -120 juice cause they have a small edge on it and vice versa with the under. You will never long run get a system where you can flat bet every game blindly and show a profit because the books are just too smart. People get paid 100s of thousands to set these odds so I doubt any of us are smarter then them or they would not get paid that much. All about being on the ship when water and calm and jumping off when the hurricane comes and waiting for smooth waters again.
Good night and Good tomorrow.Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#513turned a .9u profit on the week. I thought SD was going over in the 8th with bases loaded and 1out. Only got 1 run in though. As other guy said I am not trying to hi-jack any thread. Just share money management strategies that I found to be of some success and bounce off ideas from other baseball betters.
I have had someone test betting all over or all under every game using a 5 - 10 - 15 - 20 - 25 - 30 etc strategy before and it would go up like 100 units at one point and finish the season where you would be down over 100 units, but that was betting all overs or all unders was not following the juice of the site which is mixed over and under.
The books look at their simulations as if its 53% of going over they charge -115 juice or -120 juice cause they have a small edge on it and vice versa with the under. You will never long run get a system where you can flat bet every game blindly and show a profit because the books are just too smart. People get paid 100s of thousands to set these odds so I doubt any of us are smarter then them or they would not get paid that much. All about being on the ship when water and calm and jumping off when the hurricane comes and waiting for smooth waters again.
Good night and Good tomorrow.Comment -
RollinDoSBR Posting Legend
- 09-04-13
- 13322
#514
Opened at 8 and down to 7 before 1st pitch...I was suckered in.
Also seeing a lot of games I bet Under and 5-6 runs scored with 2 outs...you just don't expect that.
Both my Unders that lost yesterday (went 1-2) had 6 runs scored with 2 outs and nobody on base.Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#515Morning all
Fri, 9/5/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers
#925 UN 8 -110 LAA/MIN 1.10u/1.00u
BWelke 10ov/17un L27gms 63.0%
Fri, 9/5/14 DOGS
#902 CUBS +112 1.00u/1.12u
#907 METS +107 1.00u/1.07u
#917 KC +110 1.00u/1.10u
#921 BAL +130 1.00u/1.30u
#909 STL +106 1.00u/1.06u
#911 SD +115 1.00/1.15u
Fri, 9/5/14 FUN
#919 TOR -113 1.00u/.88u
GLTA
Ali & MitchComment -
ejoaSBR Rookie
- 11-08-12
- 39
#516Angels under looks good. Good luckComment -
RollinDoSBR Posting Legend
- 09-04-13
- 13322
#517I gotta go with Twins TT Under.
No way can I back an Under with Gascan Nolasco.
Angels shoukd be one of easiest wins of day, so better to go with -130 on the Twins Under than -165 on ML.
Make sense?Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#518Evening update:
Fri, 9/5/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers
#925 UN 8 -110 LAA/MIN 1.10u/1.00u
BWelke 10ov/17un L27gms 63.0%
0-1 -1.10u
87-59-8 +15.83u 60.0%
Fri, 9/5/14 DOGS
#902 CUBS +112 1.00u/1.12u SUSPENDED (PUSH)
#907 METS +107 1.00u/1.07u
#917 KC +110 1.00u/1.10u
#921 BAL +130 1.00u/1.30u
#909 STL +106 1.00u/1.06u
#911 SD +115 1.00/1.15u
2-3 -.90u
146-152 +9.46u 49.0%
Fri, 9/5/14 FUN
#919 TOR -113 1.00u/.88u0-1 -1.00u
28-19 +6.05u 59.6%
Goodnight all
Ali & MitchComment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#519I was not able to bet anything, but just keeping an eye on what I would of played for the o/u following the juice using the SBR odds whatever total has the highest juice or a no play if the juice is equal. Would of been 8-3! if you count -107 / -103 on one of the games, probably would have skipped something so close in odds though and treated it as equal being less then 10c on the dollar.
Still looking for any of these programmers to follow SBR site to jump in and do a quick test on the percentage of this if its possible to run a program to test this.Comment -
IrishLuck777SBR Sharp
- 01-25-14
- 332
#520JM you should post this idea/system in a new thread in a better area that you might be able to get some help in. I know myself and I am sure others are interested in seeing how it turns out, we just don't have the resources to help with the data mining process. Please keep us up to date!Comment -
alamoSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-09
- 7131
#521Good idea. Definitely a good idea for a new thread and I think would attract a lot of interest. Certainly looks like your on to something.Comment -
funnymanSBR Wise Guy
- 05-06-10
- 606
#522you're, not your. common mistake.Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#523NO games today Saturday.
Update later
Ali & MitchComment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#524I did think about running a thread, however I get tied up at work usually and often times cant even place all the bets. I could certainly start a thread, but seriously doubt it would run very smooth with my schedule. Worth a try I suppose.Comment -
IrishLuck777SBR Sharp
- 01-25-14
- 332
#525make a thread for someone to back test it. if it looks to be profitable ill run the thread next seasonComment
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