Under umpire streakers

[mitch51]

NO play on early game 1:05pm GM#1 NYY/BAL

Ali

[mitch51]

Good morning all

Fri, 9/12/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

NONE



Fri, 9/12/14 DOGS

#977 OAK +125 1.00u/1.25u





Fri, 9/12/14 FUN

#971 MIN -105 1.00u/.95u
#962 AZ -125 1.00u/.80u



GLTA and enjoy your weekend


Ali & Mitch

For all who are interested, the I-15 is still not open yet. NDOT is trying to get one side of interstate repaired to be a two way until totally repaired on the other side.

[mitch51]

MIN/CWS game postponed.

[mitch51]

Evening update:

Fri, 9/12/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

NONE
88-62-8 +13.23u 58.7%



Fri, 9/12/14 DOGS

#977 OAK +125 1.00u/1.25u

0-1 -1.00u
151-158-1 +9.78u 48.9%



Fri, 9/12/14 FUN

#971 MIN -105 1.00u/.95u POSTPONED
#962 AZ -125 1.00u/.80u 0-1 -1.00u
30-20 +6.96u 60.0%




Goodnight all

Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

NO plays on the 3 early games @ 1:05pm ET

BBL

Ali

[mitch51]

Good morning all

Sat, UNDER Umpire Streakers

#927 UN 6 -110 OAK/SEA 1.10u/1.00u
Muchlinkski 10ov/16un L26gms 61.5%

Three other games are not lining up right:
Mia/Phi UN 7.5 Porter
Cubs/Pits UN 7 Marquez
Bos/KC UN7.5 Reynolds


This one we like as an over (yes, it's an under umpire)
#907 OV 6.5 -115 WAS/METS 1.15u/1.00u
BWelke 11ov/18un L29gms 62.1%





Sat, 9/13/14 DOGS

#908 METS +122 1.00u/1.22u




Sat, 9/13/14 FUN

NONE




GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

Evening update:


Sat, UNDER Umpire Streakers

#927 UN 6 -110 OAK/SEA 1.10u/1.00u
Muchlinkski 10ov/16un L26gms 61.5%

Three other games are not lining up right:
Mia/Phi UN 7.5 Porter UNDER
Cubs/Pits UN 7 Marquez OVER
Bos/KC UN7.5 Reynolds OVER


This one we like as an over (yes, it's an under umpire)
#907 OV 6.5 -115 WAS/METS 1.15u/1.00u
BWelke 11ov/18un L29gms 62.1%

2-0 +2.00U
90-62-8 +15.23U 59.2%



Sat, 9/13/14 DOGS

#908 METS +122 1.00u/1.22u

0-1 -1.00U
151-159 +8.78U 48.7%


Sat, 9/13/14 FUN

NONE
30-20 +6.96U 60.0%


Goodnight all

Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

Good morning all


Sun, 9/14/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

#979 UN 7.5 -110 ATL/TX 1.10u/1.00u
Randazzo 3ov/14un L17gms 82.4%

#969 UN 7.5 -125 NYY/BAL 1.25u/1.00u
Hickox 7ov/16un L23gms 69.6%


These games aren't lining up:
WAS/Mets Hoye
CO/STL Nelson
LAD/SF Eddings??? or Hamari???




Sun, 9/14/14 DOGS

#963 SD +115 1.00u/1.15u



Sun, 9/14/14 FUN

NONE



GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

Evening update:


Sun, 9/14/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

#979 UN 7.5 -110 ATL/TX 1.10u/1.00u
Randazzo 3ov/14un L17gms 82.4%

#969 UN 7.5 -125 NYY/BAL 1.25u/1.00u
Hickox 7ov/16un L23gms 69.6%

These games aren't lining up:
WAS/Mets Hoye Under
CO/STL Nelson Under
LAD/SF Eddings??? or Hamari??? Push


1-1 -.10u
91-63-8 +15.13u 59.1%




Sun, 9/14/14 DOGS

#963 SD +115 1.00u/1.15u

0-1 -1.00u
151-160 +7.78u 48.5%




Sun, 9/14/14 FUN

NONE
30-20- +6.96 60%



Goodnight all

Ali & Mitch

[alamo]

Hi Mitch,

Just wondering ever since you started adding the Dogs to the thread way back

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-betting/2908305-under-umpire-streakers-p5.html#post22222821

Record you say at time of your own tracking was 102-86-1 +27.99u.

Since you've started posting the record sits at 151-160 +7.78u 48.5% which is in effect 49W-74L on posted plays (Down around 20u)

Any ideas or do we maybe need to make adjustments ?

[mitch51]

Hi Mitch,

Just wondering ever since you started adding the Dogs to the thread way back

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-betting/2908305-under-umpire-streakers-p5.html#post22222821

Record you say at time of your own tracking was 102-86-1 +27.99u.

Since you've started posting the record sits at 151-160 +7.78u 48.5% which is in effect 49W-74L on posted plays (Down around 20u)

Any ideas or do we maybe need to make adjustments ?

Not sure what adjustments should be. We have cut down our bets, yesterday was an example. Three games qualified. San Diego, Tampa Bay, and Texas. We thought San Diego was the game. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay and Texas win and San Diego loses. We have had dogs lose in every conceivable way imaginable. These dogs have been an ATM for the last two years. We are still almost up $800, but damn...We hit the cold streak from hell. We thought about changing things up coming up with small faves, but over time these dogs will bark again. Right now they are just road kill. We should be up 40 units with the dogs now. One bright thing...hockey is on the way and we are coming up with a dog system for hockey. LOL, hope that works better. But the baseball dogs aren't coming through. They will, though.

[alamo]

Appreciate you taking the time to post a detailed and excellent reply. Let's hope the dogs come out of their kennels before October.

[mitch51]

Good morning all,


We're still up 29.87u (272-243-8 @52.82%). Unfortunately the DOGS have been in free fall and the UNDERS haven't been much better. We are going to keep our units until hockey, then go on a hunting expedition for hockey dogs.
Thanks for your support between the two threads with all 178,314 views (JF starting one and we continued it) which totally shocked us.

GLTA

See you on the ice

Ali & Mitch

[chixslang]

Just wanted say that I've never won betting baseball. Then I stumbled upon this thread and made a lot of money.. Reading this thread has been part of my daily routine. Sad to see Mitch and Ali won't be posting for the next few weeks but also excited to see how the hockey dogs will do. Thank you much Mitch and Ali for sharing your research everyday and BOL in the future

[mitch51]

We are still handicapping the Under umpires above 60% and the dogs which I will put them in our spreadsheet to track (we're just not betting baseball right now). In talking with Mitch if we see them turning around come the playoffs, we will post them again and that will include the dogs too.

Thanks everyone and we'll keep an eye on the threads and the dogs/unders and let you know.

Ali

[mitch51]

Just wanted say that I've never won betting baseball. Then I stumbled upon this thread and made a lot of money.. Reading this thread has been part of my daily routine. Sad to see Mitch and Ali won't be posting for the next few weeks but also excited to see how the hockey dogs will do. Thank you much Mitch and Ali for sharing your research everyday and BOL in the future

It is really impossible to win long term betting favorites in baseball. It took us a long time to figure this out. If you take dogs in baseball you will lose a lot of games. The losing streaks are something to behold. We had our dog pitcher balk in the winning run to lose a game. We lost with a walk off grand slam. We have lost with 3 run leads in the ninth. We have lost so many one run games we lost count. And through it all, made $800 for hockey! So, we hope you have learned to bet dogs. Any handicapping at all will get you 50% winners with dogs which will turn a good profit throughout the year in baseball.

Thanks for your comment, keep winning, bet dogs.

[IrishLuck777]

thanks for a good season guys! looking forward to next season baseball and what you can brew up for hockey. keep us posted!

[1fastmr2]

Thanks for your hard work Mitch & ALi :-) I wish you all the best!!

[mitch51]

Thanks for your hard work Mitch & ALi :-) I wish you all the best!!

You're welcome and we'll keep you all posted when they turn around.

Thanks
Ali

[mitch51]

thanks for a good season guys! looking forward to next season baseball and what you can brew up for hockey. keep us posted!

You're welcome. Here's to hockey.

Ali

[mitch51]

Hi everyone,

The 3 dogs we tracked today went 1-2 (Mia, NYY, SEA)

If you want, I can list the games we are tracking. Just remember we are not betting baseball until the playoffs if we see the games turning around.

Goodnight

Ali & Mitch

[IrishLuck777]

I'm interested in your thoughts for hockey. (if this seems to be cluttering up the baseball thread we could start a separate one for hockey discussion before the season starts) How well do you think your dogs will transfer over to the ice? Do you guys plan on playing unders as well?

[mitch51]

I'm interested in your thoughts for hockey. (if this seems to be cluttering up the baseball thread we could start a separate one for hockey discussion before the season starts) How well do you think your dogs will transfer over to the ice? Do you guys plan on playing unders as well?

We are absolutely gonna do hockey dogs. We dabbled in hockey last year. We won 60% of our games and didn't win jack because of the juice. So now we have been working on our dog system which we know will work with hockey. Don't know about the unders. In bases you get an automatic bias towards the under because most bettors bet the over moving the lines in our favor. Does the same thing happen in hockey? We love those unders but don't think we can cap hockey referees. We know for a fact that the lines are a lot looser in hockey than football and even baseball, so that's where we're headed. We are working on our system so we aren't ready for a thread yet, but hockey dogs? Hell yeah! We will keep you posted and make sure you get our picks. Maybe we should do a thread in the hockey betting area. I think we could kill it with hockey dogs and maybe unders too.

[lore22]

Thanks for posting.

It's been a real treat!

[RollinDo]

Looking fw to your hockey plays!

I do like favorites from time to time though...good trams like Hawks, Pens, Blues usually bounce back after a loss.
And Ducks at home are awesome.
Kings as mild faves on the road were a good bet last year too...and when you catch my them during a 3 - game winning streak.

[mitch51]

It's been a real treat!

Season isn't quite done. We are paper betting dogs in bases now and will still put our picks up, but use discretion. They are just godawful. We finally hit two out of three the other day, put San Diego in the thread. San Diego lost, and the other two, Tampa Bay and I think maybe Houston won as big dogs. Feel free to fade until they come around. But we have learned of you don't bet dogs you lose money in the long run. Very frustrating for sure, but that's the charm of betting. Lol.

[mitch51]

Looking fw to your hockey plays!

I do like favorites from time to time though...good trams like Hawks, Pens, Blues usually bounce back after a loss.
And Ducks at home are awesome.
Kings as mild faves on the road were a good bet last year too...and when you catch my them during a 3 - game winning streak.

We could use your help in hockey. It's coming. It isn't our strong point, but a dog is a dog.

[RollinDo]

We could use your help in hockey. It's coming. It isn't our strong point, but a dog is a dog.

Sure thing.
Baseball has gotten the best of me the last 3-4 weeks after a marginal profit for the season until then...not much making sense to me...though I am confident going into bets even during this tough stretch.

[mitch51]

Good morning everyone,


Here is what we're tracking today:

UNDER Umpire Streakers

MIA/METS UN 6.5 -110 TGibson 60%
DET/MIN UN 8.5 -115 Blaser 62.5%
These two are leaning to the over.

CWS/KC UN 8 -115 Barry 63%
Looking good for an under.




DOGS

AZ +115



FUN

CIN -107
(These 2-juice a little high DET -132, LAD -136)



Just tracking remember

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

Tracking update:


UNDER Umpire Streakers

MIA/METS UN 6.5 -110 TGibson 60% OVER
DET/MIN UN 8.5 -115 Blaser 62.5% UNDER
These two are leaning to the over.

CWS/KC UN 8 -115 Barry 63% OVER
Looking good for an under.



DOGS

AZ +115 LOST



FUN

CIN -107 LOST
(These 2-juice a little high DET -132, LAD -136) LOST


The DOGS are falling and can't get up and the others too.


Goodnight

Ali & Mitch

[KingHawkins]

My unsolicited #1 piece of advice for gambling is to look for reverse line movement by analyzing public betting trends and line movement.
For example, lets say a baseball team opens with a line of -150. If 70%+ of bets/$ are coming in on one side, and that -150 has dropped down to -135.... and the +140 dog seeing 30% of the action is now only paying +125..... well you are a fool if you jump on that -135 favorite that looks like they are going to beat up on their opponent. If you side with the Vegas and the +125 dog, chances are you'll be shocked as your crappy team comes through and you are laughing along with the books.

[mitch51]

My unsolicited #1 piece of advice for gambling is to look for reverse line movement by analyzing public betting trends and line movement.
For example, lets say a baseball team opens with a line of -150. If 70%+ of bets/$ are coming in on one side, and that -150 has dropped down to -135.... and the +140 dog seeing 30% of the action is now only paying +125..... well you are a fool if you jump on that -135 favorite that looks like they are going to beat up on their opponent. If you side with the Vegas and the +125 dog, chances are you'll be shocked as your crappy team comes through and you are laughing along with the books.

Thanks for this, King. We have solicited everyone's advice here and have gotten some good stuff. I think this looks really good, though. We have pm'd you on this, just when you have the time.

[mitch51]

Good morning all


Just tracking today and this is it no DOGS or FUN:


Wed, 9/17/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

TX/OAK UN 6.5 +100 Danley 80%


GLTA


Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

OMG, thought we had the game until the top of the 9th...

Tracking update

Wed, 9/17/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

TX/OAK UN 6.5 +100 Danley 80% LOST


Tracking update since 9/15/14

UNDER UMPs
2-2

DOGS
1-3

FUN
0-3

Goodnight all

Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

Good morning

Here's what we have for tracking:

Thur, 9/18/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

#969 UN 7 -110 BOS/PIT Muchlinski 10ov/17un L27gm 63.0%
#955 UN 7 +105 MIL/STL Reynolds 8ov/19un L27gm 70.4%



Thur, 9/18/14 DOGS

#957 AZ +107
#966 HOU +115
#959 PHI +119
#968 LAA +140


Thur, 9/18/14 FUN

NONE

Remember we're not betting just tracking and enjoy your day.

GLTA

Ali & Mitch